Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUALMOSTHADME   (hancock jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 1.92  
  (by OXBOW out of GOOD GATOR by GOOD AND TOUGH)
BARAYE   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.35 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
KRICKLE   (holsapple)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 15.08  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
11  LATE NITE MISTRESS   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 24% 3.10 5.20  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LATE NIGHT POW WOW by FIBER SONDE)
AIM HIGHER   (elliott l)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 29.85  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SPECIAL YOU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GLORIETTE   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 35.91  
  (by MUNNINGS out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
12  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS   (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 8% 11.80 11.95  
  (by MITOLE out of MISCHIEF GALORE by INTO MISCHIEF)
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 78.73  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
PROGNOSTICATE   (mccutchen ro)MARCANO Y 112 30.00 5% 19.00 56.95  
  (by FAST ANNA out of PORTEND by SKY MESA)
BINGO'S DREAM   (delgado jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 27.58  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLATBOW by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL   (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of STREET SURRENDER by STREET BOSS)
SCR  LITTLE MUSIC   (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of FROZEN MUSIC by LANGFUHR)
SCR  OLD FASHIONED GIRL   (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  TOO FAST FOR YOU   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GIOVANNA BLUES by GIO PONTI)
 
KEE-2   04/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL OF HONOR   (van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 1.56  
HEIRLOOM KITTEN   (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 9% 10.20 5.30 P
CARTIER CAT   (silva h)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 26% 2.80 5.51 S
CAROM   (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 110 3.00 13% 6.80 2.79  
PANORAMA TRUCK   (acevedo isra)MARCANO Y 111 15.00 31.93  
HARD LOVE   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.14  
SCR  OTTOTHELEGEND   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
KEE-3   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 7.11  
BRYLEE   (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 6.03  
COEXIST   (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 25.54  
11  GORMLEYESQUE   (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00 7.78  
GET BY   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 125 2.50 55% 0.80 2.13  
WEST COASTER   (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 22.42  
10  KALL KAT   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 8.00 23% 3.40 12.68  
ICY STARE   (hancock jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.33  
CARMEL SUNRISE   (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 25.97  
13  RAZZALUNA   (nihei michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 26.48  
MAHOMEBRED   (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00 11.87  
SCR  FREEFORM   (nihei michell)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
SCR  SAINT SISTA   (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP AND DOWN   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 12% 7.20 1.53 W
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BREAKFAST TIME by KITTEN'S JOY)
OKAY FINE   (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 17.98  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PAINT ME PERFECT   (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 33.17  
  (by MUNNINGS out of KABELLA by KITTEN'S JOY)
JUST SAY SO   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 22% 3.50 6.98  
  (by WAR FRONT out of SAY (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
FANCY CABER NEIGH   (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 7.68  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FANCY POINT by POINT GIVEN)
MAKE THE BOYS WINK   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.83  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PACIFIC PINK by PRIVATE VOW)
12  MORETHANANYONE   (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 15.93  
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of ISLAND STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
MASTERFUL MEG   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 13.77  
  (by MASTERY out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  LUNA MOTH   (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 59.43  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of PALADIN BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
10  OH SUZANNA   (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 40.24  
  (by BLAME out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
KENTUCKY REIGN   (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 110 30.00 40.46  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DARK WOMAN by PRIVATE THOUGHTS)
SILENT STORY   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00 46.00  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PATOU by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  BOLTORO   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  CAMELOT BEAUTY (IRE)   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
  (by CAMELOT (GB) out of WILD CHILD by FREE AT LAST (GB))
SCR  DREAM ROLE   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAM FUHREVER by LANGFUHR)
SCR  MENDED WE STAND   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LADY by MALIBU MOON)
 
KEE-5   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HONORABLE ONE   (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 6.00 4.12  
RAYMOND   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 124 8.00 5.74 P
SAIL AT SUNRISE   (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00 8.24  
INVISIBLE WAR   (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 33% 2.00 1.96  
GROUP EIGHTEEN   (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00 5.72  
LONGSHADOW   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00 43% 1.30 2.94  
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA   (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50    
SCR  ZIP IT SCOTTY   (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
 
KEE-6   04/19/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREIGN RELATIONS   (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 8% 11.40 4.68 DQ↓10
WIND TWIST   (sandy st)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 55.97  
12  BOLD LOOKER   (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 28.56  
MOUNT RUNDLE   (nihei michell)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 12% 7.60 2.36 S
EVAN HARLAN   (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 2.65  
10  ALWAYS ABOVE   (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 19% 4.20 4.83  
EL AHIJADO   (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 111 50.00 66.79  
SMOKEY LEE   (cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 64.35  
SILENT STEVE   (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 118 50.00 46.81  
11  MASTER OF THE RING   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 31% 2.30 4.89  
SCR  C FALLS   (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 6% 15.30    
 
KEE-7   04/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILM STAR   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 33% 2.00 1.14 W
BRIGHT SPARK   (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 21.28  
LIL BRO COOP   (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 7% 13.90 3.15 S
CHILENO   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 5.27  
PRINCELY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 19.00  
GROUP HUG   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 28% 2.60 6.22  
ROYAL KING   (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 10% 8.60 9.94  
 
KEE-8   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORK OF FICTION   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 13.97  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DUCRU by BROKEN VOW)
CALLIE'S GRIT   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 15% 5.80 2.27 P
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NEITH by DYNAFORMER)
FRONTAL ATTACK   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.86 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of LADY OF KYUSHU by SMART STRIKE)
STAY LOST   (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 12.38  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
LADY DYNAMO   (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 30.49  
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
RECONSIDER ME (IRE)   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 3.15  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of CASUAL by CURLIN)
BEL ROSSO   (hiles jeff)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 15% 5.90 10.29  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
SUPER LUXE   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 7% 14.10 12.03  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  FLOWERDEW   (margolis stephe)LANERIE J 120 4.50 18.11  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MARRAKESH EXPRESS by UNION RAGS)
11  KINGMAKING (GB)   (chavez manuel)CRUZ JUAN 120 20.00 58.01  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA DOROTEA by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE))
12  NOW SHOWING   (terranova jo)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 30.98  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GIANT SCREEN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  AFTER EIGHT   (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSYDAME by BLAME)
SCR  ASTRILA   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HARBINGEROFTHINGS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL   (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY PAIGE'S JEWEL by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  TACTICAL JOKE   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COMPETITION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  WHY WASTE WORDS   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.