Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Monday - November 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:113     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HPNOTIQ RHYTHM 4 1 11 11 1 14 13 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 14% 6.10 0.70 W
MONGOL ALTAI 5 4 5 43 4 3 23 (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50 4.10 P
WARRIORS HERO 2 5 4 3 2 24 3 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 11% 7.70 4.20 S
ADD ON 1 2 3 5 58 48 46 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00 14.50  
RIVIERA CHAMP 3 3 21 21 34 5 517 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 4.00 3.20  
SCR  STRAUS'S PLACE               (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-2   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:224 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSTIGATE 2 2 2nk 1½   11 1 (chambers mik)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 4.50 8.80  
BOURBON AND WATER 1 3 3½ 3   21 2 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 32% 2.10 10.50 P
AMADMADWORLD 5 5 41 53   55 3 (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 121 15.00 6% 16.10 22.70 S
YANKEE GO HOME 6 7 6 6   4 4 (vitali marcus)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 2.00 23% 3.40 5.40  
BLUE PARADISE (GB) 4 6 1nk 2½   3 55 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 2.10  
YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 7 1 5 43   67 611½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 18% 4.70 0.80  
SIERRA SNOW STORM 3 4 7 79   718 721¾ (garcia jesus)ANAYA V 121 15.00 86.80  
 
TUP-3   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:11 1:24   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BLACK STRAT 1 1 1nk 1½ 12 1 1nk (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 18% 4.60 4.70 W
WESTPHAL 7 4 5 52 34 3 2nk (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 3.00 P
GRAVES MILL ROAD 3 6 4 3 44 45 3 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 3.90  
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 6 2 2nk 2½ 22 2 45 (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 4.90  
JOKER MATT 5 3 32 4 5 5 5 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 119 4.00 49% 1.00 3.30  
MIDNIGHT MOJO 2 7 76 65 610½ 610 614¼ (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 3.00 4.90  
BODEMONSTER 4 5 6 7 712 713½ 719½ (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 8% 11.70 13.40  
 
TUP-4   11/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:104 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEOPATRA'S STRIKE 1 4 31 4 3 3½ 1¾ (peery debbi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 14% 6.30 1.50 W
THIRTY SECONDS OUT 3 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 1nk 2¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.50 P
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM 2 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 2nk 3 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50 14% 5.90 7.80 S
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 7 6 62 6 5 5 46 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 10.30  
HAPI HAPI 5 5 7 7 7 6 56 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 11.70  
THICK HAZE 4 3 4 3½ 43 45 67 (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 6.00  
CALIBOGEE 6 7 52 5 69 714¾ 718 (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 22.30  
 
TUP-5   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133 1:27   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCY K 1 4 31 4 52 11 1 (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00 28% 2.50 3.90 W
TAKING CHARGE DESI 5 2 41 32 21 21 2 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 121 2.00 41% 1.40 0.40 P
IMPECCABLE TASTE 4 7 2½ 2nk 42 43 3 (rollins scott)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 33.70  
KEEPMEINPOWER 2 6 6 6 3 31 4 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 6.70  
FLY ROBYN FLY 7 1 1½ 1nk 11 5 513½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 4.50 8.20  
EASTER GRACE 3 5 7 7 79 7 614 (dillenbeck b)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 45.00  
TED'S CANDY GIRL 6 3 5 5 65 6 714 (rollins scott)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 12.70  
SCR  JESSICA BLAH BLAH               (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
 
TUP-6   11/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:102     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. TROUTMAN 7 3 1nk 2nk   2 1¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 0.60  
AUTOPILOT 1 6 4 44   3 2¾ (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 10.80  
SHOTGUN RIDER 8 8 8 8   7 31 (bullene michael)MAWING A 122 20.00 15.90  
GO ADMIRAL GO 5 5 5 56   66 41 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 11.00  
MARK YE WELL 3 9 9 7   5 5 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 15.00 11% 8.40 37.30  
10  FRANKS FIX IT 9 1 3 33   44 62 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 10.20  
KHAIKY'S COMMAND 4 4 2nk 1nk   1 7 (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 5.00 64% 0.60 3.60  
UPPER ROOM 2 7 6 6   98 8 (toye joe)VERGARA P 124 12.00 32.40  
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY 6 2 7 9   88 9 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 15.60  
SCR  DUSALUT               (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 4.00    
 
TUP-7   11/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:214 :441 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTER OF SOUL 5 1 1nk 11   13 1 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.20 63% 0.60 0.10 W
JAZZ HANDS 1 6 3 21   23 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 6.90 P
BEDROCK (GB) 4 5 56 4   37 3 (christian billy)MAWING A 122 6.00 17.90  
THIEF IN THE NIGHT 6 3 4 5   5 4 (scott j)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 25.00  
PRINCE ALI 2 4 6 6   48 510 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 29.90  
DON JUAN KITTEN 3 2 2nk 31   610 616½ (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 9% 10.10 8.30  
SCR  SILVERBULLITBADGER               (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00    
 
TUP-8   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:212 :433       1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECOND GRACE 2 10 6 45   23 1¾ (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 15% 5.70 3.00 W
MOONSHINE MOXY 5 6 7 5   4 2¾ (silva rodr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 3.00  
SHOE GAME 4 9 10 66   55 3 (silva pa)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 11% 7.70 10.30 S
MADISON'S QUARTERS 1 8 2 2   3 4 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 32% 2.10 2.20  
TIZ TENACIOUS 3 7 9 8   65 5 (leon priscill)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 10.20  
MOUNTAIN PASS 9 1 1 1   13 6 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 12% 7.70 5.90  
MY EXPRESSION 7 4 3 7   8 7 (fulmer drew)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00 45.50  
MAYBEE A DIVA 8 5 4 3   7 8 (williams de)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 8% 10.90 18.50  
SHELBY R. 6 3 5 912½   9 9 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 15.00 19.30  
10  ASHLEY BEAUTIFUL 10 2 8 1014½   1018¾ 1017 (garcia jesus)ANAYA V 124 20.00 84.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.