Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  V BUCKS 4 1 11 13   15 14½ (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 2.00 41% 1.50 1.40 W
1  MIDNIGHT GARDEN 1 6 33 33½   25 24½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 29% 2.40 3.50 P
5  SEVEN SISTERS 5 2 21 23   45½ 35½ (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 ★ 6.80 S
3  DISCERNMENT 3 4 43 44½   35½ 45¾ (trela rosemary)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 ★ 2.90  
2  MISS IMPORTANT 2 5 65¼ 67½   57½ 57¼ (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 ★ 15.00  
6  EVEN PANDURA 6 3 53¼ 55½   67¾ 612¼ (brown jared)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 4.20  
 
TUP-2   12/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:104 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BIGFOOT CITY 4 2 12½ 12½ 11½ 12½ 1¾ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 21% 3.90 9.40 W
6  FAMILY BIZ 5 4 44½ 44½ 21½ 22½ 2¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 ★ 2.90 P
2  SWAMP SOUFFLE 2 1 55 55½ 55 45 33 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.60 S
3  T BONES TRICK 3 5 22½ 22½ 43 35 44¼ (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.30 1.70  
1  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 1 3 32½ 33 33 55½ 57½ (brown r)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 4.70  
SCR  FATHER O'FLAHERTY               (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   12/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:221 :451       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIMITED OFFER 3 3 1nk     1½ 12 (blea jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 ★ 7.00  
5  ASCOT STORM 5 5 63¼     53 22 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 ★ 3.40 P
4  TAINO HOUSE 4 6 53¼     32 32¼ (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 4.70  
1  MASTER RULER 1 2 2nk     2½ 42¾ (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 124 6.00 34% 1.90 2.20  
2  BAPTISM (GB) 2 1 3½     43 55 (torres-cas)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 3.60  
7  READY TO FORGIVE 6 7 43     63¼ 66½ (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 ★ 7.20  
8  RESTORING DREAMS 7 4 76¼     79¼ 77½ (tate mary)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 9.70  
SCR  ROUSING RUBBLE               (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TUP-4   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENGAL TIGER 1 4 11½ 11½   12 11 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★ 3.20  
5  SILLY NOTION 4 1 21½ 21½   34½ 21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 ★ 3.30 P
6  MO CONNELLY 5 3 33 31½   22 32½ (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 2.70  
8  TICK TOCK 6 2 54½ 54½   46 42½ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 8% 10.80 2.00  
4  STREAMER 3 5 44½ 43½   56½ 57¼ (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 ★ 17.30  
3  M AND M GIRL 2 6 67½ 67   610 68½ (sanderson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 54% 0.90 5.80  
SCR  ATLANTIC PRINCESS               (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MAMA               (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   12/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:13 1:251   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OUR VALLEY 2 1 11½ 1½ 12 13 13 (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 6.00 14% 6.10 4.60 W
5  GUEST CHECK 5 2 21½ 2½ 42¼ 23 23 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 53% 0.90 1.00 P
1  THIRSTY KISS 1 7 32 41 32 34½ 37½ (po)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00 15.10  
3  GUARDSMAN PASS 3 5 74¼ 72¾ 54¾ 46 48 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★ 6.90  
6  SOLANDER 6 3 42 3½ 22 56 59 (leaney patr)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8.00  
4  TOUR THE WORLD 4 4 64 52 64¾ 66½ 69¼ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 8% 11.40 2.60  
8  ABRIERWIN 7 6 53½ 62½ 77¾ 710½ 713¾ (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 12.00 29.40  
SCR  QUIET PRAYER               (moreno carlo)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :454       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CATCHME AT THELAKE 7 1 12½ 13½   13 14 (kenney rya)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 12.00 ★ 5.20  
5  HARBOR THUNDER 3 6 54 44½   23 24 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 12.20  
7  ANOTHERFORBROOKS 5 7 79½ 66½   56½ 35¾ (gleason m)MAWING A 121 6.00 ★ 1.80 S
6  BARON'S SONG 4 2 22½ 33½   35 45¾ (zimmerman)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
10  RENEGADE WARRIOR 6 3 43 23½   45 56¼ (chambers mik)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 2.80  
1  CONSUMING 1 4 64½ 79   712½ 614¼ (baze robert)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 7.60  
2  BRENSON BUNS 2 5 32½ 56   611 717½ (kereluk edwar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 3.10  
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM               (potts ash)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  HE'S A FLYIN               (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  SUGAR SHANE               (torres-casas al)LEON A 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  THIRSTY COWBOY               (alvarez ser)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00    
 
TUP-7   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ENTRY 1 5 41½ 52½   44 11¼ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 1.50  
6  AFTER THE CANDY 5 2 1½ 1½   13 21¼ (buffalo marvi)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.50 ★ 4.90 P
3  GOLDEN COWBOY 2 7 54 73¼   33½ 31½ (bullene micha)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 19% 4.30 8.10 S
5  ROCKY JACK 4 4 31½ 2½   23 44¾ (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 8% 11.00 5.60  
7  UPPER ROOM 6 6 64¼ 42½   57 55¼ (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 3.20  
8  WARFRONT FIGHTER 7 1 74¼ 63   79 68¼ (simpson shan)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 ★ 4.50  
4  STONUS MAXIMUS 3 3 2½ 32   68 710¼ (wheeler tra)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00 42.30  
SCR  BIG ENDEAVOR               (person kenneth )VERGARA P 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-8   12/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:111     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINNY 1 1 31½ 21   2nk 11 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 5.00 48% 1.10 1.30 W
8  NORTHCUT 8 5 11½ 11   1nk 21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 18.40  
3  MAJOR ATTRACTION 3 3 42 31   31½ 32¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 23% 3.40 4.20 S
6  MAN FRIDAY 6 9 96¾ 85¾   44 42¾ (cerin vladi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 7% 14.00 2.40  
7  FALSELY ACCUSED 7 7 63¾ 62¾   54½ 54¼ (lucarelli frank)VERGARA P 122 10.00 29.50  
9  GIANT PAYDAY 9 8 75¼ 74¼   76¾ 66½ (eidschun gre)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 19.10  
2  RAIL HUGGER 2 2 21½ 41¼   66½ 76¾ (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 ★ 7.10  
5  BROTHER REID 5 6 85¼ 97¾   88¼ 88¼ (cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 25.60  
4  BOBBY BRINKLEY 4 4 52¼ 52¾   99¼ 99½ (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★ 15.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.