Handicappers' Race Results

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Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($1.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:144 1:29   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUM LUCKY 1 1 3 3 21 2 1nk (buffalo marvin)NELSON TYRONE 124 1.00 0.50  
ANIAR 2 3 4 4 11 1 2nk (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 12.00 13% 6.50 13.30 P
AZTEC KEY 5 5 6 6 6 410 313¼ (ross court)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 15% 5.60 8.35 S
BELL RINGER 4 4 2nk 1½ 3 39 415½ (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 10.00 8.10  
SWAGSATIONAL 6 6 5 55 4 512½ 517 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 4.00 4.65  
JOVIAL DESTINY 3 2 1nk 2½ 5 614½ 622¼ (delarond)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 15.00 9% 9.60 15.60  
SCR  OVERANALYZER               (nelson francis)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 8.00 29% 2.40    
 
ASD-2   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:234 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT AFRAID 2 3 1½ 11   1 1nk (buffalo marvin)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.80 19% 4.20 0.65 W
BIG TIME GIZMO 1 7 43 4   34 2nk (anderson carl)BELLE SHAVON 124 1.60 19% 4.10 2.90 P
PUCKER 6 4 2½ 21   2 3 (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 124 10.00 7.40 S
JENNA'S GUN RUNNER 3 8 75 8   6 45 (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 25.00 25.20  
BOMBILLAELGATO 5 6 8 7   8 5 (brown shell)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 15% 5.50 11.50  
TOP OF THE ROCK 7 1 3 55   7 6 (buffalo jay)CHOW CHAVION 122 12.00 25.10  
CAPTIVE KITTEN 4 5 64 6   56 7 (morse victo)CHADEE JR 122 20.00 31.25  
DOUBLE TIME 8 2 53 31   44 810 (thompson steven)CHICKENESS S 122 15.00 10% 9.40 43.20  
 
ASD-3   08/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:15     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE MO 5 3 1nk 1½   1 1 (nault michael)CARRENO J 121 15.00 4.70  
SAVAGE LOVE 1 1 54 53   44 2 (dickey elton)NELSON C 117 15.00 28.30  
INTERESTING TIMES 7 4 2nk 2½   2 3 (amthor gor)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.50 22% 3.50 3.50 S
BAREFOOT DANCER 8 8 42 42   6 4 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 20.00 41.70  
LIL MISS ZAK 2 7 87 64   56 5 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00 5% 18.30 15.85  
VIOGNIER 6 6 7 74   79 6 (anderson ca)CHADEE JR 117 25.00 28.90  
RAGATAGTAG 4 2 3 31   3 79 (gourneau je)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.40 33% 2.00 0.75  
ARAMON 3 5 65 8   811 814¼ (anderson carl)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.00 18% 4.50 14.90  
 
ASD-4   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE SKY 8 1 21 1nk   1nk 1 (britton cal)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00 24% 3.10 1.55 W
JEFF FA FA 5 2 11 2nk   2nk 2 (anderson wendy)NELSON C 119 2.00 39% 1.60 2.45 P
FINALIZE 4 3 5 56   5 3 (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 119 4.00 6.40 S
GET WITT GONE 3 5 44 44   3 44 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 10.00 4.05  
OH MAN OH MAN 6 6 610 610½   69 5 (hrymak bren)CHADEE JR 124 20.00 34.70  
STEEP ROCK 2 4 3 32   4 6 (gaskin steven)ALI RONALD 119 8.00 18.95  
PONCHIGOL 1 7 713 817½   818 711¾ (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 15.00 7% 14.20 13.35  
RIGHT TIME 7 8 817 713½   712 812¾ (elias wayn)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 25.00 7% 14.20 51.35  
SCR  HE'S THE CHAIRMAN               (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 12.00    
 
ASD-5   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:004     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPY A STAR 4 7 45 2   21 12 (gardipy tom)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.00 34% 2.00 4.20 W
OUTCLASSEDYOU 1 8 1 1   11 22 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 123 8.00 4.55  
SEA OF LIFE 8 2 5 3   3 32 (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 1.80 22% 3.60 1.55 S
MISS PARFAIT 7 3 7 5   43 4 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 6.00 4.40  
RUBYINTHESTARS 6 4 67 77   6 5 (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 123 10.00 14.05  
SISTA OF WAR 2 5 2 6   53 6 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 123 15.00 5% 19.00 8.35  
RATHMEISTER 5 9 915½ 810   77 7 (nelson francis)CHICKENESS S 121 25.00 8% 11.90 65.30  
GOLDSHAFT 9 1 810½ 911   9 811½ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 30.00 57.70  
ZENHI 3 6 34 44   8 915¼ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 36.15  
 
ASD-6   08/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:143     1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDENEYED 9 6 2nk 1nk   1 1 (danelson gary)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 7% 13.60 2.00 W
HIMELSTEIN 3 1 1nk 2nk   2 2 (brown shelley)NELSON C 124 3.00 31% 2.20 4.45 P
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 1 3 78 5   34 32 (stanford m)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 11.05 S
FULKERSON 2 2 4 3   5 43 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 30.00 35.30  
STRONG BELIEF 7 9 911 911¾   8 5 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 20.00 14.75  
UNCLE MO'S CAT 6 5 3 4   44 6 (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 124 1.80 35% 1.80 2.60  
RUNAWAY HURRICANE 5 8 8 8   6 7 (husbands ti)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 25.00 71.30  
HIGHRISEINTHEPEG 4 4 67 6   7 8 (miller blair)CARRENO J 124 8.00 6.00  
DEANO 8 7 55 7   9 99 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 124 15.00 5% 18.70 16.35  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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