Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - November 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   11/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:093     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COBRA JET 2 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 119 3.00 49% 1.00 3.30 DQ↓4
EXXEL 1 5 31 42   42 2¾ (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 2.00 1.20  
SHIP IT RED 4 3 53 3   2½ 31 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 5.90 P
RONAMO 3 4 42 5   5 4 (barraza s)MAWING A 122 3.50 2.60 S
YOU SPLIT TENS 5 1 2½ 2nk   32 5 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 23% 3.30 4.60  
 
TUP-2   11/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:223 :453 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS BRIDE 2 1 1½ 1½   12 17 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 2.00 63% 0.60 0.40 W
PEPPER MILL 3 3 3 31   32 27 (kereluk edward)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 8.60  
DADS ESTRELLA 4 2 2½ 2½   22 3 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 3.80 S
SCATALICIOUS 5 4 4 4   4 411 (rollins scott)MAWING A 121 3.00 3.20  
LUTE'S DIAMOND 1 5 54 5   58 512½ (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 8.00 25.50  
SCR  CLASSIC TASTE               (story chad)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50    
 
TUP-3   11/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:11 1:231   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE DOLLAR 6 5 5 42 3 3 1½ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 1.70  
VERY SCARY 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 1 2½ (kruljac ian)CORBETT W 121 2.50 68% 0.50 0.80 P
BARBIE WARS 4 3 42 2½ 2nk 2 3 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.50 5.20 S
FIRST IMPRESSION 1 4 67 6 5 5 4 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 5.00 7.60  
PRINCESS OF MALIBU 5 6 32 32 4 4 516½ (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 21.90  
MIZHIPZLETUS 3 2 21 5 614½ 624¾ 630½ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.50 29.20  
 
TUP-4   11/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:214 :443 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREME MAYHEM 2 7 5 44   2nk 1 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 48% 1.10 1.80 W
DEVILS WORKSHOP 5 6 611¾ 6   5 2 (koler steve)MAWING A 122 8.00 18.80  
FOREMAN 4 4 711¾ 710¾   7 3 (gangidino lisa)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 1.50 S
IRISH KNIGHT 7 2 49 5   31 4 (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 119 8.00 17.00  
MINDSHARE 1 5 12 13   1nk 5 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 3.50 15% 5.50 5.30  
NEW EVERY MORNING 6 1 32 23   6 6 (potts ashley )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 10% 8.60 4.20  
SOLEROCKER 3 3 22 33   44 711 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 5.00 13.90  
 
TUP-5   11/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:221 :452       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART ON THE RUN 1 1 1nk     12 1 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 17% 4.80 0.80 W
BIG AL'S PRINCESS 5 3 3     3 2 (garcia jesus)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 4.50 P
PAYNT THE KITTY 8 5 5     4 3 (belvoir vann)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 1.80 24% 3.20 4.20 S
PARTY POLICE 7 2 42     53 4 (villamar candelario)CARRENO J 121 15.00 23.50  
YOUONLYLIVETWICE 2 9 911     7 56 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 8.00 14% 5.90 7.90  
SOLA 3 4 2nk     22 67 (potts ashley)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.50 21% 3.70 8.30  
CLARE CRESCENT 6 6 63     6 7 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 12.40  
10  OLD WEST 9 8 79     89 810¼ (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 57.00  
PAGODA RIDGE 4 7 8     910½ 912¼ (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 15.00 63.00  
SCR  ROYAL DANIELLE               (dillenbeck bru)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
 
TUP-6   11/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT OAK 5 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 12 (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 2.50 59% 0.70 1.30 W
OUR VALLEY 1 8 4 31   31 22 (silva pa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 16% 5.30 5.10 P
DOUBLE THE GOLD 9 6 6 5   64 3 (crotts e)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 12.30 S
LINCHTOWN 2 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 4 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 9.00  
ROMEO'S GLORY 3 9 5 6   42 5 (silva pablo)LEON A 121 6.00 6.00  
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 4 7 97 7   7 66 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00 6.60  
JUST PICK IT UP 6 3 31 4   5 7 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 3.90  
FISHIN THE RIVER 7 5 86 810¼   812½ 815 (kenney ryan)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 61.90  
W. WHITEHOUSE 8 4 7 911¼   917½ 923 (dominguez ange)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 66.40  
 
TUP-7   11/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAINT ME LUCKY 5 1 32 5 5 2 1¾ (pierce l)CARRENO J 124 4.00 27% 2.70 3.70 W
FULL DRAW 8 5 4 21 1½ 1 2¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 1.90  
12  FINAL FINAL 12 8 96 4 2½ 32 33 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 32% 2.10 1.80 S
11  MILORDS OATHKEEPER 11 4 2 3 4 45 4 (lucarelli frank)ANAYA V 121 15.00 48.20  
TELLER 7 10 75 9 99 7 5 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 17.20  
CHECK AND RAISE 9 6 86 8 88 8 6 (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 10% 8.70 34.30  
EARNEST 3 9 6 7 76 59 7 (silva pa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00 9.10  
10  INCLUDE HOO 10 7 108 10 1010½ 69 810¼ (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 86.10  
RUN TAPPY 1 12 1211½ 1210¼ 1214 912¾ 913½ (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 5% 19.00 66.50  
LINEMANS CHECK 2 11 119 11 1112 1012¾ 1014¼ (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 8.00 11.40  
WESTFEST 6 3 5 6 65 1113¾ 1118 (woolley l)WADE LYNDIE 124 15.00 39.90  
STONUS MAXIMUS 4 2 1 11 3 1216¼ 1223¼ (person a)CORBETT W 121 15.00 37.60  
 
TUP-8   11/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:254 1:122 1:244     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER ROSE 5 3 2½ 21 2nk 12 1¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 1.30  
VINTAGE KITTEN 2 5 8 5 3 22 2¼ (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 42% 1.40 2.90 P
MY BOY LOLLIPOP 9 9 10 96 9 7 3 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.10 S
EROTIC 1 2 42 3 4 32 43 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 18% 4.50 4.80  
OUR DANDY'S BOY 3 1 1½ 43 5 5 5 (oberholtzer k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 35.60  
10  MONUMENTAL SEVEN 10 8 3½ 11 1nk 4 6 (campo stacy)MAWING A 124 20.00 71.10  
WILLTOBELUCKY 4 6 64 74 6 6 7 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 8.00 7.30  
EXCALIBUR RIDGE 8 4 5 8 8 8 8 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 14.40  
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 6 7 9 10 10 9 912 (pierce l)CARRENO J 124 6.00 43.20  
BLUE AZUL 7 10 7 6 7 10 1014¼ (wheeler trav)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00 14% 5.90 12.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.