Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A THOUSAND DREAMS Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jun12 May15 (evans justin)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.00 ★    
2  LEXOPHILIA Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 Aug17 Aug10 (axmaker cod)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  METAROSE Sep30 Aug31 Aug10 Apr24 Mar22 (hernandez migue)CORBETT W 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  PRANCE Aug06 Jul17 Jun22 May25 Mar02 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  JOY IN THE BATTLE Sep17 Aug15 Jul30 Jun26 May28 (evans justin)LEON A 119 5.00 ★    
6  QUEENS RANSOM Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 Apr28 Apr13 (zimmerman )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
 
TUP-4   11/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL LADY Sep04 Aug27 Aug20 Jul09   (nolazco jesus)ANAYA V 121 20.00 5% 18.90    
2  SEAFARING WILDCAT         (gleason m)MAWING A 121 6.00    
3  BOURBON AND WATER Aug29 Aug06       (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 ★    
4  GABE'S MONSTER Aug18 Jul16       (torres-casa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
5  HUNTER JUMPER Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 Aug04 Jul09 (eidschun greg)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00 ★    
6  OUR VALLEY Oct15 Aug29 Aug06 Jul16   (morgan dan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  NUMMY NUM Oct14 Oct07 Sep18 Aug20 Aug14 (nunnally )JENSEN P 121 10.00    
 
TUP-5   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE'S MAN Sep18 Aug20       (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BRENSON BUNS         (kereluk edward)LULL E 121 5.00 ★    
3  BIG TIME ROB Aug11 Jul03       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.50 ★    
4  DAHLIA'S DANCER Sep05 Aug20       (barraza rafa)SARMIENTO RIGO 118 8.00    
5  PANZER PRIDE Sep19 Aug20 Jul18 May07 Apr13 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
6  REASON TWO LIVE         (barrio sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 15.00    
7  CALL EM CALLUM         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
8  GRACIE'S A TIGER Oct04 Sep13       (martinez a)WADE LYNDIE 118 3.50 52% 0.90    
9  KATAR         (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
10  PRINCESS JAYLEEN         (torres-casas al)LEON A 118 12.00    
 
TUP-6   11/12/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Sep17 Aug31 Jul23 May07 Apr14 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  ITS A BOY Aug31 Aug14 Jun25 Jun02 May19 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
3  CASHANOVA Sep08 Aug27 Aug18 Jul09 Jun30 (asprino alfredo)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00    
4  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Aug31 Aug11 Jul04 Jun18 Jun08 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00    
SCR  PINTXOS Aug25 Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 May29 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  THICK HAZE Sep10 Sep01 Jul16 Jun19 Jun02 (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 ★    
7  VINTAGE KITTEN Aug30 Aug17 Jun27 Jun08 May30 (vitali j)CORBETT W 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-7   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO B DAT Sep27 Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 May02 (christian billy)LULL E 124 8.00    
2  BARBARIUS Sep14 Aug26 Apr08 Mar28 Feb11 (matt wendell )VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
3  LADY COMMISH Oct15 Oct02 Sep23 Aug25 Jul31 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 15.00    
4  WAY TO FIRE Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 Aug08 Jun25 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
5  FULLY COMPLIANT Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun26 Jun10 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
SCR  STOLEN HALO Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jul11 Apr25 (gleason m)CORBETT W 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
7  TALKINGNONSTOP Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 (potts ann)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 10% 8.50    
8  BANDON BRIDGE Oct15 Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 (pierce michael )VERGARA P 124 6.00    
9  SQUARE FOOTAGE Sep09 Aug19 Aug07     (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
TUP-8   11/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMADORA Aug17 Jun20 Jun12 Jun05 May25 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 8% 11.60    
2  AKASI Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul10 Jun26 (troiani niccolo)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.50 13% 6.50    
3  FAST TO FORTUNE Sep11 Aug21       (lucarelli fra)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 ★    
4  TOP REFERENCES Oct10 Aug29 Jul23 Jul11 May03 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
5  FAT AND FURIOUS Aug28 Jul31 Jun19 Apr28 Mar24 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
6  PAGODA RIDGE Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 Aug06 Jul17 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 8.00 ★    
7  LIP'S OF WINE Sep19 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 May06 (morales gui)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00    
8  EASY DOES IT Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 (gangidino lisa)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.