Handicappers' Race Results

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Elko County Fair
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELK-2   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:083         1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLY B 1 2 2½ 2½   2nk 1 (christoffersen fa)THOMAS TODD 122 6.00 1.50  
SHACKALOV 5 1 1½ 1½   1nk 2 (pope stu)BIRDRATTLER E 124 2.00 2.90  
JIMMY DEAN DUBAI 2 3 3 3   34 3 (jensen jared)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 4.00 42% 1.40 5.90 S
COPPER WINGS 3 4 45 4   46 4 (mitchell chr)GONZALEZ V 124 2.50 17% 5.00 5.10  
REBEL ROAR 4 5 58 5   512 513¾ (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 124 10.00 2.10  
SCR  FRED               (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
 
ELK-4   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
1:074         1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASE THE MUSIC 3 1 11 12   1 1 (scudder )BIRDRATTLER E 124 2.50 3.50  
ALL IN STEW OUI 4 2 21 22   2 2 (young brent)THOMAS TODD 124 6.00 7.40  
SUPER ACCORD 1 5 54 46   45 3 (gibbs tyler)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 1.60 48% 1.10 2.10 S
PAPAYA 5 3 31 32   3 4 (hadley joe)ALAYA ERIC 119 4.00 2.30  
GOLDEN TIGER 2 4 4 58   510 512¼ (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 124 3.50 6% 16.90 2.20  
SCR  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE               (crystal dust)GONZALEZ V 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
ELK-7   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:102         1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CANDY 2 2 2nk 2½   1 1¼ (mitchell chris )ZAVALA JULIAN 122 12.00 1.70  
SOUTHRN SWEETHEART 4 3 3.2 4   4 2¼ (simpson ga)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 119 4.00 27% 2.70 5.40 P
MIDNIGHT DARE 6 4 4¼ 3   2 32 (mitchell r)THOMAS TODD 117 6.00 5.10 S
HART OF THE PULPIT 1 1 1nk 1½   32 410 (dahlke k)BIRDRATTLER E 117 2.00 30% 2.30 5.10  
LIL LADY 3 5 5¾ 5   510½ 517¾ (nolazco jes)RUEDA ORTIZ 119 10.00 10% 8.60 2.60  
SADLERS TRUST 5 6 6 612½   615½ 622 (williams kevin)ALAYA ERIC 117 8.00 5.80  
 
ELK-9   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
See original race card.
1:262         1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEWEY 5 4 45 3   21 1 (christoffersen fa)THOMAS TODD 124 8.00 5% 19.00 2.10 W
THIRTYMINUTEMASS 3 1 1nk 1½   11 2 (simpson gary)ALAYA ERIC 124 12.00 5.20  
AWESOME EMMIT 4 2 2nk 2½   33 3 (carter f)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 10.00 2.80  
MUSKET POWDER 2 3 33 4   46 49 (scudder )BIRDRATTLER E 124 1.60 44% 1.30 2.60  
TETON 1 5 59 59   58 510¼ (scudder mik)RUEDA ORTIZ 124 4.00 13% 6.50 8.80  
FRAT BOY 6 6 615 615   612 611¼ (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 124 2.50 5.60  
SCR  COASTAL SON               (crystal dust)GONZALEZ V 124 6.00    
SCR  JUSTALICE               (hernandez jua)LINAN FRANCISCO 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.