Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.02  
KEE-2   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.66 $5.66  
KEE-3   Win (4/7/5/14/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $19.24 $19.24 9.24
KEE-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.54  
KEE-5   Win (1/4/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $10.58 $10.58 0.58
KEE-6   Win (7/3/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $13.76  
KEE-7   Win (6/4/8/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $15.34  
KEE-8   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.94 $2.94  
KEE-9   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $68.08 $68.08 60.08
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN PURE 1 8 64 63¼   31½ 11¼ (schultz lindsay)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60 ★ 1.51  
4  BEAVER HAT 4 2 32 31½   1½ 21¼ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 6.95  
8  PURE PANIC 8 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 32 (brownfield claud)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 12.23  
2  SURF AND TURF 2 1 52½ 73¾   76 410¼ (londono od)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00 9% 9.80 42.43  
6  MASAI MAN 6 5 42½ 41¾   44 510½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 31.99  
5  PICASSO 5 6 74¼ 52¼   66 616 (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 3.90  
7  SEA TO SUCCESS 7 3 1½ 1nk   54½ 717½ (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 6.68  
3  RICOCHET 3 7 87¼ 89¾   818 846¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 60% 0.70 3.89  
 
KEE-2   04/16/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:154 1:412 2:062 2:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SINFILTRE 7 13 13 12 11½ 12 11 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 18% 4.40 1.83 W
3  ELLE EST FORTE 3 34½ 34 32½ 21½ 22 21 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 30% 2.30 2.63 P
4  I'M SO SORRY 4 23 23 22 33 33½ 31¾ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 6.70  
5  KISS YOU LATER (IRE) 5 46½ 46 54½ 43½ 44 42¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 26% 2.90 1.78  
2  CECILITA 2 57 56 44½ 58½ 510½ 512 (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 118 4.50 22.68  
6  LIVY B 6 79 68 66½ 69½ 612½ 615 (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 61.29  
1  LUMINIST 1 69 78¼ 76¾ 712½ 716½ 723 (estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 64.74  
 
KEE-3   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  HOCUS (GB) 10 5 12½ 13   13½ 14 (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 125 12.00 7% 12.70 8.62 W
7  HOOEY 5 9 22½ 23   23½ 24 (ward a)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 125 4.00 27% 2.70 1.47 P
11  CHOWMEIN 8 1 34½ 34   35 35¼ (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 23.32  
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE 7 10 45½ 45½   47 48½ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 125 30.00 10.36  
12  SILVESTRE 9 3 76¾ 68½   59½ 510¾ (cambray ignacio)CRUZ JOHN 125 30.00 32.52  
2  INVASIVE 2 6 1010¼ 710½   611 611¾ (kendall elise)MOJICA JR 118 20.00 23.92  
5  KICK ROCKS KID 4 7 55½ 58   711½ 716½ (adams l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 15% 5.50 6.93  
4  DOM GERVASIO 3 8 98¼ 812   814½ 820½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 6.00 30% 2.30 2.67  
9  BOOYAH 6 4 87¾ 912   915½ 920¾ (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 20.00 5% 19.00 32.04  
1  SHACKLESFLY 1 2 65¾ 1015   1022½ 1038½ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 125 30.00 17.03  
SCR  BLUEGRASS LUTE               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
SCR  DONEGAL DANNY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50    
SCR  IN LIEU               (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
SCR  KVETCHING MAW               (leitch danie)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  MANCHESTER               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 125 3.50    
SCR  MO SNOW               (londono od)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00    
 
KEE-4   04/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GAM'S MISSION 2 3 67 67 63¾ 21½ 1¼ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 1.77  
5  BUBBLE ROCK 5 4 13 13 11½ 11½ 2¼ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 28% 2.60 3.61 P
1  LADY HIDEAWAY 1 2 45 45½ 43½ 43 32½ (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 13.80  
6  FREEDOM SPEAKS 6 5 34 34 21½ 31½ 42¾ (rodriguez darien)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 25% 3.00 4.77  
4  HENRIETTA TOPHAM 4 6 56 56 53½ 54½ 54¼ (mulcahy geo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 2.83  
3  BREEZE RIDER 3 1 23 23 32 66½ 610¾ (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 3.50 17% 4.80 7.99  
 
KEE-5   04/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:094     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PEACEFUL WATERS 4 1 11 11   11½ 1¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 18% 4.50 4.29 W
10  MINNESOTA READY 10 5 74¼ 66½   43½ 2¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.64  
8  UNDER OATH 8 3 31 21   21½ 3¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 16% 5.10 2.91 S
7  DIVINE LEADER 7 2 21 42½   33½ 43¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 7.46  
6  FITZPATRICK 6 8 94½ 88½   77¼ 510¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 9.63  
9  FLINT RIDGE 9 4 52¾ 54   67 611½ (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 14.12  
5  EMBRACE (IRE) 5 7 107 1012   811¼ 711¾ (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL null   12.11  
1  REMUDA 1 6 41¼ 32   55 813¾ (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 35% 1.90 6.42  
3  LET MY PEOPLE GO 3 9 84½ 99½   1015¼ 924½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 28.02  
2  TOP OF THE CHARTS 2 10 62¾ 77½   913¼ 1027¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 6% 16.10 8.35  
 
KEE-6   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SAUDI CROWN 8 4 31½ 22   2½ 14¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 5.88  
9  WILD THINKER 9 1 42 33½   33 24¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 18% 4.70 5.43 P
10  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 10 2 11½ 12   1½ 36½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 2.17  
2  BRIGADE COMMANDER 2 5 64½ 67½   69 411 (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 14.90  
1  MALIBU SPRINGS 1 9 21½ 43½   45 511 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 17% 4.90 7.28  
3  MAGIC TAP 3 6 54 56   58½ 612¾ (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 4.00 3.08  
5  DELIBERATION 5 10 1018½ 916½   816 718¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 34.91  
7  ZED 7 3 75½ 78½   713 821¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 23% 3.30 10.31  
4  PAPA ALDEN 4 8 88½ 813½   918½ 931½ (kerrick lacy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 75.40  
6  ARNO 6 7 910½ 1016¾   1021½ 1036 (knippenberg brian)MOJICA JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 58.97  
 
KEE-7   04/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Palisades Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:211 :442 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GASLIGHT DANCER 5 6 53½ 43   1½ 11½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6.67  
1  TWO OF A KIND 1 10 85¾ 75½   53 21½ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 51.55  
2  CHIRINGO 2 4 108¼ 119   64½ 33¾ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00 25.25  
4  CRISPY CAT (GB) 4 3 32 32   3½ 44 (delgado jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00 18% 4.60 5.08  
6  PRIVATE CREED 6 11 118¾ 108½   75½ 54¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 29% 2.40 1.82  
8  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 8 5 21½ 21½   2½ 64¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 16% 5.10 5.71  
3  FADETHENOISE 3 12 1211¼ 1211½   1010 79¾ (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 20.00 30.57  
7  BUSHIDO 7 1 11½ 11½   41 810¼ (banach d)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 5% 18.20 12.02  
10  GOLDEN NUGGET 10 8 97¼ 97½   87½ 912¼ (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 15.44  
9  STORM DADDY 9 2 63½ 65   98½ 1013¼ (elliott michell)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 89.25  
12  DAMON'S MOUND 11 7 75½ 87   1111 1115½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 8% 11.10 6.42  
13  OLAZABAL 12 9 42½ 54   1211¼ 1216 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 47.41  
SCR  NEW YORK THUNDER               (delgado jorge)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
 
KEE-8   04/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Beaumont Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:094     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KEY OF LIFE (IRE) 7 1 11 11½   12½ 1¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 34% 1.90 0.47 W
4  INTERPOLATE 4 3 54 45½   22½ 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 9% 10.20 4.48 P
3  STONEWALL STAR 3 5 32 21½   34 36½ (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 34% 2.00 5.87 S
2  SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 2 2 43½ 56   48 410¼ (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 118 10.00 16.64  
6  OPUS FORTY TWO 6 4 21 31½   59½ 513 (delacour arn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 16.93  
1  SHOPLIFTER 1 7 67½ 68   611½ 613¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 20.00 42.91  
5  FUN AND FEISTY 5 6 77½ 78½   716½ 725 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 19.81  
 
KEE-9   04/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 6 1 21½ 31   32 1½ (decker anna)MOJICA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 33.04 W
9  SUPER CAT LADY 8 2 11½ 1½   12 2½ (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 124 6.00 6.97  
1  KNOWING GLANCE 1 6 32½ 2½   22 34¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 36% 1.80 0.91 S
6  BEL ARIA 5 5 52¾ 52   54 48 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 19% 4.20 9.03  
4  SOLID TUNE 3 3 42½ 42   43½ 59 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 21% 3.70 5.10  
5  MA CHERIE 4 4 76¼ 65½   76¾ 69 (cohn g)GILLIGAN JACK 124 12.00 50.20  
2  FABRICATE 2 8 66¼ 75¾   66½ 79¼ (fadlovich megan)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00 3.66  
8  LILLY CHROME 7 7 86¾ 812¾   814¾ 822¼ (aceved)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 50.00 58.78  
SCR  LAMASCO               (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.