The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Wednesday - April 19, 2023

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KEE-1   04/19/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:00
:221 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUALMOSTHADME 8 3 2nk     11(hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 1.92  
BARAYE 5 5 1nk     22(ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.35 P
KRICKLE 2 7 5     43(holsapple h)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 15.08  
11  LATE NITE MISTRESS 9 1 4     58 412 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 24% 3.10 5.20  
AIM HIGHER 1 6 7     711½ 512¼ (elliott l)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 29.85  
GLORIETTE 7 4 6     69 612½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 35.91  
12  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 10 2 3     3713¼ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 8% 11.80 11.95  
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 6 10 1012¾     1015½ 814¼ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 78.73  
PROGNOSTICATE 3 9 8     812½ 915¼ (mccutchen robe)MARCANO Y 112 30.00 5% 19.00 56.95  
BINGO'S DREAM 4 8 910¾     914½ 1017 (delgado jose )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 27.58  
SCR  BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
SCR  LITTLE MUSIC               (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
SCR  OLD FASHIONED GIRL               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 20.00    
SCR  TOO FAST FOR YOU               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
 
KEE-2   04/19/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
:232 :471 1:123 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL OF HONOR 1 2 1½ 12 1 15 113 (van tho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 1.56  
HEIRLOOM KITTEN 3 3 33 3 2 25 213 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 9% 10.20 5.30 P
CARTIER CAT 6 6 69 610 510 311½ 317½ (silva h)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 26% 2.80 5.51 S
CAROM 5 4 5 56 3 413½ 425¼ (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 110 3.00 13% 6.80 2.79  
PANORAMA TRUCK 2 1 2½ 22 612½ 626 553½ (acevedo israel)MARCANO Y 111 15.00 31.93  
HARD LOVE 4 5 4 4 410 525½ 686½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.14  
SCR  OTTOTHELEGEND               (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
KEE-3   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:221 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY 10 2 69 43   311 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 7.11  
BRYLEE 1 5 34 3   1nk 21 (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 6.03  
COEXIST 5 10 910¾ 9   735 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 25.54  
11  GORMLEYESQUE 9 1 1 11   2nk 4(catalano wayn)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00 7.78  
GET BY 7 8 1010¾ 77   55(wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 125 2.50 55% 0.80 2.13  
WEST COASTER 3 6 8 8   86(corrig)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 22.42  
10  KALL KAT 8 9 79 5   65 7(tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 8.00 23% 3.40 12.68  
ICY STARE 2 4 2 21   48(hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.33  
CARMEL SUNRISE 4 11 1115¼ 1014½   1010¾ 915½ (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 25.97  
13  RAZZALUNA 11 7 57 65   91017¼ (nihei michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 26.48  
MAHOMEBRED 6 3 4 1117½   1122¾ 1142¼ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00 11.87  
SCR  FREEFORM               (nihei michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
SCR  SAINT SISTA               (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:36
:232 :48 1:124 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP AND DOWN 7 7 3 3 2nk 11(brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 12% 7.20 1.53 W
OKAY FINE 2 1 43 4 4 32(lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 17.98  
PAINT ME PERFECT 3 3 8 7 5 44 3(margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 33.17  
JUST SAY SO 9 8 64 8 7 64(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 22% 3.50 6.98  
FANCY CABER NEIGH 6 2 2 22 1nk 255 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 7.68  
MAKE THE BOYS WINK 8 10 10 9 9 76 6(walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.83  
12  MORETHANANYONE 12 5 1 12 3½ 54 7(maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 15.93  
MASTERFUL MEG 4 4 11 1110 10 99 89 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 13.77  
11  LUNA MOTH 11 11 9 10 11 1010 910½ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 59.43  
10  OH SUZANNA 10 9 7 65 8 88 1011¼ (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 40.24  
KENTUCKY REIGN 5 6 53 54 64 1113 1118½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 110 30.00 40.46  
SILENT STORY 1 12 1211¾ 1211½ 1218¾ 1221 1232¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00 46.00  
SCR  BOLTORO               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  CAMELOT BEAUTY (IRE)               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  DREAM ROLE               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
SCR  MENDED WE STAND               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
 
KEE-5   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:23 :46 1:111     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HONORABLE ONE 3 5 1½ 1½   12 11 (wong jonathan)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 6.00 4.12  
RAYMOND 2 2 52 42   22 21 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 124 8.00 5.74 P
SAIL AT SUNRISE 4 1 3½ 2½   33(jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00 8.24  
INVISIBLE WAR 1 4 4 5   44(casse mark)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 33% 2.00 1.96  
GROUP EIGHTEEN 5 3 2½ 32   510½ 521 (williamson bri)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00 5.72  
LONGSHADOW 6 6 64 6   613½ 630½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00 43% 1.30 2.94  
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA               (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50    
SCR  ZIP IT SCOTTY               (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
 
KEE-6   04/19/2023 7920ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
:244 :49 1:141 1:401 2:05 2:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREIGN RELATIONS 1 332 42 32 11(murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 8% 11.40 4.68 DQ↓10
WIND TWIST 4 454 5 54 22(sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 55.97  
12  BOLD LOOKER 10 85 6 6 6 536 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 28.56  
MOUNT RUNDLE 7 53 4 31 4 44(nihei michelle)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 12% 7.60 2.36 S
EVAN HARLAN 2 1½ 2nk 2½ 1nk 3512¾ (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 2.65  
10  ALWAYS ABOVE 8 99 85 8 610 615¼ (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 19% 4.20 4.83  
EL AHIJADO 3 1011½ 1013¼ 107 1010 812 716 (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 111 50.00 66.79  
SMOKEY LEE 6 74 8 9 9 912 818½ (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 64.35  
SILENT STEVE 5 64 7 7 7 711 922½ (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 118 50.00 46.81  
11  MASTER OF THE RING 9 2½ 1nk 1½ 2nk 10100 10100 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 31% 2.30 4.89  
SCR  C FALLS               (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD               (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 6% 15.30    
 
KEE-7   04/19/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:232 :471 1:113 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILM STAR 2 5 1 11 1½ 14 1(cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 33% 2.00 1.14 W
BRIGHT SPARK 4 7 7 77 5 24 2(flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 21.28  
LIL BRO COOP 3 1 3 21 2½ 3310 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 7% 13.90 3.15 S
CHILENO 1 2 5 4 3 47 411¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 5.27  
PRINCELY 5 6 6 64 66 510 514½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 19.00  
GROUP HUG 6 4 43 5 4 612 624¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 28% 2.60 6.22  
ROYAL KING 7 3 2 3 7 719 743 (robertson mc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 10% 8.60 9.94  
 
KEE-8   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:44
:232 :472 1:12 1:233   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORK OF FICTION 5 2 11 1 12 12 1½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 13.97  
CALLIE'S GRIT 2 1 32 4 22 22 2½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 15% 5.80 2.27 P
FRONTAL ATTACK 7 9 8 86 7 35 3(brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.86 S
STAY LOST 1 8 6 64 5 44(casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 12.38  
LADY DYNAMO 3 6 5 5 4 57 5(tomlinson mich)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 30.49  
RECONSIDER ME (IRE) 8 11 119 10 9 66(motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 3.15  
BEL ROSSO 4 10 10 11 10 711 710¾ (hiles a)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 15% 5.90 10.29  
SUPER LUXE 6 7 74 75 8 811½ 810¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 7% 14.10 12.03  
10  FLOWERDEW 9 3 96 9 11 915 918½ (margolis stephen )LANERIE J 120 4.50 18.11  
11  KINGMAKING (GB) 10 5 42 32 6 1015½ 1021¼ (chavez manuel)CRUZ JUAN 120 20.00 58.01  
12  NOW SHOWING 11 4 21 2 3 1117½ 1134¼ (terranova john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 30.98  
SCR  AFTER EIGHT               (delacour ar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00    
SCR  ASTRILA               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00    
SCR  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL               (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  TACTICAL JOKE               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  WHY WASTE WORDS               (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.