Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWITTERATI Sep19 Sep03 Apr27 Apr08 Jan20 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 ★    
2  TWIRLY GIRL Jul04 Apr27 Apr14 Apr02 Mar28 (barrio sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00    
3  STRADARI         (soto antonio)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  M AND M GIRL Sep29 Sep19 Aug20     (sanderson br)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
5  ATLANTIC PRINCESS Oct05 Aug23 Jul27 May27 Apr30 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  IZANAMI Nov05 Sep19 Sep10 Aug29 Aug13 (soto antonio)BARBER R 124 10.00 11% 7.70    
 
TUP-2   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCELERITAS Oct01 Sep12 Aug06 Jun20   (eikleberry kevi)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00    
2  BRAYBRAY Oct04 Aug15       (martinez a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 ★    
3  NOBLE CRUSADER Sep05 Jul18       (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 12% 7.00    
4  ARIZONA STEPHEN Oct04 Aug30       (martinez a)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 19% 4.30    
5  BRANDYN Sep19 Aug27       (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
6  ECHO CANYON Oct04 Aug27 Aug14     (schnell don)CORBETT W 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HA HA FOR YOU Sep19         (roberson don)BARBER R 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
TUP-3   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE MY BELLE Sep17 Aug29 Jul23 Jul11 May07 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  TAKING CHARGE DESI Sep01 Aug10 Jun22 Jun05 May03 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  BAKERSFIELD BABE Sep17 Sep04 Apr21     (simpson shannon)LULL E 121 6.00    
4  C'MON LETS SWITCH Sep17         (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00    
5  FINE POINT ASSAY Sep19         (martinez a)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
6  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Sep17 Jul24 Jul03 Feb07   (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.50 ★    
7  FLY ROBYN FLY Sep17 Aug27 Jul15 Jul02 Jun05 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL POWER Sep17 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
2  T BONES TRICK Sep17 Aug21 Aug10 Jun29 Jun15 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★    
3  FAMILY BIZ Sep19 Sep05 Jul28 Jul01 Jun05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
4  ASTRONOMICAL Sep24 Aug21 Jun04 May21 Apr18 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 ★    
5  SHINNY Sep17 Jul04 Jun08 May18 Feb07 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
6  THE BEAT Sep10 Aug15 Jul28 Jul10 Jul04 (evans justin)LEON A 124 4.50    
 
TUP-5   11/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT CRUISER Oct06 Aug29 Aug15 Jul16 Jul02 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 124 4.50 40% 1.50    
2  LUPINO (GB) Oct02 Jul20       (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  BROTHERLY LOVE Oct05 Sep03 Aug06 Jun12 May29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 5% 18.80    
4  LINCHTOWN Oct02 Sep20 Jul03 Jun18 Jun03 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 ★    
5  ROCKED Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 Jul08 May29 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00    
6  BEL RAGAZZO Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 May27 (villamar candelari)MAWING A 121 10.00    
7  GUEST CHECK Oct28 Sep14 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
8  GALLANT OAK Sep03 Aug04 Jul17 Jun25 Jun12 (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 10% 8.90    
9  ATLATL Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO GEE Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 May21 Apr04 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  PARLEY STREET Nov04 Jul30 Jul18 Jul04 Jun25 (silva pab)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
3  HERBIE Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 May07 Apr23 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
4  LIL LATIGO Nov04 Oct10 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
5  KICK IT Oct11 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug21 (lavanway days)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00    
6  BEAU GOSSE Sep13 Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun24 (christian billy)MAWING A 124 10.00    
7  TAINO HOUSE Sep14 Aug10 May27 Apr29 Mar22 (alvarez sergio)LULL E 124 5.00 ★    
8  ORCADIAN STORM Sep17 Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-7   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET MISTRESS Sep14 Sep03 Aug03 Feb20   (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
2  BREAKFAST BALL Sep18 Aug28 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
3  CAROLYN'S WAY Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 Jun19 May08 (elston brent)KING MCKENZIE 121 20.00    
4  PRECIOUS ONE Sep12 Aug27 Aug06     (morales guille)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEART ON THE RUN Sep14 Jul09 Jun05 Apr21 Jan28 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
6  BOLD INTENTION Sep19 Aug27 May07 Apr21   (owens kory)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  BIGMONEYHUNNY Sep25 Sep11 Jul15 Jun26 May27 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
8  YOUONLYLIVETWICE Oct08 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 8.00 ★    
9  MIDNIGHT BABY Sep17 Sep10 Aug29 Jul23 Jun27 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
10  IT'S CURLIN TIME Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00    
11  BIG AL'S PRINCESS Sep03 Aug22 Apr10 Feb20   (garcia jesus)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
12  MY CLASSY WIFE Sep26         (christian billy)LULL E 121 15.00    
 
TUP-8   11/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLUB MESQUITE Nov04 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Jul31 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
2  TOUR THE WORLD Sep04 Jun29 Jun08 May19 Apr08 (lund valorie)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
3  UNCLE JEFF Oct21 Oct08 Sep11 Aug14   (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  WARRIORS HERO Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00    
5  IN THE MIDST Aug27 Aug19 May21 Apr01 Mar04 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 119 8.00    
6  N. K. ROCKET MAN May03 Mar21 Feb28     (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  THE LONGEST NIGHT Sep12 Aug01 Jul18     (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  BODEMONSTER Sep24 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 7% 13.30    
9  JOKER MATT Nov04 Aug31 Aug14 Jul31 Jul13 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 119 5.00 7% 12.40    
10  COASTAL WATERS Sep15 Sep04 Aug18 Jul17 Jun29 (lund valorie)MAWING A 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.