Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-2   WIN (2/11/8/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $13.78 $3.78 38%
    EXA (2/11/8/3/6)-(2/11/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-3 $94.27 $74.27 371%
    TRI (2/11/8/3/6)-(2/11/8/3/6)-(2/11/8/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-3-8 $201.93 $171.93 573%
KEE-3   WIN (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.04 $3.04 38%
    EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-8 $42.40 $26.40 165%
    DD (2/11/8/3/6)-(3/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-3 $44.50 $24.50 123%
KEE-4   WIN (2/6/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $30.74 $22.74 284%
    EXA (2/6/3/10)-(2/6/3/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-2 $64.07 $48.07 300%
    DD (3/1/2/4)-(2/6/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-3 $76.80 $60.80 380%
    PK3 (2/11/8/3/6)-(3/1/2/4)-(2/6/3/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00  6-3-3 $397.81 $357.81 895%
KEE-5   WIN (14/15/1/13/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  13 $20.34 $10.34 103%
    EXA (14/15/1/13/3)-(14/15/1/13/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  13-1 $38.59 $18.59 93%
    DD (2/6/3/10)-(14/15/1/13/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-13 $132.15 $112.15 561%
    PK3 (3/1/2/4)-(2/6/3/10)-(14/15/1/13/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  3-3-13 $386.01 $346.01 865%
    PK4 (2/11/8/3/6)-(3/1/2/4)-(2/6/3/10)-(14/15/1/13/3) 400 $0.50 $200  6-3-3-13 $3925 $3725 1863%
KEE-6   PK3 (2/6/3/10)-(14/15/1/13/3)-(1/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00  3-13-1 $200.41 $180.41 902%
KEE-8   WIN (9/2/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $98.90 $88.90 889%
    EXA (9/2/3/7/8)-(9/2/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-7 $499.28 $479.28 2396%
    TRI (9/2/3/7/8)-(9/2/3/7/8)-(9/2/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-7-9 $874.94 $844.94 2816%
    DD (3/4/1/12/2)-(9/2/3/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00  3-8 $397.56 $372.56 1490%
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/4/1/12/2)-(9/2/3/7/8) 50 $0.50 $25.00  1-3-8 $439.52 $414.52 1658%
KEE-9   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $20.84 $14.84 247%
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-7 $22.73 $13.73 153%
    DD (9/2/3/7/8)-(7/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  8-3 $445.56 $430.56 2870%
    PK3 (3/4/1/12/2)-(9/2/3/7/8)-(7/4/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50  3-8-3 $1858 $1821 4856%
KEE-10   DD (7/4/3)-(8/10/14/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $42.56 $30.56 255%
    PK3 (9/2/3/7/8)-(7/4/3)-(8/10/14/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-3-8 $1537 $1507 5027%
    PK4 (3/4/1/12/2)-(9/2/3/7/8)-(7/4/3)-(8/10/14/13) 300 $0.50 $150  3/12-8-3-8/9/12/13/14 $46915 $46765 31177%
    PK5 (1/5)-(3/4/1/12/2)-(9/2/3/7/8)-(7/4/3)-(8/10/14/13) 600 $0.50 $300  1-3/12-8-3-8/9/12/13/14 $624.91 $324.91 108%
    PK5 (1/5)-(3/4/1/12/2)-(9/2/3/7/8)-(7/4/3)-(8/10/14/13) 600 $0.50 $300  1-3/12-8-3-8/9/12/13/14 $94457 $94157 31386%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET CHERRY PIE   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.41  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SWEET CAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
GLOBAL STAGE   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.00 44% 1.30 0.83 P
  (by STREET SENSE out of TAKE A MEMO by EMPIRE MAKER)
CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE)   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 32% 2.10 3.47 S
  (by LORD NELSON out of GOLDRUSH GIRL by GOLD TRIBUTE)
NASTY HABIT   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 15.00 9.30  
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
FOREVER COOL   (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 20.00 52.32  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BOY CRAZY by SKY MESA)
BROKENHEARTED   (colebrook )GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00 38.75  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of HEARTBROKEN HILL by BROKEN VOW)
ICEATUDE   (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 125 30.00 80.16  
  (by KEEN ICE out of A LITTLE ATTITUDE by SUMMER BIRD)
REDEMPTION TIME   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 10.96  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of A JEALOUS WOMAN by MUQTARIB)
 
KEE-2   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSOLITO   (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 125 15.00 5% 19.00 5.89 W
RIVOLI   (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00 7% 12.50 14.26 P
TALKIN PHAROAH   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 11% 8.00 2.78 S
ST. ELMO   (mccarthy micha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 6.38  
12  MASK PATROL   (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 4.94  
COLLECT FROM IKE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 39% 1.60 6.79  
10  HEY RIVER   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 47.18  
NORTHWIND   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 4.13  
LITTLE STEVEN   (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 20.00 30.79  
ALL JOKES ASIDE   (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 26.08  
SCR  BOURBON FEVER   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  WITH PURPOSE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 18% 4.70    
 
KEE-3   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH   (habeeb j)LANERIE J 120 3.00 34% 2.00 4.52 W
KEY TO SUCCESS   (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 9.97 P
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY   (danner d)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00 11.73  
10  TELL ME WHEN   (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 9.07  
FRIGID LADY   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 31% 2.30 1.63  
MEAN SUE   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.23  
MISS TAPPY TONE   (hartman chris)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 16.96  
CHASING AFTER YOU   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 13.28  
BLAME IT ON PARIS   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00 9.26  
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
 
KEE-4   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A ANGEL   (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 8% 10.80 14.37 W
COACH PETRO   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 48% 1.10 1.89 P
HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 10.00 7.22  
BON BUENO   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.50 15% 5.70 1.47  
PACE   (londono od)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 75.12  
11  NAVY CROSS   (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00 50.72  
EMERGENCY RESPONSE   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00 13.19  
12  TEXAS TED   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 35.44  
NOBLE CONNECTION   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 22.48  
LUCKY'S LANE   (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 94.14  
ELECTROMAGNETIC   (castillo ri)BLANCHE RISHAWN 116 30.00 39.38  
10  CLOSE KNIT   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 12.00 8% 11.20 20.51  
 
KEE-5   04/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY   (mcgaughey)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 7% 13.60 9.17 W
MRS. ASTOR   (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 7% 13.30 1.76 P
SAFEEN   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 6% 15.30 8.84 S
10  MALLEYMOO   (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 8.24  
11  STRIKINGLY SPUN   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 17.65  
WONDERFULL LADY (FR)   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 4.11  
MADEMOISELLEJACKIE   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 7.77  
KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF   (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 9.05  
EMBRACE ME   (albertran)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 52.81  
C C CRUISE CONTROL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 44.99  
12  AROUND THE SUN   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 56.27  
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
SCR  ESSAOUIRA   (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  JENNY LIND   (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SCR  VENENCIA (FR)   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
KEE-6   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 37% 1.70 0.72 W
SHE'S KEEN   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 13.11  
ACADEMIC HONOR   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11.75  
INVENTING   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 24% 3.10 2.33  
BEACHFRONT BID   (albertran)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 17.92  
MYTOWN MYRULES   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 8.19  
 
KEE-7   04/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM FanDuel Limestone Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE REIGNS (IRE)   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 22% 3.50 2.69 W
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB)   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 3.23  
  (by HAVANA GREY (GB) out of DUBAI LEGEND by CADEAUX GENEREUX (GB))
MY SWEET AFFAIR   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 7% 12.40 9.90 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ILLICIT AFFAIR by ROMANTICO)
AMERICAN APPLE   (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 20.92  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MISS MARY APPLES by CLEVER TRICK)
SASSY NATURE   (mendez lu)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 16% 5.30 6.54  
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of RENEE'S QUEEN by AFTER MARKET)
JUST A CARE (IRE)   (arnold georg)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 6.85  
  (by AUSTRALIA out of GREATER GOOD by INTIDAB)
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 6.00 17% 4.70 5.36  
  (by STREET BOSS out of DAZZLE by SLEWACIDE)
STONE SILENT   (sadler joh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00 43.79  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TRAVELATOR by A. P JET)
CAMP AKEELA   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 ######  
  (by LAOBAN out of TREE CHOPPER by WOODMAN)
10  TWIRLED   (asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 30.00 46.88  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KEY D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ALLURING ANGEL (GB)   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 11.88  
  (by FASTNET ROCK out of ALL OF ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  DANSE MACABRE   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SYLPHIDE by BLAME)
 
KEE-8   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAISE AND HONOR   (wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00 48.45 W
CHEETARA (CHI)   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 9% 10.40 13.77 P
CHI TOWN LADY   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 26% 2.80 1.79 S
BE LIKE WATER   (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00 24.15  
TRAVEL COLUMN   (lobo h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 20% 4.00 1.21  
SECRETLY WICKED   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 84.77  
RICHEBOURG   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6.69  
NOVEL SQUALL   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 7.88  
SCR  MY DESTINY   (wilensky her)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
KEE-9   04/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM Maker's Mark Mile Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEZ PIERRE (FR)   (delacour arnau)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 9% 9.70 9.42 W
  (by MEHMAS out of HORTENSIA by ORPEN)
MODERN GAMES (IRE)   (appleby cha)BUICK T 123 0.60 39% 1.50 0.45 P
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of MODERN IDEALS by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
UP TO THE MARK   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5.39  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BELLE'S FINALE by GHOSTZAPPER)
CABO SPIRIT   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 20.00 52.12  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
SPEAKING SCOUT   (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 20.66  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS SCOUT by PLEASANT TAP)
DR ZEMPF (GB)   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 14.48  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SOUVENIR DELONDRES by SIYOUNI (FR))
EMMANUEL   (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 25% 3.00 8.74  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HARD CLOTH by HARD SPUN)
IN LOVE (BRZ)   (lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 30.00 46.47  
  (by AGNES GOLD (JPN) out of LAST BET by KNOW HEIGHTS (IRE))
 
KEE-10   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON RESOLVE   (wilkes ian)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.09 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of ALL METTLE by TOUCH GOLD)
MR MCGREGOR   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 6.89  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SWEET BLISS by HUNTING HARD)
10  TSHIEBWE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 21% 3.80 2.75 S
  (by RACE DAY out of DIVINE FRIENDS by DIVINE PARK)
PURSUIT OF POWER   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 6.63  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DISTORTED LIES by SMART STRIKE)
11  LUNA VIEJA   (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 62.09  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of COLONIAL EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
FIGHT'N READY   (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 8.61  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
EARL OF DASSEL   (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 30.76  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DR. MELFI by FREUD)
ST. JOHN'S   (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 5.60  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FORTRESS by RAHY)
IM A MODEST MAN   (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 73.31  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PISH POSH by MUTAKDDIM)
MADDON   (maker micha)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 20.00 35.68  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of MISS HETTY by CONGRATS)
SCR  ARTWELL   (danner kels)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of NOT TAKEN by ARCH)
SCR  FURIOUS ANGER   (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BLOSSOM SPECIAL by INTELLO)
SCR  JOR EL   (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 110 20.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of SARA'S CAPE by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  SOUTHERN SUNSET   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ARI THE ADVENTURER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.