Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Dec17 Nov07 Sep14 Aug21 Jul09 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
2  MISS IMPORTANT Dec15 Nov21 Jul31 Jul11 May21 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 ★    
3  DISCERNMENT Nov30 Nov07 Sep12 Sep03 Aug08 (trela rosemary)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 ★    
4  V BUCKS Nov21 Nov05 Aug18 Jul31   (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
5  SEVEN SISTERS Dec10 Nov07 Sep25 Sep05 Jul29 (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 ★    
6  EVEN PANDURA Dec10 Sep14 Aug21 Jul09 Jun16 (brown jared)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
 
TUP-2   12/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 Sep13 Aug12 (brown r)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
2  SWAMP SOUFFLE Nov26 Nov16 Nov07 Sep18 Sep01 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  T BONES TRICK Nov15 Sep17 Aug21 Aug10 Jun29 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  BIGFOOT CITY Nov21 Nov08 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  FATHER O'FLAHERTY Dec08 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
6  FAMILY BIZ Nov26 Nov15 Sep19 Sep05 Jul28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-3   12/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER RULER Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Jul18   (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 124 6.00 34% 1.90    
2  BAPTISM (GB) Dec13 Nov21 Nov09 Jun20 Jun14 (torres-cas)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
3  LIMITED OFFER Sep18 Aug28 Aug10 Apr30 Apr08 (blea jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 ★    
4  TAINO HOUSE Dec13 Nov15 Sep14 Aug10 May27 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
5  ASCOT STORM Nov25 Nov09 Aug17 Aug03 May20 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  ROUSING RUBBLE Dec13 Nov26 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  READY TO FORGIVE Dec15 Nov25 Jun25 Apr27 Mar19 (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 ★    
8  RESTORING DREAMS Nov25 Sep23 May29     (tate mary)ANAYA V 124 4.50    
 
TUP-4   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENGAL TIGER Nov23 Nov08 Aug26 Jul29 Jun03 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  MISCHIEF MAMA Nov23 Nov05 Oct02 Sep12 Aug21 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
3  M AND M GIRL Nov15 Sep29 Sep19 Aug20   (sanderson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 54% 0.90    
4  STREAMER Jun18 Jun04 Apr23 Apr09 Mar12 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 ★    
5  SILLY NOTION Nov30 Nov14 Nov07 Sep14 Aug28 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 ★    
6  MO CONNELLY Dec15 Nov23 Nov14 Aug19 Aug07 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00    
SCR  ATLANTIC PRINCESS Dec17 Nov15 Oct05 Aug23 Jul27 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
8  TICK TOCK Nov19 Nov07 Sep30 Sep18 Aug31 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 8% 10.80    
 
TUP-5   12/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY KISS Dec08 Nov30 Nov08 Aug31 Aug13 (po)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00    
2  OUR VALLEY Nov29 Nov12 Oct15 Aug29 Aug06 (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  GUARDSMAN PASS Dec08 Jul02 May29 May08 Apr07 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
4  TOUR THE WORLD Dec13 Nov15 Sep04 Jun29 Jun08 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 8% 11.40    
5  GUEST CHECK Dec13 Nov15 Oct28 Sep14 Sep03 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
6  SOLANDER Dec13 Oct02 Sep17 Aug23 Jul23 (leaney patr)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
SCR  QUIET PRAYER Dec10 Nov18 Jun18 May08 Feb11 (moreno carlo)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 ★    
8  ABRIERWIN Dec14 Oct22 Oct09 Sep25 Aug30 (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 12.00    
 
TUP-6   12/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSUMING Dec08 Nov07 Oct10 Sep24 Aug12 (baze robert)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00    
2  BRENSON BUNS Dec10 Nov12       (kereluk edwar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
SCR  HE'S A FLYIN Nov30         (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM         (potts ash)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 12% 7.20    
5  HARBOR THUNDER Dec08         (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00    
6  BARON'S SONG         (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANOTHERFORBROOKS         (gleason m)MAWING A 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  THIRSTY COWBOY Nov30 Nov07 Sep16 Jul31   (alvarez ser)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00    
SCR  SUGAR SHANE Nov27         (torres-casas al)LEON A 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
10  RENEGADE WARRIOR Dec08 Oct29 Sep18     (chambers mik)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
11  CATCHME AT THELAKE         (kenney rya)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 12.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   12/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ENTRY Nov23 Nov09 Oct10 Sep16 Aug27 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
SCR  BIG ENDEAVOR Dec13 Nov14 Sep11 Aug28 Aug12 (person kenneth )VERGARA P 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
3  GOLDEN COWBOY Dec13 Aug28 Jul30 Jul16 Jun05 (bullene micha)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
4  STONUS MAXIMUS Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 Sep11 Aug27 (wheeler tra)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00    
5  ROCKY JACK Nov21 Oct03 Sep18 Aug23 Jul18 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 8% 11.00    
6  AFTER THE CANDY Dec13 Nov25 Oct14 Oct07 Sep10 (buffalo marvi)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.50 ★    
7  UPPER ROOM Nov28 Nov14 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00    
8  WARFRONT FIGHTER Dec13 Nov05 Sep17 Sep11 Aug06 (simpson shan)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   12/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINNY Dec08 Nov15 Sep17 Jul04 Jun08 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
2  RAIL HUGGER Dec01 Sep19 Sep05 Aug01 Jul04 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 ★    
3  MAJOR ATTRACTION Dec01 Nov08 Sep17 Aug31 Aug13 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  BOBBY BRINKLEY Dec08 Nov21 Jul30 Jun04 May07 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★    
5  BROTHER REID         (cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
6  MAN FRIDAY         (cerin vladi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 7% 14.00    
7  FALSELY ACCUSED Dec01 Nov08 Sep09 Aug18 Jun24 (lucarelli frank)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
8  NORTHCUT Dec01 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul09 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00    
9  GIANT PAYDAY Dec01 Nov21 Nov08 Oct06 Jul16 (ei)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.