Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Saturday - April 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-3   Win (5/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (2/3/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (3/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-8   Win (8/3/12/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (1/10/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-11   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALO OF FIRE Jan25 Mar17 Feb23     (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
CUPIDS PAYDAY Feb23 Feb08 Nov03 Oct01   (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
ONLY TIME Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 Jan14 Dec28 (brownfield cla)RAMOS D 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
PROUD FOOT Mar11 Feb26 Jun18 Jun04 May01 (schultz lindsay)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
GIN N SIN Mar11 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Nov20 (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
AZUL TEQUILA Mar09 Dec29       (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 15.00    
CHI TOWN HEAT Mar09 Feb01 Jan01 Dec02 Oct21 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
SCR  KOTYLE Mar15 Feb15       (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
MS HAYLEY Mar11 Feb19 Jan27 Nov10 Oct01 (hiles rick)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
10  SOCIAL MANDATE Feb22 Jan18 Dec29 Nov27 Nov10 (hancock jo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50    
11  LUCY JANE Nov11 Oct01 Feb11 Jan14   (reavis micha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  MISS FOXANN Aug19 Jul02 Jun05 May14 Mar25 (chavez manuel)CRUZ JOHN 124 30.00    
13  SUPER RENEE Feb19 Nov26 Oct23 Oct07 Aug25 (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50    
SCR  HOT ANNA Mar09 Feb22 Aug04 Jun29 May20 (baker james)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
 
KEE-2   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULLIKIN Feb18         (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
ACCIDENT Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 Dec16 (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
DUAL MONARCHY Mar04 Feb02 Jan05 Dec03   (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
HOME RUN HANK         (williamson br)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
REGAL REY Mar11 Feb17       (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
WICKED AGAIN Mar02         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
LE BAR         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
BETTERA Feb18         (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
JUST A PHOTO         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
10  EQUIVOQUE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
 
KEE-3   04/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN BEAR Mar18 Dec10 Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 118 15.00    
SKY AND SAND Mar16 Sep14 Aug14 Jul17 Jun05 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
JEOPARDY THEORY Nov11 Oct05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul09 (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
WILLTORUN Feb25 Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct16 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
MAMBA ON THREE Mar04 Jan19 Nov27 Oct30 Sep16 (david carlos)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
DIAMOND CITY Mar30 Mar10 Feb10 Jan06 Dec10 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
TIGHTROPE Feb25 Jan27 Dec17 Nov27 Apr09 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 118 4.50    
IBRIM Feb10 Apr17 Mar02     (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 12% 7.30    
AWESOME AARON Mar18 Jan01 Dec16 Nov17 Nov02 (green troy)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
10  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 Dec16 Nov19 (cowans willi)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  STONEVICIOUS Mar18 Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 Dec17 (foster eric)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
12  KANTHARI Feb19 Dec16       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  AGENT PETER GRAVES Mar04 Jan19 Dec24 Oct23 Jun22 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  LET MY PEOPLE GO Dec02 Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
SCR  OUR SHOT Mar03 Jan19 May20 Mar29 Feb03 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
SCR  FITZPATRICK Feb25 Jun19 May21 Apr28 Mar05 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
KEE-4   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNEEDEEPINSNOW Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 Jun11 (shirer matt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 12.30    
SIR ALFRED JAMES Mar19 Mar07 Feb18 Feb08 Jan29 (cash l)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 10% 9.30    
DASH ATTACK May14 Apr16 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 (mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
MANNY WAH Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov05 Oct07 (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
THREE TECHNIQUE Nov05 Oct01 Jul04 Jun05 May07 (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 3.50    
FORTIN HILL Nov05 Sep14 Jul17 May22 Apr02 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 26% 2.90    
STEINBECK Mar19 Feb26 Feb10 Dec27 Dec14 (cash l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
CHASING TIME Feb25 Feb05 Aug14 Jul17 Jun11 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00    
 
KEE-5   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Commonwealth Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOIST THE GOLD Feb18 Dec26 Nov21 Oct22 Sep21 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
NAKATOMI Mar04 Dec26 Nov05 Sep24 Jun26 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
GET HER NUMBER Mar11 Jan28 Dec03 Nov20 Aug27 (miller peter)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 19% 4.40    
HEART RHYTHM Mar09 Jan14 Dec26 Nov24 Oct19 (ortiz alexand)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
LEGIONNAIRE Feb22 Nov09 Oct12 Aug13 Jul16 (drury j)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SPANKSTER Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 Dec11 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 118 30.00    
RUN CLASSIC Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Nov13 Oct16 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 13% 6.50    
PRO OXIDANT Feb12 Dec29 Nov04 Sep17 Aug13 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
HERE MI SONG Mar11 Feb04 Dec17 Nov11 Oct19 (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
10  LONG RANGE TODDY Feb18 Dec10 Nov13 Oct07 Sep23 (stewart dalla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
 
KEE-6   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC13 GOOD Appalachian Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Mar11 Feb05 Dec09 Aug14   (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
PAPILIO (IRE) Mar04         (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
CAIRO CONSORT Mar04 Feb04 Jan07 Nov04 Sep17 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
HEAVENLY SUNDAY Feb04 Oct28 Sep27     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 10% 8.90    
ALPHA BELLA Mar11 Feb04 Dec11 Oct30 Oct02 (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Nov04 Oct01 Sep01 Jul31   (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
PLEASANT PASSAGE Nov04 Oct01 Aug21     (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
SABALENKA Nov20 Oct07 Sep13 Aug03   (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
WELL INTO Mar12 Jan22 Dec11     (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 FAST Madison Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL MOMENTS Oct21 Sep24 Sep05 Jun03 May06 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
GOODNIGHT OLIVE Nov05 Aug28 Aug07 Jun23   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 0.40 46% 1.20    
SOCIETY Nov05 Sep24 Aug26 Jul23 Jun18 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
YUUGIRI Feb25 Dec30 May06 Apr02 Feb26 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
MARYQUITECONTRARY Jan28 Dec31 Oct16 Sep10 Aug19 (mcgaughey claude )PANICI LUCA 123 6.00    
 
KEE-8   04/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC13 GOOD Shakertown Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY UNLEASHED Feb17 Jan01 Dec01 Oct07 Sep10 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
MARK OF THE Z Dec03 Oct28 Oct07 Aug20 Jul13 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 122 20.00    
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Jul21 Jul04 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
BAKERS BAY Mar23 Feb17 Jan18 Dec16 Sep13 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00    
MISTER MMMMM Mar05 Feb11 Jan06 Nov07 Oct15 (catalano m)LANERIE J 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
ALL IN SYNC Feb18 Oct08 Sep10 Aug07 Jul10 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
NOBLE EMOTION Oct27 Oct08 Aug27 Jul29 Jun19 (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
CARAVEL Nov05 Oct16 Sep19 Aug20 Jul23 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
BAD BEAT BRIAN Mar11 Jan18 Dec16 Oct08 Sep13 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
10  OCEANIC Nov05 Oct08 Sep06 Aug07 Jul13 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
11  STITCHED Sep10 Jun22 May18 Apr30 Mar25 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 30.00    
12  ARREST ME RED Nov05 Sep10 Jun11 May06 Mar19 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  NOBODY LISTENS Mar11 Jan06 Nov23 Oct31 Oct05 (eggleston tim)RAMOS D 122 20.00 8% 12.00    
 
KEE-9   04/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Toyota Blue Grass Purse ($1000K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT TRICE Mar11 Feb04 Dec17 Nov06   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
CLEAR THE AIR Mar04 Feb11 Jan06 Aug28   (walden wil)SANTANA JR 123 30.00    
VERIFYING Feb25 Jan14 Nov04 Oct01 Aug27 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00    
CLASSIC CAR WASH Mar11 Feb11 Jan06 Dec02 Jul02 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 13% 6.80    
HAYES STRIKE Mar18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 Oct30 (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 123 15.00    
SCOOBIE QUANDO Mar04 Feb11 Jan07     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUN THUNDER Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 (mcpeek kenneth)GEROUX FLORENT 123 10.00    
BLAZING SEVENS Mar04 Nov04 Oct01 Sep05 Jul24 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00    
MAJOR BLUE Mar23 Mar11 Feb18 Sep29   (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 123 30.00    
10  RAISE CAIN Mar04 Jan21 Dec26 Oct29 Oct09 (colebrook ben)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
11  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH Mar09 Feb02       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
 
KEE-10   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUIRE CREEK Mar02         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.20 31% 2.20    
GILCREASE Feb25 Aug07       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
DEER DISTRICT Nov26 Oct09 Sep14 Aug12 Jun30 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
BLUE LIGHT Mar11         (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
UNCLE HEADLEY Mar09 Feb10 Jan19 Dec22 Sep03 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00    
FROG TOWN Feb20 Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 Nov03 (claire alexi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
LIBERTANGO Feb17 Jan13 Nov19     (catalano wayne)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00    
NOTAH Feb12 Jan14 Jun18     (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
 
KEE-11   04/08/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONDEGO (GB) Feb18         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
WIMHOF Mar17         (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 20.00    
OPERATION TORCH Mar03         (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
MY BOY TONY Mar10         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
REGIMENTAL Nov26 Sep10       (arnold r)PANICI LUCA 120 20.00    
HE'S GOT SWAGGER Feb25 Feb03       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
LINCOLN HIGHWAY         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
DECANTED Feb10 Nov18 Oct16 Sep14 Sep01 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
FIXITWITHFORWARD Jan28 Dec02       (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
10  SCAT TU TAP Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Nov18 Oct23 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00    
11  COLLIER'S TIME Dec31 Nov19 Oct07     (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
12  AUGUSTUS BLUE Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 Oct18 Sep11 (kerrick lacy)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
SCR  ROYAL SANDRIN Mar10 Feb24 Jan20     (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUST SO Feb04         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  GETTLEMAN Mar19         (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE Mar25 Feb24 Feb01 Jan20 Jan05 (curtsinger marv)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.