The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Saratoga
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $11.80 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-1 2 0 $25.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-1-5 3 0 $65.25 -12.00
SAR-2   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $3.90 $3.90 -0.10
    Exacta (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 7-6 2 0 $8.90 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 7-6-5 3 0 $23.25 0.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/7)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 8-7 2 0 $20.20 -8.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/7)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 8-1 2 0 $7.80 -8.00
SAR-3   Win (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Exacta (5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-7 2 1 $9.10 $9.10 3.10
    Trifecta (5/7/8)-(5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-7-1 3 0 $11.10 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/7)-(5/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-5 2 1 $6.10 $6.10 0.10
    Pick Three (1/2/4/7)-(3/7)-(5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-7-5 3 0 $48.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4/7)-(3/7)-(5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-1-5 3 0 $20.30 -24.00
SAR-4   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 0 $10.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-5-6 3 0 $48.87 -3.00
    Daily Double (5/7/8)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 5-3 2 1 $4.90 $4.90 -4.10
    Pick Three (3/7)-(5/7/8)-(2/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 7-5-3 3 1 $15.50 $15.50 -2.50
SAR-5   Win (2/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
    Exacta (2/3/8/9)-(2/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1 2 0 $21.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/8/9)-(2/3/8/9)-(2/3/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-1-2 3 0 $37.25 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(2/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-3 2 1 $9.70 $9.70 -2.30
    Pick Three (5/7/8)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 5-3-3 3 1 $30.25 $30.25 -5.75
SAR-6   Win (1/2/3/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $4.30 $4.30 -5.70
    Exacta (1/2/3/5/10)-(1/2/3/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 3-10 2 1 $13.30 $13.30 -6.70
    Trifecta (1/2/3/5/10)-(1/2/3/5/10)-(1/2/3/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 3-10-2 3 1 $108.62 $108.62 78.62
    Daily Double (2/3/8/9)-(1/2/3/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 3-3 2 1 $13.40 $13.40 -6.60
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(2/3/8/9)-(1/2/3/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 3-3-3 3 1 $39.00 $39.00 -21.00
SAR-7   Win (1/2/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -7.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/6/8)-(1/2/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-3 2 0 $5.70 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/6/8)-(1/2/4/6/8)-(1/2/4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 1-3-2 3 0 $7.80 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/5/10)-(1/2/4/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 3-1 2 1 $4.45 $4.45 -20.55
    Pick Three (2/3/8/9)-(1/2/3/5/10)-(1/2/4/6/8) 100 $1.00 $100.00 3-3-1 3 1 $23.40 $23.40 -76.60
SAR-8   Win (1/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
    Exacta (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-8 2 1 $6.70 $6.70 -5.30
    Trifecta (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-8-2 3 1 $9.10 $9.10 -2.90
    Daily Double (1/2/4/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-1 2 1 $3.60 $3.60 -16.40
    Pick Three (1/2/3/5/10)-(1/2/4/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 100 $1.00 $100.00 3-1-1 3 1 $8.20 $8.20 -91.80
SAR-9   Win (1/5/7/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $30.80 $30.80 20.80
    Exacta (1/5/7/10/11)-(1/5/7/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 11-10 2 1 $59.75 $59.75 39.75
    Trifecta (1/5/7/10/11)-(1/5/7/10/11)-(1/5/7/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 11-10-12 3 0 $233.50 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/8)-(1/5/7/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-11 2 1 $31.75 $31.75 11.75
    Pick Three (1/2/4/6/8)-(1/2/6/8)-(1/5/7/10/11) 100 $1.00 $100.00 1-1-11 3 1 $42.75 $42.75 -57.25
SAR-10   Win (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 14.00
    Exacta (2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-7 2 1 $20.30 $20.30 14.30
    Trifecta (2/7/8)-(2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-7-4 3 0 $36.75 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/5/7/10/11)-(2/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 11-2 2 1 $155.25 $155.25 140.25
    Pick Three (1/2/6/8)-(1/5/7/10/11)-(2/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 1-11-2 3 1 $288.00 $288.00 228.00

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/20/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
:224 :453 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTAGE 7 4 21 1½   112 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 4.90  
STUNNINGLY 1 1 5 43   222 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 8% 11.70 3.15 P
REVOLVING CREDIT 5 7 6 66   5310¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 6.70  
SISTER MAHA 4 3 11 2½   4411¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.55  
MS. SOLVEIG 6 5 75 77   68 511¾ (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 6% 16.70 13.60  
FEATHERING 2 6 4 31   32 613½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 39% 1.60 6.50  
DARK PRINCESS 3 2 32 5   711 732¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 14.90  
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
 
SAR-2   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
:222 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTONIO OF VENICE 4 4 3½ 2nk   12 1(rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60 32% 2.10 0.95 W
CATIRE VIZCAYA 3 1 1nk 1nk   22 2(avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 8.00 4.50  
HONEST AL 2 5 43 43   34 3(motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 7.00  
ASTRONOMICO 1 2 2nk 3½   44 4(gutierrez )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 19% 4.40 5.20  
GROUP TICKET 5 3 5 5   58 516 (sweezey kent)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 3.45  
SCR  LINDSAY'S BUTTON               (lynch natalia)TORRES A 114 15.00    
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  WALSTIB               (mcpeek g)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-3   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:214 :444 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLY FLAMMABLE 3 5 63 6   3½ 12 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 39% 1.60 1.60 W
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 5 4 5 52   522 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 13% 6.90 2.60 P
KING JAMES 1 1 1½ 1½   1nk 3(summers chad)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 4.50  
WAR TERMINATOR 2 2 42 4   4¾ 4(contessa c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 19.60  
SANDRONE 4 3 2½ 2½   2nk 54 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5.60  
DESTIN'S MISSION 6 6 3 31   66(servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 17% 5.10 5.20  
SCR  CAMM' DUKE               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  GIRAMONTE               (gyarmati leah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 30.00    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK               (kimmel c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  JESTER'S SONG               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
:243 :48 1:121 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTI XTREME 3 4 32 31 1 1110¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 36% 1.80 1.40 W
HALO CITY 5 5 5 44 44 2210¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7.20  
GREATEST LOVE 6 6 610½ 612½ 613 514 314¼ (chatterpaul naipa)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 13% 6.90 11.60 S
MARIAH'S FORTUNE 1 1 11 1½ 2 310 415¾ (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 5.30  
WITH THIS VOW 2 2 21 2½ 3 414 527 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 14% 6.30 2.55  
GOOD PENNY 4 3 4 5 5 620½ 653½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 5.90  
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND               (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 20.00    
 
SAR-5   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
:23 :464 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY MASON 3 3 2nk 2nk   11(sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 36% 1.80 3.50 W
CROWN THAT SAINT 1 4 4 41   22(noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 3.20  
UNCLE EDDIE 2 1 1nk 1nk   3312 (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 15% 5.50 5.60 S
THREEWHITESOLDIERS 6 5 76 7   5416 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
ROCK STAR BOY 7 2 31 3½   48 519 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 28% 2.60 2.10  
MAYOR JACK 5 6 6 63   611 623½ (giddings m)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 12.00  
BALANCE SHEET 4 7 53 5   713½ 727¾ (serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 11.80  
SCR  COWBOY LUKE               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
SAR-6   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:00
:22 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) 3 4 7 7   51¾ (arnold r)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 70% 0.40 1.15 W
10  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) 10 1 11 1½   12¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 8% 11.30 6.30 P
PARADE RING (IRE) 2 7 6 6   331 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 44.50 S
LAMORNA 4 10 10 8   64(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7.30  
NEOM BEACH 8 5 21 2½   252 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 10.20  
GEMOFAPERFORMANCE 9 9 8 9   76(motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 11.10  
DANCING NANCY 6 2 42 42   87(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 4.60  
SAN PANTALEO 1 3 31 32   485 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
IMPUDENCE 5 6 9 1010¼   99(abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 49.75  
RAICHU 7 8 53 5   1013¼ 1014½ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 20.00 25.50  
SCR  LATER DARLING               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  LIFE'S JOY               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
:243 :49 1:124 1:24   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 4 3 31 42 4 11 13 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.00 60% 0.70 0.50 W
1A  CALL ME HARRY 8 1 11 11 11 21 23 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.00 0.50  
AGENT CREED 2 4 42 31 3 32 35 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 6.00 7.20  
CITIZEN K 1 5 6 6 6 43 4(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 9% 10.50 7.00  
FRANK'S ART 5 9 9 9 9 95(clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 11.80  
CONMAN 3 6 5 53 5 54 66 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 18.50 9.50  
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 6 7 7 8 76 85 77 (abreu fernan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
GRADED ON A CURVE 9 8 8 75 8 78(delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
GHOST GIANT 7 2 21 21 21 64 910¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 28.25  
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES               (duggan p)RIDER TBA 122 15.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60    
SCR  THRILL OF IT               (terranova john)TORRES A 117 8.00    
SCR  WILD BANKER               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/20/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
:232 :463 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSIENKO 1 7 63 6   112 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 23% 3.40 1.20 W
SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 7 1 2½ 2nk   222 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 9% 9.60 2.60 P
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 2 6 4 4   53(barrera s)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 38% 1.60 4.90 S
INVALUABLE 5 4 52 31   34 4(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 8% 11.30 12.50  
KNOWING GLANCE 3 2 3 5   47 5(breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5.60  
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 4 3 1½ 1nk   614 622¼ (shirer a)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 18.80  
RUVIES IN TIME 6 5 7 7   721 731 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 44.50  
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
 
SAR-9   07/20/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
:233 :471 1:111 1:351   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WHISPER NOT (GB) 11 8 9 8 73 2nk 1½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40 W
10  CHASING THE CROWN 10 9 10 10 9 4¼ 2½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 10% 9.00 4.70 P
12  NAPOLEONIC WAR 12 5 6 6 52 1nk 3(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 7.90  
JAMES ALOYSIUS 5 6 5 5 62 5½ 4(gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 23% 3.30 5.00  
FULL SCREEN 2 11 11 12 11 82 54 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00 35.25  
ARI GOLD 1 12 3 4 4 6½ 6(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 20% 3.90 5.30  
SARATOGA FLASH 6 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 3.2 7(joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 12.80  
OCALA DREAM 9 7 7 7 8 987 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 27.75  
LUCKY CURLIN 3 3 8 9 12 104 9(abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 122 30.00 46.00  
TOUGH TICKETS 8 10 12 11 10 1110(wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00 39.75  
EXACT ESTIMATE 7 4 4 3 31 72 119 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 3.50 24% 3.20 2.25  
PINE KNOLL 4 2 1nk 2nk 2½ 129 1232 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 29.50  
SCR  GUNTOWN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.80    
SCR  HIGH TIDE               (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
 
SAR-10   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
:241 :491 1:133 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA 1 1 12 1 1 11¼ (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 8% 11.20 9.00 W
RAMBLIN' WRECK 5 4 44 4 4 22¼ (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 29% 2.50 0.55 P
VACATION DANCE 2 2 22 2 2 34 3(kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 10.50  
WILLINTORISKITALL 4 3 33 3 3 45 4(d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 17.10  
TWENTY SIX BLACK 6 5 5 54 54 56 5(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
MAMA BANNED ME 3 6 610 69 6 611 6(follett norman)BROWN DALTON 118 30.00 19.70  
SCR  GEM MINT TEN               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.