Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT ONE Jul02 May15 Apr02 Mar09   (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 10.00 ★    
2  WARRIORS HERO Jul16 Jun25 Jun05 Apr12 Mar21 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  IRISH KNIGHT Jul09 Jun18 May29     (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 118 3.50 ★    
4  HUNTERS GHOST Jul15 Jun26 Jun04 Apr29 Apr02 (perez sergi)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 118 8.00    
5  JACANA Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May22   (navarro jose)GUTIERREZ M 116 6.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  WEAR THE CROWN Jul09 May29 May15 Apr16 Apr03 (toye joe)RADKE K 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
EMD-2   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR DEPUTY Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 May28 May15 (bean a)RADKE K 121 3.50 54% 0.90    
2  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Jul17 Jul01 Jun03     (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 121 4.50 ★    
3  MISTER MCLEAN Mar22 Jan31 Jan05     (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 121 5.00 7% 12.80    
4  MOJAVE (GB) Jul26 Jul10 Jun11 May21 Apr25 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 121 6.00    
5  MAMACALLMEBOO Jul08 Jun17       (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.00 ★    
6  J T'S A. T. M. Jan09         (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 2.50 9% 9.50    
 
EMD-3   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERLY FAST Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May28   (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  BIG PAPER DADDY Jul02 Jun19 May15     (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 119 1.80 ★    
3  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jul09 Jun12 May29 May03 Apr04 (toye joe)RADKE K 119 3.50    
4  BOSS NINE Jul08 Jun12 May22     (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 119 5.00 15% 5.90    
5  EL MAESTRO Jul03 Jun12 May22     (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  LET IT REIGN Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 May21 Apr25 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 6.00 ★    
 
EMD-4   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA POPIS Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr23 (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  RODEO ROSE Jul15 Jul02 Jun04 May21   (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 121 5.00 32% 2.20    
3  SADIE'S SNOWSTORM Jul16         (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
4  ENCHANTING WAY Jul01 Jun11 May29     (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 119 1.80 16% 5.10    
5  MOSCOW LADY Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Jun05 May22 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  I AM YOURS Jul16 Jul03 Apr28 Mar28 Mar04 (dronen sam)OROZCO E 119 5.00    
7  LAFONDA Jul10 Jun18 Jan17 Jan03   (harwood )MURO ISIDRO 121 15.00    
 
EMD-5   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS RIDE GOODBYE Jul22 Jun03 May27 Apr22 Apr02 (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 123 3.50 14% 5.90    
2  COASTAL RUN Jul08 Jun25 May29 Feb28 Feb11 (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  VIOLENT MOVE Jul01 May22       (markle dan)RADKE K 120 4.50    
4  STAND IN YOUR LOVE Jun03 May20 May01 Apr08 Mar18 (puentes jos)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 123 8.00 12% 7.10    
5  SARA'S FINALE Jul16 Jun25       (bozell alan)ZUNINO L 117 15.00    
6  FLYIN BY Jul02 Jun18 May28 May15   (johnston kimb)GUTIERREZ M 120 12.00    
7  MISS MONIQUE Jul08 May29       (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
8  MAGGIE FITZGERALD Jul17 May27 May13 Apr22 Apr02 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
9  WAHASHA Jul08 Jun18 Jun04     (nunnally jenni)SAMUELS JAKE 123 15.00    
 
EMD-6   07/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORPEDO AWAY Jun26 May20 Apr17 Mar13 Feb06 (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 ★    
2  BOBBY BRINKLEY Jun04 May07 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 4.50    
3  COASTAL JAZZ Jun26 May22 May07 Apr20 Apr01 (bullock steve)RADKE K 124 6.00    
4  MR. STANG Jul02 Jun05 May02 Apr01   (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
5  DEFENSE WINS Jul02 Jun19 May22 Apr03 Mar13 (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 124 8.00 ★    
6  EL ALTO HOMBRE Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May22   (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  MARCH ON LINCH Jul09 Jun04 May15 Jan24 Jan04 (bozell alan)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 15.00    
8  NINE ONE ONE Jul09 May15       (gilker robert)CRUZ M 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
EMD-7   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOT BY MIGHT Jul03 Jun17       (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 118 2.50 10% 8.80    
2  CHARLIE THE GENT Jun25 May29 May07 Apr16   (wr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 10.00    
3  DIAMOND WILLOW Jul15 Jul03 Jun05 May30 May07 (baze robert)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50    
4  TOO TALL TO CALL Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May15 (cornier c)RADKE K 121 5.00 ★    
5  IGOTTABOOBOO Jul02         (simkins rosie)MAWING A 121 4.50 58% 0.70    
6  MILEYS BLUECAT Jul16 Jun10 May15 Apr17 Apr02 (perez sergi)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 8.00    
7  MAYHEM AND CHAOS Jul16 Jul01 Jun12 May29 May15 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 124 6.00 ★    
8  NORTHERN BLEND Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 May29   (dronen sam)ANAYA V 124 15.00    
9  ROWDY RETURNS Jul15         (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 121 20.00 6% 15.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.