Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWITTERATI 1 4 34 4   42 1½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 1.90  
ATLANTIC PRINCESS 5 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 2½ (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 3.50 3.00 P
M AND M GIRL 4 5 5 3   3 3¾ (sanderson br)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 1.60 31% 2.20 1.30 S
STRADARI 3 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 45 (soto antonio)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 30% 2.30 3.60  
TWIRLY GIRL 2 2 4 5   58 511 (barrio sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 29.60  
SCR  IZANAMI               (soto antonio)BARBER R 124 10.00 11% 7.70    
 
TUP-2   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:231 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CRUSADER 3 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 12% 7.00 28.80 W
BRANDYN 5 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 2¼ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 2.50  
ECHO CANYON 6 1 3 31   43 3½ (schnell don)CORBETT W 121 2.00 26% 2.80 1.10 S
ACCELERITAS 1 5 4 43   3½ 4¾ (eikleberry kevi)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 3.10  
BRAYBRAY 2 4 5 5   5 5 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 7.20  
ARIZONA STEPHEN 4 6 6 68   617½ 628 (martinez a)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 19% 4.30 7.10  
SCR  HA HA FOR YOU               (roberson don)BARBER R 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
TUP-3   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :453 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART 6 5 6 6   3 1¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.50 5.30  
TAKING CHARGE DESI 2 3 4 4   1 2¾ (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 121 2.50 30% 2.30 0.90 P
BELLE MY BELLE 1 6 56 55   5 3 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.50 17% 5.00 4.00 S
FINE POINT ASSAY 5 7 7 78   6 49 (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 24% 3.10 16.00  
C'MON LETS SWITCH 4 2 1nk 1   2 511¼ (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 40.40  
BAKERSFIELD BABE 3 4 31 3   4 611¾ (simpson shannon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 9.80  
FLY ROBYN FLY 7 1 2nk 2   7 715¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 4.00 3.80  
 
TUP-4   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:114 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T BONES TRICK 2 6 6 5 5 4 1hd (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 1.80  
SHINNY 5 1 4 6 3 1nk 2hd (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 63% 0.60 2.90 P
FAMILY BIZ 3 5 53 4 67 5 31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 4.90 S
THE BEAT 6 3 32 2nk 1½ 2nk 4 (evans justin)LEON A 124 4.50 4.40  
ASTRONOMICAL 4 2 2 1nk 2½ 3.2 5 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 3.60  
PISTOL POWER 1 4 1 3½ 44 6 65 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 5.00 10.90  
 
TUP-5   11/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:103 1:231   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT CRUISER 1 5 8 6 2 1nk 1 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 124 4.50 40% 1.50 1.40 W
BROTHERLY LOVE 3 2 4 5 54 4 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 5% 18.80 3.50 P
GALLANT OAK 8 3 12 12 1 2nk 3 (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 10% 8.90 3.60 S
GUEST CHECK 7 8 5 4 32 3 4 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 18.80  
ROCKED 5 7 7 9 9 5 5 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 10.60  
LUPINO (GB) 2 1 6 8 7 710¼ 6 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.50 16% 5.20 4.30  
LINCHTOWN 4 4 32 3 43 610 715½ (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 25.80  
ATLATL 9 6 22 22 64 811¾ 817 (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 48.00  
BEL RAGAZZO 6 9 9 7 8 913¼ 917¾ (villamar candelari)MAWING A 121 10.00 33.20  
 
TUP-6   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :462 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORCADIAN STORM 8 1 2½ 12   12 11 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.50 0.80  
PARLEY STREET 2 6 4 4   4 21 (silva pab)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 33% 2.00 2.60 P
TAINO HOUSE 7 3 1½ 22   3 3 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 6.60 S
MO GEE 1 7 32 3   6 44 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 23% 3.30 4.50  
HERBIE 3 2 5 53   22 5 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 20% 3.90 18.30  
LIL LATIGO 4 5 7 64   53 67 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 39.00  
KICK IT 5 4 8 88   7 78 (lavanway days)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 35.10  
BEAU GOSSE 6 8 65 75   810¼ 811¾ (christian billy)MAWING A 124 10.00 30.20  
 
TUP-7   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:22 :444 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET MISTRESS 1 5 4 43   2nk 1 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 13% 6.90 8.10 W
MIDNIGHT BABY 9 8 68 57   5 2 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 31.90  
BOLD INTENTION 6 4 2½ 2½   1nk 34 (owens kory)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50 29% 2.40 1.00 S
11  BIG AL'S PRINCESS 11 1 32 32   3.2 4 (garcia jesus)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 28.90  
BREAKFAST BALL 2 11 79 7   6 5 (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 18.60  
HEART ON THE RUN 5 3 1½ 1½   4¼ 66 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 30% 2.40 3.00  
BIGMONEYHUNNY 7 9 1211¾ 914   8 7 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 14.30  
10  IT'S CURLIN TIME 10 2 1111¾ 1115½   9 8 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 20.60  
YOUONLYLIVETWICE 8 6 56 6   7 9 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 8.00 6.20  
PRECIOUS ONE 4 10 1010¾ 1217   1011¼ 1011¾ (morales guille)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 38.30  
12  MY CLASSY WIFE 12 7 89 812   1112¼ 1113 (christian bil)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 15.00 42.80  
CAROLYN'S WAY 3 12 910½ 1014   1214¼ 1215¼ (elston brent)KING MCKENZIE 121 20.00 97.70  
 
TUP-8   11/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:103 1:23   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE JEFF 3 1 2 21 21 2 1½ (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 31% 2.20 0.90 W
N. K. ROCKET MAN 6 2 1 11 11 1 2½ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 16% 5.30 4.70 P
JOKER MATT 9 5 6 64 5 3 3 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 119 5.00 7% 12.40 6.20 S
10  COASTAL WATERS 10 4 8 8 63 54 4 (lund valorie)MAWING A 122 8.00 20.20  
THE LONGEST NIGHT 7 9 7 7 74 6 52 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 18% 4.50 9.20  
CLUB MESQUITE 1 7 54 4 32 4 6 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5.80  
BODEMONSTER 8 8 9 9 9 7 76 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 7% 13.30 19.70  
WARRIORS HERO 4 10 1012¼ 1010¼ 10 9 810 (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00 45.80  
IN THE MIDST 5 6 4 53 8 8 910¼ (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 119 8.00 14.40  
TOUR THE WORLD 2 3 3 3 42 10 1012¼ (lund valorie)CORBETT W 122 8.00 48.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.