The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Emerald Downs
Friday - August 26, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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EMD-1   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
:234 :454 1:10 1:222   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSED THE BOAT 4 2 1½ 1½ 11 12 1(cryderman s)GUTIERREZ M 124 1.80 47% 1.10 2.10 DQ↓5
PISTOL POWER 2 1 33 33 3 22 2(velasquez rigoberto)SAMUELS JAKE 124 4.00 7.70  
HYDROGEN 5 3 4 4 4 34 34 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 124 2.50 13% 6.90 1.90 P
ROCKY TOUGH 3 5 5 5 5 57 4(cryderman s)MATIAS J 124 5.00 8% 10.80 5.50 S
MIXO 1 4 2½ 2½ 21 44 510¼ (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 3.00 2.90  
 
EMD-2   08/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
:22 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNY ZUKO 6 1 42 4   3.2 1(lucarelli frank)OROZCO E 121 3.00 11% 7.90 2.60 W
TEACHERSBUGSAROO 4 3 21 21   1nk 2(lowe nick)RADKE K 121 2.50 4.10 P
ALPHABETICAL 2 4 11 11   2nk 3(gilmour jim)ANAYA V 124 12.00 9.20 S
ASSURANCE 5 2 6 56   54(garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 20.10  
BIG GALUTE 1 6 31 32   45(simkins rosie)CRUZ M 124 4.50 6.40  
IM MR BIG 3 5 53 68   6611½ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 2.00 63% 0.60 1.30  
 
EMD-3   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:01
:232 :454 1:111 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY'S C NOTE 5 4 44 47 4 21 1¼ (madrigal elodio)MATIAS J 124 3.50 47% 1.10 2.20 W
UNION BLISS 1 5 2½ 2nk 11 11 2¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 1.80 1.20 P
PEQUENO MONTE 3 6 5 59 5 43¾ (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE 124 4.50 12% 7.70 7.70 S
BENNY THE JET 6 2 32 33 3 31 4(pirone e)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 15.70  
KEEP ON DANZING 2 1 1½ 1nk 21 52 5(perez s)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 3.00 3.70  
INQUISITION 4 3 67 614 612½ 610 623½ (lowe nick)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 124 10.00 10% 9.40 29.30  
 
EMD-4   08/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:27
:212 :444 :572     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHINOOK QUICK 1 5 11 11   1½ 1(crowe shelly)RADKE K 117 4.00 2.80  
VIOLENT MOVE 5 3 21 21   2½ 2(markle dan)ANAYA V 117 6.00 14% 6.40 2.50 P
SHARP CURVE 4 4 33 3   32 3(baze robert)CRUZ M 120 2.50 20% 4.10 2.60 S
KEEPINMYPROMISE 3 2 45 4   43 4(pierce l)GUTIERREZ M 123 3.00 22% 3.50 3.10  
CUTETIP 2 1 5 5   55 5(garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 123 4.50 7.80  
SCR  FLYIN BY               (johnston kimberley)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 3.50    
 
EMD-5   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:53
:213 :442 :563     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J T'S A. T. M. 8 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.50 22% 3.50 4.00 W
MISO FAST 7 8 88 8   63 2½ (perez s)RADKE K 124 4.50 6.50 P
ORCADIAN STORM 3 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 3(rosales jorge)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 124 5.00 2.90 S
TRIBAL IMPACT 4 5 5 42   42 4(garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 8.30  
PRINCE OF LUCK 1 7 42 5   55(baze robert)GUTIERREZ M 124 2.50 45% 1.20 2.40  
JERSEY RED 5 4 75 7   75 67 (kowalski liz)SAMUELS JAKE 121 12.00 17.00  
BUCKLEY BAY 9 2 31 31   377 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 8.00 7% 13.20 14.80  
NORSKI 6 9 910 9   98 8(belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 10.00 15.90  
PROUDTOBESICILIAN 2 6 6 6   88 9(bean a)MAWING A 121 20.00 59.50  
 
EMD-6   08/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:19
:23 :46 1:114 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOSE BALL 3 7 710½ 711 7 41¾ (cornier c)MATIAS J 121 4.50 13% 6.50 4.10 W
ATLATL 4 6 6 66 43 22 2¾ (johnston kimberley)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 5.60 P
SENOR FABULOSO 1 4 33 32 21 12 3¾ (perez s)SAMUELS JAKE 121 12.00 7% 12.40 7.20 S
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 6 2 5 56 6 54(bean a)MAWING A 121 8.00 11.60  
TOO TALL TO CALL 2 3 12 1½ 11 32 514¼ (cornier c)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 118 5.00 5.70  
OCTAVIUS PRIME 7 1 22 2½ 31 6618½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 118 4.00 5.40  
LAGO DE ORO 5 5 4 43 5 76 721 (simkins rosie)RADKE K 121 2.50 52% 0.90 2.00  
 
EMD-7   08/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:213 :45 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARQUE IT UP 1 3 2nk 1½   11(gilmour jim)SAMUELS JAKE 124 8.00 10% 9.30 6.10 W
STANLEY RYDER 7 6 7 6   42(raudales jose)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 12% 7.50 6.90 P
LICORICE DROP POPS 6 7 6 43   332 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 2.50 32% 2.20 1.60 S
MIKE MAN'S GOLD 3 2 4 53   53 44 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 14.80  
ROUGH RIDE 2 1 1nk 2½   256 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 124 4.00 3.10  
BEARCREEK MOUNTAIN 4 4 5 7   66(belvoir howard)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 37.00  
NORTHWEST RAIN 5 5 31 3   7714¾ (gibson vince)MAWING A 124 3.00 11% 8.20 4.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.