The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - March 14, 2023

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MVR-1   03/14/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:244 :492 1:161 1:303   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOCHER 2 6 510½ 510 24 22 1¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.50 12% 7.10 1.70 W
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 6 3 611½ 610 3 33 2¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 9% 10.50 18.40 P
MIXTER JENSEN 5 2 21 11 14 12 35 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 2.80  
ANIMO ROBERTO 3 5 49 49 4 4413½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 111 3.50 5.30  
PLAYING BALL 4 1 11 21 6 613 519¾ (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 124 8.00 27.10  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 1 4 34 34 5 512½ 621¾ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 116 1.60 45% 1.20 1.80  
 
MVR-2   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
1:131         1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY SAINT 3 1 1½ 11   11 1(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 45% 1.20 1.30 W
QUESTION AUTHORITY 4 2 2½ 21   21 2(bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 5.00 12% 7.60 0.80 P
RULING EMPIRE 2 4 4 4   439 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 8.00 13% 6.70 9.70 S
PERCENTAGE 1 3 31 33   3411¾ (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50 4.60  
SCR  AJWIBAH               (erde)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
SCR  SEMINOLE JUSTICE               (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN               (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 121 10.00    
 
MVR-3   03/14/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:233 :474 1:142 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFETTO 7 3 5 4 1nk 113 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 23% 3.30 6.70 W
GILES 8 8 8 6 3½ 223 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 32% 2.10 1.70 P
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 2 6 42 5 6 46 310½ (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 2.70  
ALGORIX 4 7 77 8 8 6411¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 8% 11.30 11.00  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 5 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 36 515 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 14% 5.90 4.10  
1A  GIZMO JONES 6 4 6 7 5 57 616¾ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 4.10  
SKIDSTREAM 1 5 31 31 7 8718¼ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 12.90  
KLAATU 3 2 1nk 1nk 4 7818½ (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 8.00  
 
MVR-4   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
:231 :473 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YORK BANKER 3 4 2 23   21(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 4.60  
MYRRH 5 3 1 13   12(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 4.00 4.20  
DARK TEMPTRESS 6 6 43 4   33(cowans william )BRACHO A 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.20 S
LITTLE BIRD FLASH 1 7 8 86   64(zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 4.40  
TARA DAWN 4 8 65 5   45 5(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 36.60  
I GOT HOPE 7 1 7 6   86(romero a)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 18.40 25.50  
HEIDI T 2 5 53 76   77(clouston edward)CEDILLO MAURO 126 5.00 15% 5.60 10.20  
DONTLOSETHATNUMBER 8 2 3 33   5815¼ (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 12.80  
 
MVR-5   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:234 :482 1:014     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  REANIMATE 10 1 2nk 2½   11nk (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 31% 2.20 1.40 W
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 7 3 4 3   32 2nk (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 2.50 P
VICTORY DIVISION 3 7 8 8   633 (gorham m)BRACHO A 126 15.00 21.40  
OFTEN ENOUGH 8 9 7 53   54(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 8.00 41% 1.40 6.20  
10  MOBIL AT LAST 9 10 9 7   75(diehl canda)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 12.00 51.20  
BOOT LEGGER 4 8 10 10   96(londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 13.80  
CAPTAIN RILEY 5 4 6 4   42 7(spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 91.30  
JUDGE HEAD 2 5 5 6   887 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.00 3.40  
THE MAN CAN 6 2 1nk 1½   297 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 126 20.00 66.40  
JUST CHESTER 1 6 3.2 9   1014¾ 1022¼ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 70.80  
SCR  DREAM PRIZES               (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-6   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
:231 :48 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALTHA 5 5 41 2½   11(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 8% 11.70 2.00 W
SWEET VALERIA 4 8 5 3½   32(clouston edward)RIVERA R 126 5.00 17% 5.00 10.30 P
TALK DIRTY 7 11 7 7   63(bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 41.30  
HALOFIED 6 3 1nk 1½   24(gonzalez do)BRICENO M 119 20.00 55.40  
CAPTIVATING ART 8 9 96 8   556 (robillard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 42% 1.40 4.40  
11  RUN AWAY FEVER 11 2 11 11   106(spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 ######  
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 9 10 8 4¾   42 7(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 6% 15.30 17.20  
10  MOANA'S TALE 10 1 106 9   989 (dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 13.60  
OFFTHEROADAGAIN 1 6 3½ 6   89(reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 2.20  
GRAY ROYALITY 3 4 2nk 5   710(st david)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
FREE TO RUN 2 7 6 10   111112¾ (van denn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 ######  
 
MVR-7   03/14/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
:244 :49 1:142 1:403   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISON KARTER 6 3 2½ 2½ 11 11(estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 8.00 7.40  
IMPROBABLE STORY 7 4 3 3 21 22(king l)PEREZ E 124 4.50 5.60 P
COME SEE ABOUT IT 5 1 1½ 1½ 31 33(smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 60% 0.70 0.90 S
MY BROTHER CAM 3 6 5 5 5 48 410 (ray kevin)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 24.00  
ZERO GRAVITY 1 7 79 78 6 610 510¾ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 10.00 9% 10.40 24.90  
BLOOD MOON 4 2 42 4 4 5611¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 3.00  
HEMP HEMP HURRAY 2 5 6 65 7 713 717½ (cline c)DIAZ I 124 6.00 9.00  
SCR  GOOD IDEA               (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 6% 16.40    
 
MVR-8   03/14/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
:244 :484 1:144 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAV'S BOO 1 5 4 4 2½ 12 1(fadlovich megan)PEREZ E 124 5.00 7.10  
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 6 1 3 3½ 42 44 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00 20.20  
WINDY LU WHO 3 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 22 3(anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 1.80 43% 1.30 0.90 S
1A  BLAZING ZENNA 7 6 54 5 5 32 45 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 7.80  
INCESSANT 4 3 2nk 2½ 31 55 512 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 12.20  
SHE'S CRAFTY 2 7 89 8 810 711 614 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 8.00 4.50  
AUNT BEE 8 8 78 6 6 69 714¾ (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 9% 10.40 4.50  
BACKSPLASH 5 4 66 7 78 811¼ 815¾ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 7.80  
SCR  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.