Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4/6/1)-(2/5/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/5/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7/3)-(6/5/1/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7)-(6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/7)-(6/1/8)-(1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/8/3/2)-(6/1/8/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8)-(1/6)-(6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/5/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/5/2/3)-(1/6/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6)-(6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(6)-(4/2/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-5   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(4/2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(4/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/4/8)-(3/7/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4/8)-(3/2/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4/8)-(3/2/1/4/8)-(3/2/1/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4/8)-(3/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THE ENVY Feb09 Jan18 Nov16 Sep13 Aug23 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 ★    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LALKA by DYNAFORMER)
2  DETERMINED STELLA         (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 122 1.40 49% 1.00    
  (by TAPIT out of ORABELLA by MORE THAN READY)
3  COWGIRL HOP Feb09 Jan13       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ELECTRIC COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
4  SIDESWIPED Feb09 Dec21 Nov08 Oct14 Sep01 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 1.20 ★    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
5  COASTING TO WIN         (viands gregor)ADAMS L 115 10.00 19% 4.20    
  (by WEST COAST out of EXOGENETIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  PERFECT PRINCESS Feb09 Dec31 Aug28     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
7  BLONDE SAMARITAN Feb09 Dec04 Nov21 Oct28 Oct14 (ramirez a)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
CT-2   02/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN IDENTITY Jan21 Jul01 Jun22 May18 Feb10 (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 15.00 13% 6.50    
2  FLAVA'S DREAM Dec03 Nov13 Oct21 Oct01 Sep08 (woodit)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00    
3  GOLDEN SWEETS Feb04 Jan27 Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00 ★    
4  GOLD TIME VIXEN Feb17 Jan28 Jan20 Dec17 Dec02 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
5  DIVINE FASHION Feb11 Jan21 Jan14 Jan07 Dec03 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
6  DULCIMER DAME Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.20 29% 2.50    
7  WILL TAKE ROSES Feb02 Dec28 Oct19 Oct05 Sep15 (o'callahan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
CT-3   02/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER ROYALE R V F Jan04 Nov26       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  MONKEY WRENCH Jan26 Jan11 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 (barahona isaac)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 ★    
3  BOO TOO Jan11 Dec17 Oct29 Sep03 Aug13 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 ★    
4  ALLEGHENY HERO Jan26 Jan11 Nov30     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
5  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Jan26 Jan04 Nov30 Oct15 Oct01 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.50    
6  NICE BUT NAUGHTY Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
7  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Jan11 Dec09 Nov12 Oct28 Oct15 (racanelli m)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
8  SWEET T Jan28 Jan11       (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   02/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIMAL DESTINY Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Sep22 Aug28 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.00 41% 1.50    
2  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Dec07 Nov24 Nov02 Oct26 Oct10 (treharne da)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 ★    
3  INSIDE RISK Feb09 Jan19 Jan12 Jan01 Dec16 (caison l)BAEZ M 113 20.00 ★    
SCR  SUBURBAN COURT Jan27         (beattie cody)LEWIS M 113 15.00    
5  BIG CITY BOB Sep10 Jul31 Jul13 Jun13 Jun01 (penaloza miguel)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 ★    
6  FULLY CONNECTED Feb02 Jan12 Nov12 Oct12 Aug28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  SUPER GARNER Feb09 Nov18 Oct20     (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
 
CT-5   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACHEN'S RIDGE Jan27 Dec14 Nov23 Oct05 Sep19 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 18.30    
2  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Jan12 Dec10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov05 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
3  NEVERFOLD Feb09 Dec29 Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 120 3.50    
4  ACASHA'S INTUITION Jan26 Jan04 Nov24 Oct26 Sep29 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 115 5.00 ★    
5  HILLBILLY ROCK Feb09 Jan11 Dec08 Nov16 Jul16 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
6  LOGSTRADAMUS Feb09 Dec08 Nov17 Oct20 Jun17 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
7  RED HOT TODDY Jan26 Jan11 Sep29 Aug19 Jul08 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 ★    
8  IN HIGH GEAR Feb09 Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 Sep24 (mcdonald timoth)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
SCR  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Jan28 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 39% 1.50    
 
CT-6   02/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACCACI Feb04 Dec14 Nov18 Nov02 Jul01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
2  TOUT ENSEMBLE Jan19 Dec14 Dec02 Oct14 Sep23 (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  UPTOWN BELLE Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Sep17   (knoblauch-perez)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 ★    
4  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Feb04 Jan14 Nov16 Oct01 Sep09 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 0.80 40% 1.50    
5  JESS FOR KICKS Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 Nov23 Nov02 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUPERSNAKE Feb11 Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 (sandoval m)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
7  CONDUCTANCE Jan13 Dec04 Nov04 Oct23 Oct02 (smith valrie)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
SCR  YIRA Feb15 Dec31 Nov13 Oct16 Sep25 (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 120 30.00    
9  TAPPING SOUTH Feb04 Oct12 Oct01 Jun23 May28 (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
 
CT-7   02/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIDSHIPS Feb02 Jan12 Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 14% 6.30    
2  MI GUSTO ES Feb04 Jan21 Dec28 Dec09 Nov04 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
3  FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL Jan11 Dec21 Dec07 Nov21 Oct31 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
4  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Feb01 Jan19 Jan11 Nov24 Oct21 (spriggs tosc)BATISTA A 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
5  SETTLEMENT DATE Feb02 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
6  GOLDEN G Feb11 Jan21 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 (gillespie rya)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00    
7  CANT STOP THIS MAN Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov23 Nov01 (penaloza miguel)ACOSTA D 120 5.00    
8  DERBY DAY DREAMS Jan12 Oct08 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  TIZ DEJA BLUE Jan25 Jan12 Dec13 Nov14 Oct04 (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
10  SUPER JORDAN Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   02/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE WAY Jan27 Dec01 Nov10 Oct21 Sep29 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
2  CHARITABLE SPENNY Jan28 Jan04 Dec10 Aug20 Jul14 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  AUTS REVOLUTION Feb01 Jan11 Nov12 Oct22 Sep30 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  MYSTIFIED Jan25 Jan04 Dec20 Nov24 Oct15 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  DR. FERBER Feb01 Nov19 Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
SCR  ELVIRUS Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 Nov13 Oct22 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 5% 17.60    
7  ROYAL CRUSADER Feb01 Jan22 Jan11 Dec11 Nov18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
8  LIFESPAN Jan22 Jan07 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 (ramirez a)MONTANO JOSE 122 30.00    
9  MY CANDY BIZ Feb01 Jan12 Nov17 Nov03 Oct26 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
SCR  NORTHERN RIDGE Jan18 Dec14 Oct29 Oct06 Sep29 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.