Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   07/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:162     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BUTTON MUSHROOM 3 1 53¼ 41½   32 12½ (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00 20.10  
2  THEWHISKEYWORKED 2 6 76¼ 62¾   55 22½ (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 1.80 11% 8.10 2.10 P
6  HEY HEY RUN AWAY 6 4 43 51¾   11½ 32½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 2.50 31% 2.20 2.45 S
4  MIZZENHOWER 4 5 3½ 1nk   21½ 43¾ (gardipy t)CHADEE JR 123 10.00 5% 17.90 4.65  
7  SHARP CONTRAST 7 7 2nk 3½   45 59 (morin shaun)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.50 31% 2.30 3.45  
5  WITTS QUESTION 5 3 64¾ 74¾   711½ 617¾ (gaskin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00 ★ 12.30  
1  VICTORIAN MOON 1 2 1nk 2nk   67½ 720½ (keshane norber)CHICKENESS S 123 20.00 20.05  
 
ASD-2   07/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:222 :453       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIA'S ON TUNE 7 1 12 11½   13½ 12¼ (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.80 1.60  
2  BYE Y'ALL 2 3 22 21½   23½ 22¼ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00 10% 8.90 8.25 P
5  CABO DORADO 5 6 44½ 45½   35 32½ (keplin j)CHICKENESS S 123 6.00 ★ 2.30 S
3  KNOW WHAT I MINA 3 4 33 33   47 46¼ (nault michael)CARRENO J 123 3.00 37% 1.70 7.85  
1  FAT N BITTER 1 2 67 78   59½ 56¾ (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 9.15  
4  ENJAY'S BRASS 4 7 78½ 67½   611½ 67¾ (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 121 15.00 9% 10.60 7.45  
6  GOLD DIGGIN DARLIN 6 5 55½ 55½   712½ 710 (anderson )ZENTENO JR 121 10.00 12% 7.30 17.40  
 
ASD-3   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
See original race card.
:231 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FOX APPEAL 4 2 1½ 11½   12½ 1½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 4.50 44% 1.30 1.75 W
6  BLAME IT ON BREW 6 4 43 31½   22½ 2½ (ross courtne)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.50 12% 7.10 1.50 P
7  AROUSE N GO 7 1 31½ 21½   33 34¼ (wise richard)WALCOTT W 121 4.00 ★ 12.00 S
3  TWO STEPS FASTER 3 5 54 55½   66 46¼ (ander)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.65  
1  REAL GOOD DEAL 1 6 64½ 67½   55½ 56½ (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 121 5.00 12.40  
5  WHAT UP NOW J T 5 3 2½ 42   44½ 68 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 3.00 12% 7.10 6.70  
2  HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) 2 7 77 711   711 713½ (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 25.00 38.60  
 
ASD-4   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NOT AFRAID 6 2 11 12   13 14 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 28% 2.50 1.75 W
3  CALL THE COPS 3 5 43½ 43½   33 24 (dickey elton)NELSON C 122 5.00 12% 7.10 7.35 P
4  CROWNED ROYAL 4 4 33½ 22   23 34½ (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 ★ 3.75 S
1  KITON 1 7 65¼ 75¾   45½ 45½ (brown shelley)ALI RONALD 117 4.50 24% 3.10 10.95  
2  IMPRESSIVE SENSE 2 6 75¼ 55   65¾ 57 (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00 10% 8.80 4.20  
5  OUTCOME 5 3 53¾ 65¼   77¾ 611¼ (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 12.00 5.55  
7  OSCAR THE GULCH 7 1 21 33½   55¾ 711¼ (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00 15.05  
 
ASD-5   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUBYINTHESTARS 3 8 75½ 76¼   45 1¼ (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 5.00 5.75  
4  FLYTHROUGHTRAFFIC 4 7 52 54¼   21½ 2¼ (nault mic)CHADEE JR 117 1.80 40% 1.50 0.70 P
8  I AM AINE 7 3 64 34   33½ 32½ (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.10 S
9  CRITICAL CONDITION 8 1 31 13½   11½ 43¼ (maxwell curtis)CARRENO J 117 12.00 14.60  
2  RATHMEISTER 2 9 98½ 97½   812 57 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 27% 2.80 7.05  
7  SINS N WINS 6 2 42 64¼   710½ 69¼ (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00 20.95  
10  STORM KITTEN 9 6 87½ 87¼   913 712¼ (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 30.00 64.15  
6  ROTTEN TO THE CORE 5 4 2½ 23½   56½ 815 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 6.00 7% 13.10 11.30  
1  KIKI MY STAR 1 5 1½ 44   69 920¼ (kidd blair)CHOW CHAVION 117 20.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
SCR  MY RACING HEART               (gourneau jerry)ALI RONALD 123 25.00    
 
ASD-6   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:02     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WITTS MAGIC 9 2 53 31   2½ 1nk (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 117 30.00 40.65  
11  SILVER HEIGHTS 10 4 74 52   42 2nk (mille)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 2.50 24% 3.20 0.80 P
3  DIAMINI 2 6 21½ 41½   52¼ 32 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.50 10.50  
6  VICTORIAVILLE 5 8 42½ 62¼   64¾ 42½ (kidd blair)CHOW CHAVION 123 12.00 8.35  
8  WITT'S LITTLE SODA 7 1 32 2nk   1½ 52¾ (anderson car)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 20.00 7% 12.70 14.95  
9  WITT'S MEMORIES 8 5 64 75¼   75¼ 63¼ (anderson )CHADEE JR 123 3.50 26% 2.80 6.75  
2  ZIBO 1 9 86 85¼   86¼ 73½ (mooney bill)ALI RONALD 123 5.00 22.90  
4  HALO'S PHENOMENON 3 10 1012¼ 1010¾   1012¼ 85½ (desjarlai)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00 15% 5.50 14.60  
7  DON'T BLAME COCO 6 7 96¼ 96¾   98¾ 95½ (nault michael)CARRENO J 117 20.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
5  NONOJOJO 4 3 11½ 1nk   3½ 108¾ (delaro)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 30.00 51.60  
SCR  SUADE               (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 40.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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