Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.86 $5.86 1.86
KEE-2   Win (6/10/2/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
KEE-3   Win (11/12/6/3/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $40.22  
KEE-4   Win (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.82 $4.82  
KEE-5   Win (8/15/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $20.54  
KEE-6   Win (9/12/2/15/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $7.16 $7.16  
KEE-7   Win (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.78 $6.78  
KEE-8   Win (3/7/1/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $7.54  
KEE-9   Win (5/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.38 $6.38 0.38
KEE-10   Win (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
KEE-11   Win (2/3/12/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $7.46 $7.46  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:132 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OGLETHORPE 2 1 32 4 2nk 2½ 1¼ (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 126 1.80 25% 3.00 1.93 W
TRUMPTASTIC 1 2 1½ 2nk 1nk 1½ 2¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 126 8.00 10.75 P
MAGICAL POWER 6 5 5 5 4¾ 33 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 51% 0.90 0.62 S
BRAGGADOCIOUS 5 6 6 6 5 4 43 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 126 12.00 11.60  
ARTWELL 4 3 4 3 3.2 5 521½ (danner kelsey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 26.92  
BOONE'S PATH 3 4 2½ 1nk 6 614½ 634¼ (young terr)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 28.46  
SCR  COVET               (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEASE BE KIND 6 1 3½ 2nk   12 1 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 1.60 49% 1.10 1.60 W
GOOD TOHAVE AROUND 5 7 7 42   32 2 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00 8.34  
ITSABLINGTHING 1 8 41 5   22 3 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00 51.57  
MIDNIGHT GRIND 3 2 2nk 1nk   4 4 (ewing ann)ACHARD ALEX 125 15.00 8.97  
DOT MARIE 7 5 8 8   7 5 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 21.46  
ZIPPIN PIPPIN 2 4 1nk 3½   5 6 (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 11% 8.00 4.63  
10  KATE'S CONCERTO 8 3 5 6   6 7 (lucas w)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 15% 5.80 4.19  
BINGO STAR 4 6 62 7   8 813 (delgado h)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5.00  
SCR  MERRILY RUSH               (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SINNERS SAINTS               (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTSY HOT               (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 125 30.00    
SCR  UNIFIED DECISION               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
SCR  WEST COASTER               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:101 1:342   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIVAR 2 9 12 127 10 6 1¾ (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 19.11  
JAMES ALOYSIUS 3 3 3 3 3 2½ 2¾ (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 12% 7.50 3.08 P
EASY TIME 6 5 43 5 42 1½ 31 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 13% 6.40 9.20 S
11  PORTFOLIO COMPANY 10 8 7 7 63 41 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 33% 2.00 1.28  
ALTAZOR (ARG) 8 11 10 10 7 7 5 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 55.47  
12  EYES ON TARGET 11 12 9 8 84 106 6 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 17% 5.00 3.67  
BULLSEYE BUN 4 2 54 4 52 8 7 (green troy)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 23.70  
MY ROMEO LIMA 1 1 1nk 21 2½ 5 8 (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 33.97  
10  PUNCH HARD 9 6 8 115 12 9 9 (beckman whi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 67.87  
MUTAKATIF (IRE) 7 4 65 6 11 118 10 (brown h)AYALA ISAIAS 118 50.00 ######  
13  BLESS THE KITTEN 12 7 2nk 11 1½ 31 11 (grubbs ja)DE CRUZ 118 12.00 5% 19.00 37.30  
COMMON BOND 5 10 11 9 9 12 1210¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 118 30.00 ######  
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE               (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
SCR  HIGHESTDISTINCTION               (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
 
KEE-4   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLEMENTATION 6 6 64 3   32 1nk (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60 41% 1.50 1.41 W
COURTHOUSE COVE 7 1 42 2½   1nk 2nk (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 16% 5.30 5.78 P
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 3 3 1 1½   2nk 3¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 14% 6.20 3.30 S
C'MON MAN 5 7 75 6   4 43 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 3.44  
GEAUX YOSHKA 2 4 5 75   57 5 (robertson mc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00 10.16  
INSIDE STUNT 1 5 3 43   68 610¼ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 20.72  
WELLMAN 4 2 2 5   7 710½ (reed r)MCKEE J 124 15.00 8% 12.00 26.55  
SCR  PICO D'ORO               (caramori caio)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00    
SCR  READY PURSUIT               (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:363   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT DUKE 5 2 1nk 11 11 1 1 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 9.27  
CLASSIC CREATION 3 4 4 32 32 46 2 (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.70 P
STONEMONT REUNION 2 1 8 6 54 3 3 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00 58.27  
BABY BILLY 6 8 7 8 8 99 4 (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 3.14  
ESCAPOLOGIST 7 6 6 7 75 8 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 27.90  
MYREDWHITEANDBLUE 1 3 11 10 9 5 6 (roussel loui)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 18.90 6.53  
CLEVER THOUGHT 8 11 10 11 12 1010½ 7 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 38% 1.70 3.83  
REALLY GOOD 9 9 9 9 10 1110¾ 8 (maker michael)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 6.37  
11  THREE ON THE TREE 11 5 2nk 21 21 2 9 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 77.43  
EMPEROR'S APPEAL 4 7 5 5 6 7 10 (lynch a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 6.69  
10  FIRST STRIKE 10 12 12 12 11 1212¼ 11 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 33.02  
12  DARK SIDE (IRE) 12 10 31 4 43 6 12 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 15.00 8.01  
SCR  BATTLE OF NORMANDY               (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  OCEAN POINTE               (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 10.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D               (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
SCR  SAM STORMY               (kenneally edd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
 
KEE-6   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :462 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCYLLA 9 9 8 3   2½ 1 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 25% 2.90 2.58 W
10  ZEITLOS 10 3 21 2nk   1½ 2 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 1.94  
MISS ARLINGTON 8 1 11 1nk   3 3 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 17.21  
NIKKI M P 2 5 32 4   4 413 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.40 7.01  
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 5 7 11 8   712 517¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 11.56  
HURRY UP HANNAH 1 10 6 6   611½ 618¼ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 15.16  
12  WATCH THIS BIRDIE 12 2 43 53   5 718¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00 22% 3.60 11.07  
OLDEST SISTER 7 4 75 7   813½ 824¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 11.06  
11  BRENDA 11 8 9 910½   915½ 927 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00 48.14  
AMERICAN MAESTRA 3 11 10 1112½   1018½ 1029¾ (gallagher willia)HUGHES CARLY 120 50.00 91.40  
BOLD ICE 6 12 1217¾ 1218½   1122½ 1134 (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 55.99  
PICK ME GURL 4 6 53 1012   1223 1240½ (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 8% 11.90 26.46  
SCR  CORRI FELICE               (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
SCR  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY               (cash l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00    
SCR  MAGICAL LUTE               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 9% 10.50    
 
KEE-7   04/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBER ROAD 1 2 5 4¾ 2nk 2½ 1¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 17% 5.00 2.39 W
PRINCIPE D'ORO 4 6 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 1.89  
GRAPHIC DETAIL 2 1 6 6 5 3 3 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 37% 1.70 11.66 S
CRUMP 6 5 88 8 8 68 46 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 8% 11.30 11.62  
YORK TAVERN 3 3 3 5 4 56 5 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 34.72  
MASTER GAME 8 7 42 3½ 3.2 44 6 (forster t)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 18% 4.70 5.26  
TEPEU 7 8 74 7 7 712½ 717¼ (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 5.01  
HUSBAND MATERIAL 5 4 21 2½ 6 815½ 825½ (toner j)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 24.61  
 
KEE-8   04/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Giant's Causeway Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:213 :442 :553     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) 9 1 21 2nk   1½ 1 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 2.77  
QUEROBIN DOURADA 7 9 106 10   8 2 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 30.00 87.18  
12  STAR DEVINE (IRE) 11 5 5 41   3 3 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.34 S
HAPPY SOUL 3 4 4 52   54 4 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 33% 2.10 5.07  
11  LITTLE JEWEL 10 7 74 63   6 52 (vaccarezza car)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 8.13  
13  MAMBA WAMBA (IRE) 12 12 12 12   126 6 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 20.98  
MINAUN (IRE) 5 11 11 11   116 7 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00 30.97 DH
MINER'S QUEEN 8 2 11 1nk   2½ 7 (hernandez rey)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 33.88 DH
OEUVRE 4 10 95 9   9 9 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 5% 19.00 4.09  
OPENING BUZZ 6 8 8 84   106 10 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 20% 3.90 9.62  
TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 1 6 6 7   7 11 (breen kelly)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00 15% 5.60 13.08  
CREATIVE CREDIT 2 3 32 3½   44 129 (haehn r)OUZTS W 122 50.00 63.08  
SCR  AMY C (GB)               (d'amato phili)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00    
SCR  FAST GISELLE               (galindo-torres cl)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00    
SCR  SARAH HARPER               (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
 
KEE-9   04/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Stonestreet Lexington Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST MISSION 4 1 3 32 21 2½ 1½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.19 W
11  ARABIAN LION 10 5 11 1 11 1½ 2½ (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 31% 2.20 3.89 P
DISARM 5 3 7 64 43 34 3 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 10% 8.90 3.46 S
DENINGTON 6 9 9 8 75 4 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 22.63  
DEMOLITION DUKE 3 2 54 54 53 5 56 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 6.03  
PRAIRIE HAWK 8 7 21 2 3 611½ 616¼ (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 17.99  
EMPIRESTRIKESFAST 7 4 43 4 6 712 717 (mott willia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 5.21  
BASELINE BEATER 1 10 1011½ 1010½ 9 812¼ 818¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 20.00 49.30  
REINVEST 2 8 8 97 10 916¼ 928 (hamm timothy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 52.32  
10  CURLY LARRY AND MO 9 6 6 76 8 1016¼ 1028½ (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 50.00 76.34  
SCR  TRANSECT               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
 
KEE-10   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC14 FIRM Jenny Wiley Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:103 1:334   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN ITALIAN (GB) 2 1 11 11 11 13 13 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 65% 0.50 0.75 W
WITH THE MOONLIGHT (IRE) 4 3 43 4 3 23 23 (appleby charl)BUICK T 123 2.50 2.40 P
WHITE FROST 6 6 32 3 42 33 3 (mott willia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00 7.68 S
SKIMS (GB) 5 5 6 5 5 45 4 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 123 20.00 37.62  
PIZZA BIANCA 1 4 53 6 6 67 5 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 123 20.00 21.34  
QUEEN GODDESS 3 2 21 21 21 56 69 (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 5.99  
SCR  FREEDOM SPEAKS               (rodriguez dar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 20.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  HENRIETTA TOPHAM               (mulcahy geof)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00    
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00    
 
KEE-11   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TARABI 12 1 4 2nk   1nk 1¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 13% 6.60 2.73 W
YOUR SO SILLEA 1 7 32 5   3 2¼ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 11.99  
IRONIC TWIST 4 8 2½ 1nk   2nk 3¾ (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 8.38  
10  STREET JAM 10 2 1010½ 118   10 4 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 51.88  
RADIO DAYS 3 12 9 8   8 5 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 20% 4.00 7.64  
OVA CHARGED 7 3 75 4   4 6 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 9% 10.00 4.14  
TOP GUN GIRL 2 6 1½ 3.2   5 7 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 32% 2.20 5.70  
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 9 11 1212¾ 12   9 8 (wong jonathan)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 8.95  
MUTED 5 9 63 6   6 9 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 42.91  
11  NAPA CANDY 11 10 1110¾ 10   11 10 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 36.13  
CURRENT CLIMATE 6 4 87 9   7 11 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 12.31  
AWESOME TREAT 8 5 5 7   1212¼ 1220¾ (wojczynski )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 26.79  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.