Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Monday - November 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADD ON Nov05 Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 Jul09 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00    
2  WARRIORS HERO Nov15 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 11% 7.70    
3  RIVIERA CHAMP Nov09 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 Jul02 (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 119 4.00 ★    
4  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Nov04 Sep08 Aug21 Aug03 Jul17 (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 14% 6.10    
5  MONGOL ALTAI Sep17 Aug24 Jul31 Jun26 Jun04 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  STRAUS'S PLACE Oct29 Oct10 Oct01 Aug26 Aug06 (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-2   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON AND WATER Nov12 Aug29 Aug06     (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  INSTIGATE Oct15 Sep09 Aug14     (chambers mike)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 4.50    
3  SIERRA SNOW STORM Aug15 Jul02 May29 May07 Apr16 (garcia jesus)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
4  BLUE PARADISE (GB) Nov09 Sep30 Aug26 Aug15 Jul10 (eikleberry ke)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★    
5  AMADMADWORLD Nov09 Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 Jul10 (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 121 15.00 6% 16.10    
6  YANKEE GO HOME Sep05 Aug12 Jul03 Apr13 Mar17 (vitali j)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Nov09 Jul16 Jun25 Apr24 Mar26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
TUP-3   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BLACK STRAT Oct07 Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 Jul12 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 18% 4.60    
2  MIDNIGHT MOJO Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 May22 (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 3.00 ★    
3  GRAVES MILL ROAD Nov04 Aug17 Jul01 Apr30 Apr10 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
4  BODEMONSTER Nov15 Sep24 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 8% 11.70    
5  JOKER MATT Nov15 Nov04 Aug31 Aug14 Jul31 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
6  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Nov09         (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00    
7  WESTPHAL Nov19 Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   11/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEOPATRA'S STRIKE Nov05 Oct01 Aug27 May15 Feb26 (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM Nov08 Sep08 Jul30 Jul09 Jun08 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50 14% 5.90    
3  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Nov12 Aug31 Aug11 Jul04 Jun18 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  THICK HAZE Nov12 Sep10 Sep01 Jul16 Jun19 (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 ★    
5  HAPI HAPI Oct22 Oct01 Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
6  CALIBOGEE Sep12 Aug08 Jul16 Jun27 May21 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 ★    
7  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Nov12 Sep17 Aug31 Jul23 May07 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-5   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY K Nov07 Jul30 Jul11 May02 Apr11 (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
2  KEEPMEINPOWER Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 Jul15   (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00    
3  EASTER GRACE Aug19 Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 May07 (dillenbeck bru)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00    
SCR  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 Jun02 May12 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 ★    
5  IMPECCABLE TASTE         (rollins scott)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
6  TAKING CHARGE DESI Nov15 Sep01 Aug10 Jun22 Jun05 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
7  TED'S CANDY GIRL         (rollins scott)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 8.00 ★    
8  FLY ROBYN FLY Nov15 Sep17 Aug27 Jul15 Jul02 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-6   11/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUSALUT Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul15 Jun28 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 4.00 ★    
2  AUTOPILOT Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00    
3  UPPER ROOM Nov14 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Jul15 (toye joe)VERGARA P 124 12.00 ★    
4  MARK YE WELL Sep28 Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 15.00 11% 8.40    
5  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 Aug23 Jul31 (pearman jaymie)CRUZ M 122 5.00 64% 0.60    
6  GO ADMIRAL GO Sep24 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 May23 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00    
7  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Nov07 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul29 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
8  DR. TROUTMAN Nov07 Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 ★    
9  SHOTGUN RIDER Aug14 Jul02 Jun15 May28 May02 (bullene michael)MAWING A 122 20.00    
10  FRANKS FIX IT Nov05 Sep04 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00    
 
TUP-7   11/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZ HANDS Apr03 Feb05 Jan09     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 ★    
2  PRINCE ALI Feb11 Jan12       (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 ★    
3  DON JUAN KITTEN Aug21         (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  SILVERBULLITBADGER Sep14 Aug20 Jul30 Jun27 May22 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00 ★    
5  BEDROCK (GB) Nov07 Jul24 Jul04 May06 Apr07 (christian billy)MAWING A 122 6.00    
6  MINISTER OF SOUL Nov04 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Aug07 (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.20 63% 0.60    
7  THIEF IN THE NIGHT Sep19 Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 Apr20 (scott jr)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00    
 
TUP-8   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADISON'S QUARTERS Nov05 Sep19 Sep03 Aug01 Jul18 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  SECOND GRACE Sep15 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Apr05 (pierce michae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
3  TIZ TENACIOUS Nov04 Sep19 Aug13 Aug01 Jul16 (leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
4  SHOE GAME Nov14 Nov05 Sep12 Aug20 Aug01 (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 11% 7.70    
5  MOONSHINE MOXY Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 Jun25 Jun01 (silva rodrig)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
6  SHELBY R. Jun24 Jun03 May21     (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
7  MY EXPRESSION Nov05 May22 Apr14 Mar15 Feb08 (fulmer drew)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00    
8  MAYBEE A DIVA Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 May07 (williams dewe)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 8% 10.90    
9  MOUNTAIN PASS Nov14 Sep10 Aug08 Jul04 Mar30 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 12% 7.70    
10  ASHLEY BEAUTIFUL Nov14 Oct22 Oct15 Oct08 Sep18 (garcia jesus)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.