Handicappers' Race Results

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Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:024     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOT DASH DOT 2 5 1nk 1nk   11 1½ (gittens devon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 115 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 W
HD'S HOPE 5 2 4¾ 2nk   21 2½ (brown shell)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 1.80 1.55 P
NOTABLE NORA 4 4 2nk 31   44 37 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 117 3.00 20% 3.90 3.80 S
NO SURPRISE 1 6 3.2 42   3 410¼ (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 117 5.00 10.85  
STORM KITTEN 6 1 6 6   6 513¾ (stanford m)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 15.00 35.10  
I'M SHINING LADY 3 3 5 55   57 618½ (maxwell cur)CHADEE JR 117 3.00 16.80  
 
ASD-2   09/12/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:142 1:391   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUN LINE 1 1 1 1 1nk 15 19 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.20 31% 2.20 0.90 W
BIG STRETCH 4 5 56 55 4 25 29 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 118 2.50 3.90 P
TEXAS RAIN 3 3 2 2 2nk 3 311½ (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 118 3.00 25% 3.00 4.10 S
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 2 2 44 4 5 5 414½ (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 12.00 7.65  
MELISANDRE 5 4 34 34 3 48 517½ (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 118 8.00 17% 4.90 5.70  
 
ASD-3   09/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
See original race card.
:222 :461       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTRABAND 4 1 1 12   1 1 (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 22% 3.50 2.35 W
WITT'S COCO 5 2 3 22   2 2 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.00 19% 4.20 0.95 P
DRIZZY 1 5 44 4   4 3 (brown jared)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 7.80  
FAIR CHALLENGE 3 4 54 5   511½ 47 (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 124 12.00 4.50  
BRIDOLOGIST 2 3 2 32   34 57 (gardipy jr)NELSON C 124 8.00 12.10  
SCR  NOT AFRAID               (anderson ca)CHADEE JR 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
ASD-4   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:01     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIDDY UP ZOEY 3 2 22 2   2 1nk (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 117 1.20 35% 1.90 1.25 W
MISS LANGSKIP 1 1 12 1   1 2nk (miller blair)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.60 0.85 P
SUNDAY SUZANNE 4 3 4 3   3 31 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 25.00 5% 19.00 9.55 S
WITT'S MEMORIES 5 4 58 4   48 4 (anderson ca)CHADEE JR 123 12.00 20% 3.90 14.85  
WITTS MAGIC 2 5 3 5   58 511½ (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 20.00 22.50  
SCR  SCARLETT'S FLOWER               (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 115 4.00    
 
ASD-5   09/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:144     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE MO 3 1 11 11   1 18 (nault michael)CARRENO J 123 2.50 2.95  
SAVAGE LOVE 6 6 65 6   4 28 (dickey elton)NELSON C 117 5.00 4.30 P
FOX APPEAL 2 3 53 54   2 38 (britton calvin)CUMBERBATCH R 123 4.00 21% 3.80 2.80 S
WITT'S TENNY TEN 1 2 32 32   35 4 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 123 1.80 49% 1.00 1.70  
BLAME IT ON BREW 4 4 21 21   5 510 (keshane norbert)BELLE SHAVON 123 15.00 5% 19.00 13.35  
ARAMON 5 5 42 42   67 611¾ (anderson ca)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 25.00 24.20  
SCR  DANIELA BELLA               (anderson w)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00    
 
ASD-6   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
See original race card.
:232 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET KING 2 1 11 1   13 1 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 3.00 33% 2.00 1.90 W
HOUSE LIMIT 3 4 54 57   46 2 (dickey elton)CHICKENESS S 124 4.00 2.20 P
GOLDENEYED 4 6 66 4   3 3 (danelson gary)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00 3.70  
DELVECCHIO 1 5 3 3   23 4 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 5.00 6% 14.40 3.65  
WICKED FORTITUDE 5 3 4 2   57 514¾ (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 124 10.00 12.65  
CYPRESS POINT 6 2 21 6   610 620¾ (gourneau j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 20.00 39.40  
SCR  LINCHPIN STORM               (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
ASD-7   09/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:151     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AROUSE N GO 4 3 12 1   1 11 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 18% 4.60 17.45 W
DARPA 1 1 22 3   2 21 (gourneau j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 1.20 2.70 P
ENJAY'S BRASS 3 4 4 55   45 3 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00 5% 19.00 25.00 S
SPY A STAR 7 7 5 45   55 4 (gardipy tom)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00 11.85  
SAYITALL 5 5 68 68   68 5 (mooney bill)CHICKENESS S 121 8.00 16.65  
TUSCAN DAMSEL 2 2 32 2   3 6 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 3.00 53% 0.90 0.50  
CATWALK QUEEN 8 6 813½ 812¼   710½ 710 (maxwell curtis)BUGEAUD L 121 40.00 84.75  
DONT GET SMART 6 8 711½ 712   812 815¾ (brown shelley)NELSON C 123 20.00 44.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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