Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-2   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-3   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (7/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPECCABLE TASTE Dec19 Nov28       (rollins scott)MAWING A 124 8.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Jan09 Dec19 Nov29 Nov07 Sep03 (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
3  LOOKINTOGETEVEN Jan09 Nov11 Oct08 Aug26 Jul31 (powell leonar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 0.80 48% 1.10    
4  FINE POINT ASSAY Jan09 Dec14 Nov15 Sep19   (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
5  MUNNINGS TALE Jan17 Dec14 Sep17     (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
6  FIRST IMPRESSION Dec19 Nov29 Jul02     (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 8.00 6% 16.60    
 
TUP-2   01/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVINCE Dec17 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 ★    
2  REIGN OF FIRE Jan19 Jan03 Dec26 Nov14 Nov05 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 78% 0.30    
3  BRITE TAN Jan06 Nov11 Oct16 Sep10 Jul29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
4  SHEZ A GRINDER Jan11 Jan03 Dec21 Nov19 Nov05 (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 124 15.00 ★    
5  ATLANTIC PRINCESS Dec17 Nov15 Oct05 Aug23 Jul27 (axmaker cody)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
6  SUE ETTAS GHOST Jan11 Dec10 Oct29 Oct15 Sep11 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 ★    
7  BIG CYN Jan11 Dec28 Dec10 Nov26 Nov02 (silva l)MAWING A 124 12.00 ★    
8  AMERICAN ROYALTY Oct16 Oct09 Sep18 Aug21 Jul22 (van deb)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
 
TUP-3   01/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEW CHASER Jan24 Jul24 Jun26     (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
2  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Oct21 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 (brown r)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★    
3  GENERAL THAYER Jan12 Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 May22 (wheeler travis)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 ★    
4  PURE ROCKET Jan09 Dec13 Nov19 Sep17 Aug03 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
SCR  RENEW Jan10 Dec20 Apr21 Apr04 Mar22 (oberholtzer k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
6  WIND RIVER Jan12 Dec28 Dec08 Mar28 Feb22 (person a)MAWING A 124 3.00 ★    
7  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE Jan19 Dec22 Nov14 Sep03 Mar07 (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
TUP-4   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREAMER Dec27 Jun18 Jun04 Apr23 Apr09 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
2  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 Sep28 (van tayl)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Jan11 Dec17 Oct15 Oct01 Sep18 (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
4  EVEN PANDURA Jan14 Dec27 Dec10 Sep14 Aug21 (brown jared)MAWING A 122 5.00 ★    
5  LADY NOGUEZ Jan18 Jan03 Nov14 Oct16   (cerin vladimir)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 ★    
6  METAROSE Jan14 Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 Nov12 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
7  FLYING TO THE LINE Dec17 Nov25 Sep01 Jul22 May28 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50    
 
TUP-5   01/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIM'S BUDDY Jan12 Jan05 Dec26 Dec15 Sep07 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Jan18 Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 Nov09 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  AUTISM WARRIOR Dec22 Sep19 Aug22 Jul18 Apr01 (elston brent)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00    
4  KELLER'S GOLD Jan10 Dec03 Nov12 Jun28 May17 (moreno carlo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 6% 15.30    
5  FIRECRACKER STAND Jan05 Dec13 Nov09 Oct02 Sep25 (bullene michael)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00    
6  CAPITAL EXPENSE Dec14 Sep02 Aug21 Jun17 May22 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 5.00 ★    
7  KIND OF GALLANT Dec19 Jun11 Jun03 Jan22   (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-6   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVOST Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 Sep24 Aug21 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00    
2  MAHI MAHI Jan09 Dec15 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHOTGUN RIDER Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Nov28 Aug14 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
SCR  MAD LUTHER Jan18 Jan07 Dec01 Nov19 Sep14 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
5  PALACE PRINCE Jan18 Dec26 Dec08 Nov24 Nov05 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.50    
6  SIR DEPUTY Jan07 Dec20 Dec01 Sep11 Aug27 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 11% 8.40    
7  PERFECT COME BACK Jan18 Dec10 May07 Apr18 Apr01 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
8  HAPI HAPI Jan04 Dec19 Nov28 Oct22 Oct01 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 3.00 ★    
9  HYDROGEN Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Nov07 Sep17 (bullene mich)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 6% 16.50    
 
TUP-7   01/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD Jan11 Dec19 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  TWITTERATI Jan17 Dec15 Nov15 Sep19 Sep03 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
3  MISS IMPORTANT Dec27 Dec15 Nov21 Jul31 Jul11 (christian bill)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ABBIE'S WAY Dec17 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Aug27 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 18% 4.70    
5  SILLY NOTION Dec27 Nov30 Nov14 Nov07 Sep14 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  SASSY CAT Dec14 Nov30 Sep29 Jul22 Jun01 (axma)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
7  SEVEN SISTERS Jan11 Dec27 Dec10 Nov07 Sep25 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 15% 5.90    
8  MO CONNELLY Jan17 Dec27 Dec15 Nov23 Nov14 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
9  PIRATES CROSS Jan11 Dec19 Nov26 Sep09 Aug19 (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERBERG Dec20 Dec08 Nov25 Nov08 Sep23 (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  AIR JOCK Jan05         (mcfa)DA FAUSTO 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  IGO Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 Oct10 Jun17 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
SCR  CAPITAL JOKE Nov08 Oct25 Oct01 Sep22 Sep02 (green greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  FLASHIN ACES Jan05 Nov30       (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 11% 8.00    
6  SMOKIN' GOOD TIME Jan05 Dec08 Sep18     (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00    
7  KNOCKOUT GUY Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 Sep04 Aug21 (fearon johnath)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 20.00    
8  MY SWEET LORD Dec20 Nov25 Sep24     (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 7% 14.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.