Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-4   12/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:113 1:372   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUB MESQUITE 4 3 5 5 33 3 1½ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 41% 1.40 2.10 W
IN THE MIDST 1 2 12 1½ 2 21 2½ (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00 7% 13.20 3.70 P
ETU BABOU 6 4 6 6 6 44 3 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 5.00 5.90 S
POLITICAL RIOT 5 6 43 31 1 11 42 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.00 2.90  
CHROME KING 3 5 33 4 54 54 5 (hernandez migue)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 6.00 3.60  
VICTORY AT LAST 2 1 22 2½ 43 618 622¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.50 6.90  
SCR  THE GLADIATOR (CHI)               (silva pabl)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
TUP-5   12/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUDMOUTHSOUP 4 2 3 45   4 1½ (diodoro rober)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 1.80  
NOBLE CRUSADER 2 4 4 32   31 2½ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 23% 3.30 3.70 P
KATAR 1 6 1nk 1nk   1½ 3¾ (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 3.50 35% 1.80 4.20 S
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 6 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 118 6.00 4.00  
ECHO CANYON 3 5 6 5   5 5 (schnell don)CORBETT W 121 4.00 2.90  
SEIGE THE DAY 5 3 5 6   615½ 621 (salas eliazar)CARRENO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
SCR  JUSTIN AZTECA               (story chad)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.00 12% 7.50    
 
TUP-6   12/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POVERTY BAY 1 1 1 11   11 1¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 8.00 53% 0.90 1.90 W
WESTPORT CAPTAIN 3 2 2 21   21 2¼ (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 3.00 7% 12.70 2.50 P
TEMPTED MISSION 4 3 3 4   3 3 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 8% 12.00 3.20 S
BET ON DAD 6 4 42 31   4 4 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 2.20  
ROBIN'S EMPIRE 5 5 57 5   5 510¼ (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 12.00 32.50  
DODGER BLUE 2 6 619 618¼   616½ 612¼ (rollins scott)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 10.00 13.70  
SCR  BESAME MUCHO               (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  TENTH STREET DON               (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50    
 
TUP-7   12/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY TO FIRE 6 2 3.2 3.2   1½ 1 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 24% 3.10 0.80 W
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA 3 5 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 12.00 7% 14.30 23.90 P
DIPLOMATICA 8 4 4 4   3 3 (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 119 3.00 23% 3.40 3.20 S
KEEPINMYPROMISE 2 6 7 5   55 4 (pierce l)CARRENO J 122 10.00 29.50  
WORKIN NINETOFIVE 1 8 6 7   7 59 (gutierrez ju)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 5.00 4.90  
DELAWARE DESTINY 7 3 5 6   6 6 (chamberlin tina)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 15% 5.80 14.30  
KNOCKON 5 7 8 812¾   812¼ 713 (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 73.20  
DATQUICKCAT 4 1 1nk 1nk   45 816½ (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.50 4.60  
 
TUP-8   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:222 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE AND EFFECT 3 1 3½ 4   32 1½ (wheeler travi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 6% 14.90 5.70 W
AWHITESPORTSCOAT 2 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 2½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 27% 2.70 2.20 P
MAD LUTHER 6 9 9 9   7 3¾ (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 2.60  
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 4 6 42 3   42 4 (brown jared)MAWING A 122 8.00 14.50  
TEXAS LONG BOW 5 4 6 5   54 5 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 8% 11.20 5.20  
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 1 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 64 (villamar candelario)CARRENO J 122 6.00 5.10  
SIR DEPUTY 7 5 54 6   6 7 (potts ann)CORBETT W 122 6.00 14% 6.20 11.60  
MANCUSO AT THE MIC 8 7 7 7   8 810¼ (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 122 8.00 39.30  
GOT EVEN SMARTER 9 8 8 8   911¼ 917¼ (fulmer drew)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00 20% 4.00 27.30  
 
TUP-9   12/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:48 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAIL HUGGER 1 2 1½ 1nk 3.2 2nk 1nk (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 5.40  
NORTHCUT 2 1 2½ 2nk 1nk 3.2 2nk (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 11.20 P
MAJOR ATTRACTION 7 5 52 3 2nk 1nk 3½ (williams matt)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 53% 0.90 2.20 S
GIANT PAYDAY 4 4 63 7 5 5 4¾ (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 8.00 4.70  
PEACE OF EKATI 3 6 3 42 6 4 5 (silva l)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 8.60  
FALSELY ACCUSED 6 3 42 5 4 6 6 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
HEIR (FR) 5 7 7 6 7 7 75 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 8% 11.00 4.80  
SCR  MONGOLIAN MEMORY               (metz jeffrey)VALDIVIA JR 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.