Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-6   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:141 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNNY LANE 5 3 2nk 2nk 2½ 1nk 12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 0.80 0.70  
LIBERTY LIBERTY 1 5 33 33 3 3.2 22 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 5.00 32% 2.20 3.30 P
SHE'S NOT TO BLAME 3 1 1nk 1nk 1½ 2nk 33 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 121 6.00 6.70 S
SWEET MEG 4 4 5 55 6 6 4 (dillenbeck br)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00 11.60  
UPTOWN RHAPSODY 6 6 6 6 5 4¾ 5 (perkins frances)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00 21.90  
QUITCHERSNIVELIN 2 2 4 4 4 5 6 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.00 35% 1.90 3.90  
 
TUP-7   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDANCE STAR 7 1 31 2½   1nk 1¼ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50 28% 2.50 8.20 W
MISS MALIA 5 4 2½ 42   3 2¼ (george cynthi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.50 30% 2.40 2.10 P
AMARETTO DI AMORE 4 2 1½ 1½   2nk 3 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.00 2.00  
JEWEL OF DENIAL 3 5 6 5   44 4 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 8.00 10% 9.10 40.00  
RENEGADE PRINCESS 1 7 7 76   6 5 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 4.00 2.20  
JACANA 6 6 52 6   7 6 (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 15.20  
BE TOUGH 2 3 4 31   5 710 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 6.00 8.20  
 
TUP-8   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:141 1:274   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY 6 1 1 2nk 1 1 1½ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 10% 8.90 1.20 W
ALEX'S DREAM 3 5 67 6 34 2 2½ (baze t)CORBETT W 124 6.00 5.10  
TAP THE BANK 1 3 5 54 6 6 3 (garcia l)MAWING A 124 6.00 5.60 S
GEBO 4 4 3 42 4 4 4 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 5.00 6.10  
MEGA MEAT 5 6 42 1nk 2 34 510¼ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00 6% 15.80 6.80  
ABERDEEN'S KNIGHT 2 2 2 3 5 5 612 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 121 3.50 14% 5.90 3.30  
SCR  AMADMADWORLD               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
TUP-9   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAMP SOUFFLE 2 5 55 5 3 1½ 14 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 43% 1.30 1.80 W
TWO GUNS 7 2 2½ 2½ 11 2½ 24 (schnell don)CORBETT W 119 6.00 6.10 P
FORT LANGLEY 3 6 67 6 54 5 3 (leaney patricia)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 11% 7.90 2.00 S
BERNALINHO 5 3 42 41 44 4 4 (person a)CRUZ M 122 8.00 9.10  
SILVER DASH 4 4 32 31 21 31 5 (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 7% 13.60 4.90  
WEAR THE CROWN 6 1 1½ 1½ 6 6 626¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 3.00 6.30  
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 1 7 7 7 712¼ 718½ 730¼ (pierce michael )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 26.80  
SCR  STALKING SHADOW               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
 
TUP-10   11/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:22 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND WILLOW 6 2 1nk 1nk   1 12 (baze robert)CRUZ M 119 10.00 11.90  
FOREMAN 4 5 42 43   55 22 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.00 0.70 P
CAPTAIN DASHI 1 7 7 55   44 32 (rarick wade)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 5.80  
FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR 7 3 2nk 2nk   3 43 (ortiz manuel )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50 24% 3.20 2.40  
CATABILITY 2 4 3 3½   2 55 (perren lymon )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 21% 3.70 10.90  
CRYIN' CHUCK 3 6 6 67   68 6 (soto antonio)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 22% 3.60 24.50  
ROUGE SUNSET 5 1 53 7   7 7 (torres-casa)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
SCR  SKY CONFIDENTIAL               (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
 
TUP-11   11/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:104 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE'RE JUST SAYIN 6 8 816½ 816½ 7 2nk 1 (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 14% 6.30 2.90 W
CATS TOUCH 2 4 33 3 3 1nk 2 (oberholtzer k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 53% 0.90 3.20 P
RONALD R (IRE) 1 5 69 67 5 4¼ 3 (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 1.40  
OSTINI 4 9 5 57 6 6 4 (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 11.10  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 7 6 714 714 8 7 55 (elston brent)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 75.10  
LOYALTY SPIRIT 5 1 2nk 2 22 5 6 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 7% 12.70 18.20  
BOURBON TAN 3 2 1nk 1 12 3.2 7 (perkinson cc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 6.80  
MILORDS OATHKEEPER 8 3 4 45 4 85 8 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 17.30  
10  RUN TAPPY 9 7 920 930½ 915¾ 98 9 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
SCR  WINNING MAGIC               (gutierrez qu)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.