The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 27, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TUP-1   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
:224 :453 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V BUCKS 4 1 11 13   15 1(diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 2.00 41% 1.50 1.40 W
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 1 6 33 3   25 2(brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 29% 2.40 3.50 P
SEVEN SISTERS 5 2 21 23   43(rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 6.80 S
DISCERNMENT 3 4 43 4   34(trela rosemary)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 2.90  
MISS IMPORTANT 2 5 6 6   55(christian billy)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 15.00  
EVEN PANDURA 6 3 5 5   6612¼ (brown jared)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 4.20  
 
TUP-2   12/27/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
:234 :464 1:104 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIGFOOT CITY 4 2 1 1 1 11¾ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 21% 3.90 9.40 W
FAMILY BIZ 5 4 4 4 2 22¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 2.90 P
SWAMP SOUFFLE 2 1 55 5 55 45 33 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.60 S
T BONES TRICK 3 5 2 2 43 35 4(rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.30 1.70  
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 1 3 3 33 33 55(brown r)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 4.70  
SCR  FATHER O'FLAHERTY               (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
TUP-3   12/27/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:221 :451       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED OFFER 3 3 1nk     1½ 12 (blea jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 7.00  
ASCOT STORM 5 5 6     53 22 (matt l)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 3.40 P
TAINO HOUSE 4 6 5     32 3(alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 4.70  
MASTER RULER 1 2 2nk     2½ 4(salas eliazar)CARRENO J 124 6.00 34% 1.90 2.20  
BAPTISM 2 1 3½     43 55 (torres-casas jesus)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 3.60  
READY TO FORGIVE 6 7 43     66(williams dewey)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 7.20  
RESTORING DREAMS 7 4 7     77(tate mary)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 9.70  
SCR  ROUSING RUBBLE               (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TUP-4   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
:224 :46 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENGAL TIGER 1 4 1 1   12 11 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 6.00 3.20  
SILLY NOTION 4 1 2 2   321 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 3.30 P
MO CONNELLY 5 3 33 3   22 3(metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 2.70  
TICK TOCK 6 2 5 5   46 4(hernandez l)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 8% 10.80 2.00  
STREAMER 3 5 4 4   55(sanderson bruce)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 17.30  
M AND M GIRL 2 6 6 67   610 6(sanderson bruce)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 54% 0.90 5.80  
SCR  ATLANTIC PRINCESS               (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MAMA               (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   12/27/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
:24 :484 1:13 1:251   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR VALLEY 2 1 1 1½ 12 13 13 (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 6.00 14% 6.10 4.60 W
GUEST CHECK 5 2 2 2½ 4 23 23 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 53% 0.90 1.00 P
THIRSTY KISS 1 7 32 41 32 33(potts ann)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00 15.10  
GUARDSMAN PASS 3 5 7 7 5 46 48 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 6.90  
SOLANDER 6 3 42 3½ 22 56 59 (leaney patricia)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8.00  
TOUR THE WORLD 4 4 64 52 6 66(lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 8% 11.40 2.60  
ABRIERWIN 7 6 5 6 7 710½ 713¾ (lavanway dayson)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 12.00 29.40  
SCR  QUIET PRAYER               (moreno carlos)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
:222 :454       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CATCHME AT THELAKE 7 1 1 1   13 14 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 12.00 5.20  
HARBOR THUNDER 3 6 54 4   23 24 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 12.20  
ANOTHERFORBROOKS 5 7 7 6   53(gleason m)MAWING A 121 6.00 1.80 S
BARON'S SONG 4 2 2 3   35 4(zimmerman p)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
10  RENEGADE WARRIOR 6 3 43 2   45 5(chambers mike)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 2.80  
CONSUMING 1 4 6 79   712½ 614¼ (baze robert)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 7.60  
BRENSON BUNS 2 5 3 56   611 717½ (kereluk edward)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00 3.10  
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM               (potts ann)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  HE'S A FLYIN               (potts ann)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  SUGAR SHANE               (torres-casas j)LEON A 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  THIRSTY COWBOY               (alvarez sergio)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00    
 
TUP-7   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
:223 :45 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ENTRY 1 5 4 5   44 1(woolley l)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 1.50  
AFTER THE CANDY 5 2 1½ 1½   13 2(buffalo marvin)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.50 4.90 P
GOLDEN COWBOY 2 7 54 7   33(bullene michael)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 19% 4.30 8.10 S
ROCKY JACK 4 4 3 2½   23 4(martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 8% 11.00 5.60  
UPPER ROOM 6 6 6 4   57 5(toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 3.20  
WARFRONT FIGHTER 7 1 7 63   79 6(simpson shannon)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 4.50  
STONUS MAXIMUS 3 3 2½ 32   68 710¼ (wheeler travis)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00 42.30  
SCR  BIG ENDEAVOR               (person a)VERGARA P 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-8   12/27/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:23 :47 1:111     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHINNY 1 1 3 21   2nk 11 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 5.00 48% 1.10 1.30 W
NORTHCUT 8 5 1 11   1nk 21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 18.40  
MAJOR ATTRACTION 3 3 42 31   33(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 23% 3.40 4.20 S
MAN FRIDAY 6 9 9 8   44 4(cerin vladimir)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 7% 14.00 2.40  
FALSELY ACCUSED 7 7 6 6   55(lucarelli frank)VERGARA P 122 10.00 29.50  
GIANT PAYDAY 9 8 7 7   76(eidschun gregory)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 19.10  
RAIL HUGGER 2 2 2 4   67(o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 7.10  
BROTHER REID 5 6 8 9   88(cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 25.60  
BOBBY BRINKLEY 4 4 5 5   99(lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 15.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.