Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED VENUS Nov23 Sep26 Aug30 Jul06 Jun01 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
2  VALUE DANCER Oct28 Sep17 Aug30 Aug06 Jul23 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 6.00    
3  SEVEN SISTERS Nov07 Sep25 Sep05 Jul29 Jan23 (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
4  EVEN PANDURA Sep14 Aug21 Jul09 Jun16 Jun02 (sanderson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  LARIMAR Nov21 Oct22 Sep23 Aug26 Jun24 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 ★    
6  BIG CYN Nov26 Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep12 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 122 10.00    
7  APPRECIABLE Nov26 Nov07 Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 121 5.00 7% 12.90    
 
TUP-4   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Nov16 Sep17 Aug15 Jul30 Jul16 (perkins franc)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 12.00    
2  QUEENS RANSOM Nov26 Nov12 Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 (zimmerman jo)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00    
3  SPICY SOMMELIER Nov25 Nov07 Sep17 Aug29 Aug13 (rollins scott)MAWING A 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
4  SUNNY LANE Nov16 Nov08 Oct10 Sep11 Aug11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.60 ★    
5  SUE ETTAS GHOST Oct29 Oct15 Sep11 Sep03 Jul22 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 3.00 12% 7.60    
6  JACANA Nov16 Sep03 Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
7  CHA Nov26 Nov08 Sep15 Sep04 Aug20 (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-5   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORGOTTEN VOWS Nov08 Aug26 Aug04 Jun25 May29 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
2  IMPERATOR Nov19 Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 Apr26 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
3  RIVIERA CHAMP Nov28 Nov09 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 (bullene mi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 8.00    
SCR  FAIT ACCOMPLI Oct23 Sep05 Aug23 Jul31 Jul03 (silva pa)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 10% 9.50    
5  STRAUS'S PLACE Oct29 Oct10 Oct01 Aug26 Aug06 (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
6  HAMMERING LEMON Nov30 Jun27 Apr12 Mar24 Mar09 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00    
7  CHROME KING Dec01 Nov04 Sep23 Aug13 Jul13 (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 6.00    
8  WILLY THE COBBLER Nov19 Oct15 Sep18 Aug12 Jul24 (esquibel ma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
9  AUTISM SAVANT Nov19 Nov05 Aug29 Aug01 Jul16 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 20.00    
10  ADD ON Nov28 Nov05 Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 12.00    
 
TUP-6   12/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBROKEN STAR Nov07 Jul28 Jul10 Jul04 May15 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
2  PERFECT COME BACK May07 Apr18 Apr01 Mar21 Mar08 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BODEGA Oct22 Oct08 Aug23 Jul31 Jul16 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
4  GORKY PARK (FR) Nov21 Nov08 Sep15 Sep03 Aug13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Nov21 Nov05 Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
6  PROVOST Nov21 Nov07 Sep24 Aug21 Aug06 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
7  PAINT ME LUCKY Nov29 Sep18 Aug27 Jul28 Jul08 (hernandez miguel )CARRENO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  FINAL FINAL Nov29 Nov07 Sep19 Sep10 Aug15 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
9  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Nov21 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEF Nov19 Sep17 Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 ★    
2  UNCLE FLOYD Nov19 Nov04 Sep12 Aug29 Jul04 (williams de)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00    
3  FULL DRAW Nov29 Nov21 Oct15 Sep16 Aug05 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 1.60    
4  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Nov26 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul15 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
5  BLESSED JOURNEY Nov21 Nov07 Oct11 Sep25 Jul23 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 12.00 9% 10.50    
6  STONUS MAXIMUS Nov29 Nov08 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 (person kenneth )CORBETT W 121 15.00    
7  INCLUDE HOO Nov29 Nov08 Sep19 Sep12 Sep05 (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
8  DEVIL'S TEETH Nov26 Nov09 Aug19 Jan17   (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
9  LINEMANS CHECK Nov29 Nov08 Sep05 Aug20 Aug13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 ★    
10  CREST DRIVE Nov19 Nov09 Sep17 Jun24 Jun03 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   12/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL ROSE Nov26 Apr04 Mar18 Mar04 Feb10 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 15.00    
2  KATZUMOTO Nov19 Oct28 May06 Apr03 Mar11 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUTLAW BY NATURE Nov19 Sep12 Aug13 May07 Apr03 (oliver victo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
4  OUR DANDY'S BOY Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 Aug06 (oberholtzer )SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
5  ECHO ALPHA SIX Nov21 Jul27 Jul07 Jun15 Jun02 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
6  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Sep18 Aug08 Jun18 Jun04 Apr05 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
7  START A RUNNIN Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 Feb01 Jan02 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 11% 8.50    
8  ITS BIG Nov21 Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 Sep04 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 ★    
9  FOUR O'FIVE Nov05 Sep19 Aug27 Jul18 Jun03 (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00    
10  BLUE SKYE JADE Nov19 Nov04 Sep28 Sep14 Aug13 (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  TELLER Nov29 Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 15.00    
 
TUP-9   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 2 C/G PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRANDYN Nov15 Sep19 Aug27     (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 120 5.00 ★    
2  PANZER PRIDE Nov12 Sep19 Aug20 Jul18 May07 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00    
SCR  ARIZONA STEPHEN Nov15 Oct04 Aug30     (martinez o )HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 15.00 ★    
4  CHARLIE'S MAN Nov12 Sep18 Aug20     (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 6.00 ★    
5  CODE FIVE         (owens kory)CORBETT W 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
6  BIG TIME ROB Nov12 Aug11 Jul03     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 10.00    
7  ARIZONA ANDREW Oct04 Sep05 Aug20 Aug08   (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 120 1.20 56% 0.80    
8  BRENSON BUNS Nov12         (kereluk edwar)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 12.00    
 
TUP-10   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Nov12         (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 120 20.00    
2  DAHLIA'S DANCER Nov12 Sep05 Aug20     (barraza rafae)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00    
3  BANGIE GO Nov14 Sep15 Aug20     (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  UNRIVALED QUEEN Nov14 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00    
5  SHARP ATTITUDE         (owens kory)CORBETT W 120 6.00 ★    
6  GRACIE'S A TIGER Nov12 Oct04 Sep13     (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
7  REASON TWO LIVE Nov12         (barrio sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 20.00    
8  BRIEF NOTE         (owens kory)LINDSAY CHAD 120 8.00    
9  BEYOND AWESOME Nov14 May07 Apr13     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
10  ARIZONA KALEI Oct04 Aug26 Jul08 Jun19 May07 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.