The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Saturday - April 08, 2023

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KEE-1   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
:224 :471 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  SUPER RENEE 11 1 21 1   11(hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 2.80  
PROUD FOOT 4 6 42 32   22(schultz lindsay)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 3.09 P
AZUL TEQUILA 6 9 74 7   33(correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 15.00 7.93 S
GIN N SIN 5 3 64 96   748 (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00 79.47  
MS HAYLEY 8 7 9 108   1010 5(hiles rick)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 22.81  
10  SOCIAL MANDATE 9 10 8 64   56 69 (hancock jo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50 9.07  
ONLY TIME 3 11 116 86   88 710 (brownfield cla)RAMOS D 124 8.00 12% 7.10 15.74  
11  LUCY JANE 10 2 11 2   4811¾ (reavis micha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 12.87  
CHI TOWN HEAT 7 4 5 43   67 915¾ (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 40.84  
CUPIDS PAYDAY 2 5 3 5   91017 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 30.00 41.09  
HALO OF FIRE 1 8 10 119   1112½ 1121¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30 3.19  
SCR  HOT ANNA               (baker james)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
SCR  KOTYLE               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  MISS FOXANN               (chavez manuel)CRUZ JOHN 124 30.00    
 
KEE-2   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
:224 :463 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EQUIVOQUE 10 2 42 3½   1nk 1(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 3.04  
MULLIKIN 1 7 1½ 1nk   2nk 2(brisset ro)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 22% 3.50 2.16 P
LE BAR 7 4 2½ 2nk   32 3(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 9.42  
WICKED AGAIN 6 1 3 42   44(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 20% 4.10 3.16  
BETTERA 8 6 73 6   57 510½ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 33% 2.00 5.10  
JUST A PHOTO 9 8 99 8   713 618 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 31.63  
REGAL REY 5 5 63 7   611 719¼ (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 52.07  
ACCIDENT 2 10 1012 910¾   814½ 823¾ (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00 29.74  
DUAL MONARCHY 3 3 5 53   915½ 933¼ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 52.84  
HOME RUN HANK 4 9 88 1011¼   1022½ 1044¾ (williamson br)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 36.45  
 
KEE-3   04/08/2023 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
:212 :45 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 10 11 6 64   32 1¼ (cowans willi)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.56 W
WILLTORUN 4 8 11 10   62¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 12.56  
MAMBA ON THREE 5 1 5 53   11 32 (david carlos)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 42% 1.40 3.51 S
SKY AND SAND 2 9 10 11   842 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 9.12  
DIAMOND CITY 6 6 7 75   43 5(hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00 33.38  
JEOPARDY THEORY 3 7 12 12   96(glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 98.66  
TIGHTROPE 7 4 11 12   21 7(dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 118 4.50 11.66  
12  KANTHARI 12 5 4 22   53 8(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 3.01  
AWESOME AARON 9 12 9 8   129(green troy)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 96.65  
BAYTOWN BEAR 1 10 8 97   107 10(mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 118 15.00 54.51  
IBRIM 8 3 31 4   74 1110 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 12% 7.30 2.24  
11  STONEVICIOUS 11 2 21 32   111210¾ (foster eric)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 73.96  
SCR  AGENT PETER GRAVES               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  FITZPATRICK               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  LET MY PEOPLE GO               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  OUR SHOT               (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
 
KEE-4   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
:224 :454 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTIN HILL 6 1 3 3   31 1(lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 26% 2.90 5.38 W
KNEEDEEPINSNOW 1 6 11 1nk   1½ 2(shirer matt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 12.30 3.11 P
CHASING TIME 8 4 21 2nk   2½ 3(asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 3.03  
THREE TECHNIQUE 5 7 55 4   44 45 (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 8.93  
MANNY WAH 4 2 87 6   54 5(catalano m)LANERIE J 118 3.00 32% 2.10 4.99  
DASH ATTACK 3 5 65 7   7611¾ (mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 14.62  
SIR ALFRED JAMES 2 3 43 5   67 715 (cash l)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 10% 9.30 4.23  
STEINBECK 7 8 7 8   811½ 829¼ (cash l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00 46.88  
 
KEE-5   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Commonwealth Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
:224 :463 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE MI SONG 9 9 8 42   1nk 1¼ (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 13% 6.70 11.80 W
HOIST THE GOLD 1 7 4 3   2nk 2¼ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 9.92  
GET HER NUMBER 3 10 9 8   53 3(miller peter)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 19% 4.40 4.49 S
NAKATOMI 2 8 6 7   44(ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 33% 2.00 3.53  
RUN CLASSIC 7 3 1nk 1½   3½ 5(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 13% 6.50 1.82  
PRO OXIDANT 8 1 3½ 52   76(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 12.00 11.54  
HEART RHYTHM 4 4 5 63   97(ortiz alexand)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 9.59  
SPANKSTER 6 5 10 10   88(lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 118 30.00 45.89  
10  LONG RANGE TODDY 10 2 2nk 2½   69(stewart dalla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00 28.99  
LEGIONNAIRE 5 6 7 9   101010¾ (drury j)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 26.87  
 
KEE-6   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Appalachian Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 3:25
:233 :481 1:13 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPILIO (IRE) 2 6 67 8 63 51¼ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.99  
CAIRO CONSORT 3 1 55 5 52 42¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 41% 1.40 3.01 P
HEAVENLY SUNDAY 4 3 11 11 2nk 1nk 3(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 10% 8.90 4.12 S
WELL INTO 9 4 21 21 1nk 2nk 4(thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 18.81  
PLEASANT PASSAGE 7 2 3 32 3½ 32 5(mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.40 2.21  
SABALENKA 8 9 99 9 9 76(beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 30.00 67.54  
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 6 8 45 43 4 67(de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 7.79  
ALPHA BELLA 5 7 7 7 8 886 (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 17% 5.00 9.79  
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 1 5 8 64 7 9910¼ (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 47.49  
 
KEE-7   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Madison Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
:223 :46 1:103     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODNIGHT OLIVE 2 1 3 3½   13 11 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 0.40 46% 1.20 0.37 W
MARYQUITECONTRARY 5 4 4 43   23 21 (mcgaughey claude )PANICI LUCA 123 6.00 8.06 P
SOCIETY 3 3 1nk 1nk   33 3(asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 25% 3.00 4.57 S
COCKTAIL MOMENTS 1 5 5 55   4411 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 16.31  
YUUGIRI 4 2 2nk 2nk   5517 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 123 10.00 7.56  
 
KEE-8   04/08/2023 3630ft TURF GOOD Shakertown Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
:214 :444 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAVEL 8 5 11 1nk   1nk 1nk (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 27% 2.70 2.15 W
BAD BEAT BRIAN 9 2 21 2nk   2nk 2nk (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 15.00 40.93  
12  ARREST ME RED 12 3 74 8   54 3½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 14% 6.20 3.80 S
10  OCEANIC 10 8 6 6   64¾ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 9.19  
MARK OF THE Z 2 7 10 10   853 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 122 20.00 12.50  
BAKERS BAY 4 12 12 11   118 63 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 17.56  
11  STITCHED 11 1 5 5   33 7(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 30.00 56.51  
NOBLE EMOTION 7 4 84 7   98(de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00 76.10  
MISTER MMMMM 5 9 42 4   79(catalano m)LANERIE J 122 6.00 8% 10.90 5.35  
ALL IN SYNC 6 11 96 9   10106 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 57.67  
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 3 6 3 3   4116 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 18% 4.50 4.18  
JOHNNY UNLEASHED 1 10 11 12   128 12(foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 54.82  
SCR  NOBODY LISTENS               (eggleston tim)RAMOS D 122 20.00 8% 12.00    
 
KEE-9   04/08/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Toyota Blue Grass Purse ($1000K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
:232 :48 1:123 1:373   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT TRICE 1 8 78 4 31 2nk 1¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 36% 1.80 1.64 W
VERIFYING 3 2 2 21 2nk 1nk 2¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 2.35 P
BLAZING SEVENS 8 9 89 7 52 34 36 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 6.18  
SUN THUNDER 7 10 910 96 8 44(mcpeek kenneth)GEROUX FLORENT 123 10.00 13.41  
10  RAISE CAIN 10 7 1010½ 107 10 65(colebrook ben)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 25% 3.00 7.09  
11  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH 11 5 56 5 6 56(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 18.41  
HAYES STRIKE 5 11 1113½ 11 11 77(mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 45.93  
CLASSIC CAR WASH 4 6 45 6 7 9816½ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 13% 6.80 23.47  
SCOOBIE QUANDO 6 4 66 85 9 8917 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
MAJOR BLUE 9 3 3 3 4 1110¾ 1021¼ (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 123 30.00 51.05  
CLEAR THE AIR 2 1 1 11 1nk 101126¾ (walden wil)SANTANA JR 123 30.00 86.01  
 
KEE-10   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
:221 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUIRE CREEK 1 6 11 11   11(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.20 31% 2.20 0.61 W
BLUE LIGHT 4 1 42 21   22(asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 12% 7.30 3.96 P
DEER DISTRICT 3 7 32 4   43 3(romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 11.98 S
GILCREASE 2 5 21 3   33 4(stall m)LANERIE J 118 2.50 30% 2.30 5.09  
UNCLE HEADLEY 5 4 53 5   55 57 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00 52.46  
NOTAH 8 3 64 6   67 68 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 24.00  
FROG TOWN 6 8 8 7   78 710½ (claire alexi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 17.93  
LIBERTANGO 7 2 7 811½   815 825½ (catalano wayne)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00 58.27  
 
KEE-11   04/08/2023 5940ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
:233 :471 1:12 1:361   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPERATION TORCH 3 4 43 4 44 1½ 1(mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.46 W
MY BOY TONY 4 3 3 3 3 32(kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 16.61  
DECANTED 8 5 11 1 11 2½ 3(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 16.31  
MONDEGO (GB) 1 2 7 6 56 44(clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 31% 2.20 2.12  
LINCOLN HIGHWAY 7 11 10 1015 910 69 55 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 45.87  
HE'S GOT SWAGGER 6 8 9 913 1011½ 810½ 6(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 5% 19.00 6.01  
WIMHOF 2 1 5 58 6 57(thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 20.00 11.50  
12  AUGUSTUS BLUE 12 6 86 812½ 8 1011½ 811 (kerrick lacy)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 ######  
REGIMENTAL 5 10 11 1118 1114½ 1113½ 913 (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00 26.21  
FIXITWITHFORWARD 9 7 6 710½ 78 71015 (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 ######  
10  SCAT TU TAP 10 9 21 2 21 911 1115¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 41.00  
11  COLLIER'S TIME 11 12 1212¾ 1221 1220½ 1222½ 1226¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 33.21  
SCR  GETTLEMAN               (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  JUST SO               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE               (curtsinger marv)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
SCR  ROYAL SANDRIN               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.