The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 28, 2022

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ASD-1   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
:234 :472 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HD'S HOPE 2 4 31 2nk   2nk 1(brown shelley)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 4.00 15% 5.80 0.65 W
NOTABLE NORA 4 1 4 32   32(dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 117 6.00 26% 2.80 3.15 P
SPATS 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 32 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.50 2.35 S
I'M SHINING LADY 1 3 2nk 4   49 419¼ (maxwell curtis)CHADEE JR 117 20.00 19.85  
SCR  DOT DASH DOT               (gittens devon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 0.80 28% 2.60    
 
ASD-2   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
:224 :463 1:00     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPY A STAR 5 4 5 54   51¼ (gardipy jr)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 6.45  
LIA'S ON TUNE 2 2 12 1   12 2¼ (taphorn mike)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.50 1.55 P
TOUCH OF LOVE 3 5 69 6   632 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 4.00 15% 5.90 3.90 S
ARTISAN DANCER 4 3 33 2   32 42 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 117 12.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
JUSTATAPIN 6 1 22 32   45(taphorn mike)CHADEE JR 123 1.80 44% 1.30 2.60  
THRILL'S LEGACY 1 6 45 44   22 6(ross courtney)NELSON TYRONE 123 5.00 15.85  
 
ASD-3   09/28/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($1.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
:224 :463       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENHANCED FINANCE 1 1 11 11   11½ (smith h)CUMBERBATCH R 123 4.00 3.70  
TUFFENOUGHTOSTART 5 2 21 21   22½ (gardipy jr)NELSON C 123 1.60 1.75 P
TIME FOR A SONG 2 3 3 3   332 (gardipy jr)NELSON TYRONE 123 5.00 13% 6.90 1.55 S
DIVINE RIDE 3 5 4 4   54(cizik larry)BELLE SHAVON 123 25.00 13.00  
LA CHICA DE FUEGO 4 4 5 5   46 5(morin shaun)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 15.00 11% 7.80 5.85  
SCR  LADY SUNSET               (stanford maria)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
ASD-4   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
:221 :452 :573     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZL'N MISCHIEF 6 1 3 11   11(brown jared)CARRENO J 124 2.00 1.60  
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 2 6 69 64   52(stanford maria)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 3.00  
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 4 4 4 43   435 (brown jared)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00 5% 18.00 10.20 S
MARK YE WELL 1 5 5 5   34 45 (brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 122 3.50 18% 4.40 2.60  
BIG TONY 5 2 12 21   25(brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 122 5.00 6.00  
LIL MISS ZAK 3 3 22 31   66 616¼ (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 121 25.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
SCR  DICTATOR               (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
ASD-5   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
:223 :461 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICKALITTLEBOOTY 7 3 3 3   42 1¼ (gittens devon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 15.00 12.25  
RIVER DEPUTY 6 1 77 79   55 2¼ (nault michael)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 8.00 4.20  
MERMAID KISSES 5 6 6 4   32 3(brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 123 4.00 35% 1.90 3.50 S
GOOD TO ME 3 8 8 812   77 4(miller blair)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.50 6.05  
GOLD DIGGIN DARLIN 4 4 21 21   11 5(brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00 24% 3.30 10.50  
KNOW WHAT I MINA 8 2 11 11   21 6(nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 3.50  
WHAT UP NOW J T 2 7 5 68   67(anderson wendy)NELSON C 123 3.00 6.45  
HEY HEY RUN AWAY 1 5 4 5   88(brown jared)CARRENO J 123 20.00 7% 14.20 8.45  
 
ASD-6   09/28/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
:25 :491 1:161     1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PARFAIT 5 6 5 57   1nk 1(jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 4.00 12% 7.40 1.05 W
DONT GET SMART 3 7 712¾ 611½   54 2(brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00 8.90  
HIDDEN DREAMS 6 3 46 45   3½ 33 (jordan jennifer)NELSON C 121 25.00 17.90 S
ENJAY'S BRASS 4 5 1nk 21   44(delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 121 3.00 13% 6.90 5.50  
AROUSE N GO 7 4 2nk 11   2nk 5(gardipy jr)NELSON TYRONE 123 1.20 44% 1.30 1.90  
WITT'S MEMORIES 1 1 3 35   66 612 (anderson carl)CHADEE JR 123 20.00 37.80  
CAN'T KATZE ME 2 2 6 711¾   716 728 (maxwell curtis)CHOW CHAVION 117 40.00 39.10  
SCR  LADY NYLA               (delaronde lee)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 10% 9.20    
 
ASD-7   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
:233 :464 :592     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BITETHEBULLETBRO 8 4 3.2 1   11(gardipy jr)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.00 23% 3.30 0.70 W
OHTANI 4 3 6 53   22(gardipy jr)NELSON TYRONE 124 8.00 15.20  
TWO STEPS FASTER 5 1 2nk 2   33(anderson wendy)CARRENO J 121 6.00 18% 4.60 7.15 S
ANIAR 6 6 7 7   74(gardipy jr)CHADEE JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 24.45  
GIVE A LITTLE 7 2 4 4   66 5(gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 124 5.00 11% 8.00 7.15  
ZIG 1 8 5 6   46(morin shaun)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 15.00 35.85  
TOWARDS THE LIGHT 2 5 1nk 3   56 76 (gittens devon)NELSON C 122 3.00 21% 3.70 4.00  
ARTILLERY 3 7 8 811¼   810½ 8(jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 40.00 35.85  
SCR  BARLEY BOY               (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.