The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Friday - April 14, 2023

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KEE-1   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:223 :454 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET CHERRY PIE 2 6 2nk 1½   12 1(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.41  
GLOBAL STAGE 8 3 4¾ 2½   22 2(cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.00 44% 1.30 0.83 P
CAPE TRAFALGAR 5 1 1nk 3½   33(joseph a)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 32% 2.10 3.47 S
NASTY HABIT 6 2 3½ 45   46 410 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 15.00 9.30  
FOREVER COOL 1 8 5 5   56 510½ (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 20.00 52.32  
BROKENHEARTED 4 4 6 66   68 612¼ (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00 38.75  
ICEATUDE 7 5 7 7   7712¾ (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 125 30.00 80.16  
REDEMPTION TIME 3 7 8 8   810½ 820¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 10.96  
 
KEE-2   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
:221 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSOLITO 5 3 11 2½   11 1(estvanko richard)MOJICA O 125 15.00 5% 19.00 5.89 W
RIVOLI 3 5 43 43   32(west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00 7% 12.50 14.26 P
TALKIN PHAROAH 7 4 21 1½   21 34 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 11% 8.00 2.78 S
ST. ELMO 1 9 9 79   644 (mccarthy michael)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 6.38  
12  MASK PATROL 10 1 6 3   457 (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 4.94  
COLLECT FROM IKE 2 6 3 5   57 6(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 39% 1.60 6.79  
10  HEY RIVER 9 7 8 910½   913½ 715¼ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 47.18  
NORTHWIND 8 2 53 6   712 815½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 4.13  
LITTLE STEVEN 4 8 7 8   813 918¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 20.00 30.79  
ALL JOKES ASIDE 6 10 10 1010½   1015½ 1023¼ (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 26.08  
SCR  BOURBON FEVER               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  WITH PURPOSE               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 18% 4.70    
 
KEE-3   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 2:04
:222 :454 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 2 4 3 21   11 13 (habeeb j)LANERIE J 120 3.00 34% 2.00 4.52 W
KEY TO SUCCESS 7 8 8 7   44 23 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 9.97 P
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 4 5 4 3   333 (danner dou)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00 11.73  
10  TELL ME WHEN 9 1 1 11   21 4(hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 9.07  
FRIGID LADY 1 7 6 43   55 5(maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 31% 2.30 1.63  
MEAN SUE 3 6 7 8   66(tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.23  
MISS TAPPY TONE 8 9 9 99   7712 (hartman chris)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 16.96  
CHASING AFTER YOU 5 2 2 53   810 815 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 13.28  
BLAME IT ON PARIS 6 3 53 6   912½ 920 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00 9.26  
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER               (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
 
KEE-4   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:233 :481 1:133 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A ANGEL 3 1 3 5 42 31¾ (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 8% 10.80 14.37 W
COACH PETRO 2 5 2½ 2nk 1½ 2nk 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 48% 1.10 1.89 P
HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS 9 8 8 7 53 43(hiles a)LANERIE J 118 10.00 7.22  
BON BUENO 6 4 6 3 2½ 1nk 43 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.50 15% 5.70 1.47  
PACE 8 7 10 10 1111½ 75(londono odin)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 75.12  
11  NAVY CROSS 11 12 1112¾ 1110¾ 910 66(engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00 50.72  
EMERGENCY RESPONSE 1 2 1½ 1nk 31 5718¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00 13.19  
12  TEXAS TED 12 9 9 9 1010½ 912¾ 819½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 35.44  
NOBLE CONNECTION 7 6 5 6 6 812¼ 922¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 22.48  
LUCKY'S LANE 5 11 1213¼ 1212¼ 1214½ 1015¼ 1023½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 94.14  
ELECTROMAGNETIC 4 3 4 4 89 1217¾ 1129½ (castillo rich)BLANCHE RISHAWN 116 30.00 39.38  
10  CLOSE KNIT 10 10 7 8 79 1116¾ 1233 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 12.00 8% 11.20 20.51  
 
KEE-5   04/14/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
:232 :471 1:12 1:361   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 11 10 10 10 7 41½ (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 7% 13.60 9.17 W
MRS. ASTOR 1 2 7 7 54 23 2½ (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 7% 13.30 1.76 P
SAFEEN 3 3 1½ 1½ 12 13 3½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 6% 15.30 8.84 S
10  MALLEYMOO 8 8 9 9 8 34¾ (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 8.24  
11  STRIKINGLY SPUN 9 11 11 11 11 85(sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 17.65  
WONDERFULL LADY (FR) 5 9 8 8 9 56 66 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 4.11  
MADEMOISELLEJACKIE 2 1 6 42 4 6710½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 7.77  
KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF 7 6 2½ 31 32 7812 (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 9.05  
EMBRACE ME 6 5 3½ 2½ 22 910¾ 916½ (albertrani )LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 52.81  
C C CRUISE CONTROL 4 4 4¾ 6 10 1012¾ 1018¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 44.99  
12  AROUND THE SUN 10 7 5¾ 5 6 1116¾ 1126 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 56.27  
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
SCR  ESSAOUIRA               (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  JENNY LIND               (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SCR  VENENCIA (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
KEE-6   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
:234 :48 1:131 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE 1 3 5 42 5 3½ 12 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 37% 1.70 0.72 W
SHE'S KEEN 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 22 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 13.11  
ACADEMIC HONOR 4 5 21 31 3½ 2½ 3(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11.75  
INVENTING 5 4 6 5 4 44(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 24% 3.10 2.33  
BEACHFRONT BID 2 2 31 2½ 2½ 55(albertrani )LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 17.92  
MYTOWN MYRULES 6 6 42 6 6 6614 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 8.19  
 
KEE-7   04/14/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM FanDuel Limestone Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:12
:212 :443 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE REIGNS (IRE) 3 2 7 86   31½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 22% 3.50 2.69 W
11  LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB) 11 5 5 43   2nk 2½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 3.23  
MY SWEET AFFAIR 2 8 9 9   631 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 7% 12.40 9.90 S
AMERICAN APPLE 8 6 8 75   84(leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 20.92  
SASSY NATURE 1 3 4 5   45(mendez luis)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 16% 5.30 6.54  
JUST A CARE (IRE) 6 7 6 6   76(arnold george )CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 6.85  
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL 4 4 1½ 11   1nk 7(joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 6.00 17% 4.70 5.36  
STONE SILENT 5 10 3 3   58(sadler john )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00 43.79  
CAMP AKEELA 9 9 10 107   106 96 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 ######  
10  TWIRLED 10 1 2½ 21   94 10(asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 30.00 46.88  
ALLURING ANGEL (GB) 7 11 1123¼ 1122   1121 1120¾ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 11.88  
SCR  DANSE MACABRE               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
 
KEE-8   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
:23 :461 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAISE AND HONOR 7 1 32 3.2   2nk 1nk (wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00 48.45 W
CHEETARA (CHI) 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2nk (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 9% 10.40 13.77 P
CHI TOWN LADY 8 7 8 6   44 3¾ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 26% 2.80 1.79 S
BE LIKE WATER 1 5 7 8   541 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00 24.15  
TRAVEL COLUMN 2 3 1½ 1nk   356 (lobo h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 20% 4.00 1.21  
SECRETLY WICKED 5 4 54 5   76(hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 84.77  
RICHEBOURG 3 6 42 4   67(walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6.69  
NOVEL SQUALL 4 8 65 7   8812¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 7.88  
SCR  MY DESTINY               (wilensky herma)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
KEE-9   04/14/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maker's Mark Mile Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
:233 :473 1:104 1:22   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEZ PIERRE (FR) 3 1 11 22 2½ 12 1(delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 9% 9.70 9.42 W
MODERN GAMES (IRE) 7 5 4 4 4 46 2(appleby charl)BUICK T 123 0.60 39% 1.50 0.45 P
UP TO THE MARK 2 3 57 5 6 53(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5.39  
CABO SPIRIT 8 4 33 34 33 33 45 (papaprodromou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 20.00 52.12  
SPEAKING SCOUT 1 6 7 711 57 610 510 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 20.66  
DR ZEMPF (GB) 5 2 21 12 1½ 22 610½ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 14.48  
EMMANUEL 4 8 8 812½ 811 711½ 710¾ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 25% 3.00 8.74  
IN LOVE (BRZ) 6 7 68 610½ 7 811½ 815¼ (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 30.00 46.47  
 
KEE-10   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
:233 :484 1:142 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON RESOLVE 8 3 32 31 3½ 21 1½ (wilkes r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.09 W
MR MCGREGOR 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 2½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 6.89  
10  TSHIEBWE 9 7 5 5 41 33(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 21% 3.80 2.75 S
PURSUIT OF POWER 3 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 43 4(asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 6.63  
11  LUNA VIEJA 10 6 7 8 6 555 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 62.09  
FIGHT'N READY 2 2 4 4 53 66(stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 8.61  
EARL OF DASSEL 5 10 8 74 7 710½ 715½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 30.76  
ST. JOHN'S 7 8 1010¼ 9 912¼ 919 823 (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 5.60  
IM A MODEST MAN 4 5 65 63 8 817½ 924 (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 73.31  
MADDON 6 9 9 10 1016¼ 1024 1032 (maker michael)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 20.00 35.68  
SCR  ARTWELL               (danner kelsey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  FURIOUS ANGER               (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
SCR  JOR EL               (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 110 20.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN SUNSET               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.