The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 30, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
EMD-1   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:233 :474 1:12 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HUNTERS GHOST 4 2 11 11 1½ 1½ 1¾ (perez s)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 118 8.00 8.90  
1  PERFECT ONE 1 4 33½ 53 31½ 2½ 2¾ (lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 121 10.00 ★ 3.10 P
2  WARRIORS HERO 2 3 44½ 31 42½ 41½ 31 (pierce l)RADKE K 121 2.50 19% 4.30 1.80 S
3  IRISH KNIGHT 3 1 21 21 2½ 3½ 43¼ (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 118 3.50 ★ 2.20  
5  JACANA 5 5 56 42 54 56½ 513 (navarro jose)GUTIERREZ M 116 6.00 7% 12.50 4.90  
SCR  WEAR THE CROWN               (toye joe)RADKE K 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
EMD-2   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
:214 :441 :554     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CODY'S CHOICE 2 5 52¼ 1½   13 18½ (velasquez rigoberto)MAWING A 121 4.50 ★ 2.70  
1  SIR DEPUTY 1 1 1nk 2½   23 28½ (bean a)RADKE K 121 3.50 54% 0.90 3.40 P
3  MISTER MCLEAN 3 6 65¼ 42½   33½ 28½ (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 121 5.00 7% 12.80 6.30 P
4  MOJAVE 4 2 2nk 31   44 411½ (garcia l)OROZCO E 121 6.00 7.30  
6  J T'S A. T. M. 6 3 3.2 53   57 517 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 121 2.50 9% 9.50 3.30  
5  MAMACALLMEBOO 5 4 4¾ 63½   69 620¾ (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.00 ★ 4.00  
 
EMD-3   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 6:32
:23 :452 1:10 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BIG PAPER DADDY 2 2 1nk 1½ 11½ 11 11¼ (lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 119 1.80 ★ 2.40  
1  OVERLY FAST 1 5 42½ 42 21½ 21 21¼ (wenzel tom)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.20 P
4  BOSS NINE 4 3 54 52½ 52½ 35 312 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 119 5.00 15% 5.90 8.00 S
3  ABRAAJ MIRAGE 3 4 31½ 32 42 46 413 (toye joe)RADKE K 119 3.50 4.40  
6  LET IT REIGN 6 6 67 67½ 65½ 67 513½ (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 119 6.00 ★ 18.10  
5  EL MAESTRO 5 1 2nk 2½ 32 56 614¼ (velasquez rigoberto)SAMUELS JAKE 122 8.00 13% 6.90 10.50  
 
EMD-4   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 7:00
:221 :444 :562     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ENCHANTING WAY 3 1 11 12   16 112¼ (velasquez rigoberto)SAMUELS JAKE 119 1.80 16% 5.10 0.50 W
5  MOSCOW LADY 4 2 21 22   26 212¼ (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 3.50 18% 4.50 9.30 P
1  LA POPIS 1 6 65 66¾   68¾ 315¼ (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 121 10.00 ★ 16.50 S
3  SADIE'S SNOWSTORM 2 5 33 35   38 415½ (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 121 4.00 12% 7.30 3.60  
6  I AM YOURS 5 4 43½ 45   58¼ 516 (dronen sam)OROZCO E 119 5.00 8.40  
7  LAFONDA 6 3 53½ 55¼   48 616½ (harwood m)MURO ISIDRO 121 15.00 18.30  
SCR  RODEO ROSE               (velasquez rigoberto)MAWING A 121 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
EMD-5   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:214 :444 :571     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COASTAL RUN 2 5 12 12   13 1¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 6.00 16% 5.20 5.40 W
1  KISS RIDE GOODBYE 1 7 85¼ 54¼   23 2¾ (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 123 3.50 14% 5.90 2.60 P
4  STAND IN YOUR LOVE 4 8 97¼ 65¼   54 34¾ (puentes jose)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 123 8.00 12% 7.10 28.30 S
9  WAHASHA 9 1 22 32   33½ 46¼ (nunnally jennifer)SAMUELS JAKE 123 15.00 41.90  
7  MISS MONIQUE 7 2 64¾ 76¾   64½ 56¾ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 123 5.00 16% 5.40 10.10  
8  MAGGIE FITZGERALD 8 6 75¼ 87¼   75½ 66¾ (mccanna tim)OROZCO E 120 2.50 14% 6.20 2.50  
6  FLYIN BY 6 3 32 22   43½ 77 (johnston kimberley)GUTIERREZ M 120 12.00 12.00  
5  SARA'S FINALE 5 4 42¼ 42¼   86½ 810 (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 117 15.00 30.20  
3  VIOLENT MOVE 3 9 54¼ 99¼   99½ 914¼ (markle dan)RADKE K 120 4.50 3.80  
 
EMD-6   07/30/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
:22 :441 1:081     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORPEDO AWAY 1 5 74½ 64   31 1¾ (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 ★ 2.30  
8  NINE ONE ONE 7 2 11 11   1½ 2¾ (gilker robert)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50 43% 1.30 2.10 P
3  COASTAL JAZZ 3 6 32 42   2½ 31½ (bullock steve)RADKE K 124 6.00 11.10  
6  EL ALTO HOMBRE 6 1 21 53   52 44¼ (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00 9% 9.80 13.20  
4  MR. STANG 4 4 43 21   41 55 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 21% 3.80 5.10  
2  BOBBY BRINKLEY 2 7 64 74   74¼ 65½ (lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 121 4.50 4.50  
5  DEFENSE WINS 5 3 53½ 31½   64 77¾ (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 124 8.00 ★ 15.00  
SCR  MARCH ON LINCH               (bozell alan)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 15.00    
 
EMD-7   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
:221 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DIAMOND WILLOW 2 7 32 32   3½ 1nk (baze robert)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 4.50  
5  IGOTTABOOBOO 4 4 21 21   1nk 2nk (simkins rosie)MAWING A 121 4.50 58% 0.70 1.90 P
4  TOO TALL TO CALL 3 6 11 11   2nk 3.15 (cornier c)RADKE K 121 5.00 ★ 12.70 S
9  ROWDY RETURNS 8 1 88½ 86½   86 43½ (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 121 20.00 6% 15.60 19.60  
2  CHARLIE THE GENT 1 8 64 64   53½ 53¾ (wright blaine)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00 20.70  
6  MILEYS BLUECAT 5 5 43 43½   42½ 64 (perez s)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 8.00 2.50  
7  MAYHEM AND CHAOS 6 2 74½ 53½   64½ 74 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 124 6.00 ★ 4.80  
8  NORTHERN BLEND 7 3 53½ 75½   75 85¼ (dronen sam)ANAYA V 124 15.00 31.00  
SCR  NOT BY MIGHT               (simpson shannon)SAMUELS JAKE 118 2.50 10% 8.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.