Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/26/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOX APPEAL Sep12 Jul27 Jul12 Jun20   (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 123 4.00 58% 0.70    
2  ARAMON Sep12 Aug24 Aug17 Jul27 Jul19 (anderson )CHADEE JR 123 25.00    
3  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 3.00 7% 14.30    
4  DIXIE MO Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.00 ★    
5  BAREFOOT DANCER Aug24 Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 Jun28 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 20.00 ★    
6  SAVAGE LOVE Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul26 (dickey elton)NELSON C 117 5.00 9% 10.40    
 
ASD-2   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Apr01 Mar10 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 12.00 ★    
2  GOLD SPECIAL Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 25.00    
3  TEXAS RAIN Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 Jun22 (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  MONSTRODAMOUS Aug23 Jul27 Jul20 Jun29 Apr15 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.20 34% 1.90    
5  HOUSE LIMIT Sep12 Aug31 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  G'S TURN Sep25 Sep13 Aug20 Aug01 Jul23 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50 ★    
 
ASD-3   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Sep05         (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 116 4.00 19% 4.20    
2  BENNYBOB Sep19 Sep07 Aug22 Aug08 Jun28 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00 13% 6.50    
3  MOSIE'S ON MAIN Sep07 Aug22 Jul26     (miller blair)CHICKENESS S 119 6.00 ★    
4  LENNOX THE GREAT Sep19         (rawson fred)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00    
5  CHESTER G Aug22         (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 124 25.00    
6  HE'S THE CHAIRMAN Aug29 Aug03 Jun21 Jun14 Jun01 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
7  STEELY CAPER Sep13 Sep07 Aug29 Aug22 Jul26 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 ★    
 
ASD-4   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID DEFENCE Sep06         (anderson wendy)BELLE SHAVON 122 30.00    
2  PRAIRIE DRIFTER Sep06 Aug23 Aug10 Jul27   (gittens devon)NELSON C 122 5.00 12% 7.70    
3  BAD PIXIE Sep05         (dickey elton)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 25.00 ★    
4  ENDO Sep06 Aug23       (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 122 40.00    
5  MECHANIC SUSIE Aug23         (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
6  I LOVE MY LIFE Aug22 Jul27       (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 122 1.00 43% 1.30    
7  KENTUCKY JAKE         (rawson f)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
8  RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 Jul11   (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
ASD-5   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUFFENOUGHTOSTART Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  STORM KITTEN Sep12 Sep05 Aug29 Aug16 Jul12 (stanford maria)CHICKENESS S 123 30.00    
3  THEWHISKEYWORKED Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 (kidd blair)NELSON C 123 25.00    
4  DARPA Sep12 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 0.80 39% 1.60    
5  GOLDSHAFT Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 Jun14 (gardipy j)NELSON TYRONE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  WITT NINE Aug29 Aug10 Jul19     (anderson carl)BELLE SHAVON 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
7  WITTS QUESTION Aug22 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 (gaskin st)CHADEE JR 123 15.00 ★    
 
ASD-6   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBIE'S QUEST Sep07 Aug31 Aug24 Aug10 Jul19 (johnson m)CHADEE JR 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  BETTIN ON BELLE Sep19 Sep05 Jun23 Jun10 May19 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 5.00 ★    
3  DAZZLING GOLD Sep07 Aug24 Aug16 Aug03 Jul18 (husbands tiffa)CHOW CHAVION 121 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Sep19 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul18 (maxwell curti)NELSON TYRONE 117 4.00 ★    
5  VICTORIAVILLE Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (kidd blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 8.00 ★    
6  RATHMEISTER Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 Aug17 Jul31 (nelson francis)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00    
7  HAZY WINTER Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul05 Jun20 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 12.00    
 
ASD-7   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE MO'S CAT Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 124 15.00 ★    
2  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.50 ★    
3  WITT AND WHISKEY Sep06 Aug29 Aug22 Jun24   (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 12.00    
4  MAYBE SOMETIME Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50 16% 5.10    
5  DICTATOR Aug31 Aug09 Jun14 Jun06 Apr19 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
6  LUCKY CHUCKEE Sep13 Aug02 Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 25.00    
7  RIDE EM Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (maxwell curtis)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
ASD-8   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO EXPRESS Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 116 30.00    
2  PEB Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jun29 (husbands tiffa)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00    
3  HEAROSEONEASTER Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
4  DOUBLE TIME Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00 10% 9.00    
5  BEAR ME A MOMENT Sep13 Aug30 Aug10 Jun12   (brown allen)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 4.50 35% 1.90    
6  OUTCOME Aug30 Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 10.00 11% 8.10    
7  YEROSILVERBIZ Sep06 Aug24 Jul27 Jun13 Apr14 (wise richard )CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.40 ★    
8  BODYMOOR HEATH Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 Jul05 Jun22 (buffalo marvi)NELSON TYRONE 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.