Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREEN CRUSADER Aug24 Jul13 Jun18 May29   (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 44% 1.20    
2  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 Jun22 Jun11 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 119 6.00    
3  GOLDEN ALE Jun17 May27 May06 Mar24 Feb16 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 15% 5.90    
4  WESTPHAL Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 Aug06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 14% 6.30    
5  ARRABIATA Sep12 Apr16 Mar13 Jan23   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 119 4.50 ★    
6  MYOPIC Nov08 Sep13 Aug03 Jul17 Jul04 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LONO Oct16 Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 Aug19 (dillenbeck bru)ANAYA V 122 10.00    
2  AUTISM SAVANT Nov05 Aug29 Aug01 Jul16 May13 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 11% 8.30    
3  GOOD BYE PUTIN Nov04 Sep19 Jul01 May28 Apr03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 0.80 ★    
4  IT BETTER BE GOLD Sep10 Aug22       (story chad)MAWING A 122 3.00 ★    
5  WILLY THE COBBLER Oct15 Sep18 Aug12 Jul24 Jun03 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  IMPERATOR Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 Apr26 Mar10 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 23% 3.40    
 
TUP-5   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY MATT Nov08 Sep08 Aug17 Aug03 Jul11 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
2  LOW DOSE Nov05 Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 Jul11 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
3  BIG BLUE NOTE Sep03 Jun19 May19 Apr25 Mar28 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
4  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Nov07 Oct10 Sep30 Aug17 Aug06 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00    
5  A WHOLE LOTTA HULA Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 Jul02 May28 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
6  KEEPINMYPROMISE Aug26 Jun17 May29 Apr14 Mar30 (pierce michael )WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
7  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Nov07 Sep03 Aug22 May07 Apr26 (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 6.00 11% 8.10    
8  TROPHY CHEST Apr19 Apr03 Mar20 Mar05 Feb21 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 122 12.00    
9  APPOINTED STAR Nov07 Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 Jul08 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 9% 9.70    
 
TUP-6   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREST DRIVE Nov09 Sep17 Jun24 Jun03 May21 (baze lisa)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 8% 12.20    
2  COMMAND SGT MAJOR Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun19 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
3  CHEF Sep17 Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 May02 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 12% 7.40    
4  UNCLE FLOYD Nov04 Sep12 Aug29 Jul04 Mar27 (williams dewey)LULL E 124 20.00    
5  OUTLAW BY NATURE Sep12 Aug13 May07 Apr03 Mar20 (oliver victo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
6  STARZAN Nov09 Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 (baze robert)WADE LYNDIE 124 15.00    
7  BLUE SKYE JADE Nov04 Sep28 Sep14 Aug13 Jul09 (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 26% 2.80    
8  MAD LUTHER Sep14 Aug31 Aug14 Jul30 Jul11 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
9  ALBANY FRONT Nov04 Sep17 Aug22 Aug13 Aug06 (gutierrez juan )CORBETT W 124 8.00    
SCR  PASSED BY PAUL Nov04 Oct01 Sep14 Sep03 Aug14 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
11  KATZUMOTO Oct28 May06 Apr03 Mar11 Feb18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 8% 11.70    
 
TUP-7   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD COWBOY Sep23 Aug22 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (mcfarlane )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
2  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Nov04 Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Apr21 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LESLIE'S GOLD Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug03 Jul17 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00    
4  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 Jun12 May29 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 20.00    
5  MAJESTIC STREET Sep19 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 Jun15 (brown jared)CRUZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PURE ROCKET Sep17 Aug03 Jul14 Jul04 Jun22 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.00    
7  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Sep17 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  FABSTRACTION Nov08 Sep17       (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 8.00    
9  GATES OF HEAVEN Nov04 Sep19 Jul30 Jul18 Jun27 (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
10  LAST RENEGADE Feb07 Jan23       (chambers mike)MAWING A 119 6.00 18% 4.70    
11  CORN POP Oct02 Sep20 Aug13 Jun15 May26 (howe s)BARBER R 119 12.00    
 
TUP-8   11/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICK TOCK Nov07 Sep30 Sep18 Aug31 Aug20 (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  SUPERSTAR BEA Nov04 Sep14 Aug28 Aug11 Aug03 (silva rodrigu)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00    
3  CRIMINAL RECORD Aug18 Jul17 Jul04 Jun12 Jun04 (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00    
4  ELEMENTAL Nov04 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 Jun11 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
5  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Sep26 Aug30 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 (christian billy)LULL E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FUN PADDY Oct07 Sep09 Aug04 Jul19 Jun28 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
7  RED BOTTOM REBEL Oct03 Sep20 Aug21 Aug01 Jul04 (martinez o )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
8  QUEEN OF LOVE Sep19 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 6% 16.20    
9  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Nov04 Sep19 Sep12 Sep03 Aug01 (villamar candela)MAWING A 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
10  SHEZ A GRINDER Nov05 Oct09 Sep18 Sep11 Aug21 (nunnally jenni)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.