The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 31, 2022

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ASD-1   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 8:35
:224 :461 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AT THE LYRIC 5 2 5 4   42 1¼ (miller blair)CARRENO J 119 5.00 3.50  
MEABEAR 1 5 3 3.2   2nk 2¼ (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 119 1.20 33% 2.10 0.80 P
LIPSTICK LADY 3 1 2 1nk   1nk 3(wise a)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.50 16% 5.10 5.40 S
THRILL OF THE NITE 4 3 44 5   54(ross courtney)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 3.50 30% 2.40 5.45  
MISS LANGSKIP 2 4 1 2nk   3½ 5(miller blair)NELSON TYRONE 119 10.00 8.75  
 
ASD-2   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
:24 :471 1:011     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPY A STAR 2 6 5 4   43 1(gardipy jr)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.00 2.05  
LADY NYLA 3 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 2(anderson wendy)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00 20% 4.00 2.40 P
WHAT UP NOW J T 5 1 3½ 2nk   33(anderson wendy)NELSON C 123 1.20 36% 1.80 2.55 S
SECRET AVENGER 1 4 1½ 3.2   1½ 4(gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 117 6.00 15.20  
TIME FOR A SONG 6 2 4 5   55 5(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 15.00 9.60  
CLAIRESSENCE 4 5 6 6   6613 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 121 12.00 11% 8.20 7.15  
 
ASD-3   08/31/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
:223 :463       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOW WHAT I MINA 3 3 11 1   14 12 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.00 19% 4.40 2.50 W
MERMAID KISSES 5 1 21 2   24 22 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.80 33% 2.00 2.85 P
CABO DORADO 6 2 32 44   434 (keplin jr)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.00 1.20 S
ARROWSPHERE 1 4 42 34   34(gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 121 10.00 13% 6.40 11.60  
HAPPY ISSUE 4 6 66 5   59 5(gourneau jerry)ALI RONALD 121 8.00 18.80  
BELLA GALINA 2 5 5 610½   69 6(ross courtney)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00 15.60  
 
ASD-4   08/31/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
:231 :463 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITON 3 5 4 4   33 1nk (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 117 4.00 9% 10.20 6.65 W
HARRYKEEPTHECHANGE 6 2 31 1nk   21 2nk (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 2.00 23% 3.30 1.70 P
CALL THE COPS 4 3 21 2nk   11 3¾ (dickey elton)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 25% 3.00 2.10 S
TIMELY RUCKUS 2 6 54 5   55 4(brown shelley)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 5.00 19% 4.10 4.85  
TAKINTHENITETRAIN 7 4 79 710¾   710½ 5(brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 122 20.00 53.15  
CANADIAN SECRET 1 7 6 6   68 6(brown shelley)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 5.55  
UNBRIDLED POSSE 5 1 11 31   47(gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00 40.85  
 
ASD-5   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
:231 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPIRATUS 1 6 33 32   1nk 11 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 117 3.50 30% 2.40 2.45 W
MAIBELLA 3 4 22 2nk   3.2 21 (dickey elton)NELSON C 123 1.00 1.00 P
MISS PARFAIT 2 5 45 4   43(jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 8.00 13% 6.90 5.80 S
OUTCLASSEDYOU 6 1 12 1nk   2nk 4(delaronde lee)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 5.00 5.35  
RUBYINTHESTARS 5 3 6 6   65(jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 123 10.00 14.20  
GOLDSHAFT 4 2 56 5   56(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 25.00 6% 14.80 43.80  
SCR  SISTA OF WAR               (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 123 12.00 8% 11.20    
 
ASD-6   08/31/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
:243 :48 1:131     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE LIMIT 3 4 3 1nk   11(gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 124 2.00 29% 2.40 2.40 W
DICTATOR 1 1 1 2nk   22(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 5.00 20% 4.10 5.25 P
OUT ON SATURDAY 6 6 5 5   53(gourneau jerry)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00 9% 10.40 24.35 S
TAP MASTER 4 5 43 4   36 4(amthor gordon)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 12% 7.60 2.10  
MIDNIGHT SALUTE 2 3 7 7   69 510¼ (anderson carl)CHOW CHAVION 124 15.00 9.60  
HIMELSTEIN 8 2 2 32   4611 (brown shelley)NELSON C 124 6.00 5.25  
HIGHRISEINTHEPEG 5 8 8 8   711 712 (miller blair)CARRENO J 124 20.00 20.85  
UNCLE MO'S CAT 7 7 6 6   811½ 817¼ (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 124 8.00 13.65  
 
ASD-7   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
:231 :471 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCH OF LOVE 7 4 46 21   112 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 5.00 5.70  
MIAMI SOUVENIRS 4 6 7 3   222 (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 117 1.40 0.95  
BARBIE'S QUEST 2 8 810¼ 810½   53(johnson c)CHADEE JR 121 1.80 28% 2.60 4.35 S
I AM AINE 1 5 56 67   64(gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 121 20.00 6% 16.20 16.40  
MYTRUED 3 7 6 78   79 5(rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 123 8.00 6.35  
MOORE'S MIRACLE 8 2 3 45   4611¼ (ross courtney)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 30.00 8% 11.60 32.65  
BOUND TO BE SMART 6 1 12 11   33 712¼ (gardipy jr)NELSON C 121 25.00 17.50  
CRITICAL CONDITION 5 3 22 5   811 821 (maxwell curtis)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 15.00 16% 5.20 14.65  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.