Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HD'S HOPE 2 4 31 2nk   2nk 11½ (brown sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 4.00 15% 5.80 0.65 W
5  NOTABLE NORA 4 1 41¼ 32   33½ 21½ (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 117 6.00 26% 2.80 3.15 P
4  SPATS 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 32 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.50 ★ 2.35 S
1  I'M SHINING LADY 1 3 2nk 45½   49 419¼ (maxwell c)CHADEE JR 117 20.00 ★ 19.85  
SCR  DOT DASH DOT               (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 0.80 28% 2.60    
 
ASD-2   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:00     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPY A STAR 5 4 57½ 54   52¾ 1¼ (gardipy jr)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 6.45  
2  LIA'S ON TUNE 2 2 12 11½   12 2¼ (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.50 ★ 1.55 P
3  TOUCH OF LOVE 3 5 69 66½   64¾ 32 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 4.00 15% 5.90 3.90 S
4  ARTISAN DANCER 4 3 33 21½   32 42 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 117 12.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
6  JUSTATAPIN 6 1 22 32   42½ 54½ (taphorn m)CHADEE JR 123 1.80 44% 1.30 2.60  
1  THRILL'S LEGACY 1 6 45 44   22 68½ (ross courtney)NELSON TYRONE 123 5.00 ★ 15.85  
 
ASD-3   09/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($1.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
See original race card.
:224 :463       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENHANCED FINANCE 1 1 11 11   12½ 1½ (smith robert )CUMBERBATCH R 123 4.00 ★ 3.70  
6  TUFFENOUGHTOSTART 5 2 21 21   22½ 2½ (gardipy jr)NELSON C 123 1.60 ★ 1.75 P
2  TIME FOR A SONG 2 3 31½ 32½   32½ 32 (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 123 5.00 13% 6.90 1.55 S
3  DIVINE RIDE 3 5 42½ 44½   56¼ 43¾ (cizik larry)BELLE SHAVON 123 25.00 13.00  
4  LA CHICA DE FUEGO 4 4 54½ 56½   46 55¾ (morin shaun)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 15.00 11% 7.80 5.85  
SCR  LADY SUNSET               (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
ASD-4   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF 6 1 34½ 11   12½ 11¾ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 2.00 ★ 1.60  
3  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 2 6 69 64   54½ 21¾ (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 3.00  
5  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 4 4 45½ 43   44½ 35 (brown jared)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00 5% 18.00 10.20 S
2  MARK YE WELL 1 5 55½ 53½   34 45 (brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 122 3.50 18% 4.40 2.60  
6  BIG TONY 5 2 12 21   22½ 57¼ (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 122 5.00 6.00  
4  LIL MISS ZAK 3 3 22 31   66 616¼ (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 121 25.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
SCR  DICTATOR               (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
ASD-5   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
See original race card.
:223 :461 :593     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KICKALITTLEBOOTY 7 3 33½ 33½   42 1¼ (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 15.00 12.25  
6  RIVER DEPUTY 6 1 77 79   55 2¼ (nault michael)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 8.00 4.20  
5  MERMAID KISSES 5 6 65½ 45½   32 31¾ (brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 123 4.00 35% 1.90 3.50 S
3  GOOD TO ME 3 8 87½ 812   77 41¾ (miller b)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.50 6.05  
4  GOLD DIGGIN DARLIN 4 4 21 21   11 52¼ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00 24% 3.30 10.50  
8  KNOW WHAT I MINA 8 2 11 11   21 64½ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 ★ 3.50  
2  WHAT UP NOW J T 2 7 54½ 68   66½ 75¼ (anderson wendy)NELSON C 123 3.00 ★ 6.45  
1  HEY HEY RUN AWAY 1 5 44½ 57½   87¼ 85½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 20.00 7% 14.20 8.45  
 
ASD-6   09/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:161     1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS PARFAIT 5 6 58½ 57   1nk 12¼ (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 4.00 12% 7.40 1.05 W
3  DONT GET SMART 3 7 712¾ 611½   54 22¼ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00 8.90  
6  HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) 6 3 46 45   3½ 33 (jordan jennifer)NELSON C 121 25.00 ★ 17.90 S
4  ENJAY'S BRASS 4 5 1nk 21   41½ 44½ (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 121 3.00 13% 6.90 5.50  
7  AROUSE N GO 7 4 2nk 11   2nk 59¼ (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 123 1.20 44% 1.30 1.90  
1  WITT'S MEMORIES 1 1 33½ 35   66 612 (anderson )CHADEE JR 123 20.00 37.80  
2  CAN'T KATZE ME 2 2 68¾ 711¾   716 728 (maxwell curtis)CHOW CHAVION 117 40.00 39.10  
SCR  LADY NYLA               (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 10% 9.20    
 
ASD-7   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
See original race card.
:233 :464 :592     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BITETHEBULLETBRO 8 4 3.2 11½   11½ 11¼ (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.00 23% 3.30 0.70 W
5  OHTANI 4 3 62¼ 53   21½ 21¼ (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 124 8.00 15.20  
6  TWO STEPS FASTER 5 1 2nk 21½   33½ 33¼ (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 121 6.00 18% 4.60 7.15 S
7  ANIAR 6 6 75¼ 76¼   76½ 43¼ (gardipy t)CHADEE JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 24.45  
8  GIVE A LITTLE 7 2 41¼ 42½   66 54¾ (gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 124 5.00 11% 8.00 7.15  
1  ZIG 1 8 51¾ 63¼   44½ 65¼ (morin sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 15.00 35.85  
2  TOWARDS THE LIGHT 2 5 1nk 31½   56 76 (gittens devon)NELSON C 122 3.00 21% 3.70 4.00  
3  ARTILLERY 3 7 88¼ 811¼   810½ 88¾ (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 40.00 35.85  
SCR  BARLEY BOY               (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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