Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    DD (6/1/8)-(1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-6 $19.00 $7.00 58%
CT-7   WIN (3/2/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $15.00 $5.00 50%
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/4/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-8 $128.20 $88.20 221%
CT-8   WIN (3/7/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $15.80 $5.80 58%
    EXA (3/7/4/6/2)-(3/7/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-7 $38.00 $18.00 90%
    DD (3/2/1/4/8)-(3/7/4/6/2) 25 $2.00 $50.00  8-4 $134.40 $84.40 169%
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/4/8)-(3/7/4/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100  2-8-4 $352.70 $252.70 253%
    PK4 (9/6/1)-(4/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/4/8)-(3/7/4/6/2) 300 $1.00 $300  1/4/9-2-8-4 $1839 $1539 513%
    PK5 (1/6)-(9/6/1)-(4/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/4/8)-(3/7/4/6/2) 600 $1.00 $600  6-1/4/9-2-8-4 $7238 $6638 1106%
    PK6 (6/1/8)-(1/6)-(9/6/1)-(4/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/4/8)-(3/7/4/6/2) 1800 $1.00 $1800  6-6-1/4/9-2-8-4 $8312 $6512 362%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   02/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:151     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SIDESWIPED 4 3 32 2½   16½ 17½ (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 1.20 ★ 0.50  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
6  PERFECT PRINCESS 6 6 55 47   36½ 27½ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 ★ 9.10 P
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
7  BLONDE SAMARITAN 7 7 43 57   48½ 39 (ramirez a)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 28.10  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
1  ALL THE ENVY 1 1 11 1½   26½ 415 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 ★ 5.80  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LALKA by DYNAFORMER)
2  DETERMINED STELLA 2 2 21 31   59½ 518½ (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 122 1.40 49% 1.00 3.20  
  (by TAPIT out of ORABELLA by MORE THAN READY)
5  COASTING TO WIN 5 4 611 616½   616 620½ (viands gregor)ADAMS L 115 10.00 19% 4.20 27.60  
  (by WEST COAST out of EXOGENETIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  COWGIRL HOP 3 5 712 717   716½ 721¾ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 83.20  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ELECTRIC COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
 
CT-2   02/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DULCIMER DAME 6 3 2½ 2½   12 14½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.20 29% 2.50 0.20 W
5  DIVINE FASHION 5 4 62¼ 42   22 24½ (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 27% 2.70 5.30 P
1  HIDDEN IDENTITY 1 2 3½ 31   32 36 (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 15.00 13% 6.50 25.30 S
3  GOLDEN SWEETS 3 1 1½ 1½   42¼ 47 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00 ★ 34.50  
4  GOLD TIME VIXEN 4 7 72¾ 53   55¾ 57 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 14.60  
7  WILL TAKE ROSES 7 6 41 74½   79¾ 611¾ (o'callahan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00 8% 11.40 16.80  
2  FLAVA'S DREAM 2 5 51¼ 63½   69¾ 713¼ (woodit)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00 21.60  
 
CT-3   02/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :473       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NICE BUT NAUGHTY 6 3 44     22 11¾ (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 35% 1.90 1.30 W
1  RIVER ROYALE R V F 1 8 11     12 21¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 31% 2.20 1.60 P
2  MONKEY WRENCH 2 7 33     44½ 32½ (barahona isaac)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 ★ 14.50 S
5  BOBBYS CASE LOAD 5 4 65½     54½ 42¾ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.50 9.40  
3  BOO TOO 3 5 21     32½ 53¾ (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 ★ 6.70  
4  ALLEGHENY HERO 4 6 55½     65½ 66 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 28.50  
7  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 7 1 77½     710 710¾ (racanelli m)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 34.30  
8  SWEET T 8 2 816½     818 822 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
 
CT-4   02/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:213 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FULLY CONNECTED 5 3 2½     2nk 1¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 36% 1.80 1.80 W
1  PRIMAL DESTINY 1 2 1½     1nk 2¼ (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.00 41% 1.50 0.80 P
2  EMPEROROFTHEDARK 2 4 33     35 34 (treharne da)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 ★ 7.40 S
3  INSIDE RISK 3 6 612     68½ 44¾ (caison l)BAEZ M 113 20.00 ★ 41.30  
5  BIG CITY BOB 4 5 56½     45½ 55¼ (penaloza miguel)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 ★ 10.70  
7  SUPER GARNER 6 1 44     58 611¼ (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 9.60  
SCR  SUBURBAN COURT               (beattie cody)LEWIS M 113 15.00    
 
CT-5   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:224 :48 1:144     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ACASHA'S INTUITION 3 2 32½ 33½   31 1hd (bass curtis )LEWIS M 115 5.00 ★ 1.20  
3  NEVERFOLD 2 3 64½ 44½   41¼ 2hd (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 4.70  
6  LOGSTRADAMUS 5 4 21½ 2nk   2nk 3¼ (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 31% 2.20 2.00 S
8  IN HIGH GEAR 7 7 11½ 1nk   1nk 41¾ (mcdonald timoth)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 10.80  
7  RED HOT TODDY 6 6 43½ 55   52¼ 55 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 ★ 6.60  
5  HILLBILLY ROCK 4 5 79 78¼   77¾ 66 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 35.70  
2  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN 1 1 53½ 65¼   66¼ 710¾ (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 120 30.00 44.00  
SCR  MACHEN'S RIDGE               (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF               (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 39% 1.50    
 
CT-6   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:151     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOUT ENSEMBLE 2 4 64½ 44½   32½ 13 (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 19% 4.40 2.80 W
4  LADY CINCO DE MAYO 3 2 31 2nk   1½ 23 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 0.80 40% 1.50 0.90 P
7  CONDUCTANCE 6 5 11 1nk   2½ 35¼ (smith valrie)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 7.20  
9  TAPPING SOUTH 7 7 77 77¾   46½ 46¾ (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 122 20.00 18.40  
6  SUPERSNAKE 5 6 54 67½   68½ 510 (sandoval m)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00 28.70  
1  JACCACI 1 1 21 33½   58 612¾ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 16% 5.20 4.10  
5  JESS FOR KICKS 4 3 42 56   715½ 739½ (smith osborn)LEWIS M 113 30.00 5% 19.00 45.80  
SCR  UPTOWN BELLE               (knoblauch-perez)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  YIRA               (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 120 30.00    
 
CT-7   02/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:214 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DERBY DAY DREAMS 8 1 2½     2nk 14½ (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 8% 12.00 6.50 W
6  GOLDEN G 6 2 45     33½ 24½ (gillespie rya)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00 30.20  
1  AMIDSHIPS 1 7 1½     1nk 34½ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 14% 6.30 1.40 S
5  SETTLEMENT DATE 5 6 79½     67¾ 45¾ (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 8.00 13.60  
2  MI GUSTO ES 2 8 34     43¾ 56 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 14% 6.10 16.80  
4  SUBJECT TO CHANGE 4 3 89½     78¾ 66¾ (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 120 6.00 12% 7.30 7.90  
3  FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL 3 5 56     56¼ 78¼ (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 24% 3.10 2.50  
7  CANT STOP THIS MAN 7 9 916½     913¾ 810¾ (penaloza miguel)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 9.20  
10  SUPER JORDAN 9 4 68     89¾ 913¼ (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 44.20  
SCR  TIZ DEJA BLUE               (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   02/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:15 1:43   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MYSTIFIED 4 5 44½ 46 21 2nk 1½ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 8.00 7% 13.00 6.90 W
7  ROYAL CRUSADER 5 4 68¼ 68 42½ 31½ 2½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 26% 2.90 3.10 P
9  MY CANDY BIZ 7 6 33½ 34 11 1nk 35¾ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 9.30  
1  MAKE WAY 1 1 54¾ 78½ 710 59 413½ (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 20.10  
2  CHARITABLE SPENNY 2 2 1nk 1½ 32 48½ 519¾ (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
8  LIFESPAN 6 7 78¼ 57 63½ 69½ 620¼ (ramirez a)MONTANO JOSE 122 30.00 28.90  
3  AUTS REVOLUTION 3 3 2nk 2½ 53 711½ 728¾ (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.30  
SCR  DR. FERBER               (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
SCR  ELVIRUS               (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  NORTHERN RIDGE               (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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