Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-2   Win (6/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-3   Win (11/12/6/3/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-4   Win (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (9/12/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (3/7/1/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (5/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-10   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
KEE-11   Win (2/3/12/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   04/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUMPTASTIC Feb11 Jan14       (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 126 8.00    
SCR  COVET Mar03         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
OGLETHORPE Mar17 Jul22 Jun03     (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 126 1.80 25% 3.00    
BOONE'S PATH Mar25 Mar02 Jan25 Dec31 Dec11 (young terr)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00    
ARTWELL Mar11         (danner kelsey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
BRAGGADOCIOUS         (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 126 12.00    
MAGICAL POWER Mar18         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 51% 0.90    
 
KEE-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSABLINGTHING         (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00    
ZIPPIN PIPPIN Mar26 Mar05 Feb04     (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 11% 8.00    
MIDNIGHT GRIND Aug06 Jun23       (ewing ann)ACHARD ALEX 125 15.00    
BINGO STAR         (delgado h)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
GOOD TOHAVE AROUND Nov02         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
PLEASE BE KIND Feb16 Jan19 Dec22 Nov09 Sep28 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 1.60 49% 1.10    
SCR  UNIFIED DECISION Sep18 Aug06 Jun25     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTSY HOT Mar23 Apr28 Apr02     (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 125 30.00    
DOT MARIE Mar08 Feb12 Nov02 Oct16 Sep01 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00    
10  KATE'S CONCERTO Mar18 Feb22 Dec01 Nov02 Sep14 (lucas w)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  SINNERS SAINTS Jan02 Oct30 Jan16     (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
SCR  MERRILY RUSH         (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEST COASTER         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ROMEO LIMA Mar09 Feb11 Dec17 Nov27 Oct26 (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
VIVAR Feb22 Jan21 Oct21 Sep05 Jan29 (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
JAMES ALOYSIUS Mar08 Apr23       (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 12% 7.50    
BULLSEYE BUN Mar16 Feb22 Jan21 Dec28 Dec01 (green troy)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
COMMON BOND Mar11 Feb04 Jan07 Dec11 Nov02 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
EASY TIME Jan01 Oct21 Jun12 May13 Mar18 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 13% 6.40    
MUTAKATIF (IRE) Dec28 Dec17 Nov11 Sep05 Aug22 (brown h)AYALA ISAIAS 118 50.00    
ALTAZOR (ARG)         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Mar31 Feb23 Feb01 Jan18 Dec16 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
10  PUNCH HARD         (beckman whi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
11  PORTFOLIO COMPANY Jan01 Oct29 Aug13 Jun26 May07 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 33% 2.00    
12  EYES ON TARGET Mar04 Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 Sep03 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 17% 5.00    
13  BLESS THE KITTEN Mar10 Feb09 Jan18 Dec03 Nov12 (grubbs ja)DE CRUZ 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGHESTDISTINCTION Mar17 Aug20 Jul30 Jun26 Jun02 (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
 
KEE-4   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE STUNT Mar18 Jun26 Jun10 May06   (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00    
GEAUX YOSHKA Jan22 Dec10 Oct26 Sep03 Aug13 (robertson mc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00    
SCR  PICO D'ORO Feb18 Jan22 Nov21 Nov08 Oct15 (caramori caio)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00    
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Mar09 Feb12 Jun03 Apr08 Jan15 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
WELLMAN Feb21 Jan17 Dec17 Oct28 Sep13 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 15.00 8% 12.00    
C'MON MAN Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 Dec26 Dec04 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
IMPLEMENTATION Oct27 Oct08 Aug23 Jul09   (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.60 41% 1.50    
COURTHOUSE COVE Mar09 Feb26 Feb12 Jan15 Dec23 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  READY PURSUIT Mar24 Mar15 Feb25 Feb02 Jan07 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYREDWHITEANDBLUE Mar04 Jan06 Nov18 Sep10   (roussel loui)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 18.90    
STONEMONT REUNION Feb24 Jan20 Dec29     (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00    
CLASSIC CREATION Feb04 Jan07 Dec03 Sep03 Aug07 (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
EMPEROR'S APPEAL Mar11 Feb04 Dec16 Nov13   (lynch a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
DESERT DUKE Feb25 Feb03 Jan06 Dec16   (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
BABY BILLY Mar25 Feb18 Jan01 Dec03 Nov06 (sisterson jack)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00    
ESCAPOLOGIST Mar25 Mar01 Jan28 Jan14 Nov26 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
CLEVER THOUGHT Mar18 Feb16       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
REALLY GOOD Nov04 Oct09 Sep14 Jul23   (maker michael)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00    
10  FIRST STRIKE Feb11 Dec16 Oct18     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
11  THREE ON THE TREE Mar19 Jan28 Jan21 Nov03 Oct01 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
12  DARK SIDE (IRE) Mar10         (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 15.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D Mar04 Oct29 Oct09 Aug31 Jul30 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
SCR  OCEAN POINTE Mar25 Mar16 Feb03 Jan01 Dec11 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 10.00    
SCR  BATTLE OF NORMANDY Nov04 Oct02 Aug31 Aug06   (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  SAM STORMY Feb25 Oct30 Sep08     (kenneally edd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
 
KEE-6   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRY UP HANNAH         (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
NIKKI M P Feb12         (walsh p)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
AMERICAN MAESTRA         (gallagher willia)HUGHES CARLY 120 50.00    
PICK ME GURL Mar25         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 8% 11.90    
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Nov10 Sep22 Aug28     (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
BOLD ICE         (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
OLDEST SISTER Mar11         (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
MISS ARLINGTON Mar31 Mar01       (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
SCYLLA         (mott i)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 25% 2.90    
10  ZEITLOS Sep16 Aug13       (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
11  BRENDA         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00    
12  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Feb18 Dec10 Jul13     (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CORRI FELICE         (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
SCR  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Apr01 Mar17 Mar11 Feb26 Feb05 (cash l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00    
SCR  MAGICAL LUTE Sep16 Jul04       (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 9% 10.50    
 
KEE-7   04/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBER ROAD Mar11 Feb10 Jan28 Dec17 Jun11 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
GRAPHIC DETAIL Mar10 Feb03 Dec29 Dec02 Apr02 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
YORK TAVERN Mar04 Jan25 Dec17 Nov03 Sep18 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
PRINCIPE D'ORO Feb25 Apr02 Jan15     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
HUSBAND MATERIAL Feb25 Jan28       (toner j)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
CRUMP Mar26 Feb25 Jan06 Dec15 Feb28 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 8% 11.30    
TEPEU Oct01 Aug13 Jul01 Jun05 May15 (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
MASTER GAME Feb21 Jan19 Dec08 Oct26 Sep13 (forster t)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
KEE-8   04/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Giant's Causeway Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAIN TO ARTEMUS Mar11 Feb18 Jan18 Dec18 Nov17 (breen kelly)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
CREATIVE CREDIT Dec03 Oct16 Sep24 Sep10 Aug07 (haehn r)OUZTS W 122 50.00    
HAPPY SOUL Oct08 Sep13 Jul09 May20 Apr08 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
OEUVRE Feb21 Jan14 Dec03 Oct22 Oct02 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMY C (GB) Jan02 Oct29 Jul23 Jun18 May01 (d'amato phili)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00    
MINAUN (IRE) Mar02 Jul18 May13 Apr16   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
OPENING BUZZ Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 Dec01 Oct19 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 20% 3.90    
QUEROBIN DOURADA Feb24 Dec30 Dec01 Oct16 Sep13 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 30.00    
MINER'S QUEEN Feb21 Dec03 Oct29 Sep01 Aug03 (hernandez rey)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
10  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) Oct16 Jul29 May14 Apr10   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
11  LITTLE JEWEL Mar11 Feb03 Jan06     (vaccarezza car)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
12  STAR DEVINE (IRE) Nov27 Oct16 Sep10 Jul23 Jun10 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
13  MAMBA WAMBA (IRE) Mar11 Feb11 Dec24 Dec01 Apr30 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
SCR  SARAH HARPER Mar02 Jan21 Dec17 Nov06 Oct09 (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
SCR  FAST GISELLE Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 Jan28 Dec22 (galindo-torres cl)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00    
 
KEE-9   04/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Stonestreet Lexington Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BASELINE BEATER Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec08 Nov13 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
REINVEST Mar22 Feb04       (hamm timothy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
DEMOLITION DUKE Mar19 Feb05       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  TRANSECT Mar04 Feb10 Jan20     (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
FIRST MISSION Mar18 Feb18       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
DISARM Mar25 Feb19 Aug06 Jun19   (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 10% 8.90    
DENINGTON Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
EMPIRESTRIKESFAST Mar11         (mott willia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00    
PRAIRIE HAWK Mar11 Feb11 Jan13 Dec02 Oct15 (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
10  CURLY LARRY AND MO Mar11 Nov04 Oct15 Sep04 Aug11 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 50.00    
11  ARABIAN LION Feb04 Dec17 Nov04 Oct09   (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
KEE-10   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC14 FIRM Jenny Wiley Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIZZA BIANCA Dec26 Dec04 Oct15 May20 Apr24 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 123 20.00    
IN ITALIAN (GB) Nov05 Oct08 Jul16 Jun11 May07 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 65% 0.50    
QUEEN GODDESS Jan28 Dec31 May14 Mar26 Feb12 (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Mar24 Mar11 Mar04 Feb16 Oct28 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00    
WITH THE MOONLIGHT (IRE) Aug20 Aug07 Jul09     (appleby charl)BUICK T 123 2.50    
SKIMS (GB) Dec26 Oct15 Sep05 Aug25 Jul22 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 123 20.00    
SCR  HENRIETTA TOPHAM Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug07 Jul14 (mulcahy geof)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00    
SCR  FREEDOM SPEAKS Oct22 Sep13 Aug19 Jun18 May12 (rodriguez dar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 20.00 7% 12.60    
WHITE FROST Mar04 Jan26       (mott willia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00    
 
KEE-11   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR SO SILLEA Mar16 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Nov21 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
TOP GUN GIRL Nov20 Sep14 Aug08     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 32% 2.20    
RADIO DAYS Feb19 Jul03 May20 Apr10 Mar05 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
IRONIC TWIST Feb18 Mar06 Jan29     (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
MUTED Mar11 May19       (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
CURRENT CLIMATE Mar16 Jan25 Jan12 Nov21 Nov01 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
OVA CHARGED Mar05 Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 Mar27 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 9% 10.00    
AWESOME TREAT Mar17 Feb23 Jan28 Dec30 Dec04 (wojczynski )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MY KENTUCKY GIRL Mar16 Jan04 Nov21 Oct29 Sep04 (wong jonathan)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
10  STREET JAM Mar24 Jan26 Dec14 Oct07 Sep10 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
11  NAPA CANDY Nov27 Oct15 Aug27 Jul09 Jun03 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
12  TARABI Sep24 Jul14 Jun18     (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 13% 6.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.