Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   11/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:122     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ALE 3 2 11 1½   1 13 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 15% 5.90 1.60 W
ARRABIATA 5 4 21 2½   2 23 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 119 4.50 4.50 P
THE GREEN CRUSADER 1 3 6 53   3 35 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 44% 1.20 3.50 S
COLOR ME LEGENDARY 2 1 42 43   4 4 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 119 6.00 19.90  
MYOPIC 6 6 32 32   57 5 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 2.20  
WESTPHAL 4 5 5 6   613 613¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 14% 6.30 6.30  
 
TUP-4   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BYE PUTIN 2 5 3 2½ 1 1 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 0.80 1.60  
WILLY THE COBBLER 4 4 2 3 33 2 2 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 37% 1.70 0.50 P
IMPERATOR 5 3 55 55 4 4 310½ (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 23% 3.40 21.60 S
AUTISM SAVANT 1 2 43 45 57 5 413 (torres-casas je)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 11% 8.30 21.50  
IT BETTER BE GOLD 3 1 1 1½ 2 36 513 (story chad)MAWING A 122 3.00 5.60  
SCR  LONO               (dillenbeck bruce)ANAYA V 122 10.00    
 
TUP-5   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:213 :45       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 4 1 2 24   24 1 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00 9.20 DH
APPOINTED STAR 9 3 1 14   14 1 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 9% 9.70 38.40 W
MISTY MATT 1 7 7 711½   47 3 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 8.50  
WORKIN NINETOFIVE 7 8 8 813   810¾ 4 (gutierrez ju)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 6.00 11% 8.10 3.60  
BIG BLUE NOTE 3 6 4 5   37 5 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 3.40  
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA 5 2 33 37   68 64 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 10.00 11% 7.90 18.40  
LOW DOSE 2 4 5 4   5 76 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.00 22% 3.50 1.60  
KEEPINMYPROMISE 6 5 65 610   710½ 8 (pierce l)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 17% 4.90 6.10  
TROPHY CHEST 8 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 122 12.00 43.70  
 
TUP-6   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:104     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD LUTHER 8 9 108 9   4 1 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 9.00  
BLUE SKYE JADE 7 1 1nk 1nk   12 2 (hernandez migue)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 26% 2.80 1.20 P
UNCLE FLOYD 4 7 6 4   53 37 (williams dewe)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 55.00  
11  KATZUMOTO 10 2 5 31   22 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 8% 11.70 3.40  
OUTLAW BY NATURE 5 10 98 10   7 5 (oliver victor )GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 65.70  
ALBANY FRONT 9 3 8 8   87 6 (gutierrez qu)CORBETT W 124 8.00 4.50  
CREST DRIVE 1 5 2nk 2nk   32 710½ (baze lisa)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 8% 12.20 26.40  
CHEF 3 8 7 76   64 810¾ (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 12% 7.40 7.20  
COMMAND SGT MAJOR 2 4 3.2 54   910½ 919½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 6.00 23.40  
STARZAN 6 6 4¼ 6   1014 1019¾ (baze robert)WADE LYNDIE 124 15.00 12.40  
SCR  PASSED BY PAUL               (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-7   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATES OF HEAVEN 9 1 5 1nk   1 1 (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 47% 1.10 1.60 W
PURE ROCKET 6 8 8 10   6 2 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.00 5.60  
RES IPSA LOQUITUR 2 6 32 4   2 3 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50 S
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 4 7 6 6   3 4 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 20.00 90.10  
LESLIE'S GOLD 3 10 1010¾ 8   7 5 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 24.40  
MAJESTIC STREET 5 4 2 31   5 6 (brown jared)CRUZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
11  CORN POP 11 2 7 5   10 710½ (howe s)BARBER R 119 12.00 11.20  
BOLD COWBOY 1 9 9 9   9 810¾ (mcfarlane da)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 36.90  
10  LAST RENEGADE 10 11 1110¾ 11   8 911½ (chambers mike)MAWING A 119 6.00 18% 4.70 30.40  
A VIEW FROM ABOVE 7 3 1 2nk   4 1013¼ (morgan dan)VERGARA P 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
FABSTRACTION 8 5 4 7   1110½ 1121¼ (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 8.00 32.80  
 
TUP-8   11/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
1:33         1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMINAL RECORD 3 1 4 42   1nk 1nk (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 3.90  
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 5 7 5 5   3½ 2nk (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
TICK TOCK 1 9 913¾ 77   4 31 (hernandez mi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 19% 4.20 5.20 S
QUEEN OF LOVE 8 4 2 2   2nk 42 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 6% 16.20 7.90  
ELEMENTAL 4 2 3 32   52 5 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 8.10  
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 9 6 68 65   63 6 (villamar candelari)MAWING A 124 4.50 17% 5.00 5.40  
SUPERSTAR BEA 2 10 1015¾ 1011   7 74 (silva rodriguez)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5.20  
FUN PADDY 6 5 811¼ 910   8 87 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 8.00 22.90  
10  SHEZ A GRINDER 10 8 711 8   9 9 (nunnally jennife)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 46.40  
RED BOTTOM REBEL 7 3 1 1   1015¼ 1021¼ (martinez a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 26% 2.80 4.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.