Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $17.00  
TUP-2   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 0.60
TUP-3   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 5.80
TUP-4   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TUP-5   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TUP-6   Win (7/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $3.60  
TUP-7   Win (1/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
TUP-8   Win (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $17.20 $17.20 9.20
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MUNNINGS TALE 4 1 11 1nk 12 12½ 11¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★ 7.50  
3  LOOKINTOGETEVEN 2 4 41¼ 41¾ 22 22½ 21¼ (powell leonar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 0.80 48% 1.10 0.40 P
6  FIRST IMPRESSION 5 2 31 31½ 45½ 37 34½ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 8.00 6% 16.60 2.40 S
1  IMPECCABLE TASTE 1 5 21 2nk 34 47½ 48 (rollins scott)MAWING A 124 8.00 6% 14.90 7.30  
4  FINE POINT ASSAY 3 3 51¾ 56¼ 511 518½ 517¾ (martinez a)ANAYA V 124 6.00 13% 6.60 23.50  
SCR  PRINCESS OF MALIBU               (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-2   01/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REIGN OF FIRE 2 3 12 13   16 17 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 78% 0.30 0.30 W
3  BRITE TAN 3 5 22 23   26 27 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.50 14.00  
7  BIG CYN 7 1 53¾ 35   38 311 (silva l)MAWING A 124 12.00 ★ 7.10 S
6  SUE ETTAS GHOST 6 2 76¾ 69½   512½ 411½ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 ★ 9.60  
1  CONVINCE 1 7 32 46½   412½ 513¾ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 ★ 11.80  
5  ATLANTIC PRINCESS 5 4 66¼ 811½   615 615½ (axmaker cody )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 13.80  
8  AMERICAN ROYALTY 8 8 87¾ 710½   816¼ 717¼ (van deb)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 10.40  
4  SHEZ A GRINDER 4 6 43½ 58½   715¼ 818¼ (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 124 15.00 ★ 83.80  
 
TUP-3   01/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:23 :451 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 5 1 53½ 54   32 1¼ (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 17% 4.80 3.90 W
4  PURE ROCKET 3 5 42½ 32   2½ 2¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 47% 1.10 0.70 P
6  WIND RIVER 4 2 11½ 11½   1½ 33 (person a)MAWING A 124 3.00 ★ 2.80 S
3  GENERAL THAYER 2 3 32 21½   45 49½ (wheeler travis)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 ★ 24.40  
2  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH 1 4 21½ 43½   55½ 510½ (brown r)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★ 4.10  
SCR  NEW CHASER               (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
SCR  RENEW               (oberholtzer k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:122 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  METAROSE 5 1 23½ 22½ 21½ 1½ 14¼ (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 15% 5.70 1.80 W
5  LADY NOGUEZ 4 6 66¼ 33½ 43½ 32½ 24¼ (cerin vladimir)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 ★ 2.50 P
7  FLYING TO THE LINE 6 2 13½ 12½ 11½ 2½ 35¾ (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 4.30  
2  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 2 4 45½ 43½ 32½ 43 46½ (van tayl)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 48% 1.10 2.10  
4  EVEN PANDURA 3 3 55¾ 55½ 56½ 56 58¼ (brown jared)MAWING A 122 5.00 ★ 9.70  
1  STREAMER 1 5 35½ 65¾ 68 68½ 613¼ (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 31.10  
SCR  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS               (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
TUP-5   01/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:214 :442       :503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOOD BYE CHARLIE 2 2 42     1½ 11½ (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 26% 2.80 1.30 W
6  CAPITAL EXPENSE 6 6 32     2½ 21½ (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 5.00 ★ 4.50 P
4  KELLER'S GOLD 4 7 67     66 33 (moreno carlos)LEON A 122 6.00 6% 15.30 8.80 S
1  TIM'S BUDDY 1 1 54     42½ 43¼ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 42% 1.40 4.80  
5  FIRECRACKER STAND 5 3 1½     32 54¾ (bullene michael)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 3.60  
7  KIND OF GALLANT 7 4 2½     55 69 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 ★ 5.80  
3  AUTISM WARRIOR 3 5 79½     713 711¾ (elston brent)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 58.20  
 
TUP-6   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:103 1:23   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HAPI HAPI 7 5 1nk 1nk 11½ 13½ 15¼ (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 3.00 ★ 0.80  
6  SIR DEPUTY 5 1 2nk 2nk 21½ 23½ 25¼ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 11% 8.40 21.30 P
7  PERFECT COME BACK 6 8 76¼ 74¾ 66½ 68½ 38¼ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 53% 0.90 2.40 S
3  SHOTGUN RIDER 3 3 52¾ 41¼ 33 36 49¼ (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 6.50  
5  PALACE PRINCE 4 7 63¾ 51¾ 44½ 58 59¾ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.50 20.30  
1  PROVOST 1 6 42½ 62¾ 54½ 48 614 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 7.80  
2  MAHI MAHI 2 2 88¾ 88¾ 89½ 714½ 717½ (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
9  HYDROGEN 8 4 31½ 31 78½ 817½ 823½ (bull)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 6% 16.50 22.20  
SCR  MAD LUTHER               (matt l)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   01/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS IMPORTANT 3 7 76¾ 75¾   63¾ 11 (christian bill)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 19% 4.30 3.90 W
9  PIRATES CROSS 7 2 4¾ 3.2   3.2 21 (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 4.30  
2  TWITTERATI 2 5 55¼ 52¾   42¼ 32¼ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 10.50  
8  MO CONNELLY 6 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 42½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 4.00 5.60  
1  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD 1 3 3.2 1nk   2nk 52¾ (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 21% 3.70 2.70  
7  SEVEN SISTERS 5 1 1nk 4¼   53¾ 63¾ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 15% 5.90 5.10  
5  SILLY NOTION 4 6 65¼ 64¼   76¼ 75¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 ★ 3.80  
SCR  ABBIE'S WAY               (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  SASSY CAT               (axma)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123 1:262   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FLASHIN ACES 3 1 1nk 1nk 11 1½ 11½ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 11% 8.00 7.60 W
8  MY SWEET LORD 6 6 62¾ 53¼ 51¾ 33½ 21½ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 7% 14.10 1.70 P
1  WESTERBERG 1 4 52¾ 43 31½ 2½ 32½ (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00 ★ 1.60 S
7  KNOCKOUT GUY 5 2 2nk 2nk 41½ 54 44¾ (fearon johnatho)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 9.90  
6  SMOKIN' GOOD TIME 4 5 31½ 31½ 21 43½ 57¼ (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 2.30  
3  IGO 2 3 42½ 68¾ 612¾ 624 634¼ (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00 56.80  
SCR  AIR JOCK               (mcfa)DA FAUSTO 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CAPITAL JOKE               (green greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.