Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  APPRECIABLE 7 1 11½ 11½   13½ 16 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 121 5.00 7% 12.90 2.30 W
3  SEVEN SISTERS 3 3 21½ 42   23½ 26 (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 16% 5.10 4.30 P
4  EVEN PANDURA 4 5 74¼ 74   67¾ 36¼ (sanderson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.50 24% 3.10 3.50 S
2  VALUE DANCER 2 7 52¾ 63   55¼ 46¼ (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 6.00 16.70  
5  LARIMAR 5 2 31½ 21½   35 59 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 ★ 3.70  
1  RED VENUS 1 6 62¾ 31½   45 69¾ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 25% 3.10 3.10  
6  BIG CYN 6 4 42½ 52½   78¼ 79¾ (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 122 10.00 19.10  
 
TUP-4   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:131 1:27   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUE ETTAS GHOST 5 5 76½ 56 33 1nk 15 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 3.00 12% 7.60 0.90 W
1  UPTOWN RHAPSODY 1 6 65½ 77¼ 56 3½ 25 (perkins franc)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 12.00 36.80  
7  CHA 7 3 11½ 1nk 11½ 2nk 37¼ (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00 25% 3.00 5.00 S
2  QUEENS RANSOM 2 1 42½ 31½ 21½ 41½ 47¾ (zimmerman jo)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 7.40  
6  JACANA 6 4 21½ 43 45 53 510¼ (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 15% 5.70 4.70  
4  SUNNY LANE 4 7 31½ 2nk 79½ 77 616 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.60 ★ 3.40  
3  SPICY SOMMELIER 3 2 54½ 66¼ 68 66 718¼ (rollins scott)MAWING A 122 8.00 26% 2.80 19.50  
 
TUP-5   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:12 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WILLY THE COBBLER 7 5 43 42 32 2nk 11½ (esquibel ma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 27% 2.70 0.90 W
7  CHROME KING 6 9 54½ 53½ 53 42¼ 21½ (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 6.00 4.10  
1  FORGOTTEN VOWS 1 3 1nk 2½ 2½ 1nk 33½ (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★ 9.70 S
6  HAMMERING LEMON 5 1 2nk 1½ 1½ 3.2 45½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 5.30  
9  AUTISM SAVANT 8 4 65 65 65 64¾ 57 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 20.00 35.00  
5  STRAUS'S PLACE 4 6 87½ 86¾ 77½ 76¼ 67¼ (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 122 4.00 32% 2.10 6.30  
3  RIVIERA CHAMP 3 2 31½ 32 42 53¾ 77¼ (bullene mi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 8.00 14.70  
2  IMPERATOR 2 8 76 76½ 810 88¾ 812½ (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 7% 12.80 63.70  
10  ADD ON 9 7 98½ 910¾ 913 911¼ 914½ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 12.00 18.00  
SCR  FAIT ACCOMPLI               (silva pa)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 10% 9.50    
 
TUP-6   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:113 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PROVOST 5 1 1½ 1nk 11 13½ 11 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 8.40  
1  UNBROKEN STAR 1 7 42 2nk 21 33½ 21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 12% 7.40 4.20 P
7  PAINT ME LUCKY 6 3 31½ 31½ 32½ 23½ 31¼ (hernandez miguel )CARRENO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00 1.80 S
8  FINAL FINAL 7 8 75 77½ 57 66¼ 42¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 9% 10.10 3.60  
5  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 4 2 2½ 42½ 44 56¼ 53 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 33.50  
2  PERFECT COME BACK 2 4 62½ 66 69 46 64¼ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 23% 3.40 4.60  
4  GORKY PARK (FR) 3 5 52½ 54½ 79 76¾ 74¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 32% 2.10 5.80  
9  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 8 6 85½ 89½ 812 89¼ 87¾ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 10.00 20.00  
SCR  BODEGA               (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TUMAC MOUNTAIN 4 3 3½ 3.2   2nk 1¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 20.00 39.10  
8  DEVIL'S TEETH 8 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 63% 0.60 3.40 P
5  BLESSED JOURNEY 5 6 83¼ 41¾   41¼ 31¼ (silva pabl)LEON A 124 12.00 9% 10.50 4.90 S
1  CHEF 1 8 97¾ 94½   82¾ 42½ (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 ★ 11.20  
9  LINEMANS CHECK 9 2 41½ 62¼   51¾ 52¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 ★ 5.50  
3  FULL DRAW 3 10 72¾ 52¼   62¼ 64 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 1.60 1.30  
2  UNCLE FLOYD 2 5 61¾ 72½   31 74¼ (williams de)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 29.40  
6  STONUS MAXIMUS 6 4 1nk 2nk   72¾ 88½ (person kenneth )CORBETT W 121 15.00 16.60  
10  CREST DRIVE 10 7 51¾ 83   94¾ 910½ (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 ★ 15.80  
7  INCLUDE HOO 7 9 1014¾ 1011½   1010¼ 1014¼ (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 22.40  
 
TUP-8   12/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:241     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  START A RUNNIN 7 1 1½ 1½ 11½ 12½ 13¼ (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 11% 8.50 5.30 W
10  BLUE SKYE JADE 10 6 2½ 2½ 21½ 22½ 23¼ (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 48% 1.10 5.00 P
1  FINAL ROSE 1 7 76 76 75 44½ 34½ (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 15.00 4.10  
5  ECHO ALPHA SIX 5 3 42 42 43½ 34 44½ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 9% 9.80 6.40  
9  FOUR O'FIVE 9 5 64 64½ 65 76¼ 54½ (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00 57.90  
2  KATZUMOTO 2 4 53½ 53½ 54 56 65¾ (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
4  OUR DANDY'S BOY 4 8 86½ 86½ 87 86¾ 76 (oberholtzer )SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 18.00  
8  ITS BIG 8 9 96¾ 97 910 98¾ 88¼ (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 ★ 5.80  
3  OUTLAW BY NATURE 3 10 108¾ 109 1010½ 1010¼ 99½ (oliver victo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 85.70  
6  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN 6 2 32 32 33 66 1010¼ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 3.30  
SCR  TELLER               (silva pabl)LEON A 124 15.00    
 
TUP-9   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 2 C/G PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CODE FIVE 4 2 32 11½   1nk 15 (owens kory)CORBETT W 120 4.00 17% 4.90 3.80 W
7  ARIZONA ANDREW 6 1 1nk 21½   2nk 25 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 120 1.20 56% 0.80 0.30 P
1  BRANDYN 1 3 2nk 31½   32½ 37½ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00 ★ 4.20 S
4  CHARLIE'S MAN 3 5 44½ 46½   47 49 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 6.00 ★ 10.70  
2  PANZER PRIDE 2 6 79¼ 511½   515 517½ (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00 42.00  
6  BIG TIME ROB 5 4 69 715   720¼ 624 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 10.00 46.10  
8  BRENSON BUNS 7 7 56 613   620 728¾ (kereluk edwar)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 12.00 59.70  
SCR  ARIZONA STEPHEN               (martinez o )HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 15.00 ★    
 
TUP-10   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:22 :451 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ARIZONA KALEI 10 1 33 2nk   13 11½ (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 120 1.80 32% 2.10 1.00 W
5  SHARP ATTITUDE 5 7 76½ 53¼   33 21½ (owens kory)CORBETT W 120 6.00 ★ 7.80 P
3  BANGIE GO 3 3 21½ 1nk   23 35¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00 19% 4.30 4.80 S
4  UNRIVALED QUEEN 4 8 88½ 75   57½ 47¾ (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00 18.30  
9  BEYOND AWESOME 9 2 11½ 3.2   44½ 59½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 5.00 19% 4.20 2.00  
6  GRACIE'S A TIGER 6 6 54½ 43¼   68 615 (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 8.00 9% 10.00 26.00  
8  BRIEF NOTE 8 9 1028 1025   923 721¾ (owens kory)LINDSAY CHAD 120 8.00 28.90  
2  DAHLIA'S DANCER 2 4 44 64¾   712 823 (barraza rafae)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00 ######  
1  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 1 10 66 88   818 929¼ (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 120 20.00 97.40  
7  REASON TWO LIVE 7 5 910 913   1025 1036¾ (barrio sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 20.00 96.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.