Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIAN MOON Jun29 Jun20       (keshane norber)CHICKENESS S 123 20.00    
THEWHISKEYWORKED Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 Apr30 Apr16 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 1.80 11% 8.10    
BUTTON MUSHROOM Jun20         (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00    
MIZZENHOWER         (gardipy t)CHADEE JR 123 10.00 5% 17.90    
WITTS QUESTION Jun27 Jun14 Jun07     (gaskin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00    
HEY HEY RUN AWAY Jul04 Jun20 Jun06     (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
SHARP CONTRAST Jun06         (morin shaun)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
 
ASD-2   07/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAT N BITTER Jun20 Jun07       (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00    
BYE Y'ALL Jun28 Jun15       (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00 10% 8.90    
KNOW WHAT I MINA Jun28 Jun20 Jun06     (nault michael)CARRENO J 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
ENJAY'S BRASS Jun28         (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 121 15.00 9% 10.60    
CABO DORADO Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 Apr09 Mar19 (keplin j)CHICKENESS S 123 6.00    
GOLD DIGGIN DARLIN Jun28         (anderson )ZENTENO JR 121 10.00 12% 7.30    
LIA'S ON TUNE Jun20 Jun07       (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.80    
 
ASD-3   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL GOOD DEAL Jun27         (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 121 5.00    
HIDDEN DREAMS (GB)         (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 25.00    
TWO STEPS FASTER Jun20         (ander)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
FOX APPEAL Jun20         (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 4.50 44% 1.30    
WHAT UP NOW J T Jun21 Jun13 Apr08 Mar18 Mar11 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 3.00 12% 7.10    
BLAME IT ON BREW Jun20 Jan04       (ross courtne)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.50 12% 7.10    
AROUSE N GO Jun27 Jun13 Apr05 Mar15 Feb22 (wise richard)WALCOTT W 121 4.00    
 
ASD-4   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITON Jun27 Jun13       (brown shelley)ALI RONALD 117 4.50 24% 3.10    
IMPRESSIVE SENSE Jun29 Jun13       (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00 10% 8.80    
CALL THE COPS Jun29 Jun13       (dickey elton)NELSON C 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
CROWNED ROYAL Jun27 Jun13       (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00    
OUTCOME Jun20 Apr30 Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 12.00    
NOT AFRAID Jun13         (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
OSCAR THE GULCH Jun27 Jun13 Jun01     (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00    
 
ASD-5   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIKI MY STAR Jun20 May31 Apr08 Mar21 Mar08 (kidd blair)CHOW CHAVION 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
RATHMEISTER Jun29 Jun20 Jun06     (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00 27% 2.80    
RUBYINTHESTARS Jun29 Jun17 May31 May19 Feb19 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 5.00    
FLYTHROUGHTRAFFIC Jul04 Jun14 May31     (nault mic)CHADEE JR 117 1.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  MY RACING HEART Jun29 Apr10 Mar27 Mar18 Feb25 (gourneau jerry)ALI RONALD 123 25.00    
ROTTEN TO THE CORE Apr28 Mar21 Feb14     (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 6.00 7% 13.10    
SINS N WINS Jun28 Jun15 Jun06     (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00    
I AM AINE Jun29 Jun20 Jun06     (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
CRITICAL CONDITION Jun29 Jun22 Jun06 Apr11 Mar04 (maxwell curtis)CARRENO J 117 12.00    
10  STORM KITTEN Jun20 Jun07       (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 30.00    
 
ASD-6   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUADE Jun28 Jun15       (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 40.00    
ZIBO Jun28 Jun15       (mooney bill)ALI RONALD 123 5.00    
DIAMINI Jun28 Jun15       (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.50    
HALO'S PHENOMENON Jun22 Jun06       (desjarlai)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
NONOJOJO Jun28         (delaro)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 30.00    
VICTORIAVILLE Jun28 Jun15       (kidd blair)CHOW CHAVION 123 12.00    
DON'T BLAME COCO Jun15 Jun06       (nault michael)CARRENO J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
WITT'S LITTLE SODA Jun22 Jun06       (anderson car)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 20.00 7% 12.70    
WITT'S MEMORIES Jun28 Jun15       (anderson )CHADEE JR 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
10  WITTS MAGIC Jun22 Jun06 Mar03 Feb17   (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 117 30.00    
11  SILVER HEIGHTS Jun22         (mille)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
ASD-7   07/12/2022 4950ft DIRT RC2 nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S MAP Jun21 May07 Apr09 Feb25 Feb11 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 10.00 22% 3.60    
COURAGEOUS Apr01 Mar10 Feb21 Jan28 Jan13 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 30.00    
PLENTIFUL Jun21 Mar06 Jan22     (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 5.00    
ITSTHATTIME Jun22 Jun06 Feb01 Jan11   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 8.00    
REAL GRACE Jun21         (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
RAILSPLITTER Jun14 Apr29 Apr09 Mar06 Jan14 (anderson )ZENTENO JR 119 20.00    
ST. LOUIE GUY Jun21 Apr09 Mar26 Mar19 Feb25 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 119 20.00 8% 11.90    
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Jun22 Mar21       (buffa)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 119 15.00    
MARKET KING Jun21 Mar23 Mar08 Feb28 Feb10 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
10  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jun18 May06 Apr14 Mar16 Mar04 (brown r)WALCOTT W 124 4.00    
11  SILVER LUKE SILVER May29 May08 Apr29 Apr09 Mar18 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 25.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.