Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-2   Win (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (2/6/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (1/13/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-7   Win (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (9/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-10   Win (8/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER COOL Mar11         (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 125 20.00    
SWEET CHERRY PIE Mar04         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
REDEMPTION TIME Oct16 Sep18 Jul31     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00    
BROKENHEARTED Mar17 Feb11       (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00    
CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Nov19 Oct08 Apr14 Mar12   (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
NASTY HABIT         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 15.00    
ICEATUDE Dec31 Dec11 Nov13 Oct29 Sep22 (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 125 30.00    
GLOBAL STAGE Feb10         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.00 44% 1.30    
 
KEE-2   04/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. ELMO Dec29         (mccarthy michael)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
RIVOLI Feb24 Nov03 Sep22 Aug30   (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 5.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  BOURBON FEVER         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
LITTLE STEVEN Jan21 Dec16       (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
INSOLITO Mar17 Mar04 Jan26 Dec03 Nov23 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALL JOKES ASIDE         (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
TALKIN PHAROAH Aug07 Apr20       (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 11% 8.00    
NORTHWIND Feb03         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
10  HEY RIVER         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
SCR  WITH PURPOSE Feb04         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 18% 4.70    
12  MASK PATROL Jan22 Dec19 Feb19     (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50    
 
KEE-3   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIGID LADY Feb03 Jan12 Nov19 Oct22 Sep18 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER Apr01         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH Mar24 Feb23 Jan14 Sep22 Aug13 (habeeb j)LANERIE J 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
MEAN SUE Mar10 Jan04 Nov25 Oct26   (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY Mar04 Feb11 Jan04 Dec09 Nov19 (danner dou)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00    
CHASING AFTER YOU Mar10 Feb09 Jan11 Dec21   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
BLAME IT ON PARIS Mar02 Aug26 Jul31     (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00    
KEY TO SUCCESS Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 Dec31 Nov18 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
MISS TAPPY TONE Mar25 Feb23       (hartman chris)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
10  TELL ME WHEN Jan14 Nov26 Sep30 Sep01 Jul21 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
 
KEE-4   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERGENCY RESPONSE Mar11         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00    
COACH PETRO Dec16 Sep25 Aug20 Jul23   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
HE'S A ANGEL Mar16 Jan11 Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 8% 10.80    
ELECTROMAGNETIC Jan11 Nov03 Sep18     (castillo rich)BLANCHE RISHAWN 116 30.00    
LUCKY'S LANE Feb23         (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
BON BUENO Mar26 May28 Apr09 Feb19 Jan22 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.50 15% 5.70    
NOBLE CONNECTION Mar10 Jul30       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
PACE Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 Dec16 Oct18 (londono odin)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS Mar04 Jan21 Nov24 May04   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
10  CLOSE KNIT Mar11 Jan28 Dec29 Nov23 Jun03 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 12.00 8% 11.20    
11  NAVY CROSS Mar25 Feb24       (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00    
12  TEXAS TED Mar25 Feb24 Jan06     (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
 
KEE-5   04/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. ASTOR Jan29 Dec11 Oct16     (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 7% 13.30    
MADEMOISELLEJACKIE Feb19 Jan22 Dec26 Oct22 Sep23 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
SAFEEN Nov20 Oct27 Sep13     (kenneally edd)BUICK T 118 15.00 6% 15.30    
C C CRUISE CONTROL Oct28 Oct07 Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  ESSAOUIRA Mar12 Oct07 Sep14 Aug25   (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
WONDERFULL LADY (FR)         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
EMBRACE ME Feb10 Dec22 Nov19 Oct27   (albertrani )LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF Feb18 Nov26 Oct07 Sep03 Aug03 (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE Mar09 Dec03 Aug28     (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
10  MALLEYMOO Mar04 Feb04 Dec10     (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
11  STRIKINGLY SPUN Feb04 Dec09 Nov04     (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00    
12  AROUND THE SUN Mar12 Oct28 Oct14     (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
13  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY Mar11 Jan22 Dec04     (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  VENENCIA (FR)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE Mar12 Jan08       (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  JENNY LIND Feb23 Feb01 Nov18     (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE Feb26 May20 Apr10     (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
BEACHFRONT BID Feb04 Jan14 Nov27 Oct15 Sep23 (albertrani )LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SHE'S KEEN Feb16 Nov20 Oct02 Aug20 Jul28 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 3.50    
ACADEMIC HONOR Feb13         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
INVENTING Mar10 Nov20 Oct15 Sep23 Jul28 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 24% 3.10    
MYTOWN MYRULES Mar11 Feb12 Jan12     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   04/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM FanDuel Limestone Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY NATURE Mar25 Mar01 Jan27 Jan07 Dec02 (mendez luis)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 16% 5.30    
MY SWEET AFFAIR Mar05         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 7% 12.40    
LOVE REIGNS (IRE) Nov04 Aug21 Apr29     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL Mar18 Jan08       (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 6.00 17% 4.70    
STONE SILENT Feb11 Jun18       (sadler john )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00    
JUST A CARE (IRE) Mar25 Feb18 Jun30     (arnold george )CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Nov27 Oct01 Sep13 Aug04   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
AMERICAN APPLE Nov04 Oct08 Sep14 Jul15 Jun17 (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00    
CAMP AKEELA Mar11 Feb26 Feb09 Nov19 Sep28 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
10  TWIRLED Feb11 Dec31 Nov26 Oct22 Sep14 (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 30.00    
11  LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB) Nov04         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
SCR  DANSE MACABRE Mar04 Oct08 Sep13 Aug21 Jul13 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
 
KEE-8   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE LIKE WATER Mar11 Nov06 Oct09 Sep16 Aug08 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00    
TRAVEL COLUMN Oct09 Aug28 Jun29     (lobo h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  MY DESTINY Mar24 Feb11 Jan06 Dec08 Sep24 (wilensky herma)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
RICHEBOURG Feb12 Jan12 Oct19 Sep19 Jul14 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
NOVEL SQUALL Feb25 Dec17 May30 Apr28 Apr02 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
SECRETLY WICKED Feb24 Mar04       (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
CHEETARA (CHI) Feb24 Oct29 Sep25 Aug16 Jul16 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 9% 10.40    
PRAISE AND HONOR Feb24 Dec09 Oct19     (wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHI TOWN LADY Nov05 Aug06 May19 Apr10   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
KEE-9   04/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM Maker's Mark Mile Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAKING SCOUT Jan28 Dec03 Oct29 Oct01 Sep05 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
UP TO THE MARK Mar04 Jan28 Dec18 Nov26 Sep29 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00    
CHEZ PIERRE (FR) Feb04 Apr23 Mar09     (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 9% 9.70    
EMMANUEL Mar04 Feb04 Aug06 Jun04 Apr09 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
DR ZEMPF (GB) Mar10         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
IN LOVE (BRZ) Feb18 Dec17 Nov13 Oct15 Sep01 (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 30.00    
MODERN GAMES (IRE) Nov05 Sep17       (appleby charl)BUICK T 123 0.60 39% 1.50    
CABO SPIRIT Mar04 Feb04 Dec03 Oct29 Sep03 (papaprodromou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 20.00    
 
KEE-10   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MCGREGOR Mar18 Aug13       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
FIGHT'N READY Feb18 Jan21 Dec08 Oct30   (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
PURSUIT OF POWER Mar18         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
IM A MODEST MAN Mar25 Mar10 Feb16 Jan13 Dec29 (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
EARL OF DASSEL Mar18 Feb18 Jan21     (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
MADDON         (maker michael)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 20.00    
ST. JOHN'S Mar18 Feb18       (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
BOURBON RESOLVE Jan28 Dec31       (wilkes r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  JOR EL         (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 110 20.00    
10  TSHIEBWE Feb26 Feb01 Oct13 Aug13   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
11  LUNA VIEJA Jan28 Dec31       (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
SCR  FURIOUS ANGER Mar11         (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN SUNSET Apr02 Mar11 Feb12     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARTWELL Mar11         (danner kelsey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.