Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/3/6/4)-(1/2/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/3/7)-(7/6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(7/6/1/5)-(6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5)-(1/7/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5)-(1/7/6/5/4)-(1/7/6/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/5)-(6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/5)-(6/2/7)-(9/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/8/7/3)-(6/2/8/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(9/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(9/11)-(8/4/5/9/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/11)-(9/11/2/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/11)-(9/11/2/5/8)-(9/11/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/11)-(8/4/5/9/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/11)-(8/4/5/9/3)-(5/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/4/5/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/9/3)-(8/4/5/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/9/3)-(8/4/5/9/3)-(8/4/5/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/5/9/3)-(5/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/9/3)-(5/1)-(4/7) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Feb27 Jan12 Dec30 Nov14 Oct29 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 116 1.60 45% 1.20    
2  SMOOCHER Feb27 Jan12 Nov30 Oct29 Oct11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.50 12% 7.10    
3  ANIMO ROBERTO Jan24 Jan09 Dec29 Dec14 Nov14 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 111 3.50 ★    
4  PLAYING BALL Feb27 Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 Dec22 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
5  MIXTER JENSEN Feb27 Jan26 Dec19 Dec07 Nov09 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
6  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Feb27 Jan31 Jan12 Dec14 Nov14 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
 
MVR-2   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN Feb27 Jan16 Dec14 Nov08 Oct31 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 121 10.00    
2  PERCENTAGE Feb09 Jan27 Jan07 Dec21 Nov16 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50 ★    
3  RULING EMPIRE Jan16 Dec14 Nov29 Oct24 Sep27 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 8.00 13% 6.70    
4  HOLY SAINT Feb27 Feb09 Nov16 Oct30 Sep12 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Feb27 Jan30 Jan18 Jan03 Dec15 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  AJWIBAH Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 Oct16 (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
7  QUESTION AUTHORITY Feb21 Jan16 Jan02 Dec20 Jul18 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 5.00 12% 7.60    
 
MVR-3   03/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED PULSE Jan02 Dec20 Dec03 Nov23 Oct27 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
1A  GIZMO JONES Feb21 Feb02 Jan16 Nov08 Oct24 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 ★    
2  SKIDSTREAM Mar01 Jan02 Dec13 Oct25 Oct11 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
3  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 Jan17 Dec29 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
4  KLAATU Feb21 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Nov19 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 ★    
5  ALGORIX Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Nov29 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 8% 11.30    
6  PERFETTO Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 Nov07 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  GILES Mar02 Feb22 Feb02 Jan03 Nov14 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
MVR-4   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Feb20 Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50    
2  HEIDI T Feb28 Feb14 Jan27 Dec03 Nov12 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 126 5.00 15% 5.60    
3  NEW YORK BANKER Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Nov04 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★    
4  TARA DAWN Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 Nov28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
5  MYRRH Feb27 Jan31 Jan18 Jan02 Nov30 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 4.00    
6  DARK TEMPTRESS Jun22 May23 Mar21 Mar02 Jan01 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  I GOT HOPE Feb06 Jan19 Dec06 Nov09 Oct25 (romero a)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 18.40    
8  DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Feb14 Dec12 Nov30 Nov22 Nov08 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CHESTER Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 Oct10 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
2  JUDGE HEAD Feb21 Feb02 Sep08 Jul25 Jun27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.00 ★    
SCR  DREAM PRIZES Mar01 Feb02 Sep12 Sep01 Aug13 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
4  VICTORY DIVISION Mar02 Jan17 Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 126 15.00    
5  BOOT LEGGER Mar01 Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 ★    
6  CAPTAIN RILEY Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Nov03 Jun27 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
7  THE MAN CAN Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 Nov28 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
8  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Feb21 Feb02 Nov28 Nov03 Oct12 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 ★    
9  OFTEN ENOUGH Feb21 Nov03 Sep29 Sep15 Jun06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 8.00 41% 1.40    
10  MOBIL AT LAST Dec21 Dec12 Nov22 Nov03 Oct12 (diehl can)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 12.00    
11  REANIMATE Feb21 Feb02 Jan16 Dec27 Nov19 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-6   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFTHEROADAGAIN Jan26 Dec06 Oct18 Sep25 Sep05 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00    
2  FREE TO RUN Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan05 Dec12 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  GRAY ROYALITY Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 Nov30 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET VALERIA Feb27 Feb01 Jan21 Dec02 Nov17 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 126 5.00 17% 5.00    
5  CALTHA Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 Sep15 Aug31 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 8% 11.70    
6  HALOFIED Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 Dec14 (gonzalez )BRICENO M 119 20.00    
7  TALK DIRTY Feb28 Feb09 Jan31 Jan18 Jan05 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
8  CAPTIVATING ART Feb28 Feb20 Feb01 Aug19 Jul21 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 42% 1.40    
9  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Feb14 Jan24 Dec12 Nov23 May03 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 6% 15.30    
10  MOANA'S TALE Feb23 Jan18 Jan05 Dec15 Dec05 (dodge albert)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
11  RUN AWAY FEVER Feb14 Jan31 Jan18 Dec12 Dec05 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   03/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO GRAVITY Feb21 Jan10 Dec05 Nov02 Oct26 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
2  HEMP HEMP HURRAY Feb09 Jan18 Dec01 Nov08 Oct20 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
3  MY BROTHER CAM Mar01 Feb07 Jan19 Dec31 Dec10 (ray kevin)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
4  BLOOD MOON Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★    
5  COME SEE ABOUT IT Feb23 Jan30 Dec05 Sep30 Sep14 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 60% 0.70    
6  RAISON KARTER Jan30 Jan18 Dec28 Dec03 Oct31 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
SCR  GOOD IDEA Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 Dec14 Nov23 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 6% 16.40    
8  IMPROBABLE STORY Feb11 Jan25 Jan18 Nov30 Nov12 (king l)PEREZ E 124 4.50 ★    
 
MVR-8   03/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSPLASH Jan28 Jan09 Dec08 Nov09 Oct25 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
1A  BLAZING ZENNA Feb06 Dec19 Nov09 Oct04 Aug24 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★    
2  BEAV'S BOO Feb20 Jan09 Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 (fadlovich megan)PEREZ E 124 5.00 ★    
3  SHE'S CRAFTY Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 Nov28 Nov15 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 8.00    
4  WINDY LU WHO Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 Nov28 Oct26 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
5  INCESSANT Feb06 Jan03 Dec19 Nov15 Nov01 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
6  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Feb06 Jan10 Dec30 Nov30 Nov12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
7  AUNT BEE Mar02 Jan18 Dec30 Dec20 Nov28 (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Feb20 Oct13 Sep18 Aug08 Jul09 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.