Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M SHINING LADY Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul23 Jun25 (maxwell c)CHADEE JR 117 20.00 ★    
SCR  DOT DASH DOT Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 0.80 28% 2.60    
3  HD'S HOPE Sep12 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 4.00 15% 5.80    
4  SPATS Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 Jun21 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.50 ★    
5  NOTABLE NORA Sep12 Aug29 Aug24 Aug10 Aug01 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 117 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
ASD-2   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRILL'S LEGACY Aug30 Aug02 Jun15 Mar22 Feb09 (ross courtney)NELSON TYRONE 123 5.00 ★    
2  LIA'S ON TUNE Aug30 Aug08 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.50 ★    
3  TOUCH OF LOVE Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Aug02 Jun12 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 4.00 15% 5.90    
4  ARTISAN DANCER Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPY A STAR Sep12 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul26 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 123 5.00    
6  JUSTATAPIN Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (taphorn m)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
ASD-3   09/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($1.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENHANCED FINANCE Aug22 Aug09 Aug02 Jul25 Jun27 (smith robert )CUMBERBATCH R 123 4.00 ★    
2  TIME FOR A SONG Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jun20 (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 123 5.00 13% 6.90    
3  DIVINE RIDE Sep20 Jun21 Jun07     (cizik larry)BELLE SHAVON 123 25.00    
4  LA CHICA DE FUEGO Sep06 Aug03 Jul25 Jun27 Jun14 (morin )LEWIS ANTHONY 123 15.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  LADY SUNSET Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  TUFFENOUGHTOSTART Sep26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 Aug10 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.60 ★    
 
ASD-4   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DICTATOR Sep26 Aug31 Aug09 Jun14 Jun06 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  MARK YE WELL Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul05 (brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 Aug01 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00    
4  LIL MISS ZAK Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 Jun21   (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
5  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 18.00    
6  BIG TONY Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 122 5.00    
7  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF Sep20 Aug30 Aug03 Jul20 Jul13 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 2.00 ★    
 
ASD-5   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY HEY RUN AWAY Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 20.00 7% 14.20    
2  WHAT UP NOW J T Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 Jul12 (anderson wendy)NELSON C 123 3.00 ★    
3  GOOD TO ME Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 (miller blair)CHICKENESS S 123 2.50    
4  GOLD DIGGIN DARLIN Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jul12 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00 24% 3.30    
5  MERMAID KISSES Sep14 Aug31 Aug01 Jul12 Jun19 (brown jared)NELSON TYRONE 123 4.00 35% 1.90    
6  RIVER DEPUTY Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 8.00    
7  KICKALITTLEBOOTY Sep19 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 15.00    
8  KNOW WHAT I MINA Sep14 Aug31 Aug23 Jul12 Jun28 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 ★    
 
ASD-6   09/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'S MEMORIES Sep20 Sep12 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 (anderson )CHADEE JR 123 20.00    
2  CAN'T KATZE ME Sep13 Aug30 Aug16     (maxwell curtis)CHICKENESS S 117 40.00    
3  DONT GET SMART Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 Jul27 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00    
4  ENJAY'S BRASS Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul27 Jul12 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 121 3.00 13% 6.90    
5  MISS PARFAIT Sep20 Sep07 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 4.00 12% 7.40    
6  HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) Sep20 Jul12       (jordan je)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 25.00 ★    
7  AROUSE N GO Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 123 1.20 44% 1.30    
SCR  LADY NYLA Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 Jun29 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 10% 9.20    
 
ASD-7   09/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIG Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Aug02 (morin sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 15.00    
2  TOWARDS THE LIGHT Sep05 Aug22 Jul24 Jun12 May22 (gittens devon)NELSON C 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  ARTILLERY Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Mar18 Feb24 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 40.00    
SCR  BARLEY BOY Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 Jul19 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00    
5  OHTANI Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jun29 (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 124 8.00    
6  TWO STEPS FASTER Sep14 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 Jul27 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
7  ANIAR Sep19 Aug29 Aug17 Jul27 Jul19 (gardipy t)CHADEE JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GIVE A LITTLE Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 (gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
9  BITETHEBULLETBRO Sep20 Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.