Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $10.82  
KEE-2   Win (2/11/8/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $13.78 $13.78 3.78
KEE-3   Win (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $11.04 $11.04 3.04
KEE-4   Win (2/6/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $30.74 $30.74 22.74
KEE-5   Win (14/15/1/13/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 1 $20.34 $20.34 10.34
KEE-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.44 $3.44  
KEE-7   Win (3/4/1/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $7.38 $7.38  
KEE-8   Win (9/2/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $98.90 $98.90 88.90
KEE-9   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $20.84 $20.84 14.84
KEE-10   Win (8/10/14/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.18 $6.18  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEET CHERRY PIE 2 6 2nk 1½   12 12¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 ★ 4.41  
8  GLOBAL STAGE 8 3 4¾ 2½   22 22¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.00 44% 1.30 0.83 P
5  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) 5 1 1nk 3½   33½ 37¾ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 32% 2.10 3.47 S
6  NASTY HABIT 6 2 3½ 45   46 410 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 15.00 9.30  
1  FOREVER COOL 1 8 52¼ 55½   56 510½ (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 20.00 52.32  
4  BROKENHEARTED 4 4 63¼ 66   68 612¼ (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00 38.75  
7  ICEATUDE 7 5 74¼ 76¼   78½ 712¾ (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 125 30.00 80.16  
3  REDEMPTION TIME 3 7 84¼ 86¾   810½ 820¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 ★ 10.96  
 
KEE-2   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INSOLITO 5 3 11 2½   11 13¼ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 125 15.00 5% 19.00 5.89 W
3  RIVOLI 3 5 43 43   33½ 23¼ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00 7% 12.50 14.26 P
8  TALKIN PHAROAH 7 4 21 1½   21 34 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 11% 8.00 2.78 S
1  ST. ELMO 1 9 96¾ 79   68½ 44 (mccarthy michael)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 6.38  
12  MASK PATROL 10 1 63¼ 32½   45½ 57 (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 4.94  
2  COLLECT FROM IKE 2 6 32½ 55½   57 68¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 39% 1.60 6.79  
10  HEY RIVER 9 7 86¼ 910½   913½ 715¼ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 47.18  
9  NORTHWIND 8 2 53 68½   712 815½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 4.13  
5  LITTLE STEVEN 4 8 75¼ 89½   813 918¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 20.00 30.79  
7  ALL JOKES ASIDE 6 10 107¼ 1010½   1015½ 1023¼ (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 26.08  
SCR  BOURBON FEVER               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  WITH PURPOSE               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 18% 4.70    
 
KEE-3   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 2 4 31½ 21   11 13 (habeeb j)LANERIE J 120 3.00 34% 2.00 4.52 W
8  KEY TO SUCCESS 7 8 86¾ 74½   44 23 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 ★ 9.97 P
5  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 4 5 42½ 32½   33½ 33 (danner dou)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00 11.73  
10  TELL ME WHEN 9 1 11½ 11   21 43½ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 9.07  
1  FRIGID LADY 1 7 63¼ 43   55 56½ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 31% 2.30 1.63  
4  MEAN SUE 3 6 74¾ 85½   67½ 69¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.23  
9  MISS TAPPY TONE 8 9 98¾ 99   79½ 712 (hartman chris)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 16.96  
6  CHASING AFTER YOU 5 2 21½ 53   810 815 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 13.28  
7  BLAME IT ON PARIS 6 3 53 63½   912½ 920 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00 9.26  
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER               (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
 
KEE-4   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:133 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HE'S A ANGEL 3 1 32½ 52¾ 42 32½ 1¾ (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 8% 10.80 14.37 W
2  COACH PETRO 2 5 2½ 2nk 1½ 2nk 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 48% 1.10 1.89 P
9  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS 9 8 85¼ 74¼ 53 43½ 32¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 10.00 7.22  
6  BON BUENO 6 4 63¼ 31½ 2½ 1nk 43 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.50 15% 5.70 1.47  
8  PACE 8 7 109¼ 109¾ 1111½ 78¾ 55¾ (londono odin)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 75.12  
11  NAVY CROSS 11 12 1112¾ 1110¾ 910 67¾ 66¾ (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00 50.72  
1  EMERGENCY RESPONSE 1 2 1½ 1nk 31 57½ 718¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00 ★ 13.19  
12  TEXAS TED 12 9 96¾ 94¾ 1010½ 912¾ 819½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 35.44  
7  NOBLE CONNECTION 7 6 52¾ 63¼ 65½ 812¼ 922¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 22.48  
5  LUCKY'S LANE 5 11 1213¼ 1212¼ 1214½ 1015¼ 1023½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 94.14  
4  ELECTROMAGNETIC 4 3 42½ 42½ 89 1217¾ 1129½ (castillo rich)BLANCHE RISHAWN 116 30.00 39.38  
10  CLOSE KNIT 10 10 74¾ 84¾ 79 1116¾ 1233 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 12.00 8% 11.20 20.51  
 
KEE-5   04/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12 1:361   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 11 10 106½ 104¼ 74¾ 44½ 1½ (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 7% 13.60 9.17 W
1  MRS. ASTOR 1 2 72¾ 72¾ 54 23 2½ (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 7% 13.30 1.76 P
3  SAFEEN 3 3 1½ 1½ 12 13 3½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 6% 15.30 8.84 S
10  MALLEYMOO 8 8 93½ 93¾ 85¼ 34½ 4¾ (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 8.24  
11  STRIKINGLY SPUN 9 11 118½ 116¾ 118¼ 86¾ 51½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 17.65  
6  WONDERFULL LADY (FR) 5 9 83¼ 83¾ 96¼ 56 66 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 4.11  
2  MADEMOISELLEJACKIE 2 1 61¾ 42 42½ 66¼ 710½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 7.77  
8  KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF 7 6 2½ 31 32 76¼ 812 (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 9.05  
7  EMBRACE ME 6 5 3½ 2½ 22 910¾ 916½ (albertrani )LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 52.81  
4  C C CRUISE CONTROL 4 4 4¾ 62½ 106¾ 1012¾ 1018¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 44.99  
12  AROUND THE SUN 10 7 5¾ 52½ 64¼ 1116¾ 1126 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 56.27  
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
SCR  ESSAOUIRA               (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  JENNY LIND               (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SCR  VENENCIA (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
KEE-6   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE 1 3 52¼ 42 51¾ 3½ 12 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 37% 1.70 0.72 W
3  SHE'S KEEN 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 22 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 13.11  
4  ACADEMIC HONOR 4 5 21 31 3½ 2½ 32¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11.75  
5  INVENTING 5 4 62¾ 52½ 41½ 41½ 42½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 24% 3.10 2.33  
2  BEACHFRONT BID 2 2 31 2½ 2½ 54½ 59½ (albertrani )LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 ★ 17.92  
6  MYTOWN MYRULES 6 6 42 62½ 63¾ 66½ 614 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 8.19  
 
KEE-7   04/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM FanDuel Limestone Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:212 :443 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) 3 2 73¾ 86   31½ 1½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 22% 3.50 2.69 W
11  LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB) 11 5 52½ 43   2nk 2½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 3.23  
2  MY SWEET AFFAIR 2 8 95¼ 96½   63¼ 31 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 7% 12.40 9.90 S
8  AMERICAN APPLE 8 6 84¾ 75   83¾ 42¼ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 20.92  
1  SASSY NATURE 1 3 42½ 54½   41¾ 52¼ (mendez luis)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 16% 5.30 6.54  
6  JUST A CARE (IRE) 6 7 63½ 64½   73¼ 62½ (arnold george )CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 6.85  
4  ACCOMPLISHED GIRL 4 4 1½ 11   1nk 73¼ (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 6.00 17% 4.70 5.36  
5  STONE SILENT 5 10 31½ 32½   52¾ 84¾ (sadler john )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00 43.79  
9  CAMP AKEELA 9 9 106¼ 107   106 96 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 ######  
10  TWIRLED 10 1 2½ 21   94 106¾ (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 30.00 46.88  
7  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) 7 11 1123¼ 1122   1121 1120¾ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 11.88  
SCR  DANSE MACABRE               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
 
KEE-8   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PRAISE AND HONOR 7 1 32 3.2   2nk 1nk (wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00 48.45 W
7  CHEETARA (CHI) 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2nk (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 9% 10.40 13.77 P
9  CHI TOWN LADY 8 7 87¼ 65¼   44 3¾ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 26% 2.80 1.79 S
1  BE LIKE WATER 1 5 75¼ 86¼   54½ 41 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00 24.15  
2  TRAVEL COLUMN 2 3 1½ 1nk   31½ 56 (lobo h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 20% 4.00 1.21  
6  SECRETLY WICKED 5 4 54 53¾   76¾ 68¼ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 84.77  
4  RICHEBOURG 3 6 42 41¾   64¾ 78¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6.69  
5  NOVEL SQUALL 4 8 65 75¾   87¼ 812¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 7.88  
SCR  MY DESTINY               (wilensky herma)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
KEE-9   04/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM Maker's Mark Mile Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:104 1:22   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHEZ PIERRE (FR) 3 1 11 22 2½ 12 13½ (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 9% 9.70 9.42 W
7  MODERN GAMES (IRE) 7 5 46½ 47½ 46½ 46 23½ (appleby charl)BUICK T 123 0.60 39% 1.50 0.45 P
2  UP TO THE MARK 2 3 57 59½ 68½ 57½ 33¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5.39  
8  CABO SPIRIT 8 4 33 34 33 33 45 (papaprodromou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 20.00 52.12  
1  SPEAKING SCOUT 1 6 78½ 711 57 610 510 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 20.66  
5  DR ZEMPF (GB) 5 2 21 12 1½ 22 610½ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 ★ 14.48  
4  EMMANUEL 4 8 89½ 812½ 811 711½ 710¾ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 25% 3.00 8.74  
6  IN LOVE (BRZ) 6 7 68 610½ 79½ 811½ 815¼ (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 30.00 46.47  
 
KEE-10   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:142 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BOURBON RESOLVE 8 3 32 31 3½ 21 1½ (wilkes r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.09 W
1  MR MCGREGOR 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 2½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 6.89  
10  TSHIEBWE 9 7 53½ 52½ 41 32½ 32¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 21% 3.80 2.75 S
3  PURSUIT OF POWER 3 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 43 44½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 6.63  
11  LUNA VIEJA 10 6 75¼ 84¼ 63¼ 55½ 55 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 62.09  
2  FIGHT'N READY 2 2 43½ 41½ 53 67½ 68¾ (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 8.61  
5  EARL OF DASSEL 5 10 88¾ 74 75¼ 710½ 715½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 30.76  
7  ST. JOHN'S 7 8 1010¼ 97¼ 912¼ 919 823 (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 ★ 5.60  
4  IM A MODEST MAN 4 5 65 63 85¼ 817½ 924 (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 73.31  
6  MADDON 6 9 98¾ 109¾ 1016¼ 1024 1032 (maker michael)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 20.00 35.68  
SCR  ARTWELL               (danner kelsey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  FURIOUS ANGER               (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
SCR  JOR EL               (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 110 20.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN SUNSET               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.