Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $11.80  
SAR-2   Win (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
SAR-3   Win (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
SAR-4   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
SAR-5   Win (3/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
SAR-6   Win (3/10/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
SAR-7   Win (1/2/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
SAR-8   Win (2/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
SAR-9   Win (7/5/1/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $30.80 $30.80 20.80
SAR-10   Win (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 14.00
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PORTAGE 7 4 21 1½   11½ 12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 4.90  
1  STUNNINGLY 1 1 53½ 43   21½ 22 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 8% 11.70 3.15 P
5  REVOLVING CREDIT 5 7 64½ 66   56½ 310¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 6.70  
4  SISTER MAHA 4 3 11 2½   44½ 411¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.55  
7  MS. SOLVEIG 6 5 75 77   68 511¾ (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 6% 16.70 13.60  
2  FEATHERING 2 6 42½ 31   32 613½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 39% 1.60 6.50  
3  DARK PRINCESS 3 2 32 54½   711 732¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 14.90  
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
 
SAR-2   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ANTONIO OF VENICE 4 4 3½ 2nk   12 14¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60 32% 2.10 0.95 W
6  CATIRE VIZCAYA 3 1 1nk 1nk   22 24¼ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 8.00 4.50  
5  HONEST AL 2 5 43 43   34 36¾ (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 7.00  
3  ASTRONOMICO 1 2 2nk 3½   44 48¼ (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 119 8.00 19% 4.40 5.20  
8  GROUP TICKET 5 3 53½ 53¼   58 516 (sweezey kent)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 3.45  
SCR  LINDSAY'S BUTTON               (lynch natalia)TORRES A 114 15.00    
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  WALSTIB               (mcpeek g)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-3   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE 3 5 63 62½   3½ 12 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 39% 1.60 1.60 W
7  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 5 4 52½ 52   51¼ 22 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 13% 6.90 2.60 P
1  KING JAMES (IRE) 1 1 1½ 1½   1nk 32½ (summers chad)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 4.50  
4  WAR TERMINATOR 2 2 42 41½   4¾ 42½ (contessa c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 19.60  
6  SANDRONE 4 3 2½ 2½   2nk 54 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5.60  
8  DESTIN'S MISSION 6 6 31½ 31   61¾ 65½ (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 17% 5.10 5.20  
SCR  CAMM' DUKE               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  GIRAMONTE               (gyarmati leah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 30.00    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK               (kimmel c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  JESTER'S SONG               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:121 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRETTI XTREME 3 4 32 31 11½ 17½ 110¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 36% 1.80 1.40 W
5  HALO CITY 5 5 53½ 44 44 27½ 210¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7.20  
6  GREATEST LOVE 6 6 610½ 612½ 613 514 314¼ (chatterpaul naipa)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 13% 6.90 11.60 S
1  MARIAH'S FORTUNE 1 1 11 1½ 21½ 310 415¾ (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 5.30  
2  WITH THIS VOW 2 2 21 2½ 33½ 414 527 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 14% 6.30 2.55  
4  GOOD PENNY 4 3 43½ 54½ 59½ 620½ 653½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 5.90  
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND               (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 20.00    
 
SAR-5   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :464 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRAZY MASON 3 3 2nk 2nk   16½ 19½ (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 36% 1.80 3.50 W
1  CROWN THAT SAINT 1 4 41½ 41   26½ 29½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 3.20  
2  UNCLE EDDIE 2 1 1nk 1nk   36½ 312 (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 15% 5.50 5.60 S
8  THREEWHITESOLDIERS 6 5 76 74½   58½ 416 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
9  ROCK STAR BOY 7 2 31 3½   48 519 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 28% 2.60 2.10  
6  MAYOR JACK 5 6 64½ 63   611 623½ (giddings m)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 12.00  
4  BALANCE SHEET 4 7 53 52½   713½ 727¾ (serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 11.80  
SCR  COWBOY LUKE               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
SAR-6   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:22 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KODIAC WINTERGREEN (IRE) 3 4 73¾ 73¾   54¾ 1¾ (arnold r)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 70% 0.40 1.15 W
10  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) 10 1 11 1½   12½ 2¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 8% 11.30 6.30 P
2  PARADE RING (IRE) 2 7 63¼ 62¾   32½ 31 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 44.50 S
4  LAMORNA 4 10 107¼ 84¾   64¾ 41¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7.30  
8  NEOM BEACH 8 5 21 2½   22½ 52 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 10.20  
9  GEMOFAPERFORMANCE 9 9 85¾ 96¼   75¾ 64¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 11.10  
6  DANCING NANCY 6 2 42 42   86¾ 74¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 4.60  
1  SAN PANTALEO 1 3 31 32   42¾ 85 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
5  IMPUDENCE 5 6 97¼ 1010¼   99¾ 96½ (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 49.75  
7  RAICHU 7 8 53 52½   1013¼ 1014½ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 20.00 25.50  
SCR  LATER DARLING               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  LIFE'S JOY               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:124 1:24   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 4 3 31 42 42½ 11 13 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.00 60% 0.70 0.50 W
1A  CALL ME HARRY 8 1 11 11 11 21 23 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.00 0.50  
3  AGENT CREED 2 4 42 31 31½ 32 35 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 6.00 7.20  
2  CITIZEN K 1 5 62¾ 63½ 64½ 43 45¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 9% 10.50 7.00  
5  FRANK'S ART 5 9 95¼ 97¾ 97¾ 95¼ 55¾ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 11.80  
4  CONMAN 3 6 52½ 53 54½ 54 66 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 18.50 9.50  
6  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 6 7 74¼ 85¼ 76 85 77 (abreu fernan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
8  GRADED ON A CURVE 9 8 84¾ 75 86¼ 74½ 87¼ (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
7  GHOST GIANT 7 2 21 21 21 64 910¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 28.25  
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES               (duggan p)RIDER TBA 122 15.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60    
SCR  THRILL OF IT               (terranova john)TORRES A 117 8.00    
SCR  WILD BANKER               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSIENKO 1 7 63 62¼   12½ 12 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 23% 3.40 1.20 W
8  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 7 1 2½ 2nk   22½ 22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 9% 9.60 2.60 P
2  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 2 6 41½ 41¼   57½ 33¾ (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 38% 1.60 4.90 S
6  INVALUABLE 5 4 52 31   34 44½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 8% 11.30 12.50  
3  KNOWING GLANCE 3 2 31½ 51¾   47 57¼ (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5.60  
4  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 4 3 1½ 1nk   614 622¼ (shirer a)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 18.80  
7  RUVIES IN TIME 6 5 73½ 77¾   721 731 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 44.50  
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
 
SAR-9   07/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:111 1:351   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WHISPER NOT (GB) 11 8 95¼ 86¾ 73 2nk 1½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40 W
10  CHASING THE CROWN 10 9 105¾ 107¾ 93¼ 4¼ 2½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 10% 9.00 4.70 P
12  NAPOLEONIC WAR 12 5 63¾ 64¾ 52 1nk 31½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 7.90  
5  JAMES ALOYSIUS 5 6 53¼ 54¼ 62 5½ 41¾ (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 23% 3.30 5.00  
2  FULL SCREEN 2 11 116¾ 128¾ 115½ 82 54 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00 35.25  
1  ARI GOLD 1 12 31½ 42¾ 41½ 6½ 65¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 20% 3.90 5.30  
6  SARATOGA FLASH 6 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 3.2 76¼ (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 12.80  
9  OCALA DREAM 9 7 74¾ 76¼ 83¼ 92½ 87 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 27.75  
3  LUCKY CURLIN 3 3 85¼ 97¼ 126½ 104 98½ (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 122 30.00 46.00  
8  TOUGH TICKETS 8 10 127¼ 117¾ 105¼ 115½ 108¾ (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00 39.75  
7  EXACT ESTIMATE 7 4 41¾ 32½ 31 72 119 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 3.50 24% 3.20 2.25  
4  PINE KNOLL 4 2 1nk 2nk 2½ 129 1232 (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 29.50  
SCR  GUNTOWN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.80    
SCR  HIGH TIDE               (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
 
SAR-10   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:133 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA 1 1 12 11½ 11½ 13½ 1¼ (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 8% 11.20 9.00 W
7  RAMBLIN' WRECK 5 4 44 43½ 42½ 23½ 2¼ (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 29% 2.50 0.55 P
4  VACATION DANCE 2 2 22 21½ 21½ 34 34¾ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 10.50  
6  WILLINTORISKITALL 4 3 33 32½ 32½ 45 44¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 17.10  
8  TWENTY SIX BLACK 6 5 54½ 54 54 56 55½ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
5  MAMA BANNED ME 3 6 610 69 69½ 611 69¾ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 118 30.00 19.70  
SCR  GEM MINT TEN               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.