The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 19, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TUP-3   11/19/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
:241 :473 1:122     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ALE 3 2 11 1½   113 (lucarelli frank)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 15% 5.90 1.60 W
ARRABIATA 5 4 21 2½   223 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 119 4.50 4.50 P
THE GREEN CRUSADER 1 3 6 53   335 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 44% 1.20 3.50 S
COLOR ME LEGENDARY 2 1 42 43   44(lund valorie)ZUNINO L 119 6.00 19.90  
MYOPIC 6 6 32 32   57 5(diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 2.20  
WESTPHAL 4 5 5 6   613 613¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 14% 6.30 6.30  
 
TUP-4   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
:233 :47 1:114 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BYE PUTIN 2 5 3 2½ 1 11(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 0.80 1.60  
WILLY THE COBBLER 4 4 2 3 33 22(metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 37% 1.70 0.50 P
IMPERATOR 5 3 55 55 4 4310½ (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 23% 3.40 21.60 S
AUTISM SAVANT 1 2 43 45 57 5413 (torres-casas jesus)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 11% 8.30 21.50  
IT BETTER BE GOLD 3 1 1 1½ 2 36 513 (story chad)MAWING A 122 3.00 5.60  
SCR  LONO               (dillenbeck bruce)ANAYA V 122 10.00    
 
TUP-5   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
:213 :45       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 4 1 2 24   24 1(lavanway dayson)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00 9.20 DH
APPOINTED STAR 9 3 1 14   14 1(potts ann)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 9% 9.70 38.40 W
MISTY MATT 1 7 7 711½   47 3(matt l)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 8.50  
WORKIN NINETOFIVE 7 8 8 813   810¾ 4(gutierrez quintana)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 6.00 11% 8.10 3.60  
BIG BLUE NOTE 3 6 4 5   37 5(woolley l)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 3.40  
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA 5 2 33 37   68 64 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 10.00 11% 7.90 18.40  
LOW DOSE 2 4 5 4   576 (silva pablo)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.00 22% 3.50 1.60  
KEEPINMYPROMISE 6 5 65 610   710½ 8(pierce l)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 17% 4.90 6.10  
TROPHY CHEST 8 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 122 12.00 43.70  
 
TUP-6   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
:223 :452 1:104     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD LUTHER 8 9 108 9   41(matt l)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 9.00  
BLUE SKYE JADE 7 1 1nk 1nk   12 2(hernandez l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 26% 2.80 1.20 P
UNCLE FLOYD 4 7 6 4   53 37 (williams dewey)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 55.00  
11  KATZUMOTO 10 2 5 31   22 4(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 8% 11.70 3.40  
OUTLAW BY NATURE 5 10 98 10   75(oliver e)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 65.70  
ALBANY FRONT 9 3 8 8   87 6(gutierrez quintana)CORBETT W 124 8.00 4.50  
CREST DRIVE 1 5 2nk 2nk   32 710½ (baze lisa)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 8% 12.20 26.40  
CHEF 3 8 7 76   64 810¾ (ortiz sr)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 12% 7.40 7.20  
COMMAND SGT MAJOR 2 4 3.2 54   910½ 919½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 6.00 23.40  
STARZAN 6 6 4¼ 6   1014 1019¾ (baze robert)WADE LYNDIE 124 15.00 12.40  
SCR  PASSED BY PAUL               (hernandez l)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-7   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
:22 :45 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATES OF HEAVEN 9 1 5 1nk   11(evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 47% 1.10 1.60 W
PURE ROCKET 6 8 8 10   62(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.00 5.60  
RES IPSA LOQUITUR 2 6 32 4   23(campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50 S
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 4 7 6 6   34(toye joe)ANAYA V 119 20.00 90.10  
LESLIE'S GOLD 3 10 1010¾ 8   75(lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 24.40  
MAJESTIC STREET 5 4 2 31   56(brown jared)CRUZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
11  CORN POP 11 2 7 5   10710½ (howe s)BARBER R 119 12.00 11.20  
BOLD COWBOY 1 9 9 9   9810¾ (mcfarlane l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 36.90  
10  LAST RENEGADE 10 11 1110¾ 11   8911½ (chambers mike)MAWING A 119 6.00 18% 4.70 30.40  
A VIEW FROM ABOVE 7 3 1 2nk   41013¼ (morgan dan)VERGARA P 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
FABSTRACTION 8 5 4 7   1110½ 1121¼ (hernandez l)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 8.00 32.80  
 
TUP-8   11/19/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
1:33         1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMINAL RECORD 3 1 4 42   1nk 1nk (asprino alfredo)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 3.90  
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 5 7 5 5   3½ 2nk (christian billy)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
TICK TOCK 1 9 913¾ 77   431 (hernandez l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 19% 4.20 5.20 S
QUEEN OF LOVE 8 4 2 2   2nk 42 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 6% 16.20 7.90  
ELEMENTAL 4 2 3 32   52 5(perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 8.10  
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 9 6 68 65   63 6(villamar candelario)MAWING A 124 4.50 17% 5.00 5.40  
SUPERSTAR BEA 2 10 1015¾ 1011   774 (silva gabriel)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5.20  
FUN PADDY 6 5 811¼ 910   887 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 8.00 22.90  
10  SHEZ A GRINDER 10 8 711 8   99(nunnally jennifer)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 46.40  
RED BOTTOM REBEL 7 3 1 1   1015¼ 1021¼ (martinez a)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 26% 2.80 4.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.