The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 26, 2022

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ASD-1   09/26/2022 4950ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
:241 :481 1:141     1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE MO 4 3 11 1½   12 1(nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.00 1.35  
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 3 4 21 2½   32 2(gourneau jerry)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 3.00 7% 14.30 2.30 P
FOX APPEAL 1 1 4 3   22 3(gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 123 4.00 58% 0.70 4.00 S
SAVAGE LOVE 6 5 54 5   44 47 (dickey elton)NELSON C 117 5.00 9% 10.40 5.60  
BAREFOOT DANCER 5 6 6 66   611 512¾ (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 20.00 12.25  
ARAMON 2 2 3 44   510 613¾ (anderson carl)CHADEE JR 123 25.00 29.80  
 
ASD-2   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
:233 :474 1:114 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE LIMIT 5 2 1 12 1 11(dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 16% 5.10 2.25 W
TEXAS RAIN 3 5 3 34 35 37 2(duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 119 6.00 24% 3.20 2.15 P
GOLD SPECIAL 2 4 46 46 4 23(anderson wendy)NELSON C 119 25.00 7.00  
MONSTRODAMOUS 4 1 2 22 2 47 414 (anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.20 34% 1.90 1.80  
COURAGEOUS 1 3 5 5 512½ 510½ 520¼ (stanford maria)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 12.00 12.10  
SCR  G'S TURN               (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50    
 
ASD-3   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
:231 :471 1:002     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S THE CHAIRMAN 6 3 2½ 2½   21¼ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 1.80 40% 1.50 0.80 W
ALWAYS THE LIL ONE 1 4 1½ 1½   12¼ (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 116 4.00 19% 4.20 3.90 P
BENNYBOB 2 2 4 5   333 (taphorn mike)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00 13% 6.50 10.00 S
STEELY CAPER 7 1 32 3   46 4(gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 4.70  
CHESTER G 5 5 68 613   55(gardipy jr)NELSON TYRONE 124 25.00 68.20  
MOSIE'S ON MAIN 3 6 5 44   6616½ (miller blair)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 6.00 7.10  
LENNOX THE GREAT 4 7 79 716   714½ 720½ (rawson fred)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00 42.80  
 
ASD-4   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-10:05
:231 :484 1:141 1:271   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE DRIFTER 2 1 12 12 13 15 1(gittens devon)NELSON C 122 5.00 12% 7.70 4.30 W
MECHANIC SUSIE 5 7 43 3 23 32(dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 119 8.00 6% 14.60 5.35 P
RUSSIAN PEARL 8 5 22 22 35 25 310¼ (gittens devon)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 2.50 19% 4.30 3.25 S
I LOVE MY LIFE 6 4 32 4 47 4411¾ (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 122 1.00 43% 1.30 1.00  
VALID DEFENCE 1 2 54 65 614½ 614½ 513¾ (anderson wendy)BELLE SHAVON 122 30.00 53.15  
BAD PIXIE 3 3 6 5 510½ 511½ 619 (dickey elton)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 25.00 28.20  
KENTUCKY JAKE 7 8 7 7 716 716 729 (rawson fred)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 25.30  
ENDO 4 6 8 8 818½ 820 831 (gardipy jr)NELSON TYRONE 122 40.00 51.10  
 
ASD-5   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
:242 :483 1:142     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARPA 4 3 1nk 1nk   12 1½ (gourneau jerry)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 0.80 39% 1.60 0.25 W
WITT NINE 6 6 7 3   22 2½ (anderson carl)BELLE SHAVON 123 2.00 24% 3.10 5.80 P
GOLDSHAFT 5 4 6 68   43(gardipy jr)NELSON TYRONE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 49.35 S
THEWHISKEYWORKED 3 5 5 5   59 4(kidd blair)NELSON C 123 25.00 40.80  
TUFFENOUGHTOSTART 1 1 2nk 2nk   36 5(gardipy jr)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.50 11% 7.80 5.85  
WITTS QUESTION 7 7 34 45   611 618 (gaskin steven)CHADEE JR 123 15.00 36.75  
STORM KITTEN 2 2 4 79   716 729½ (stanford maria)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 30.00 67.90  
 
ASD-6   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
:253 :502 1:154     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING GOLD 3 1 32 1½   14 15 (husbands tiffany)CHOW CHAVION 121 1.80 25% 3.00 0.55 W
MIAMI SOUVENIRS 4 5 5 32   24 25 (maxwell curtis)NELSON TYRONE 117 4.00 6.70 P
BETTIN ON BELLE 2 3 7 7   539 (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 5.00 4.80 S
RATHMEISTER 6 6 4 5   34(nelson francis)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00 16.95  
BARBIE'S QUEST 1 2 68 65   48 510¾ (johnson c)CHADEE JR 121 3.00 42% 1.40 8.70  
VICTORIAVILLE 5 4 11 2½   6616½ (kidd blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 8.00 16.55  
HAZY WINTER 7 7 21 4   712½ 725¾ (delaronde lee)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 12.00 33.65  
 
ASD-7   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
:231 :473 1:131 1:261   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYBE SOMETIME 4 5 54 31 1 1nk 1¼ (anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50 16% 5.10 1.80 W
UNCLE MO'S CAT 1 1 32 5 4 3.2 2¼ (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 124 15.00 6.20 P
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 2 4 66 6 3 2nk 3½ (stanford maria)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.50 7.15 S
DICTATOR 5 6 21 1nk 2 54(gardipy jr)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 38% 1.60 3.80  
RIDE EM 7 7 77 7 6 65(maxwell curtis)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 22% 3.50 6.50  
WITT AND WHISKEY 3 3 4 4 5 46(gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 12.00 6.60  
LUCKY CHUCKEE 6 2 11 2nk 7 711¾ 723½ (brown shelley)CHADEE JR 119 25.00 10.00  
 
ASD-8   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
:25 :49 1:143     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE TIME 4 2 34 3   11(thompson steven)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00 10% 9.00 25.40 W
PEB 2 6 8 7   82(husbands tiffany)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00 17.40  
YEROSILVERBIZ 7 7 2nk 2nk   23(wise a)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.40 0.85 S
HEAROSEONEASTER 3 3 5 6   58 4(gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 4.00 13% 6.50 10.60  
BEAR ME A MOMENT 5 5 4 5   7511¼ (brown allen)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 4.50 35% 1.90 4.15  
MUCHO EXPRESS 1 1 7 8   6611¾ (ross courtney)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 116 30.00 29.60  
BODYMOOR HEATH 8 8 6 4   3712¾ (buffalo marvin)NELSON TYRONE 119 12.00 7.80  
OUTCOME 6 4 1nk 1nk   48 815½ (brown shelley)CHADEE JR 119 10.00 11% 8.10 6.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.