Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-3   Win (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00
KEE-5   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (8/9/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-8   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00
KEE-9   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-10   Win (3/11/7/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIQUITA MOSCA Apr07 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Dec14 (bahena ismael)MARCANO Y 111 20.00    
2  NEED SOME MONEY Apr07 Feb04 Dec31 Nov18 Oct09 (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
3  TITUBA Mar12 Jan29 Nov24     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
4  FLAMAND Apr02 Feb25 Jan28 Dec26 Oct28 (lopez elias)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HUNTLEIGH Mar25 Feb17 Jan21 Oct20 Sep16 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  PACHANGA LOCA Mar09 Feb18 Feb08 Jan20 Dec17 (gutierrez )RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Apr07 Mar05 Feb04 Dec31 Nov02 (compton greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.80 10% 9.10    
 
KEE-2   04/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUNDCHEN         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.80 18% 4.60    
SCR  BEYOND OSCAR         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
3  FIFTH CIRCUIT         (mccutchen rob)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  DONATE LIFE         (schoenthal ph)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
5  LIAM'S MESSAGE         (gutierrez faust)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
6  ANORIA         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOODBOULEVARD Apr12         (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
SCR  PIANGERE         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00    
9  YELLOW SUN DRESS         (colebrook )RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00    
10  NEXT DOT Apr12         (hancock a)NAVAS YOEL 109 30.00    
SCR  SHE A BADDIE         (beckman d )SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
12  AMERICAN TSUNAMI         (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
13  INTERMITTENT FAST         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
14  TITO'S N KENZ         (mendez luis)STEVENS C 114 8.00    
SCR  MOMBAYLA         (mccutchen jas)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00    
SCR  CHITARRA (IRE)         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
 
KEE-3   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACKIE'S LOVE Mar23 Feb25 Nov17 Oct06 Aug29 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 126 15.00    
2  IMPECCABLE TASTE Mar23 Feb18 Jan31 Dec19 Nov28 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 126 6.00 ★    
3  AGENDA Mar23 Feb08 Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 (demeritte larry)MCENTEE GRACE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  VIEWERS DISCRETION Mar30 Oct24 Oct06 Sep08 Aug09 (gorder kelly)CORRALES GERARDO 126 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  DEE DEE B Mar09         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.00 19% 4.20    
6  LIL BIT OF CAPITOL Mar23 Feb25 Jan28     (pittman bonnie)MORALES EDGAR 126 30.00    
7  REPLENISH Jan06 Nov05 Sep05     (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRANA Jan13 Dec07 Nov10     (hiles jeff )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
9  CATHERINE BLAZE Apr13 Mar24 Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 4.00    
10  CAUGHTINMYWEB Dec07         (barrett roddi)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00    
 
KEE-4   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLUTE MASTER Mar16 Feb16 Jan25 Nov27 Sep05 (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50    
SCR  MALIBU MIKE Mar04 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Oct08 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 1.80 51% 1.00    
3  ARDANWOOD Sep03 Aug13 Jul17 Jun15 Apr28 (robertson mc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 ★    
4  ODDSONTONY Apr12 Mar23 Feb25 Jan21 Dec26 (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
5  CODE VIOLATION Mar28 Mar06 Dec31 Dec11   (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 125 20.00 ★    
6  MAYFIELD STRONG Mar30 Sep14 Jul24 Jul02   (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  FREEZE POP Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
KEE-5   04/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASH ATTACK Apr08 May14 Apr16 Feb26 Jan29 (mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BUSINESS MODEL Mar11 Jan28 Dec26 Nov04 Sep16 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  WE THE PEOPLE Sep24 Aug06 Jun11 May14 Apr02 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 34% 2.00    
4  HERO STATUS Apr01 Feb18 Jan15 Nov25 Nov06 (diodoro robertin)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
5  BRITAIN'S KITTEN Mar11 Feb11 Dec31 Dec11 Nov16 (williamson )LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
6  THE REDS Mar11 Jan28 Nov13 Sep24 Aug19 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/28/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUCH SOUNDS Mar23 Feb25 Dec15 Oct21   (bauer a)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 20.00 ★    
2  CHIROMANTE (IRE) Feb12 Jan14 Jun25 May14   (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 126 10.00    
3  RAGTIME BELLE Mar12 May15 Mar12     (robertson mc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 20.00    
4  CAMELOT BEAUTY (IRE) Mar18         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
5  DETERMINED GOLD Sep30 Sep07 May20 May04 Apr10 (schoenthal ph)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 20.00    
6  PENUMBRAS MAKER Apr07 Feb16 Jan29 Dec26 Dec11 (gutierrez )RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00    
SCR  DIXIE SUPREME Mar09         (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
8  SAHLABIYA Mar12 Jul24 Jun17 May01   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
9  PURE COUNTRY Mar12 Jun22 May29 May04 Apr08 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
10  SELDOM SEEN Mar26         (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
11  IZABELLABELLA         (netherwood su)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00    
12  TAWARET Mar19         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  VAGARIES (IRE) Feb25 Jan28 Aug21 Jun25   (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 126 20.00    
SCR  ALEATORY Jan28 Oct24 Sep26 Sep05 Aug14 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 20.00    
SCR  PROUD PERFORMER Apr06 Feb15 Jan18 Nov20   (king l)MOJICA JR 118 50.00    
SCR  SRI LANKA Jan29 Dec11       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 9% 10.10    
 
KEE-7   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN FOR REAGAN Apr13 Apr01       (wohlers laura)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
2  DARK VECTOR Mar30 Feb25 Jan28     (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★    
3  CASTLEWARDEN Mar25         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  PILOTE COMETE         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
5  BAD BOY FRANK Mar25         (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  LOYAL COMPANY Mar11         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SURFACE TO AIR Jan20 Nov19 Oct21     (miller darrin)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
8  GHENT ROAD         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
9  MO HOPE Jan21 Dec16       (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
SCR  GOLD GHOST Mar11         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
11  KING OF KENTUCKY Mar25 Mar10 Feb03     (o'neill doug)HEARD TYLER 120 30.00    
12  RUNNINGFORJOY         (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 120 20.00    
SCR  CITIZEN Apr02 Jan14 Dec16     (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00    
SCR  DEMETRIUS         (frazier matt)LANERIE J 120 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/28/2023 7920ft TURF RC12 GOOD Bewitch Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHATON ROUGE Mar15 Feb20 Jan13 Dec10 Nov25 (glover tracey)GILLIGAN JACK 118 50.00    
2  TEMPLE CITY TERROR Mar11 Nov25 Oct23 Sep03 Aug06 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★    
3  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Mar04 Feb12 Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
4  WAR LIKE GODDESS Nov05 Oct08 Sep03 Aug06 Apr29 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 0.60 66% 0.50    
5  PERSONAL BEST Apr01 Jan28 Dec26 Nov18 Oct27 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  SOPRAN BASILEA (IRE)         (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
KEE-9   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LA CARTE Mar12 Feb03       (mott i)ORTIZ JR 123 0.80 58% 0.70    
2  DEBATE Jan08 Nov27       (drury jr)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  TRIPLE ELVIS Mar30 Dec31 Oct29 Aug15 Jun26 (blair jordan)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
4  OVERBORE Aug24 Aug13 Apr13     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 ★    
5  O P FIRECRACKER Nov19 Oct01 Jul02 Jun09 May17 (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
6  BOURBON HEIST Mar10 Jan13 Dec11 Aug21 Jul31 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 108 4.00 18% 4.40    
7  WAR ROOM Mar09 Feb11 Jan14 Nov09 Oct16 (lejzerowicz )CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
 
KEE-10   04/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVISITOR Apr07 Oct25 Oct02 Sep13 Aug23 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 30.00    
2  MIDNIGHT RISING Mar25 Mar02       (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TURF KING (IRE) Feb16         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  TIGER PAW (IRE) Mar25 Feb02       (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 30.00    
5  MORE THAN LOOKS Mar31 Feb19       (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 117 10.00    
6  LAVER Feb11 Jan01 Nov13 Oct20 Sep14 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 117 12.00    
7  DUNEDIN Apr01 Oct09 Sep08 Aug08 Jul19 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 117 5.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  FEARLESS SOLDIER Mar12 Feb16       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 117 8.00    
9  ITZOS Mar25 Jan21 Dec29 Nov26   (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 117 20.00    
10  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Mar25 Feb24       (engler jeff)LANERIE J 117 50.00 5% 19.00    
11  WICO (IRE) Mar25 Oct28 Sep08 Jul22 Apr28 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 117 3.50 21% 3.80    
12  GOOD HEART Mar04 Nov26 Oct08 Sep10   (walsh p)ORTIZ L 117 15.00    
13  SPY NOVEL Apr01 Feb23 Jan01 Nov16 Oct07 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.