The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Keeneland
Friday - April 28, 2023
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KEE-1   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT- 1:00
:232 :463 1:113 1:391   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLAMAND 4 1 32 48 48 12 1¾ (lopez elias)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 7.82 W
1  CHIQUITA MOSCA 1 3 69¼ 612 611 53 2¾ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 111 20.00 22.22  
3  TITUBA 3 2 54¼ 59½ 37½ 43 31½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 2.68  
6  PACHANGA LOCA 6 6 12 16½ 16½ 22 43¾ (gutierrez )RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 26% 2.90 6.28  
5  HUNTLEIGH 5 4 22 26½ 26½ 32½ 56¼ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 34% 1.90 1.19  
2  NEED SOME MONEY 2 5 44 37½ 58½ 67½ 68 (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 4.86  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD               (compton greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.80 10% 9.10    
 
KEE-2   04/28/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
:222 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  TITO'S N KENZ 10 5 41¾     32 1hd (mendez luis)CANNON DECLAN 114 8.00 12.72  
1  BUNDCHEN 1 8 11½     11½ 2hd (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.80 18% 4.60 0.72 P
4  DONATE LIFE 3 6 52¾     21½ 3.15 (schoenthal ph)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 7.07  
9  YELLOW SUN DRESS 6 3 74¾     44 4½ (colebrook )RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 19.99  
13  INTERMITTENT FAST 9 2 21½     54 53¾ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 28.83  
5  LIAM'S MESSAGE 4 10 910¾     77¾ 67 (gutierrez faust)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5.93  
6  ANORIA 5 4 64¼     67½ 78¾ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
3  FIFTH CIRCUIT 2 7 1012¼     910¾ 810½ (mccutchen rob)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00 5% 19.00 55.84  
12  AMERICAN TSUNAMI 8 9 87¾     1011¾ 913½ (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 7.56  
10  NEXT DOT 7 1 31½     89¼ 1017 (hancock a)NAVAS YOEL 109 30.00 31.76  
SCR  BEYOND OSCAR               (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  CHITARRA (IRE)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  HOLLYWOODBOULEVARD               (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
SCR  MOMBAYLA               (mccutchen jas)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00    
SCR  PIANGERE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00    
SCR  SHE A BADDIE               (beckman d )SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:25 :501 1:15 1:414   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PRANA 7 4 21½ 2½ 11 11½ 11¼ (hiles jeff )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 20.76  
5  DEE DEE B 4 1 54½ 55½ 56½ 34 21¼ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.00 19% 4.20 3.25 P
9  CATHERINE BLAZE 8 3 75½ 65½ 66½ 46 31¾ (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 8.96  
4  VIEWERS DISCRETION 3 2 32 32 21 21½ 46 (gorder kelly)CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.00 53% 0.90 2.32  
2  IMPECCABLE TASTE 1 5 11½ 1½ 32 56 56½ (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 126 6.00 ★ 12.84  
7  REPLENISH 6 6 43½ 42½ 44 69 614¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 1.69  
3  AGENDA 2 8 86 77½ 810¾ 716 730¼ (demeritte larry)MCENTEE GRACE 118 30.00 5% 19.00 33.65  
6  LIL BIT OF CAPITOL 5 9 97½ 88½ 710½ 817 832¼ (pittman bonnie)MORALES EDGAR 126 30.00 55.11  
10  CAUGHTINMYWEB 9 7 65½ 99 925¾ 937 965¾ (barrett roddi)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00 54.33  
SCR  JACKIE'S LOVE               (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 126 15.00    
 
KEE-4   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:241 :48 1:121 1:38   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARDANWOOD 2 1 11 11 12 15 111½ (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 ★ 2.02  
4  ODDSONTONY 3 2 42½ 42 32 25 211½ (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 2.96  
5  CODE VIOLATION 4 3 54½ 55 54½ 36½ 312¾ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 125 20.00 ★ 9.47 S
1  FLUTE MASTER 1 5 32½ 31½ 43½ 47 412¾ (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 2.11  
6  MAYFIELD STRONG 5 4 21 21 22 57 515¾ (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 4.22  
SCR  FREEZE POP               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  MALIBU MIKE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 1.80 51% 1.00    
 
KEE-5   04/28/2023 5940ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
:244 :491 1:13 1:373   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WE THE PEOPLE 3 4 11½ 11 11½ 13 13 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 34% 2.00 0.68 W
5  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 5 5 64½ 64½ 65½ 23 23 (williamson )LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 7.03  
1  DASH ATTACK 1 3 32½ 32 42 33½ 37½ (mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 5% 19.00 14.61 S
2  BUSINESS MODEL 2 1 53½ 53 52½ 47 410¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 24% 3.20 6.99  
6  THE REDS 6 6 43 42½ 32 59 513¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 7.43  
4  HERO STATUS 4 2 21½ 21 21½ 611 625 (diodoro robertin)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 5.09  
 
KEE-6   04/28/2023 6270ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
:233 1:123 1:38     1:572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUCH SOUNDS 1 10 106¼ 96¼ 87 76¼ 11¼ (bauer a)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 20.00 ★ 17.16  
8  SAHLABIYA 7 4 11 1½ 12 13½ 21¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.50 33% 2.00 1.58 P
3  RAGTIME BELLE 3 11 117¼ 118¼ 108¾ 88¾ 32¾ (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 126 20.00 45.29  
12  TAWARET 11 8 63½ 63¾ 64½ 34½ 43 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 8% 11.90 4.64  
6  PENUMBRAS MAKER 6 6 84¼ 74¼ 75½ 45½ 53¼ (gutierrez )RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 9.06  
9  PURE COUNTRY 8 7 52 42 32½ 23½ 64 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 29% 2.40 4.80  
5  DETERMINED GOLD 5 3 41½ 52¼ 53 65¾ 76¾ (schoenthal ph)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 20.00 16.42  
2  CHIROMANTE (IRE) 2 1 31½ 32 22 55½ 89 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 126 10.00 10.15  
4  CAMELOT BEAUTY (IRE) 4 2 74 84¾ 98½ 914¼ 917¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 16.16  
11  IZABELLABELLA 10 9 95¾ 106¾ 119¼ 1016¾ 1017¾ (netherwood su)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00 63.76  
10  SELDOM SEEN 9 5 21 2½ 42½ 1118¾ 1130¾ (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 16.56  
SCR  ALEATORY               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 20.00    
SCR  DIXIE SUPREME               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  PROUD PERFORMER               (king l)MOJICA JR 118 50.00    
SCR  SRI LANKA               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  VAGARIES (IRE)               (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 126 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
:221 :452 1:10     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOYAL COMPANY 6 7 66 54   32½ 1¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.72 W
2  DARK VECTOR 2 2 21½ 2nk   11 2¾ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★ 6.20 P
3  CASTLEWARDEN 3 5 42½ 42   21 32¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 31% 2.20 1.29 S
7  SURFACE TO AIR 7 8 78½ 75   46 49 (miller darrin)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 30.74  
5  BAD BOY FRANK 5 10 913 89½   79 59½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 22% 3.50 4.14  
9  MO HOPE 9 3 53½ 64½   68 611 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 20.00 13.30  
4  PILOTE COMETE 4 9 1013¼ 1112¼   911 711¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 30.36  
12  RUNNINGFORJOY 11 11 1113¾ 1010¼   1111½ 813¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 120 20.00 32.32  
11  KING OF KENTUCKY 10 1 32½ 31½   57 914¾ (o'neill doug)HEARD TYLER 120 30.00 58.61  
8  GHENT ROAD 8 4 810 99¾   1011 1016½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 20.13  
1  RUN FOR REAGAN 1 6 11½ 1nk   810½ 1122 (wohlers laura)RAMOS D 120 15.00 52.50  
SCR  CITIZEN               (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00    
SCR  DEMETRIUS               (frazier matt)LANERIE J 120 30.00    
SCR  GOLD GHOST               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
KEE-8   04/28/2023 7920ft TURF GOOD Bewitch Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
:262 :522 1:184 1:441 2:083 2:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WAR LIKE GODDESS 4 43½ 33 32 1nk 11 11½ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 0.60 66% 0.50 0.50 W
2  TEMPLE CITY TERROR 2 33½ 43 42½ 31 21 21½ (walsh p)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★ 3.98 P
5  PERSONAL BEST 5 12 12 12 2nk 34 312½ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 ★ 3.40 S
3  ENSEMBLE (IRE) 3 55½ 55 55 44 47½ 415½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 13.54  
1  CHATON ROUGE 1 22 22 22 56 510½ 519¾ (glover tracey)GILLIGAN JACK 118 50.00 32.80  
SCR  SOPRAN BASILEA (IRE)               (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
KEE-9   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
:223 :454 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOURBON HEIST 5 1 45½ 31   14½ 16½ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 108 4.00 18% 4.40 2.41 W
4  OVERBORE 3 2 57 54½   24½ 26½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 ★ 5.40 P
1  A LA CARTE 1 4 22½ 2nk   34½ 38¼ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 123 0.80 58% 0.70 1.12 S
2  DEBATE 2 5 34½ 42   45½ 49½ (drury jr)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★ 4.48  
5  O P FIRECRACKER 4 6 69½ 68   58 513¼ (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 21.59  
7  WAR ROOM 6 3 12½ 1nk   69 621¼ (lejzerowicz )CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 20.90  
SCR  TRIPLE ELVIS               (blair jordan)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
 
KEE-10   04/28/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
:24 :49 1:14 1:26   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TURF KING (IRE) 3 3 52½ 54 53¾ 21 1nk (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 2.00 40% 1.50 1.31 W
5  MORE THAN LOOKS 5 12 128 128½ 105½ 72 2nk (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 117 10.00 8.88  
2  MIDNIGHT RISING 2 9 106½ 107½ 126 103 32½ (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00 9.13 S
11  WICO (IRE) 10 6 63½ 74½ 64¼ 31 42¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 3.50 21% 3.80 6.55  
1  MOVISITOR 1 1 42 32½ 22 41½ 54 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 30.00 45.20  
4  TIGER PAW (IRE) 4 2 11 11½ 12 11 64¼ (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 30.00 75.23  
9  ITZOS 8 5 32 43 74¼ 93 75 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 117 20.00 26.11  
10  MOONSTRIKE (GB) 9 8 84½ 85½ 116 82 85¾ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 117 50.00 5% 19.00 54.11  
7  DUNEDIN 7 10 117 118 84½ 113¼ 96 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 117 5.00 6% 14.50 6.00  
6  LAVER 6 4 21 21½ 32 61¾ 109¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 117 12.00 17.62  
13  SPY NOVEL 12 11 95½ 96 43½ 51¾ 1110¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 117 20.00 15.83  
12  GOOD HEART 11 7 74 64½ 95 123¾ 1211½ (walsh p)ORTIZ L 117 15.00 11.35  
SCR  FEARLESS SOLDIER               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 117 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.