Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:12 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTERS GHOST 4 2 11 11 1½ 1½ 1¾ (perez sergio )MILLWOOD CLAYAN 118 8.00 8.90  
PERFECT ONE 1 4 3 53 3 2½ 2¾ (lucarelli fran)OROZCO E 121 10.00 3.10 P
WARRIORS HERO 2 3 4 31 4 4 31 (pierce l)RADKE K 121 2.50 19% 4.30 1.80 S
IRISH KNIGHT 3 1 21 21 2½ 3½ 4 (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 118 3.50 2.20  
JACANA 5 5 56 42 54 5 513 (navarro jose)GUTIERREZ M 116 6.00 7% 12.50 4.90  
SCR  WEAR THE CROWN               (toye joe)RADKE K 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
EMD-2   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:214 :441 :554     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) 2 5 5 1½   13 1 (velasquez rigobert)MAWING A 121 4.50 2.70  
SIR DEPUTY 1 1 1nk 2½   23 2 (bean a)RADKE K 121 3.50 54% 0.90 3.40 P
MISTER MCLEAN 3 6 6 4   3 2 (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 121 5.00 7% 12.80 6.30 P
MOJAVE (GB) 4 2 2nk 31   44 411½ (garcia valenti)OROZCO E 121 6.00 7.30  
J T'S A. T. M. 6 3 3.2 53   57 517 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 121 2.50 9% 9.50 3.30  
MAMACALLMEBOO 5 4 4¾ 6   69 620¾ (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.00 4.00  
 
EMD-3   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 6:32
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:10 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG PAPER DADDY 2 2 1nk 1½ 1 11 1 (lucarelli fran)OROZCO E 119 1.80 2.40  
OVERLY FAST 1 5 4 42 2 21 2 (wenz)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.20 P
BOSS NINE 4 3 54 5 5 35 312 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 119 5.00 15% 5.90 8.00 S
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 3 4 3 32 42 46 413 (toye joe)RADKE K 119 3.50 4.40  
LET IT REIGN 6 6 67 6 6 67 513½ (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 119 6.00 18.10  
EL MAESTRO 5 1 2nk 2½ 32 56 614¼ (velasquez rigobe)SAMUELS JAKE 122 8.00 13% 6.90 10.50  
 
EMD-4   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :444 :562     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCHANTING WAY 3 1 11 12   16 112¼ (velasquez rigobe)SAMUELS JAKE 119 1.80 16% 5.10 0.50 W
MOSCOW LADY 4 2 21 22   26 212¼ (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 3.50 18% 4.50 9.30 P
LA POPIS 1 6 65 6   6 315¼ (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 121 10.00 16.50 S
SADIE'S SNOWSTORM 2 5 33 35   38 415½ (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 121 4.00 12% 7.30 3.60  
I AM YOURS 5 4 4 45   5 516 (dronen sam)OROZCO E 119 5.00 8.40  
LAFONDA 6 3 5 5   48 616½ (harwood ry)MURO ISIDRO 121 15.00 18.30  
SCR  RODEO ROSE               (velasquez rigobert)MAWING A 121 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
EMD-5   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL RUN 2 5 12 12   13 1¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 6.00 16% 5.20 5.40 W
KISS RIDE GOODBYE 1 7 8 5   23 2¾ (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 123 3.50 14% 5.90 2.60 P
STAND IN YOUR LOVE 4 8 9 6   54 3 (puentes jose)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 123 8.00 12% 7.10 28.30 S
WAHASHA 9 1 22 32   3 4 (nunnally jennife)SAMUELS JAKE 123 15.00 41.90  
MISS MONIQUE 7 2 6 7   6 5 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 123 5.00 16% 5.40 10.10  
MAGGIE FITZGERALD 8 6 7 8   7 6 (mccanna tim)OROZCO E 120 2.50 14% 6.20 2.50  
FLYIN BY 6 3 32 22   4 77 (johnston kimber)GUTIERREZ M 120 12.00 12.00  
SARA'S FINALE 5 4 4 4   8 810 (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 117 15.00 30.20  
VIOLENT MOVE 3 9 5 9   9 914¼ (markle dan)RADKE K 120 4.50 3.80  
 
EMD-6   07/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:081     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORPEDO AWAY 1 5 7 64   31 1¾ (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 2.30  
NINE ONE ONE 7 2 11 11   1½ 2¾ (gilk)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50 43% 1.30 2.10 P
COASTAL JAZZ 3 6 32 42   2½ 3 (bullock steve)RADKE K 124 6.00 11.10  
EL ALTO HOMBRE 6 1 21 53   52 4 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00 9% 9.80 13.20  
MR. STANG 4 4 43 21   41 55 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 21% 3.80 5.10  
BOBBY BRINKLEY 2 7 64 74   7 6 (lucarelli fran)OROZCO E 121 4.50 4.50  
DEFENSE WINS 5 3 5 3   64 7 (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 124 8.00 15.00  
SCR  MARCH ON LINCH               (bozell alan)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 15.00    
 
EMD-7   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND WILLOW 2 7 32 32   3½ 1nk (baze robert)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 4.50  
IGOTTABOOBOO 4 4 21 21   1nk 2nk (simkins rosie)MAWING A 121 4.50 58% 0.70 1.90 P
TOO TALL TO CALL 3 6 11 11   2nk 3.15 (cornier c)RADKE K 121 5.00 12.70 S
ROWDY RETURNS 8 1 8 8   86 4 (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 121 20.00 6% 15.60 19.60  
CHARLIE THE GENT 1 8 64 64   5 5 (wrig)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00 20.70  
MILEYS BLUECAT 5 5 43 4   4 64 (perez sergio )MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 8.00 2.50  
MAYHEM AND CHAOS 6 2 7 5   6 74 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 124 6.00 4.80  
NORTHERN BLEND 7 3 5 7   75 8 (dronen sam)ANAYA V 124 15.00 31.00  
SCR  NOT BY MIGHT               (simpson shannon)SAMUELS JAKE 118 2.50 10% 8.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.