The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 12, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ASD-1   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
:244 :492 1:024     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOT DASH DOT 2 5 1nk 1nk   11 1½ (gittens devon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 115 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 W
5  HD'S HOPE 5 2 4¾ 2nk   21 2½ (brown shelley)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 1.80 ★ 1.55 P
4  NOTABLE NORA 4 4 2nk 31   44 37 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 117 3.00 20% 3.90 3.80 S
1  NO SURPRISE 1 6 3.2 42   33½ 410¼ (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 117 5.00 ★ 10.85  
6  STORM KITTEN 6 1 62¾ 65¼   67½ 513¾ (stanford maria)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 15.00 35.10  
3  I'M SHINING LADY 3 3 51¼ 55   57 618½ (maxwell curtis)CHADEE JR 117 3.00 ★ 16.80  
 
ASD-2   09/12/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
:242 :493 1:142 1:391   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN LINE 1 1 11½ 11½ 1nk 15 19 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.20 31% 2.20 0.90 W
4  BIG STRETCH 4 5 56 55 42¾ 25 29 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 118 2.50 ★ 3.90 P
3  TEXAS RAIN 3 3 21½ 21½ 2nk 35½ 311½ (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 118 3.00 25% 3.00 4.10 S
2  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 2 2 44 44½ 53¾ 59½ 414½ (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 12.00 ★ 7.65  
5  MELISANDRE 5 4 34 34 32½ 48 517½ (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 118 8.00 17% 4.90 5.70  
 
ASD-3   09/12/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
:222 :461       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CONTRABAND 4 1 11½ 12   13½ 11½ (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 22% 3.50 2.35 W
6  WITT'S COCO 5 2 32½ 22   23½ 21½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.00 19% 4.20 0.95 P
1  DRIZZY 1 5 44 44½   49½ 33½ (brown jared)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 7.80  
4  FAIR CHALLENGE 3 4 54 55½   511½ 47 (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 124 12.00 ★ 4.50  
2  BRIDOLOGIST 2 3 21½ 32   34 57 (gardipy jr)NELSON C 124 8.00 ★ 12.10  
SCR  NOT AFRAID               (anderson carl)CHADEE JR 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
ASD-4   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
:233 :474 1:01     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GIDDY UP ZOEY 3 2 22 22½   23½ 1nk (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 117 1.20 35% 1.90 1.25 W
1  MISS LANGSKIP 1 1 12 12½   13½ 2nk (miller blair)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.60 ★ 0.85 P
4  SUNDAY SUZANNE 4 3 45½ 36½   35½ 31 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 25.00 5% 19.00 9.55 S
6  WITT'S MEMORIES 5 4 58 49½   48 46¾ (anderson carl)CHADEE JR 123 12.00 20% 3.90 14.85  
2  WITTS MAGIC 2 5 35½ 59½   58 511½ (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 20.00 ★ 22.50  
SCR  SCARLETT'S FLOWER               (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 115 4.00    
 
ASD-5   09/12/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
:254 :502 1:144     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DIXIE MO 3 1 11 11   14½ 18 (nault michael)CARRENO J 123 2.50 ★ 2.95  
7  SAVAGE LOVE 6 6 65 64½   45½ 28 (dickey elton)NELSON C 117 5.00 ★ 4.30 P
2  FOX APPEAL 2 3 53 54   24½ 38 (britton calvin)CUMBERBATCH R 123 4.00 21% 3.80 2.80 S
1  WITT'S TENNY TEN 1 2 32 32   35 49¾ (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 123 1.80 49% 1.00 1.70  
4  BLAME IT ON BREW 4 4 21 21   55½ 510 (keshane norbert)BELLE SHAVON 123 15.00 5% 19.00 13.35  
5  ARAMON 5 5 42 42   67 611¾ (anderson carl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 25.00 24.20  
SCR  DANIELA BELLA               (anderson wendy)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00    
 
ASD-6   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
:232 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARKET KING 2 1 11 11½   13 15½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 3.00 33% 2.00 1.90 W
4  HOUSE LIMIT 3 4 54 57   46 25½ (dickey elton)CHICKENESS S 124 4.00 ★ 2.20 P
5  GOLDENEYED 4 6 66 44½   34½ 35¾ (danelson gary)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00 3.70  
1  DELVECCHIO 1 5 31½ 32½   23 47½ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 5.00 6% 14.40 3.65  
6  WICKED FORTITUDE 5 3 42½ 21½   57 514¾ (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 124 10.00 ★ 12.65  
7  CYPRESS POINT 6 2 21 68½   610 620¾ (gourneau jerry)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 20.00 39.40  
SCR  LINCHPIN STORM               (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
ASD-7   09/12/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
:244 :49 1:151     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AROUSE N GO 4 3 12 11½   11½ 11 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 18% 4.60 17.45 W
1  DARPA 1 1 22 32½   21½ 21 (gourneau jerry)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 1.20 ★ 2.70 P
3  ENJAY'S BRASS 3 4 44½ 55   45 33½ (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00 5% 19.00 25.00 S
7  SPY A STAR 7 7 55½ 45   55 43½ (gardipy jr)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00 11.85  
5  SAYITALL 5 5 68 68   68 55¾ (mooney bill)CHICKENESS S 121 8.00 ★ 16.65  
2  TUSCAN DAMSEL 2 2 32 21½   33½ 67¼ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 3.00 53% 0.90 0.50  
8  CATWALK QUEEN 8 6 813½ 812¼   710½ 710 (maxwell curtis)BUGEAUD L 121 40.00 84.75  
6  DONT GET SMART 6 8 711½ 712   812 815¾ (brown shelley)NELSON C 123 20.00 44.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.