Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V BUCKS 4 1 11 13   15 1 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 2.00 41% 1.50 1.40 W
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 1 6 33 3   25 2 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 29% 2.40 3.50 P
SEVEN SISTERS 5 2 21 23   4 3 (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 6.80 S
DISCERNMENT 3 4 43 4   3 4 (trela rosemary)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 2.90  
MISS IMPORTANT 2 5 6 6   5 5 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 15.00  
EVEN PANDURA 6 3 5 5   6 612¼ (brown jared)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 4.20  
 
TUP-2   12/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:104 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIGFOOT CITY 4 2 1 1 1 1 1¾ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 21% 3.90 9.40 W
FAMILY BIZ 5 4 4 4 2 2 2¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 2.90 P
SWAMP SOUFFLE 2 1 55 5 55 45 33 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.60 S
T BONES TRICK 3 5 2 2 43 35 4 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.30 1.70  
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 1 3 3 33 33 5 5 (brown r)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 4.70  
SCR  FATHER O'FLAHERTY               (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
TUP-3   12/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:221 :451       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED OFFER 3 3 1nk     1½ 12 (blea jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 7.00  
ASCOT STORM 5 5 6     53 22 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 3.40 P
TAINO HOUSE 4 6 5     32 3 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 4.70  
MASTER RULER 1 2 2nk     2½ 4 (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 124 6.00 34% 1.90 2.20  
BAPTISM (GB) 2 1 3½     43 55 (torres-casas)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 3.60  
READY TO FORGIVE 6 7 43     6 6 (will)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 7.20  
RESTORING DREAMS 7 4 7     7 7 (tate mary)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 9.70  
SCR  ROUSING RUBBLE               (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TUP-4   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENGAL TIGER 1 4 1 1   12 11 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 6.00 3.20  
SILLY NOTION 4 1 2 2   3 21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 3.30 P
MO CONNELLY 5 3 33 3   22 3 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 2.70  
TICK TOCK 6 2 5 5   46 4 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 8% 10.80 2.00  
STREAMER 3 5 4 4   5 5 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 17.30  
M AND M GIRL 2 6 6 67   610 6 (sanderson br)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 54% 0.90 5.80  
SCR  ATLANTIC PRINCESS               (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MAMA               (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   12/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:13 1:251   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR VALLEY 2 1 1 1½ 12 13 13 (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 6.00 14% 6.10 4.60 W
GUEST CHECK 5 2 2 2½ 4 23 23 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 53% 0.90 1.00 P
THIRSTY KISS 1 7 32 41 32 3 3 (pott)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00 15.10  
GUARDSMAN PASS 3 5 7 7 5 46 48 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 6.90  
SOLANDER 6 3 42 3½ 22 56 59 (leaney patric)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8.00  
TOUR THE WORLD 4 4 64 52 6 6 6 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 8% 11.40 2.60  
ABRIERWIN 7 6 5 6 7 710½ 713¾ (lavanway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 12.00 29.40  
SCR  QUIET PRAYER               (moreno carlos)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :454       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CATCHME AT THELAKE 7 1 1 1   13 14 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 12.00 5.20  
HARBOR THUNDER 3 6 54 4   23 24 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 12.20  
ANOTHERFORBROOKS 5 7 7 6   5 3 (gleason m)MAWING A 121 6.00 1.80 S
BARON'S SONG 4 2 2 3   35 4 (zimmerman j)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
10  RENEGADE WARRIOR 6 3 43 2   45 5 (chambers mike)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 2.80  
CONSUMING 1 4 6 79   712½ 614¼ (baze robert)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 7.60  
BRENSON BUNS 2 5 3 56   611 717½ (kereluk edward)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 3.10  
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM               (potts ashle)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  HE'S A FLYIN               (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  SUGAR SHANE               (torres-casas alex)LEON A 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  THIRSTY COWBOY               (alvarez sergi)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00    
 
TUP-7   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ENTRY 1 5 4 5   44 1 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 1.50  
AFTER THE CANDY 5 2 1½ 1½   13 2 (buffalo marvin)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.50 4.90 P
GOLDEN COWBOY 2 7 54 7   3 3 (bullene michael)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 19% 4.30 8.10 S
ROCKY JACK 4 4 3 2½   23 4 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 8% 11.00 5.60  
UPPER ROOM 6 6 6 4   57 5 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 3.20  
WARFRONT FIGHTER 7 1 7 63   79 6 (simpson shanno)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 4.50  
STONUS MAXIMUS 3 3 2½ 32   68 710¼ (wheeler travi)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00 42.30  
SCR  BIG ENDEAVOR               (person a)VERGARA P 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-8   12/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:111     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHINNY 1 1 3 21   2nk 11 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 5.00 48% 1.10 1.30 W
NORTHCUT 8 5 1 11   1nk 21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 18.40  
MAJOR ATTRACTION 3 3 42 31   3 3 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 23% 3.40 4.20 S
MAN FRIDAY 6 9 9 8   44 4 (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 7% 14.00 2.40  
FALSELY ACCUSED 7 7 6 6   5 5 (lucarelli frank)VERGARA P 122 10.00 29.50  
GIANT PAYDAY 9 8 7 7   7 6 (eidschun grego)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 19.10  
RAIL HUGGER 2 2 2 4   6 7 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 7.10  
BROTHER REID 5 6 8 9   8 8 (cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 25.60  
BOBBY BRINKLEY 4 4 5 5   9 9 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 15.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.