Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:103 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD REY 8 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 1 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 2.70  
BORN TO REIGN 2 6 8 7 65 4 2 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 3.50 16% 5.20 3.30 P
MISSCZECH 1 5 31 42 33 3 38 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 119 10.00 8.60  
FOR LOVE NOT MONEY 6 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 2 48 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 7.70  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 5 7 42 3 4 68 510 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 57% 0.80 1.70  
SUNDANCE STAR 7 8 6 65 54 5 611¼ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00 13.50  
RED PANTY NIGHT 3 2 53 55 89 717 725¾ (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 12.00  
SEVEN POINTS 4 4 7 8 79 819 829¼ (kereluk edwa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 23.20  
 
TUP-4   12/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:463 1:102     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTACRY 3 2 32 4   3 1¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 8.00  
SWEET SAVANT 7 5 5 3   5 2¼ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 42% 1.40 1.00 P
INCREDIBE MO 6 1 21 2½   1 3¾ (whitehouse wil)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 19.90 S
ROYAL AIR FORCE 5 6 77 6   43 41 (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 121 8.00 7.50  
LITTLE RED RIFLE 4 3 11 1½   2 5 (howe s)ANAYA V 121 3.00 9% 10.20 4.40  
COUSIN MARK 8 10 8 8   7 6 (kenney dan)CARRENO J 121 10.00 30.80  
BUSTER BURNS 1 4 4 52   6 77 (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 20.00 35.40  
MEGA MEAT 9 7 64 75   8 811¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00 32.50  
10  TAP THE BANK 10 9 99 9   912¼ 913 (garcia l)MAWING A 124 12.00 13.90  
CHIEF GOVERNOR 2 8 10 1010¾   1013¾ 1014¾ (allred jeff)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 15% 5.90 5.30  
SCR  AMADMADWORLD               (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 121 12.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  PEACE TOUR               (freeman r)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
 
TUP-5   12/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPY CUP 8 1 1 1   1 1 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 12.50  
ATTORNEY LOUIS 4 3 44 43   2 2 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 5.30  
YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 5 2 2 2   3 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 20% 4.00 1.30 S
ABERDEEN'S KNIGHT 2 9 7 6   4 45 (rosales jorge)LEON A 121 5.00 11.20  
10  SARGE'S SERMON 9 7 8 7   710 56 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 10.60  
MANFORALLSEASONS 7 8 5 5   6 6 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 10.00 7.40  
FLYING WINCHESTER 6 4 3 3   57 7 (peery debbie)MAWING A 124 4.00 20% 3.90 4.30  
11  GEBO 10 6 6 811½   914 811¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 8.00 13.60  
DEPUTY KNIGHT 3 5 9 913   813 911½ (o'brien dan)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 35.80  
JOE DID IT 1 10 1010¼ 1016½   1020 1019 (o'brien danny)ANAYA V 124 15.00 6% 16.90 35.70  
SCR  IOWA HAWKEYE               (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
TUP-6   12/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:221 :451       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WE ALL AGREE 9 5 32     3 13 (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.00 0.60  
APPOINTED STAR 3 4 2nk     2nk 23 (potts ashley)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 9.70  
BABE'S GOT APPEAL 1 3 1nk     1nk 3 (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 8.00 5% 17.90 14.40 S
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 5 6 5     4 4 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 11.60  
NO KITTEN 2 1 78     6 5 (denny travis)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 10% 9.30 8.20  
IMA TROUBLE MAKER 7 7 6     58 610¼ (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 4.50 33% 2.00 6.50 DH
WRIGHT WINGED 8 9 89     710 610¼ (gutierrez juan )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 30.40 DH
BIGGER THAN YOU 4 2 4     812½ 820¾ (monteverde al)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 45.10  
ELEMENTAL 6 8 918     918½ 926 (perkinson cc)LEON A 124 8.00 6.50  
SCR  CAMEO SHORES               (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
SCR  SONGOFTHEDESERT               (reyes norma)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
SCR  SWEET HONOR               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-7   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:223 :45 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING MIST 6 2 1½ 12   12 1¼ (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 3.00 41% 1.40 2.50 W
CRIMINAL RECORD 5 5 42 32   22 2¼ (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00 12% 7.20 4.20 P
10  PALACE STAR 10 1 32 5   4 33 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 32.00  
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 8 9 8 6   68 4 (pearman jaymi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 8% 11.40 3.30  
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 7 3 2½ 22   3 5 (valerio raymond)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 10.00  
CONVINCE 9 4 65 7   7 6 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 11% 8.30 11.50  
ATLANTIC PRINCESS 1 6 54 44   5 7 (axmaker w)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 30.80  
ABBIE'S WAY 4 10 10 8   8 8 (valerio raym)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
LE TUB 2 8 9 1013¼   914 911¾ (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 5.00  
MCGOLDIE 3 7 7 911¼   1014½ 1012½ (blea jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 15.00 38.50  
 
TUP-8   12/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:46 1:10 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREEN CRUSADER 4 4 42 3 31 1 1¾ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 119 3.50 50% 1.00 3.30 W
LIGHT CRUISER 1 5 54 5 4 2 2¾ (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 10.00 6.80  
COASTAL WATERS 6 7 7 75 7 5 3 (lund valorie)MAWING A 122 6.00 6.10 S
JOKER MATT 5 2 32 4 53 33 43 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 119 8.00 3.30  
BOSS NINE 2 3 2½ 21 21 43 5 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 119 4.50 14.20  
10  ETU BABOU 8 8 811¼ 88 8 8 6 (hedge rick)LUNA ELEMANIEL 117 20.00 21.00  
SECRET POTION 7 6 6 6 6 7 79 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 12.30  
N. K. ROCKET MAN 3 1 1½ 11 11 6 811 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.00 28% 2.60 1.80  
SCR  BODEMONSTER               (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00    
SCR  HANKY PRANKY               (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 119 12.00    
SCR  HOODLUM               (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 4.50    
SCR  LIGHTNING STAR               (simp)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.