Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($1.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL KNOWS Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 Jun14 (gardipy )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
ARTILLERY Sep06 Aug23 Mar18 Feb24 Feb06 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 15.00    
SENOR BLAIR Aug30 Aug22 Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.80 24% 3.10    
SCR  SUNDAY SCHEMING Aug08 Jul05 Jun10 May28 May15 (gardipy jr)NELSON C 121 2.50    
OVERANALYZER Aug29 Jul31 Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 8.00 16% 5.10    
JENNA'S GUN RUNNER Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
ASD-2   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSALOTOFBLING Aug30 Aug09 Aug03 Jul19 Jun11 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.40    
MISS PARFAIT Sep07 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 8.00    
LIPSTICK LADY Aug31 Jul06 Jun14 May31 Mar10 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 2.50 29% 2.40    
SECRET AVENGER Aug31 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun18 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 117 15.00    
LADY NYLA Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 Jun29 Jun06 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00 16% 5.20    
HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) Jul12         (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
WHAT UP NOW J T Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 (anderson wendy)NELSON C 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
ASD-3   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFFENOUGHTOSTART Sep06 Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jul19 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
HEY HEY RUN AWAY Sep06 Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 Jul04 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
WITTS'S GATO Aug22 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 (mustard doug)CHICKENESS S 123 2.50    
VIDIRA Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jul04 (mustard doug)CHOW CHAVION 123 25.00 5% 19.00    
TIME FOR A SONG Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jun20 Apr18 (gardipy tom )BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 6.00    
GOLDSHAFT Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 Jun14 Jun07 (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 123 15.00 11% 7.70    
DIVINE RIDE Jun21 Jun07       (cizik larry)TARASENCO P 123 20.00    
 
ASD-4   09/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO IN GORGEOUS Sep05 Aug16       (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 119 25.00    
BACKSTREET JUSTICE Sep06 Aug23       (dickey elton)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 30.00    
ANNAKHOZANA Sep05 Aug29 Aug16     (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
KEYSTONE CASH         (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 10.00    
DOT AND DASH         (husbands tiffa)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00    
BIG BIG ENERGY Sep05 Aug16 Jul25     (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
JACKIE'S THUNDER Jul25         (miller blair)CARRENO J 119 4.50    
DIANE'S WISH Sep05 Aug16       (gaskin st)CHADEE JR 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
ASD-5   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOTIN MONEY Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 (taphorn mike)NELSON TYRONE 124 1.20    
HOT RODIN Sep13 Sep05 Aug24 Jul26 Jul13 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00    
BITETHEBULLETBRO Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 Jun27 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
WARBRIDGE Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 (gardipy t)CHADEE JR 122 6.00    
WAKE UP CALL Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
DRIZZY Sep12 Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 3.00    
ALL FOR TRUTH Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul24 Jul13 (cavanaugh per)TARASENCO P 124 25.00 12% 7.60    
 
ASD-6   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRO CODE Sep13 Sep06 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 5.00 9% 10.10    
STEEP ROCK Sep07 Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Jun15 (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.50    
HENRISINCONTROL Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
CHICAGO ROLL Sep06 Aug30 Aug01 Jul13 Jun28 (desjarlais ryan)NELSON C 122 25.00    
LIVERYMAN Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
GET UP EARLY Sep13 Aug24 Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 (miller blair)CHICKENESS S 119 12.00 8% 11.80    
FORGOTTEN SON Sep06 Aug22       (husbands tiffa)CHOW CHAVION 124 15.00    
 
ASD-7   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREIBURG Sep03 Aug17 Jul16 Jun23 May26 (cavanaugh per)TARASENCO P 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
MARK YE WELL Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 (brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
YOLA Sep05 Aug24 Aug01 Jul20 Jun21 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
DAZZL'N MISCHIEF Aug30 Aug03 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
BIG TONY Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 Jun28 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00    
OUT ON SATURDAY Sep07 Aug31 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00    
SCR  EAGLEBINE Sep05 Aug16 Aug01     (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 122 20.00    
 
ASD-8   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCH OF LOVE Aug31 Aug09 Aug02 Jun12 May08 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 8.00    
SCR  MOLLYS CHALLENGE Jul31 Jul23 Jun25 Jun19   (cavanaugh per)TARASENCO P 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRAIRIE MAGIC Sep06 Aug24 Aug16 Jul27 Jul04 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
THEWHISKEYWORKED Sep06 Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 (kidd blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 30.00    
ARTISAN DANCER Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 Jul04 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 117 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  HALF DAY PAM Aug24 Jul24 Jun20 May25 Apr25 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
MAIBELLA Aug31 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 Jul04 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.00    
WITT'S MEMORIES Sep12 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul12 (anderson )CHADEE JR 123 15.00    
MUCHO EXPRESS Sep05 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jul13 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 25.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.