Handicappers' Race Results

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Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   07/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:162     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTON MUSHROOM 3 1 5 4   32 1 (gardipy tom)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00 20.10  
THEWHISKEYWORKED 2 6 7 6   55 2 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 1.80 11% 8.10 2.10 P
HEY HEY RUN AWAY 6 4 43 5   1 3 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 2.50 31% 2.20 2.45 S
MIZZENHOWER 4 5 3½ 1nk   2 4 (gardipy tom)CHADEE JR 123 10.00 5% 17.90 4.65  
SHARP CONTRAST 7 7 2nk 3½   45 59 (morin shaun)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.50 31% 2.30 3.45  
WITTS QUESTION 5 3 6 7   711½ 617¾ (gaskin ste)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00 12.30  
VICTORIAN MOON 1 2 1nk 2nk   6 720½ (keshane norbert)CHICKENESS S 123 20.00 20.05  
 
ASD-2   07/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:222 :453       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIA'S ON TUNE 7 1 12 1   1 1 (taphorn mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.80 1.60  
BYE Y'ALL 2 3 22 2   2 2 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00 10% 8.90 8.25 P
CABO DORADO 5 6 4 4   35 3 (keplin jr)CHICKENESS S 123 6.00 2.30 S
KNOW WHAT I MINA 3 4 33 33   47 4 (nault michael)CARRENO J 123 3.00 37% 1.70 7.85  
FAT N BITTER 1 2 67 78   5 5 (wise richar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 9.15  
ENJAY'S BRASS 4 7 7 6   611½ 6 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 121 15.00 9% 10.60 7.45  
GOLD DIGGIN DARLIN 6 5 5 5   712½ 710 (anderson we)ZENTENO JR 121 10.00 12% 7.30 17.40  
 
ASD-3   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
See original race card.
:231 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOX APPEAL 4 2 1½ 1   1 1½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 4.50 44% 1.30 1.75 W
BLAME IT ON BREW 6 4 43 3   2 2½ (ross courtney)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.50 12% 7.10 1.50 P
AROUSE N GO 7 1 3 2   33 3 (wise a)WALCOTT W 121 4.00 12.00 S
TWO STEPS FASTER 3 5 54 5   66 4 (anderso)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.65  
REAL GOOD DEAL 1 6 6 6   5 5 (duncan murr)CHADEE JR 121 5.00 12.40  
WHAT UP NOW J T 5 3 2½ 42   4 68 (anderson w)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 3.00 12% 7.10 6.70  
HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) 2 7 77 711   711 713½ (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 25.00 38.60  
 
ASD-4   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT AFRAID 6 2 11 12   13 14 (buffalo marvin)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 28% 2.50 1.75 W
CALL THE COPS 3 5 4 4   33 24 (dickey elton)NELSON C 122 5.00 12% 7.10 7.35 P
CROWNED ROYAL 4 4 3 22   23 3 (pruitt lise)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 3.75 S
KITON 1 7 6 7   4 4 (brown shelley)ALI RONALD 117 4.50 24% 3.10 10.95  
IMPRESSIVE SENSE 2 6 7 55   6 57 (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00 10% 8.80 4.20  
OUTCOME 5 3 5 6   7 611¼ (duncan murr)CHADEE JR 119 12.00 5.55  
OSCAR THE GULCH 7 1 21 3   5 711¼ (brown alle)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00 15.05  
 
ASD-5   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBYINTHESTARS 3 8 7 7   45 1¼ (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 5.00 5.75  
FLYTHROUGHTRAFFIC 4 7 52 5   2 2¼ (nault micha)CHADEE JR 117 1.80 40% 1.50 0.70 P
I AM AINE 7 3 64 34   3 3 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.10 S
CRITICAL CONDITION 8 1 31 1   1 4 (maxwell curtis)CARRENO J 117 12.00 14.60  
RATHMEISTER 2 9 9 9   812 57 (gourneau je)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 27% 2.80 7.05  
SINS N WINS 6 2 42 6   710½ 6 (anderson wendy)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00 20.95  
10  STORM KITTEN 9 6 8 8   913 712¼ (stanford m)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 30.00 64.15  
ROTTEN TO THE CORE 5 4 2½ 2   5 815 (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 121 6.00 7% 13.10 11.30  
KIKI MY STAR 1 5 1½ 44   69 920¼ (kidd blair)CHOW CHAVION 117 20.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
SCR  MY RACING HEART               (gourneau jerry)ALI RONALD 123 25.00    
 
ASD-6   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:02     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WITTS MAGIC 9 2 53 31   2½ 1nk (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 117 30.00 40.65  
11  SILVER HEIGHTS 10 4 74 52   42 2nk (miller )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 2.50 24% 3.20 0.80 P
DIAMINI 2 6 2 4   5 32 (anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.50 10.50  
VICTORIAVILLE 5 8 4 6   6 4 (kidd blair)CHOW CHAVION 123 12.00 8.35  
WITT'S LITTLE SODA 7 1 32 2nk   1½ 5 (anderson carl)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 20.00 7% 12.70 14.95  
WITT'S MEMORIES 8 5 64 7   7 6 (anderson ca)CHADEE JR 123 3.50 26% 2.80 6.75  
ZIBO 1 9 86 8   8 7 (mooney bill)ALI RONALD 123 5.00 22.90  
HALO'S PHENOMENON 3 10 1012¼ 1010¾   1012¼ 8 (desjarlais )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00 15% 5.50 14.60  
DON'T BLAME COCO 6 7 9 9   9 9 (nault michael)CARRENO J 117 20.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
NONOJOJO 4 3 1 1nk   3½ 10 (delarond)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 30.00 51.60  
SCR  SUADE               (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 40.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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