The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 20, 2022

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ASD-1   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($1.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
:24 :473 1:00     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL KNOWS 1 5 5 1   1½ 1(gardipy jr)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 4.70  
SENOR BLAIR 3 1 11 2   2½ 2(dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.80 24% 3.10 0.85 P
OVERANALYZER 4 3 21 3   334 (delaronde lee)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 8.00 16% 5.10 6.55 S
ARTILLERY 2 2 3 57   54(jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 15.00 32.10  
JENNA'S GUN RUNNER 5 4 4 45   45(gardipy jr)NELSON TYRONE 124 3.00 25% 3.10 2.20  
SCR  SUNDAY SCHEMING               (gardipy jr)NELSON C 121 2.50    
 
ASD-2   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
:231 :473 1:003     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PARFAIT 2 6 6 6   65 1(jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 8.00 2.60  
WHAT UP NOW J T 7 1 31 31   11 2(anderson wendy)NELSON C 123 6.00 25% 3.00 6.05 P
LADY NYLA 5 5 5 5   54 3(anderson wendy)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00 16% 5.20 6.85 S
THATSALOTOFBLING 1 7 43 4   444 (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.40 4.50  
HIDDEN DREAMS 6 3 7 7   755 (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 121 20.00 5% 19.00 48.35  
LIPSTICK LADY 3 4 1nk 1nk   21 66 (wise a)CHOW CHAVION 117 2.50 29% 2.40 1.45  
SECRET AVENGER 4 2 2nk 2nk   37(gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 117 15.00 35.95  
 
ASD-3   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
:232 :481 1:003     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY HEY RUN AWAY 2 1 1½ 1½   11¾ (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.60 46% 1.20 2.05 W
TUFFENOUGHTOSTART 1 6 43 3   32¾ (gardipy jr)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 14% 6.00 6.05 P
VIDIRA 4 5 5 5   53(mustard douglas)CHOW CHAVION 123 25.00 5% 19.00 18.35 S
WITTS'S GATO 3 3 32 42   24(mustard douglas)CHICKENESS S 123 2.50 5.40  
TIME FOR A SONG 5 2 2½ 2½   43 55 (gardipy jr)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 6.00 1.25  
GOLDSHAFT 6 4 6 6   666 (gardipy jr)NELSON TYRONE 123 15.00 11% 7.70 36.90  
DIVINE RIDE 7 7 78 712   711½ 715¼ (cizik larry)TARASENCO P 123 20.00 25.65  
 
ASD-4   09/20/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:05
:232 :474       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIANE'S WISH 8 2 11 1nk   11(gaskin steven)CHADEE JR 119 2.00 28% 2.50 1.15 W
BIG BIG ENERGY 6 5 64 32   32(gittens devon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 3.50 24% 3.20 2.80 P
ANNAKHOZANA 3 3 21 2nk   23(brown shelley)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 2.50 25% 3.00 5.85 S
GO IN GORGEOUS 1 6 54 6   56 4(pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 119 25.00 19.30  
BACKSTREET JUSTICE 2 4 3 4   45(dickey elton)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 30.00 28.65  
KEYSTONE CASH 4 8 814 815   812¼ 611¾ (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 10.00 15.80  
DOT AND DASH 5 7 76 75   7711¾ (husbands tiffany)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00 32.80  
JACKIE'S THUNDER 7 1 4 5   68 813 (miller blair)CARRENO J 119 4.50 6.60  
 
ASD-5   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
:231 :462 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIZZY 6 2 3 3   1½ 13 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 3.00 1.45  
WARBRIDGE 4 3 5 6   54 23 (gardipy jr)CHADEE JR 122 6.00 6.35 P
BITETHEBULLETBRO 3 4 1nk 1½   2½ 33 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 5.00 47% 1.10 12.30 S
SHOOTIN MONEY 1 6 43 43   31 4(taphorn mike)NELSON TYRONE 124 1.20 1.70  
HOT RODIN 2 7 6 53   65(stanford maria)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00 23.95  
ALL FOR TRUTH 7 1 2nk 2½   46(cavanaugh perry)TARASENCO P 124 25.00 12% 7.60 14.75  
WAKE UP CALL 5 5 7 7   7100 7100 (delaronde lee)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 10.00 13% 6.70 10.25  
 
ASD-6   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
:23 :471 1:00     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRISINCONTROL 3 5 68 4   31(brown jared)CARRENO J 122 2.00 39% 1.60 2.30 W
BRO CODE 1 6 5 69   62(gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 5.00 9% 10.10 2.45 P
GET UP EARLY 6 2 3 2   21 3(miller blair)CHICKENESS S 119 12.00 8% 11.80 10.70 S
LIVERYMAN 5 3 21 1   11 4(desjarlais ryan)CHADEE JR 119 3.00 18% 4.70 2.05  
STEEP ROCK 2 7 710½ 713½   754 (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.50 8.90  
CHICAGO ROLL 4 4 4 5   54 67 (desjarlais ryan)NELSON C 122 25.00 48.40  
FORGOTTEN SON 7 1 11 32   44 713 (husbands tiffany)CHOW CHAVION 124 15.00 17.85  
 
ASD-7   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
:231 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOLA 3 3 4 5   31nk (anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00 14% 6.20 3.90 W
MARK YE WELL 2 5 5 4   42nk (brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 124 5.00 26% 2.80 6.60 P
OUT ON SATURDAY 6 2 31 1nk   1½ 3¼ (gourneau jerry)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 4.30  
DAZZL'N MISCHIEF 4 4 2nk 3   64(brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.00 15% 5.60 1.85  
FREIBURG 1 6 6 6   53 5(cavanaugh perry)TARASENCO P 124 10.00 11% 8.00 10.15  
BIG TONY 5 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 6(brown shelley)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 3.65  
SCR  EAGLEBINE               (desjarlais ryan)CHADEE JR 122 20.00    
 
ASD-8   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
:233 :471 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCH OF LOVE 1 5 31 1nk   13 1(jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 8.00 3.25  
PRAIRIE MAGIC 2 6 21 31   23 2(gittens devon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 2.50 23% 3.30 2.80 P
MAIBELLA 5 3 11 2nk   33(nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.00 1.80 S
MUCHO EXPRESS 7 2 6 611½   6410½ (ross courtney)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 25.00 48.45  
WITT'S MEMORIES 6 1 43 4   45 510½ (anderson carl)CHADEE JR 123 15.00 33.10  
THEWHISKEYWORKED 3 4 5 5   5612¼ (kidd blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 30.00 79.05  
ARTISAN DANCER 4 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 117 4.00 34% 1.90 2.75  
SCR  HALF DAY PAM               (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  MOLLYS CHALLENGE               (cavanaugh perry)TARASENCO P 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.