Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-6   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY LIBERTY Nov04 Oct15 Oct07 Sep23 Jul09 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 5.00 32% 2.20    
2  QUITCHERSNIVELIN Oct16 Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 Aug07 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
3  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME Nov05 Sep01 Aug21 Aug13 Aug03 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 121 6.00 ★    
4  SWEET MEG Oct15 Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 Aug21 (dillenbeck )AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00 ★    
5  SUNNY LANE Nov08 Oct10 Sep11 Aug11 Jun10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 0.80 ★    
6  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Sep17 Aug15 Jul30 Jul16 Apr28 (perkins frances)LULL E 121 10.00    
 
TUP-7   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEGADE PRINCESS May01 Mar25 Feb18 Jan09   (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 4.00 ★    
2  BE TOUGH Sep04 May10 Apr15 Mar10   (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 6.00    
3  JEWEL OF DENIAL May14 Mar25 Mar04 Feb15   (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
4  AMARETTO DI AMORE Nov07 Sep15 Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.00    
5  MISS MALIA Sep10 Aug20 Jan28     (george cynt)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
6  JACANA Sep03 Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 ★    
7  SUNDANCE STAR Sep15 Jul31 Jun25 May26 Feb03 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
TUP-8   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE BANK Sep17 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul29 (garcia valentin )MAWING A 124 6.00 ★    
2  ABERDEEN'S KNIGHT Sep18 Sep09 Aug20 May14   (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
3  ALEX'S DREAM Nov06 Oct15 Oct07 Sep23 Jul08 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
4  GEBO Oct14 Sep17 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
5  MEGA MEAT         (story chad)ELLIS DEVON 121 8.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  AMADMADWORLD Nov09 Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 Jul10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY Oct11 Jul31 Jun22 Feb16   (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 10% 8.90    
 
TUP-9   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPINE HYPNOSIS Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 (pierce michae)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
2  SWAMP SOUFFLE Nov07 Sep18 Sep01 Jul28 Jul07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  FORT LANGLEY Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 Aug01 (leaney patricia)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
4  SILVER DASH Sep15 Aug28 Aug17 Jul14 Jul04 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  STALKING SHADOW Oct01 Jul16 Jun11 May01 Apr09 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
6  BERNALINHO Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 8.00    
7  WEAR THE CROWN Sep10 Aug14 Jul09 May29 May15 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 3.00    
8  TWO GUNS Oct03 Sep23 Aug14 Jul23 Jul10 (schnell don)CORBETT W 119 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-10   11/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN DASHI Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 May15 (rarick wade)ZUNINO L 122 3.50    
2  CATABILITY Oct25 Aug03 Apr30 Apr03 Mar19 (perren lymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  CRYIN' CHUCK Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Apr26 (soto anton)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  FOREMAN Nov05 Sep03 Jun17 May22 Mar26 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  SKY CONFIDENTIAL Sep04 Aug10 Jul10 Jun01 May07 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
6  ROUGE SUNSET Nov05 Sep19 Aug27 Aug08 Jul18 (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIAMOND WILLOW Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul15 (baze robert)CRUZ M 119 10.00    
8  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Oct22 Sep24 Aug23 Jul24 Jul10 (ortiz manue)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
TUP-11   11/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONALD R (IRE) Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Jul06 Jun15 (silva pa)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00    
SCR  WINNING MAGIC Sep10 Jul18 Jun27 May02 Apr20 (gutierrez juan )CORBETT W 124 8.00    
3  CATS TOUCH Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 (oberholtzer)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  BOURBON TAN Nov05 Sep07 Aug27 Aug04 Jul17 (perkinson c)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
5  OSTINI Sep10 Aug22 Jul23 Jul04 May07 (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
6  LOYALTY SPIRIT Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 Aug08 Jun20 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 7% 12.70    
7  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Nov05 Oct01 Aug15 Jul23 Jul04 (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
8  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Sep17 Sep05 Aug22 Jul11 Apr18 (elston brent)LULL E 124 20.00    
9  MILORDS OATHKEEPER Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jun26 (lucarelli frank)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 ★    
10  RUN TAPPY Sep05 Aug22 Jul10 Jun27 May29 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.