Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-3   EXA (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-4 $16.90 $0.90 6%
    TRI (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3/5)-(1/4/7/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  7-4-3 $98.90 $50.90 106%
    SFT (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3/5)-(1/4/7/3/5)-(1/4/7/3/5) 96 $1.00 $96.00  7-4-3-5 $370.10 $274.10 286%
CT-4   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $8.60 $4.60 115%
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/4/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-7 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/4/3/2)-(7/5/4/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-7-4 $33.90 $9.90 41%
    SFT (7/5)-(7/5/4/3/2)-(7/5/4/3/2)-(7/5/4/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-7-4-3 $64.40 $16.40 34%
    DD (1/4/7/3)-(7/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00  7-5 $33.20 $17.20 108%
    PK3 (7/3/6/8/1)-(1/4/7/3)-(7/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00  7-7-5 $46.20 $6.20 16%
    PK4 (6/8/4/3)-(7/3/6/8/1)-(1/4/7/3)-(7/5) 160 $1.00 $160  5/6/8-1/7-7-5 $346.80 $186.80 117%
CT-5   WIN (10/11/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $22.00 $16.00 267%
    DD (7/5)-(10/11/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-8 $98.60 $86.60 722%
    PK3 (1/4/7/3)-(7/5)-(10/11/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-5-8 $168.20 $144.20 601%
CT-8   PK6 (1/4/7/3)-(7/5)-(10/11/8)-(2/9/5)-(3/4/9)-(13/9/8/3) 864 $1.00 $864  7-5-8-1/5-3/7-5 $2217 $1353 157%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   02/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN SAM 5 3 1     1 14 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.00 49% 1.10 0.40 W
SECRET AFFIRMATION 7 1 5     2 24 (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 10.60  
CHIT CHAT GIRL 3 6 7     611 3 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 5% 17.80 7.90 S
MARY'S LISTED NEXT 1 7 6     4 4 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00 38.70  
ADABEL 6 2 2     37 5 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00 6.10  
MS BIG SPRING 2 5 3     712 612¾ (hummer richa)BATISTA A 122 30.00 15.70  
LIL SWEETHEART 4 4 4     510½ 713½ (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 5.00 9% 9.70 9.40  
SCR  CALL ME JELLY ROLL               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 12% 7.70    
SCR  COUNTRY MAGIC               (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
 
CT-2   02/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:143     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETITGOTOVOICEMAIL 6 6 11 13   1 1 (perkins be)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 29% 2.40 0.90 W
  (by DIALED IN out of FROZEN MUSIC by LANGFUHR)
SIDESWIPED 7 7 21 23   2 2 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 12% 7.10 5.20 P
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
BLONDE SAMARITAN 3 3 55 615¼   618½ 313½ (ramirez a)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 32.00  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MARAZION GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
PERFECT PRINCESS 5 5 4 49   313½ 413¾ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50 13% 6.50 2.90  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY 2 2 7 515   417½ 514½ (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 14% 6.40 4.10  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of THREE GRACES by DONERAILE COURT)
COWGIRL HOP 1 1 6 721¼   724½ 627 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 20.50  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ELECTRIC COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS 4 4 31 39   518 733½ (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 58.10  
  (by REDESDALE out of AWESOME REWARD by GRAND REWARD)
SCR  DREAM OF GOLD               (haynes ernes)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-3   02/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:132     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 7 4 2nk 1nk   1 13 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 10% 8.90 2.30 W
OUT OF CENTS 4 2 5 53   2 23 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 4.00 27% 2.70 8.20 P
FREEDOM RIDER 3 7 32 3   4 3 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 8% 10.90 12.00 S
BUFF'S EYE VIEW 5 5 7 7   5 4 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 9.20  
AUBURN MILL 1 1 1nk 2nk   3 5 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 32% 2.10 1.00  
ALLEN CAN DO IT 2 3 4 42   6 6 (casey a)LARROSA G 120 12.00 7.60  
STRONG LIL KOKORO 6 6 6 6   711¼ 721½ (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00 44.00  
 
CT-4   02/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICO 5 7 31 3.2   2nk 1nk (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 2.50 17% 5.00 3.30 W
SOCIAL CHIC 7 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2nk (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 53% 0.90 1.10 P
FANCY CONCHO 4 1 42 4   3 3 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 9.10 S
DEBIT CARD 3 5 6 7   610¼ 4 (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 2.40  
COWBOY AT HEART 6 3 1½ 1nk   4 5 (grams c)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 26.60  
CASANOVA KITTEN 2 6 53 5   510¼ 610¾ (ginter raymon)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00 12.10  
INSIDE RISK 1 4 75 6   712¼ 712¾ (caison l)BAEZ M 113 30.00 50.40  
 
CT-5   02/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:15     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MIRACLE MAN 6 6 11 11   1½ 1½ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 5% 19.00 10.00 W
BET ON BITZ 5 5 21 21   2½ 2½ (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 6.00  
PLAYBOY ROY 4 3 42 6   32 3 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00 6.70 S
MAKE THE WAY CLEAR 2 1 31 3   44 4 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 8.00 2.70  
GARITOFF 7 8 5 54   55 54 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 1.80  
LIGHTNING LAD 3 4 7 79   7 6 (milosevic milan)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 23.60  
DOMINANT FACTOR 1 2 8 8   65 75 (hillegass alexa)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 51.80  
10  GORUN 8 7 6 44   87 811¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 40% 1.50 4.70  
SCR  AMERICAN ROCKY               (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
SCR  INGERSOLL               (west aaro)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  NEVER SILENCED               (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   02/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR AWAY LOVE (ARG) 1 1 1 1   14 15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 1.60  
NAVY SWORD 8 6 66 6   5 25 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 6.00 18% 4.50 6.90 P
SOMEDAY IS TODAY 2 2 2 3   24 3 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 58% 0.70 4.80 S
GRACE'S SECRET 6 8 8 8   7 4 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 2.60  
SIRJUS DREAM 4 3 3 4   35 5 (stephen anthony)ORM CORY 122 6.00 8.20  
BOUNDTOBEOK 7 5 42 2   45 6 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00 11.70  
LACE REVOLUTION 3 4 53 5   6 711 (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 18.10  
SWEET SPIN 5 7 7 7   8 817 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 42.20  
SCR  CANVAS ART               (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   02/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:144     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR CHANCE ROMANCE 3 4 21 1nk   1½ 1¾ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.80 37% 1.70 0.70 W
NEVERFOLD 6 6 7 64   4 2¾ (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 25.80  
LOGSTRADAMUS 4 2 42 4   3 3 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 30% 2.40 2.70 S
MARCHED 1 1 31 3½   2½ 4 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 15.10  
TWILIGHT YEARS 8 7 5 5   6 5 (shuler john)RAMGEET R 120 4.00 13% 6.90 4.80  
IHEARTRAINACOMN 2 3 64 75   7 6 (dollinger-sthr l)BAEZ M 115 15.00 21.80  
IN HIGH GEAR 5 5 11 2nk   5 79 (mcdonald timoth)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 28.40  
HILLBILLY ROCK 7 8 89 89   8 810 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 31.80  
SCR  WINDSOR'S TRACKER               (brown ronney )ADAMS L 113 12.00    
 
CT-8   02/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:16     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHERRYS CROSS 4 3 7 55   1nk 1 (huet k)BAEZ M 117 15.00 26.60  
SLOE GIN BIZ 7 7 32 3   2nk 2 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 19% 4.10 7.40 P
GANDHI'S ORION 6 6 42 4   44 3 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 5.70 S
DADDY Z 8 4 2½ 1½   32 410¼ (shuler john)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 21% 3.70 2.50  
SMOOZER 5 8 8 8   5 512¾ (allen ferr)LEWIS M 117 6.00 8.30  
BROTHER MERLE 1 9 920¼ 914¼   810½ 618 (magee kieron)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00 22.60  
STEADY EDDIE 2 2 1½ 2½   66 718 (buckley ri)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 15% 5.60 2.20  
PLAYING GOLD 3 1 6 7   79 821½ (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 20.00 41.10  
10  OBOY 9 5 53 65   912½ 927¾ (frock a)CULLUM W 124 20.00 6.00  
SCR  BOUBOLINO               (o'neill ton)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
SCR  POSITRACTION               (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTY SENSE               (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
SCR  VOICE OF NOW               (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.