Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:221 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUALMOSTHADME 8 3 2nk     1 1 (hancock jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 1.92  
  (by OXBOW out of GOOD GATOR by GOOD AND TOUGH)
BARAYE 5 5 1nk     2 2 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.35 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
KRICKLE 2 7 5     4 3 (holsapple)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 15.08  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
11  LATE NITE MISTRESS 9 1 4     58 412 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 24% 3.10 5.20  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LATE NIGHT POW WOW by FIBER SONDE)
AIM HIGHER 1 6 7     711½ 512¼ (elliott l)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 29.85  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SPECIAL YOU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GLORIETTE 7 4 6     69 612½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 35.91  
  (by MUNNINGS out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
12  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 10 2 3     3 713¼ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 8% 11.80 11.95  
  (by MITOLE out of MISCHIEF GALORE by INTO MISCHIEF)
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 6 10 1012¾     1015½ 814¼ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 78.73  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
PROGNOSTICATE 3 9 8     812½ 915¼ (mccutchen ro)MARCANO Y 112 30.00 5% 19.00 56.95  
  (by FAST ANNA out of PORTEND by SKY MESA)
BINGO'S DREAM 4 8 910¾     914½ 1017 (delgado jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 27.58  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLATBOW by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of STREET SURRENDER by STREET BOSS)
SCR  LITTLE MUSIC               (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of FROZEN MUSIC by LANGFUHR)
SCR  OLD FASHIONED GIRL               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  TOO FAST FOR YOU               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GIOVANNA BLUES by GIO PONTI)
 
KEE-2   04/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL OF HONOR 1 2 1½ 12 1 15 113 (van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 1.56  
HEIRLOOM KITTEN 3 3 33 3 2 25 213 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 9% 10.20 5.30 P
CARTIER CAT 6 6 69 610 510 311½ 317½ (silva h)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 26% 2.80 5.51 S
CAROM 5 4 5 56 3 413½ 425¼ (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 110 3.00 13% 6.80 2.79  
PANORAMA TRUCK 2 1 2½ 22 612½ 626 553½ (acevedo isra)MARCANO Y 111 15.00 31.93  
HARD LOVE 4 5 4 4 410 525½ 686½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.14  
SCR  OTTOTHELEGEND               (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
KEE-3   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY 10 2 69 43   3 11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 7.11  
BRYLEE 1 5 34 3   1nk 21 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 6.03  
COEXIST 5 10 910¾ 9   7 35 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 25.54  
11  GORMLEYESQUE 9 1 1 11   2nk 4 (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00 7.78  
GET BY 7 8 1010¾ 77   5 5 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 125 2.50 55% 0.80 2.13  
WEST COASTER 3 6 8 8   8 6 (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 22.42  
10  KALL KAT 8 9 79 5   65 7 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 8.00 23% 3.40 12.68  
ICY STARE 2 4 2 21   4 8 (hancock jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.33  
CARMEL SUNRISE 4 11 1115¼ 1014½   1010¾ 915½ (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 25.97  
13  RAZZALUNA 11 7 57 65   9 1017¼ (nihei michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 26.48  
MAHOMEBRED 6 3 4 1117½   1122¾ 1142¼ (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00 11.87  
SCR  FREEFORM               (nihei michell)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
SCR  SAINT SISTA               (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:124 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP AND DOWN 7 7 3 3 2nk 1 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 12% 7.20 1.53 W
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BREAKFAST TIME by KITTEN'S JOY)
OKAY FINE 2 1 43 4 4 3 2 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 17.98  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PAINT ME PERFECT 3 3 8 7 5 44 3 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 33.17  
  (by MUNNINGS out of KABELLA by KITTEN'S JOY)
JUST SAY SO 9 8 64 8 7 6 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 22% 3.50 6.98  
  (by WAR FRONT out of SAY (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
FANCY CABER NEIGH 6 2 2 22 1nk 2 55 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 7.68  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FANCY POINT by POINT GIVEN)
MAKE THE BOYS WINK 8 10 10 9 9 76 6 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.83  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PACIFIC PINK by PRIVATE VOW)
12  MORETHANANYONE 12 5 1 12 3½ 54 7 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 15.93  
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of ISLAND STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
MASTERFUL MEG 4 4 11 1110 10 99 89 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 13.77  
  (by MASTERY out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  LUNA MOTH 11 11 9 10 11 1010 910½ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 59.43  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of PALADIN BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
10  OH SUZANNA 10 9 7 65 8 88 1011¼ (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 40.24  
  (by BLAME out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
KENTUCKY REIGN 5 6 53 54 64 1113 1118½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 110 30.00 40.46  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DARK WOMAN by PRIVATE THOUGHTS)
SILENT STORY 1 12 1211¾ 1211½ 1218¾ 1221 1232¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00 46.00  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PATOU by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  BOLTORO               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  CAMELOT BEAUTY (IRE)               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
  (by CAMELOT (GB) out of WILD CHILD by FREE AT LAST (GB))
SCR  DREAM ROLE               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAM FUHREVER by LANGFUHR)
SCR  MENDED WE STAND               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LADY by MALIBU MOON)
 
KEE-5   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HONORABLE ONE 3 5 1½ 1½   12 11 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 6.00 4.12  
RAYMOND 2 2 52 42   22 21 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 124 8.00 5.74 P
SAIL AT SUNRISE 4 1 3½ 2½   3 3 (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00 8.24  
INVISIBLE WAR 1 4 4 5   4 4 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 33% 2.00 1.96  
GROUP EIGHTEEN 5 3 2½ 32   510½ 521 (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00 5.72  
LONGSHADOW 6 6 64 6   613½ 630½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00 43% 1.30 2.94  
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA               (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50    
SCR  ZIP IT SCOTTY               (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
 
KEE-6   04/19/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:141 1:401 2:05 2:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREIGN RELATIONS 1 3 32 42 32 1 1 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 8% 11.40 4.68 DQ↓10
WIND TWIST 4 4 54 5 54 2 2 (sandy st)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 55.97  
12  BOLD LOOKER 10 85 6 6 6 5 36 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 28.56  
MOUNT RUNDLE 7 53 4 31 4 4 4 (nihei michell)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 12% 7.60 2.36 S
EVAN HARLAN 2 1½ 2nk 2½ 1nk 3 512¾ (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 2.65  
10  ALWAYS ABOVE 8 9 9 85 8 610 615¼ (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 19% 4.20 4.83  
EL AHIJADO 3 1011½ 1013¼ 107 1010 812 716 (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 111 50.00 66.79  
SMOKEY LEE 6 74 8 9 9 912 818½ (cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 64.35  
SILENT STEVE 5 64 7 7 7 711 922½ (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 118 50.00 46.81  
11  MASTER OF THE RING 9 2½ 1nk 1½ 2nk 10100 10100 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 31% 2.30 4.89  
SCR  C FALLS               (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD               (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 6% 15.30    
 
KEE-7   04/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:113 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILM STAR 2 5 1 11 1½ 14 1 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 33% 2.00 1.14 W
BRIGHT SPARK 4 7 7 77 5 24 2 (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 21.28  
LIL BRO COOP 3 1 3 21 2½ 3 310 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 7% 13.90 3.15 S
CHILENO 1 2 5 4 3 47 411¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 5.27  
PRINCELY 5 6 6 64 66 510 514½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 19.00  
GROUP HUG 6 4 43 5 4 612 624¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 28% 2.60 6.22  
ROYAL KING 7 3 2 3 7 719 743 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 10% 8.60 9.94  
 
KEE-8   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12 1:233   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORK OF FICTION 5 2 11 1 12 12 1½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 13.97  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DUCRU by BROKEN VOW)
CALLIE'S GRIT 2 1 32 4 22 22 2½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 15% 5.80 2.27 P
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NEITH by DYNAFORMER)
FRONTAL ATTACK 7 9 8 86 7 35 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.86 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of LADY OF KYUSHU by SMART STRIKE)
STAY LOST 1 8 6 64 5 4 4 (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 12.38  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
LADY DYNAMO 3 6 5 5 4 57 5 (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 30.49  
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
RECONSIDER ME (IRE) 8 11 119 10 9 6 6 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 3.15  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of CASUAL by CURLIN)
BEL ROSSO 4 10 10 11 10 711 710¾ (hiles jeff)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 15% 5.90 10.29  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
SUPER LUXE 6 7 74 75 8 811½ 810¾ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 7% 14.10 12.03  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  FLOWERDEW 9 3 96 9 11 915 918½ (margolis stephe)LANERIE J 120 4.50 18.11  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MARRAKESH EXPRESS by UNION RAGS)
11  KINGMAKING (GB) 10 5 42 32 6 1015½ 1021¼ (chavez manuel)CRUZ JUAN 120 20.00 58.01  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA DOROTEA by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE))
12  NOW SHOWING 11 4 21 2 3 1117½ 1134¼ (terranova jo)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 30.98  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GIANT SCREEN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  AFTER EIGHT               (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSYDAME by BLAME)
SCR  ASTRILA               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HARBINGEROFTHINGS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL               (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY PAIGE'S JEWEL by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  TACTICAL JOKE               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COMPETITION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  WHY WASTE WORDS               (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.