Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   11/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:482 1:131 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY IN THE BATTLE 5 1 2½ 11 1 13 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 5.00 2.20  
PRANCE 4 5 6 53 42 23 2 (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 2.50 35% 1.90 3.30 P
A THOUSAND DREAMS 1 4 43 42 3 33 3 (evans justin)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.00 1.20 S
LEXOPHILIA 2 6 5 63 6 5 4 (axmaker cody )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 16% 5.40 6.20  
METAROSE 3 3 1½ 3 2 4 5 (hernandez miguel )CORBETT W 122 6.00 16% 5.40 9.90  
QUEENS RANSOM 6 2 3 21 5 6 610 (zimmerman jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 18.40  
 
TUP-4   11/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:222 :454       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR VALLEY 6 3 21 2nk   2nk 1hd (morgan dan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 36% 1.80 0.20 W
BOURBON AND WATER 3 2 3 32   3 2hd (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 4.20 P
SEAFARING WILDCAT 2 1 11 1nk   1nk 3½ (gleason m)MAWING A 121 6.00 15.50  
NUMMY NUM 7 4 4 44   4 4 (nunnally je)JENSEN P 121 10.00 30.50  
HUNTER JUMPER 5 6 55 59   59 5 (eidschun gregor)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00 10.60  
GABE'S MONSTER 4 7 6 612   611½ 612½ (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.50 34% 2.00 12.00  
LIL LADY 1 5 7 713½   716½ 725¼ (nolazco jesus)ANAYA V 121 20.00 5% 18.90 62.60  
 
TUP-5   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:46
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATAR 9 4 1½ 1   14 1½ (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 4.00 21% 3.70 1.40 W
CHARLIE'S MAN 1 8 8 6   24 2½ (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
PANZER PRIDE 5 6 54 5   4 3 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 12.10  
GRACIE'S A TIGER 8 1 4 33   34 4 (martinez a)WADE LYNDIE 118 3.50 52% 0.90 3.60  
BRENSON BUNS 2 9 75 7   58 515¾ (kereluk edward)LULL E 121 5.00 7.40  
10  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 10 5 31 4   6 619½ (torres-casas alex)LEON A 118 12.00 61.80  
DAHLIA'S DANCER 4 2 2½ 2   7 722¾ (barraza rafael)SARMIENTO RIGO 118 8.00 12.20  
BIG TIME ROB 3 7 910 914¼   817¾ 829 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.50 12.10  
REASON TWO LIVE 6 3 65 810¾   918¼ 937¾ (barrio sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 15.00 63.80  
CALL EM CALLUM 7 10 1030 1034¼   1038¼ 1059¾ (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 27.30  
 
TUP-6   11/12/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:503 1:141 1:381   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTY SECONDS OUT 3 1 1½ 1½ 1 1 1 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 3.00  
CASHANOVA 2 3 42 32 3 2 2 (asprino alfredo)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 5.00  
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 1 4 5 4 55 35 35 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 2.70 S
THICK HAZE 4 5 3 5 4 47 4 (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 1.90  
VINTAGE KITTEN 5 2 2½ 2½ 2 5 511 (vitali j)CORBETT W 122 3.00 30% 2.30 3.00  
SCR  ITS A BOY               (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  PINTXOS               (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
TUP-7   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDON BRIDGE 7 3 3 42   32 15 (pierce l)VERGARA P 124 6.00 4.40  
SQUARE FOOTAGE 8 1 12 1½   11 25 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 19% 4.30 2.00 P
WAY TO FIRE 4 2 22 2½   42 3 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00 16% 5.40 1.50 S
BARBARIUS 2 5 5 32   21 4 (matt l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 8% 11.80 14.50  
LADY COMMISH 3 7 6 6   5 510¼ (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 15.00 11.80  
FULLY COMPLIANT 5 4 4 53   67 611 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00 57.80  
WHO B DAT 1 8 8 8   78 712½ (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00 16.30  
TALKINGNONSTOP 6 6 7 78   8 813¾ (potts ann)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 10% 8.50 6.10  
SCR  STOLEN HALO               (gleason m)CORBETT W 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-8   11/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:102 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST TO FORTUNE 3 1 13 16 16 15 1¾ (lucarelli frank)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 2.50  
FAT AND FURIOUS 5 5 6 49 3 25 2¾ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 44% 1.30 1.10 P
AKASI 2 2 46 510½ 5 3 3 (troiani niccolo)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.50 13% 6.50 7.30 S
TOP REFERENCES 4 4 3 39 4 5 4 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 13.00  
EASY DOES IT 8 8 815½ 817 715½ 612½ 512¼ (gangidino lisa)LEON A 124 10.00 33.70  
DRAMADORA 1 3 23 26 26 48 612¼ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 8% 11.60 6.20  
PAGODA RIDGE 6 7 710½ 714½ 615 719½ 721¼ (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 8.00 38.20  
LIP'S OF WINE 7 6 5 611½ 818 824½ 828 (morales guill)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00 7.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.